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Archive for June, 2011

Apollo Group Soaring On Earnings Beat

Courtesy of Benzinga

Apollo Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: APOL) shares are soaring in after-hours trading, after the company reported better than expected earnings.

The company reported third quarter earnings of $1.45 per share on $1.24 billion in revenues. Wall Street had been expecting earnings of $1.33 per share on $1.2 billion in revenues.

“During the third quarter, we continued to execute on our key initiatives to improve outcomes, enhance student protections, and elevate the educational experience throughout every touch point of the student lifecycle,” said Apollo Group Co-Chief Executive Officer and Apollo Global Chairman Greg Cappelli. “We are encouraged by the progress we are making in improving retention rates and continuing to shift the mix of our students toward higher degree level programs.”

Apollo Group Co-Chief Executive Officer Chas Edelstein added, “We are committed to differentiating the University of Phoenix by focusing on academic quality and delivering a world class student experience. Our actions, over time, are intended to elevate the brand and reputation of our institutions, improve student outcomes, reduce enterprise risk, and position us for stable, long-term growth.”

The Company offers the following commentary regarding the outlook for fiscal 2011 and fiscal 2012 based on the business trends observed during the third quarter of fiscal 2011, as well as management’s current expectations of future trends, which could change.

For all of 2011, Apollo Group said it sees revenues of $4.65 to $4.75 billion and operating income of $1.15 to $1.20 billion.

For 2012, the company said it sees revenues of $4 to $4.25 billion and operating income of $675 to $800 million.

At last check, shares of Apollo Group were up $1.83 in extended hours to $45.51?, a gain of 4.19%?.







CNO Financial Buys Back 2.2M Shares for $16.2M

Courtesy of Benzinga

CNO Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE: CNO) today announced that during the second quarter of 2011 it repurchased 2,206,648 shares of its common stock for an aggregate purchase price of $16.2 million under the share repurchase program announced on May 16, 2011. The shares were repurchased at an average cost of $7.35 per share, and represented 0.9% of the total outstanding shares as of March 31, 2011.




Montpelier Reports Initial Loss Estimate of $35M from Second Quarter Storms

Courtesy of Benzinga

Montpelier Re Holdings Ltd. (NYSE: MRH) today announced a preliminary estimate of losses from the severe flood, hail, tornado and wind events that occurred in the United States during the second quarter of 2011.

Montpelier estimates its pretax net loss from these weather events to be $35 million, which is net of reinsurance recoveries and reinstatement premiums.

In view of the uncertainties associated with this preliminary estimate, Montpelier’s actual losses may differ, perhaps significantly, from this estimate.

In addition, Montpelier does not currently expect to incur any losses from the June 2011 New Zealand earthquake and does not currently anticipate any material development to its reported net loss reserves associated with the first quarter 2011 international catastrophe events, which include the Japan and New Zealand Earthquakes and the Australian floods and cyclone.




Tim Geithner: Welcome To The Unemployment Line

Courtesy of Tyler Durden

The last rat is preparing to jump from the SS Obamic

GEITHNER SAID TO CONSIDER LEAVING TREASURY AFTER BUDGET DEAL

Explains why the market just ripped.

In the meantime, a cubicle at 270 Park is being prepared.

From Bloomberg:

Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner has signaled to White House officials that he’s considering leaving the administration after President Barack Obama reaches an agreement with Congress to raise the national debt limit, according to three people familiar with the matter.

Geithner hasn’t made a final decision and won’t do so until the debt ceiling issue has been resolved, according to one of the people. All spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss private discussions.

The Treasury secretary has said the U.S. risks defaulting on its obligations if Congress doesn’t raise the $14.3 trillion debt ceiling by Aug. 2. The administration and congressional Republicans are at an impasse in negotiations to raise the limit, which also is tied to efforts to cut the nation’s long- term deficit.

An exit by Geithner would complete the turnover in Obama’s original economic team, with Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Austan Goolsbee scheduled to leave in early August to return to the University of Chicago.

That would leave Obama with two key posts to fill as Republicans are seeking to turn the 2012 election into a referendum on Obama’s handling of the economy and the recovery is slowing. The unemployment rate rose to 9.1 percent in May, according to the Labor Department, and the U.S. economy grew at a 1.9 percent pace in the first quarter, according to Commerce Department figures released June 24.

Geithner, 49, has told associates that he needs a break from government service after dealing with the turmoil that followed the collapse of Wall Street firms including Bear Stearns Cos. and Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., first as president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and then as Obama’s treasury secretary.

Family considerations also are playing a role in Geithner’s deliberations, according to the people. His son has decided to finish his final year of high school in New York.

