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Archive for May, 2011

United Fire Announces Preliminary Loss Estimate of $30M to $35M for Spring Storms

Courtesy of Benzinga

United Fire & Casualty Company (Nasdaq: UFCS) today announced that it expects its second-quarter results through May to include pre-tax catastrophe losses, net of reinsurance, of approximately $30-35 million. These losses include $7-9 million in storm losses previously reported in the Company’s first quarter news release; $5-6 million from storms that hit southern states in late April; and $15-20 million from a devastating May storm in Joplin, Missouri.

The estimated losses for these catastrophe events are expected to contribute between 21.9 and 25.5 percentage points to the second-quarter property casualty combined ratio. The impact on after-tax earnings is estimated to be between $0.75 and $0.87 cents per share.

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UPDATE: Supreme Industries Settles Litigation with The Armored Group

Courtesy of Benzinga

Supreme Industries, Inc. (NYSE: STS) today announced that on May 25, 2011, Supreme settled its long-standing litigation with The Armored Group. On Jan. 21, 2009, The Armored Group filed a complaint against affiliates of Supreme Industries, Inc. alleging breach of oral contract, unjust enrichment and other claims, including that the Company had an obligation to pay TAG a 10% commission on all sales of armored vehicles to the United States Department of State under a contract with the United States Department of State providing for up to $98 million in sales.

On May 25, 2011, the Company and TAG signed a Civil Settlement Agreement, under the terms of which this lawsuit will be dismissed and the Company will: (i) pay to TAG the cash sum of $1.1 million ($400,000 payable on or about May 25, 2011, and the balance of $700,000 payable over the next 12 months in the principal amount of $58,333 per month plus accrued interest at 5.75% simple interest); and (ii) issue and deliver to TAG on or about May 25, 2011, 350,000 shares of Supreme’s Class A Common Stock and an additional 350,000 shares on Jan. 15, 2012.

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The S&P 500: Up for the Day, Down for the Month

Courtesy of Doug Short

The S&P 500 closed up 1.06% for the day but down 1.35% for the month. The index is 98.8% above the March 2009 closing low but 14.1% below the nominal all-time high of October 2007. Below are two charts of the index — with and without the 50 and 200-day moving averages.

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For a better sense of how these declines figure into a larger historical context, here’s a long-term view of secular bull and bear markets in the S&P Composite since 1871.

For a bit of international flavor, here’s a chart series that includes an overlay of the S&P 500, the Dow Crash of 1929 and Great Depression, and the so-called L-shaped “recovery” of the Nikkei 225. I update these weekly.

These charts are not intended as a forecast but rather as a way to study the current market in relation to historic market cycles.





Banner Corporation Announces Effectiveness of Reverse Stock Split

Courtesy of Benzinga

Banner Corporation (Nasdaq: BANR) today announced that it had filed an amendment to its Amended and Restated Articles of Incorporation with the Secretary of State of the State of Washington to effect the previously announced 1-for-7 reverse stock split. The reverse stock split will take effect prior to the opening of the NASDAQ Global Select Market on June 1, 2011 and will be effective with respect to shareholders of record at the close of business on May 31, 2011 (the “Effective Time”). At the Effective Time, every seven shares of Banner’s pre-split common shares will automatically be consolidated into one post-split share.

It is expected that Banner’s shares of common stock will continue to trade on the NASDAQ Global Select Market under the symbol “BANR” with the letter “D” added to the end of the trading symbol for a period of 20 trading days to indicate that the reverse stock split has occurred. Following the 20 day period, the ticker symbol will revert to “BANR.” In addition, Banner’s shares of common stock will also trade under a new CUSIP number effective June 1, 2011.

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World Health Organization Says Cellphones Cause Cancer … Oh, And They're Killing Off the Bees As Well

Courtesy of George Washington

Washington’s Blog

The World Health Organization just issued a report stating that cellphones are “possibly carcinogenic to humans”.

Specifically, WHO found “an increased risk for glioma, a malignant type of brain cancer, associated with wireless phone use”.

