Critical interest rate decision by RBA
Courtesy of Cornelius
After a relatively uninterrupted rise since mid-May, the Aussie seemed to face a critical ceiling at 93 a couple of weeks ago. After last week’s de-risking on Wednesday, the bounce on Thursday and the broad based sell-off on Friday (many theories floating around, including Oct/Nov year-ends for many hedge funds and watermark related liquidity), the market would indicate some interesting moves, especially in the context of the parabolic rise in the VIX.
However, the upcoming interest rate decision has the potential to drop the hammer. Especially with the hawkish tendencies by the RBA over the past few years and the price action in commodities, a bump over the consensus (3.5%) could blow the Aussie past the previously indicated technicals.
It will be interesting to see which side prevails.
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