If Geithner does leave the administration, Obama would be losing a member of his economic team who understands Washington institutions and the New York banking world as well the intricacies of the Chinese economy. Geithner has pressed the Chinese to let their currency…
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The U.S. Is A Kleptocracy, Too

Courtesy of Tyler Durden

Submitted by Charles Hugh Smith from Of Two Minds

The U.S. Is A Kleptocracy, Too  

If we dare look at the plain facts of the matter, we have to conclude the U.S. is a kleptocracy not unlike Greece, only on a larger and slightly more sophisticated scale.

Yesterday, I noted that Greece Is a Kleptocracy; the U.S. is a kleptocracy, too. Before you object with a florid speech about the Bill of Rights and free enterprise, please consider the following evidence that the U.S. is now a kleptocracy worthy of comparison to Greece:

1. Neither party has any interest in limiting the banking/financial cartel. The original Glass-Steagal bill partitioning investment banking from commercial banking was a few pages long, and it was passed in a few days. Our present political oligrachy spends months passing thousands of pages of complex legislation that accomplishes essentially nothing.

As Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City President Thomas Hoenig recently noted (in a rare admission by an insider--I wonder how long it will be before he "resigns to pursue other opportunities," i.e. is muzzled):

The problem with SIFIs ("systemically important financial institutions," a.k.a. too big to fail banks) is they are fundamentally inconsistent with capitalism. They are inherently destabilizing to global markets and detrimental to world growth. So long as the concept of a SIFI exists, and there are institutions so powerful and considered so important that they require special support and different rules, the future of capitalism is at risk and our market economy is in peril.

Do you really think Dodd-Frank and all the other "fooled by complexity" legislation has accomplished anything? Hoenig cuts that fantasy off at the knees:

As late as 1980, the U.S. banking industry was relatively unconcentrated, with 14,000 commercial banks and the assets of the five largest amounting to 29 percent of total banking organization assets and 14 percent of GDP.

Today, we have a far more concentrated and less competitive banking system. There are fewer banks operating across the country, and the five largest institutions control more than half of the industry’s assets, which is equal to almost 60 percent of GDP. The largest 20 institutions control 80 percent of the industry’s assets, which amounts to about 86 percent of GDP.

In other words, nothing has really changed from 2008 except the domination of
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Alanco Technologies Dips on Negative Story

Courtesy of Benzinga

@markflowchatter tweets that a negative story about Alanco Technologies (NASDAQ: ALAN) is now circulating. Further links are available at the above link.





 

Chart School

Weekly Unemployment Claims: Jogging in Place

Courtesy of Doug Short.

The Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report was released this morning for last week. The 370,000 new claims is a slight decline from last week's upward revision of 2,000 for the previous week -- which was originally reported, same as today, at 370,000. The less volatile and closely watched four-week moving average also came in at 370,000. Here is the official statement from the Department of Labor:

In the week ending May 19, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 370,000, a decrease of 2,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 372,000. The 4-week moving average was 370,000, a decrease of 5,500 from the previous week's revised average of 375,500.

The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 2.6 percent for the week end...

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Zero Hedge

Euro Spikes On JPM Prediction Of 1-Year LTRO, ECB Rate Cut

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Wondering what caused the sudden spike in the EUR? Wonder no more, for JPM's Greg Fuzesi merely put into words what everyone else had been speculating since this morning, namely more easing coming from the ECB. To wit: "We suspect the ECB's first response will be in terms of new liquidity measures. The committment to supply unlimited liquidity at the regular refis (1-week, 1-month and 3-month) expires in mid-July and an extension of this should b...



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Insider Scoop

Kinder Morgan Announces Warrant Repurchase Program

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Kinder Morgan, Inc. (NYSE: KMI) announced that its Board of Directors has approved a warrant purchase program, authorizing Kinder Morgan to repurchase in the aggregate up to $250 million of its warrants to purchase shares of Kinder Morgan Class P common stock, which are currently trading on the New York Stock Exchange on a when issued basis. Repurchases may be made by Kinder Morgan from time to time in open-market or privately-negotiated transactions as permitted by securities laws and other legal requirements, and subject to market conditions and other factors.

Under the repurchase program, there is no time limit for warrant repurchases, nor is there a minimum number of warrants that Kinder Morgan intends to repurchase. The repurchase program may be suspended or discontinued at any time without...