The WHO report notes that a previous study showed increased risk with increased cellphone use, and recommends taking actions – such as using hands-free equipment – to reduce exposure to the electromagnetic fields produced by cellphones.

 

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CNN points out:

The agency now lists mobile phone use in the same “carcinogenic hazard” category as lead, engine exhaust and chloroform.

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The type of radiation coming out of a cell phone is called non-ionizing. It is not like an X-ray, but more like a very low-powered microwave oven.

 

“What microwave radiation does in most simplistic terms is similar to what happens to food in microwaves, essentially cooking the brain,” Black said. “So in addition to leading to a development of cancer and tumors, there could be a whole host of other effects like cognitive memory function, since the memory temporal lobes are where we hold our cell phones.”

 

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Results from the largest international study on cell phones and cancer was released in 2010. It showed participants in the study who used a cell phone for 10 years or more had doubled the rate of brain glioma, a type of tumor. To date, there have been no long-term studies on the effects of cell phone usage among children.

 

“Children’s skulls and scalps are thinner. So the radiation can penetrate deeper into the brain of children and young adults. Their cells are at a dividing faster rate, so the impact of radiation can be much larger.” said Black of Cedars-Sinai Medical Center.

 

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Manufacturers of many popular cell phones already warn consumers to keep


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World Health Organization Says Cellphones Cause Cancer … Oh, And They’re Killing Off the Bees As Well

Courtesy of George Washington

Washington’s Blog

The World Health Organization just issued a report stating that cellphones are “possibly carcinogenic to humans”.

Specifically, WHO found “an increased risk for glioma, a malignant type of brain cancer, associated with wireless phone use”.

The WHO report notes that a previous study showed increased risk with increased cellphone use, and recommends taking actions – such as using hands-free equipment – to reduce exposure to the electromagnetic fields produced by cellphones.

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It should be noted that WHO’s findings are not strictly limited to cellphones. Specifically, the report discusses:

 

radio frequency electromagnetic fields, such as those emitted by wireless communication devices.

As such, the WHO report may give ammunition to those who oppose non-essential rf em fields, such as California residents who oppose the installation of “smart meters” by the local power company.

The smart meters wirelessly beam electric usage information to the power company. The utility installed the smart meters on all customers’ homes (without their consent) in order to save the cost of having workers manually check electric meters.

For those who are surprised that an electromagnetic fields can affect the human body, you are behind the times. As I noted last month:

It is well-known that humans and animals have many electric currents inside of us, and that we interact with electric fields and electric currents outside of our bodies. For example, the pumping of our hearts is driven by an electrical system, and EKGs measure the electrical activity in our heart:

The [EKG]works mostly by detecting and amplifying the tiny electrical changes on the skin that are caused when the heart muscle “depolarizes” during each heart beat.

Electrocution can kill by disrupting the heart’s electrical system.

Our brains are also largely electrical systems, and EEGs measure electrical activity in our brain:

Electroencephalography (EEG) is the recording


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Phillips-Van Heusen Beats, Guides Higher

Courtesy of Benzinga

Shares of Phillips-Van Heusen (NYSE: PVH) are rising in the after-hours trade following the release of its Q1 earnings results. Currently, shares are higher by 0.86%, trading at $66.54; they closed the regular session lower by 0.92%, at $65.97.

Phillips-Van Heusen reported Q1 EPS of $1.23 on revenues of $1.37 billion; the Street was looking for $1.16 per share on revenues of $1.34 billion.

The company also issued upside guidance for Q2; it now sees Q2 EPS of $0.93-0.95 on revenues of $1.27-1.29 billion. The Street was looking for $0.91 per share on revenues of $1.19 billion.

