War Has Broken Out And Your Savings Are At Stake
by Zero Hedge - September 30th, 2010 12:21 pm
Courtesy of Phoenix Capital Research
The first and most immediate item we need to note is the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) currency intervention.
Prior to this, all currency interventions were generally indirect (the Fed’s QE program) or not generally promoted (the Swiss banks numerous attempts to buy Euros and suppress the Franc).
In contrast, the BoJ’s move was not only sudden, it was promoted.
Japan Finance Minister Noda: MOF Intervened In FX Markets
Japan’s government sold yen Wednesday, pushing the dollar up sharply. It was Japan’s first foreign exchange market intervention in more than six years, Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda said.
Noda said the ministry would take decisive steps, including intervention if needed. He said the intervention was aimed at curbing excessive fluctuations in the foreign exchange market.
Moreover, Japan stated it would:
1) Intervene more in the future if needed
2) Use the funds from the intervention to provide liquidity to the stock markets
The move, while hinted at previously, was a bit “out of left field” (the BoJ had not intervened since 2004). The Japanese Yen is one of the primary carry trade currencies to borrow in (the US Dollar being the other). So Japan’s move was largely seen to be “pro-risk” resulting in the Nikkei spiking.
However, it marks a major turning point in the financial crisis. Going forward, the key issue for the financial markets will be currency interventions. Japan’s move can, in a sense, be seen as an open declaration of war between the BoJ, the Federal Reserve, and other Central Bankers.
Indeed, we can’t leave the European Central Banks out…
Rahm Emanuel To Resign Today, To Begin Chicago Mayoral Bid
by Zero Hedge - September 30th, 2010 11:56 am
Courtesy of Tyler Durden
How many rats are left?
We will get you more, but it is pretty self-explanatory what is going on here.
RANsquawk US Afternoon Briefing – Stocks, Bonds, FX etc. – 30/09/10
by Zero Hedge - September 30th, 2010 11:52 am
Courtesy of RANSquawk Video
Guest Post: The FED Cannot Keep Stocks Up
by Zero Hedge - September 30th, 2010 11:37 am
Courtesy of Tyler Durden
From Mike Krieger of KAM LP
What the future will hold is such a dramatic sharp burst to astonishing new price levels of several thousands of dollars. This does not even require hyperinflation. It is not likely that the United States would enter a hyperinflation mode. The system would collapse long before that takes place. The much more likely result will be a complete currency default with a replacement of a new currency. This is one way government defaults by using a shell game so that the average person does not understand he was just taken to the cleaners.
- Martin A. Armstrong on Gold
The FED Cannot Keep Stocks Up
What a difference a month makes. As I prepared to begin my Labor Day weekend in late August the financial media was abuzz with predictions of stock market doom. You could barely read anything without being confronted with several references to the dreaded Hindenberg Omen and how the appearance of several of these had all but guaranteed an imminent stock market collapse. There were plenty of reasons to be bearish. The market performed horribly in August and the economy was clearly still in the dumps despite a continued endless propaganda to the contrary. Nevertheless, the constant predictions of doom was indeed a great contrary indicator and barring some monster reversal today we are about to finished the month of September +10% in what is typically the worst month for stocks. It is set to be the best September in 70 years.
The truth of the matter is while the relentlessness and strength of the rally did surprise me a bit the fact that we bounced hard did not. Ironically, the reason I thought this could happen is because I am SO bearish. At the end of the day, if you are coming from the angle that I am you need to assume the stock market is a political tool for those in charge. I have said this time and time again. The manipulators cannot stop the cycles of markets any more than they can the cycles of nature in the end, but in the interim they can create a lot of problems and seriously damage your P&L if you do not know who you are up against. When it is the system itself that is fighting for survival as it…
POMO Ramp Concludes As Fed Buys Back A Disappointing $2.2 Billion, As Just $11.5 Billion Are Submitted
by Zero Hedge - September 30th, 2010 11:29 am
Courtesy of Tyler Durden
Well, so much for that ramp: after spiking by well over 100 points, the DJIA is now down notably for the day. A big reason for this was that today’s POMO was a big disappointment: only $11.5 billion in higher yielding bonds were submitted to the Fed for repurchase, as it appears Primary Dealers would rather hold on to the best yielding paper currently available than hand it back to Brian Sack. This may have rather unpleasant implications for the Fed which will soon monetize across the curve, as it demonstrates that there is very little monetization interest in the long, and thus higher yielding, end, which in turn will force the Fed to monetize ever more short maturity debt. As a result, the Fed ended up purchasing a paltry $2.2 billion, and Apple Netflix, Amazon are already suffering as a result of the EOM profit taking starting to hit the quants, many of whom have been in unwind mode all September. With the next POMO now scheduled for an eternity from today, on October 5, today’s market action could be very volatile.

The Oxen Report: Midterm Trade in Agricultural Giant
by David Ristau - September 30th, 2010 11:27 am
Good morning to everyone. So sorry I am just getting to posting now. I had a slight issue with my power last night. The good news is that Worthington Industries was a gem at the open. I was out at 16.00 this morning. After an entry of 15.35, that gave me a gain of 4.30%. The Overnight Trade decision worked out very well for us. In addition to Worthington, we had a 2% gain on a Short Sale of Thor Industries (THO) yesterday.
The market is looking a bit bleak this morning, but I am working to find a new play for us today. In the meantime, feel free to ask me any questions as we get caught up.
