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Weekly Chartology

Courtesy of Tyler Durden at Zero Hedge

Recapping the week that just ended, in a few easy bullets (with the requisite spin) and charts, from Goldman Sachs.

Performance

S&P 500 fell -1.9% this week. The Financials sector was the worst performing sector, falling – 3.5%. Consumer Discretionary was the best performing sector, falling just 80 bps. We expect S&P 500 to rise to 1300 by mid-year (+22.3%), before ending 2010 at 1250 (+17.6%).

S&P 500 earnings

Our top-down EPS forecast of $76 and $90 for 2010 and 2011 reflect +33% and +20% growth, respectively. Our pre-provision and write-down EPS forecasts are $81 for 2010 and $91 for 2011. Bottom-up consensus forecasts a 39% increase in 2010 to $79, and a 20% increase in 2011 to $95.

Valuation

Top-down, the S&P 500 trades at an NTM P/E of 14.0X (13.1X on pre-provision EPS). Bottom-up, it trades at NTM P/E of 13.6X and LTM P/B of 2.2X.

Sector views and performance

Our recommended sector weightings have generated -26 bp of alpha YTD. We have lost the most ground in our overweight Info Tech position (-12 bp). We have generated the most positive alpha in our underweight positions in Telecom Services and Utilities (+5 bp).

Full presentation

 

 

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Dashboard

 Sector Performances (Today)

 Thermal Imaging

Utilities-0.54 %
 
Aerospace-0.61 %
 
Retail-Wholesale-0.62 %
 
Finance-0.79 %
 
Consumer Staples-1.09 %
 
Medical-1.09 %
 
Consumer Discretionary-1.14 %
 
Business Services-1.14 %
 
Computer and Technology-1.15 %
 
Transportation-1.35 %
 
Multi-Sector Conglomerate-1.40 %
 
Industrial Products-1.60 %
 
Oils-Energy-1.62 %
 
Auto-Tires-Trucks-1.64 %
 
Construction-1.74 %
 
Basic Materials-1.90 %