Phillips-Van Heusen Corporation is an apparel company. The Company’s portfolio of brands includes its owned brands, Calvin Klein Collection, ck Calvin Klein, Calvin Klein, Van Heusen, IZOD, ARROW, G.H. Bass & Co., Bass and Eagle, and its licensed brands

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Positive Outlook from LDK Chief Boosts Solar Stocks and Options

www.interactivebrokers.com

Today’s tickers: LDK, BP, ASH & VIA

LDK - LDK Solar Co. Ltd. – The prospects look brighter for solar panel maker according to its president who told Taiwanese electronics website DigiTimes that the industry hit its low point in the first quarter. LDK’s chief also told the website not only to expect a second-quarter rebound but that the industry was not playing out investors’ currently pessimistic scenario. Adding fuel to a rally across shares in the renewable energy sector was confirmation from Germany that its last nuclear power station would close in 2022. One investor struck to make a bullish play on LDK by writing put options expiring in less than three weeks raking in a total premium of $145,000. The investor sold 5,000 put options for 29 cents apiece guaranteeing to take delivery of 50,000 shares at $7.00 each by June 17. Just two weeks ago LDK’s share price meaningfully breached $10.00 for the first time since September on fears for earnings across the industry. Last week they traded as low as $6.14 before today’s rally took hold and kicked them back to as high as $7.24. Currently the speculative strategy is an at-the-money investment, but by taking in the 29 cent premium the investor is effectively lowering his buy price to $6.71 and presumably is banking on June 7 earnings to help vilify his stance.

BP - BP Plc – Shares in Europe’s second-largest oil company have performed strongly in recent weeks, shrugging off a disastrous outcome with its Russian subsidiary that left it floundering without an expansion policy. Nevertheless investors have warmed to recent news of possibly less financial liability resulting from the Gulf of Mexico spillage one year ago. Shares reached the highest since May 2 on Tuesday in early going although have pared gains throughout…
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Phil's Favorites

Largest Central Banks Now Hold Over 15 Trillion in Fictitious Capital

Largest Central Banks Now Hold Over 15 Trillion in Fictitious Capital

Courtesy of Russ Winter of Winter Watch at Wall Street Examiner  

I could not help noticing that China’s imports from Japan fell 16.2pc in December. Imports from Taiwan fell 6.2pc.  The strong yen strikes again: Honda decides to build a high-performance hybrid Acura in Ohio – instead of its home nation of Japan. The firm’s continued shift in p...



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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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Zero Hedge

Debt Ceiling 101, Santelli Sounds Off

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

In an effort to reach the angry mob, CNBC's Rick Santelli goes all Sesame Street on the numbers behind the US Debt Ceiling Rise. Focusing for two minutes on what this practically means for every man, woman, child, and politician, the shouting Chicagoan points out that when the US breaches this new limit then the world's entire population will be on the hook for $2,346 each (and $52,409 per US person).

...

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Chart School

ECRI Recession Call: Growth Index Contraction Eases Further

Courtesy of Doug Short.

The Weekly Leading Index (WLI) growth indicator of the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) posted -6.5 in its latest reading, data through January 20. The latest public data point is a reduced contraction from last week's -7.6 (a slight downward revision from -7.5). This is the highest level (i.e., least negative) since early September. However, the underlying WLI declined fractionally from an adjusted 123.3 to 122.8 (see the third chart below).

Early last December Lakshman Achuthan, the Co-founder of ECRI, spoke with Tom Keene on Bloomberg Television's Surveillance Midday. You can watch the video on the ECRI website here, with bold heading Recession Update. The eight-minute video is well worth watching in its...



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Market Montage

Average Age of U.S. Vehicles Hits Record 10.8 Years

Submitted by Mark Hanna

Courtesy of MarketMontage. View original post here.

Some combination of better made cars, and less Americans able to pay new car prices has conspired to push up the average age of U.S. vehicles to a new record high.  Reflecting this sea change, one of the best investment g...



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Insider Scoop

Research in Motion Surging after Prem Watsa Stake

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Shares of battered tech company Research in Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM) are seeing much strength during Friday's trading session.

Fairfax Financial Holdings released a 13G filing with the SEC this morning, in which they disclosed a 5.12% stake in Research in Motion.