Midterm Trade: Mosaic Co. (MOS)
Analysis: Starting next week, earnings of significance really start to pick up again for the end of the June – August Q2 earnings season. The week starts out with a Monday after close earnings report from Mosaic Co. (MOS). The company produces phosphate and potash fertilizers and is slated to have their best quarter in years – perhaps ever. Average EPS estimates come in at 0.72 vs. one year ago at 0.23, a gain of over 200%. The company has seen a large rise in their
product as agricultural exports and farming has picked up this spring/summer season.
The company additionally has a small nitrogen-based crop nutrient sector that is directly related to the price of natural gas. Natural gas is at an all-time low right now, and it is making the process of producing a nitrogen-based fertilizer very cheap. Natural gas in the June-August timeframe was at around $4.00 compared to $14.00 in the year prior. This price cut is huge for that portion of the Mosaic business.
In the last three months, the company has received an upgrade from Susquehanna, which is always a positive side. The company argues similar ideas to what I am saying and comments that the long-term sustainability and takeover possibilities for fertilizer companies makes them very attractive. Another nice commentary is that an independent research found that there is enough phosphate to make fertilizer for another 300-400 years. The USDA also commented that the average income of a farm has risen 24% in 2010. This is due to heavy demand overseas and rising demand in our own country.
Prechter On Market Rally
by ilene - September 30th, 2010 11:20 am
Video (Part 1): Prechter On Market Rally
(Note: This interview was originally recorded on September 20, 2010)
In the two videos below, Robert Prechter talks to Yahoo! Finance Tech Ticker host Aaron Task and Henry Blodget about extreme readings in various indicators that support his bear-market forecast.
Video (Part 2): Prechter: Ominous Pattern in the DJIA
Get Up to Speed on Robert Prechter’s Latest Perspective — Download this Special FREE Report Now.
Senator Franken Sends Letter To Bernanke, Bair And Holder Demanding Criminal Charges For All Responsible For Biggest Alleged Mortgage Fraud In History
by Zero Hedge - September 30th, 2010 11:04 am
Courtesy of Tyler Durden
The biggest financial story which continues to get absolutely no mention on CNBC just got its latest multi-step escalation: Senator Al Franken has just blasted a letter to Tim Geithner, Shaun Donovan, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Eric Holder, John Walsh, Controller of the Currency, Sheila Bair, and, drumroll, Ben Bernanke, telling the recipients that “each of your agencies has an important role to play in addressing this egregious situation and holding all appropriate actors fully accountable. As such, I respectfully request that you collaborate to conduct a thorough investigation into the alleged misconduct. As part of this investigation, it is crucial that Ally and its employees are held fully accountable for any criminal misconduct.” Since if this pervasive mortgage fraud is more than just alleged, the stink will reach to the very top of places like JP Morgan, Ally, and possibly every single bank that has been in the mortgage origination business, something tells us that Ben Bernanke, whose job is precisely to protect the banks’ interests will not rush into any investigation for the duration of FASB’s existence. It gets better: “Additionally, all homeowners who may have experienced illegitimate foreclosure sales, those who have been forced to defend against illegitimate foreclosure actions, and those who have been harmed must be identified. These individuals must receive proper restitution and compensation, as provided for under the law.” And the punchline: “It is critical to confirm that no loans provided through the FHA or in conjunction with the HAMP program were associated with Ally’s misconduct.” Yes, oddly enough the government is about to lose even more credibility once it is discovered that it worked in collaboration with the biggest mortgage fraud scheme in history.
The letter concludes:
“Concerns have been rasied that Ally’s practices are not an anomaly in this industry, and that these bad practices are used by numerous other companies as well. Therefore, I request that you report on the actions your agencies are taking (and plan to take) to improve oversight of mortgage servicers overall. In particular please inform me of steps that you will take to ensure that similar misconduct is not currently occurring within other mortgage service companies and how future improper activity can best be prevented.”
We will spare you the Donkey Kong graphic today.
Full letter:
Brian Sack Is In The House: Today’s POMO Begins
by Zero Hedge - September 30th, 2010 10:22 am
Courtesy of Tyler Durden
Today’s POMO of bonds maturing between 2021 and 2040, pretty much everything that still has any yield, has begun. Brian Sack is about to hand out around $4 billion to the Primary Dealers, as the Fed is hell bent on taking over as the second largest holder of US Treasuries within two weeks – Japan held $821 billion as of July, the Fed hold just over $800 billion and is buying about $10 billion a week. Which means that in about a month the Federal Reserve Bank of the United States will be the single biggest holder of debt issued by the United States of America! If that means that Netflix, BIDU and AMZN will need a billion to one stock split within the same time frame, so be it. For full results – same time, same place.
Next Steps: Visualizing Where Wall Street Went Next; Surprise – It Was Wall Street
by Zero Hedge - September 30th, 2010 10:11 am
Courtesy of Tyler Durden
Dealbook has compiled one of the best visualizations of the tangled web of where Wall Street’s brass ends up after leaving their existing company a bailout burden to US taxpayers. Instead of facing perp walks, all the same players have merely engaged in the next round in the game of Wall Street musical chairs, and simply switched their corner offices: after all who is quite as qualified to lead the US economy into the abyss one more time? Is it any wonder then that as all the same people who got us in this mess are still busy collecting billions in bonuses, that the US economy and stock market will be led to yet another historic crash?
h/t Chris Whalen

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Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...
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