It Is Time For BofA’s Economist Neil Dutta To Change His Permabullish Tune
Courtesy of Tyler Durden
Little by little, the macro economists at all the sellside shops have been turning bearish. Jan Hatzius, once again proves his worth, by seeing the writing on the wall sooner than most of his colleagues and turning negative about a month ago. Yet in a field in which the faux bullishness of a “strategist” directly correlates to the amount of capital at risk of complete wipeout should stocks begin approaching their true value, there are those who clutch to every straw of optimism harder than a drowning man on the verge of going over the Niagra Falls. One such specimen is Bank of America’s Neil Dutta, who through thick and thin has kept “the 99% empty glass is 1% full” perspective for far too long. Which is why we would like to call Mr Dutta out: in a note to clients from two days ago, Neil said: “If our forecast for +125,000 in private payrolls comes to”fruition, we think the economy should be able to generate the kind of income growth necessary to offset the fiscal fade coming in the back half of this year.” Well, Neil, your permabullish forecast has once again come well short of reality. It is time to admit you have been wrong, and no, saying next month’s NFP will finally be better is just not going to cut it anymore: even Christina Romer got that memo. So please spare us the sugar coating and for once tell the truth as you see it, and not as your corporate overlords at 1 Bryant Park demand you spin it. For your own sake.

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