Currently, shares of Research in motion are up over 4% at $16.85. Over the last year, Research in Motion is down over 72%.

Research In Motion Limited is a designer, manufacturer and marketer of wireless solutions for the worldwide mobile communications market. RIM provides platforms and solutions for access to information, including e-mail, voice, instant messaging, short message service.

...

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Sabrient

Sabrient Risers - 1/27/2012

Top 5 RisersStockRatingAnalysisASBCBUYMany analysts are expecting higher than previously expected long term growth from Associated Bancorp, and its near-term earnings outlook is also improving.CZZSTRONGBUYThe recent earnings history for Cosan Ltd shows significant improvement while projected valuation continues to rise.STLDBUYProjected value continues to rise for Steel Dynamics while long term increases in earnings growth are also becoming more widely expected.PSESTRONGBUYAn increasingly attractive expected long term growth rate and a significantly higher projected valuation from just a fe...

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ETF Selector

Wall Street Party Hangover (SPY, DIA, QQQ, IWM, GLD)

Courtesy of John Nyaradi.

Major markets and major index ETFs corrected slightly today after the stock market’s euphoric party yesterday

Major markets suffered a slight hangover today, as the S&P 500 dropped .57%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped .18%, the NASDAQ dropped .46% and the Russell 2000 Index dropped .34%, after yesterday’s crazy Fed and Tech Sector induced Wall Street Party.  The NASDAQ, in particular, partied very hard, so hard in fact that the NASDAQ reached its 11 year record high.

The major market index ETFs were hungover too as the SPDR S&P 500 ETF lowered .51%, the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial ...



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Option Review

Big Prints In Deutsche Bank Put Options

 

Today’s tickers: DB, ATHN & LSI

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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of January 23rd, 2012

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here

Optrader 

...

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IRA Strategy/Income Trader

Weekend Virtual Portfolio Update 1/22/2012

Here is the virtual portfolio weekend update. Basically a recap of the positions and some notes about the trades. As usual, I'll post the previous week's P&L for comparison. Not the greatest of week in general! AA Money Only transaction last week as we bought back the AA Feb 9 puts on Tuesday for close to a 70% profit. The idea is to sell another set of put as soon as we get a chance. Previous week P&L - $400.00 We lost some ground this week, but we'll keep on selling premium! FAS Money We also lost some ground in this virtual portfolio, but we have sold plenty of premium for the coming week. A little correction would go a long way to help! On Wednesday we sold the FAS Feb 72 puts (already good for 50%), on Thursday we added the Jan4 78 calls and on Friday we had to roll the Jan 78 puts to the Jan 80 puts. We were hoping for these ones to expire worthless on Friday, but a late stick killed that hope. Previous week P&L - $4372.00...

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Stock World Weekly

Stock World Weekly: QE-cating

NEW: Elliott and Ilene are available to chat with Members regarding topics presented in SWW, comments are found below each post.

Here's the latest Stock World Weekly. We discuss the Fed's next move, and it's new policy for more QE-cating.  Brief review of Sabrient's trade ideas for 2012 (already doing well) and a few new buy-writes from Phil and Pharmboy. Enjoy! (Feedback appreciated - give some life to the comment section below.)

Click this link for this weekend's newsletter, and sign in or sign up.

...

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Pharmboy

Biotech Investing for 2012

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Finding new and exciting Biotech companies that target novel mechanisms is like trying to find a needle in a haystack.  Sure there are many companies working on cutting edge science, but investing in those companies to reap the rewards of their work is a very dangerous game.  More often than not, companies fail because the mechanism does not pan out, the compound(s) do not have pharmacokinetics (get into the body or last very long in the body), or an adverse event happens that knocks years off a development timeline.  In addition, the stock can be manipulated by market makers so investors don't know which way is up.  I approach investing in biotechs as a long term prospect.  I continue to like our current portfolio of biotech companies (join in chat for many of those plays), and we continually add/subtract shares and sell/buy options on ...



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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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