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Sabrient

Sector Detector: New “Grecian Formula” is making us all gray

Courtesy of Scott Martindale, Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics

Despite the fact that U.S. equities are well-positioned and well-supported to go up, once again it is the headlines out of Europe—especially Greece—that are scaring off investors. Some are saying that it is now likely (and even desirable) that Greece will default on all its sovereign debt, withdraw from the euro, and severely devalue its domestic currency (Drachma?). This will allow them to operate a balanced budget while pumping cash into growth initiatives, rather than suffer the ravages of Germany-mandated austerity.

Some say, so what? Greece makes up only about 2% of the Eurozone’s overall economy. Nevertheless, you might say that this new “Grecian Formula” is creating the opposite effect to the men’s hair product, i.e.., rather than losing the gray we are al...



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Phil's Favorites

Rumors and Denials of Rumors

Courtesy of Russ Winter of Winter Watch at Wall Street Examiner

The market rallied higher once again on more rumors (some kind of unworkable bank deposit scheme: what Europe’s loan-deposit ratios look like), and denials of yesterday’s rumors (L-Pap now says Greece to say in EU, blah, blah).  The second chart shows what’s involved with PIIGS banking deposits.  Using hook theory,  trading rumors is the modus operandi, and not just plain rumors; but rather, inside-job rumors.  It’s only a matter of time before this market collapses, but one has to slough through the rigged foul stench along the way. Fund managers scramble all over themselves to load up on “safe” German Bunds and US Treasuries [...



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ETF Selector

Markets Die Then Flatten…Again (SPY, DIA, QQQ, IWM, FB)

Courtesy of John Nyaradi.

Markets died and then rallied to flat again as European leaders “prepared contingencies” for a possible Grexit

Markets died hard and fast earlier today as major indexes registered as much as 1.5% of losses after news that Euro zone officials were unofficially “preparing contingencies” for a Greek exit from the Euro.  Unofficial statements were not enough to keep markets down however, as major indexes rallied back to flat levels by the end of the day.

So the world continues to wait on Europe, as the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEACA:SPY) gained .05%, the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSEARCA:...



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Option Review

AT&T Weekly Puts In Play

 

Today’s tickers: T, FXE & OI

T - AT&T, Inc. – U.S. equities are on the decline as Europe’s woes once again take center stage. Shares in AT&T, down 0.90% at $33.24 this afternoon, are faring better than most of the other Dow components so far, though options activity on the wireless carrier suggests some strategists are bracing for further declines ahead of the long w...



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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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Market Montage

Market Reverses on (wait for it) Greek Headline

Submitted by Mark Hanna

Courtesy of MarketMontage. View original post here.

The market remains a mess right now as we are back to the environment of latter 2011 and middle 2010 where random comments from officials across the Atlantic move everything en masse.   Today the market was hit by word that preparations for Greece's exit from the EU are being considered.

Of course a denial by another official would send the market up 1% immediately.  Rinse, wash, repeat – year #3.

The bigger picture right now is all stocks are moving as one asset class as our massive correlations return.  Until that changes it is very difficult to bother to be a stock picker.

Di...

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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of May 21st, 2012

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here

Optrader 

...

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Stock World Weekly

Stock World Weekly: Test Issue

NEW: Ilene is available to chat with Members regarding topics presented in SWW, comments are found below each post.

Here is this week's test version of the latest newsletter. We apologize for some formatting issues that need to be worked out. Please tell us what you think. 

Click on Stock World Weekly here, and sign in/sign up.

...

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Pharmboy

Big Pharma - Where Are We Now?

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

In this article, please revisit an article written two years ago titled, "The Calm Before the Storm."  This article focused on the patent cliff that was looming in the pharmaceutical industry, that was later picked up by the New York Times and several other bloggers!  Subsequent articles were written about big pharma company's revenue streams, and the pros and cons of of their later stage pipelines.  Other articles have also attempted to identify smaller biotechs with the potential to reap big reward...



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IRA Strategy/Income Trader

Weekend Virtual Portfolio Update 2/26/2012

My last weekend update is dated from January 30 so after a long hiatus, here is an update of our virtual portfolio. Since the last update, we have closed the AA Money portfolio due to a lack of enthusiasm (and activity) and I have stopped tracking the FAS strangle as the low VIX makes it hard to get rewarded for the risk! But we have added a small $5KP virtual portfolio which does not use any margin. FAS Money We have had to recover from a big move up by FAS and a low VIX which keeps option prices low. But the portfolio has gaine about 10% since the last update. Last update P&L - $5499.00 IWM Money Not a lot of activity in this portfolio where the main focus is on the large IWM BCS. But the portfolio has grown over 20% since the last update. Last update P&L - $1998.00 $5KP Portfolio This is the virtual portfolio that replaced the AA Money portfolio. It does not use margin and we will keep holdings under $5K. AAPL $50K P...

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Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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