Guest View
User: Pass: | become a member
Archive for June, 2011

Darden Restaurants Earnings Preview

Courtesy of Benzinga

Darden Restaurants, which operates Olive Garden and Red Lobster chains among others, is set to report its quarterly earnings results after the closing bell on Thursday. Wall Street analysts are estimating that the company will report earnings per share of $1.00 compared to $0.81 in the year ago period. The low EPS estimate of the Street is $0.98 with a high estimate of $1.05. Twenty-eight sell-side analysts cover the name.

Revenues are expected to be $1.99 billion versus $1.88 billion in last year’s corresponding quarter. This implies a 6.20% year over year sales growth estimate. The low revenue estimate for the company is $1.94 billion with a high estimate of $2.02 billion.

Consensus earnings estimates have been holding steady at $1.00 over the last 3 months, indicating that analysts are fairly neutral on the stock going into today’s earnings release. DRI shares have risen 2.45% over the last 3 months and are up almost 28% in the last year. Going into the earnings print, DRI has added 1.26% during Thursday’s trading session.




Radiation Detected In Fukushima Children Urine Samples As Fort Calhoun Orders 10 Mile Evacuation Radius

Courtesy of Tyler Durden

The Fed may have stopped printing money, but that does not prevent Fukushima from printing radiation, and a flooded Fort Calhoun to print notices of “all’s well” even as a 10 mile evacuation zone has been established. Per Ex-SKF, quoting the Sankei Shinbun: “A citizens’ group in Fukushima Prefecture “Fukushima Network to Protect Children from Radiation” tested the urine samples from 10 children in Fukushima City, age 6 to 16, and announced on June 30 that a small amount of radioactive materials was detected from all samples. The highest amount of cesium-134 was from an 8-year-old girl, at 1.13 becquerels per liter. The highest amount of cesium-137 was from a 7-year-old boy, at 1.30 becquerels per liter. The samples were taken in late May, and sent to the French laboratory ACRO (Association pour le Contrôle de la Radioactivité dans l’Ouest) to testing for radiation. ACRO has experience in surveying the radiation exposure in children after the Chernobyl accident. ACRO’s president David Boilley said in the press conference, “There is a very high possibility that children in and around Fukushima City have been exposed to internal radiation. Prior to the [Fukushima] accident, these numbers would have been zero.” Nothing to see here. Just as there is nothing see in Nebraska, where the NRUC said there is nothing to worry about… despite the imposition of a 10 mile evacuation radius. As a reminder Fukushima has a roughly 18 mile evacuation radius zone.

Fast forward 45 seconds into the ABC news clip for the evacuation news:

h/t DailyPaul

 




Earnings Preview: Xyratex

Courtesy of Benzinga

Xyratex (NASDAQ: XRTX) is set to report earnings after the bell today.

At last check, shares were up $0.43 to $10.15, a gain of nearly 4.5% as traders await earnings.

Wall Street is looking for quarterly earnings of $0.00 per share on $339.5 million in revenues. This is up from last year, when the company reported earnings of $1.49 per share on $455.9 million in revenues. Guidance for next quarter is expected to come in at 21 cents per share on $349.8 million in revenues. Analysts are expecting earnings for the current fiscal year to be 94 cents per share with revenue estimates being $1.43 billion.

Xyratex provides modular enterprise-class data storage solutions and storage process technology. The company designs, develops, and manufactures enabling technology that supports storage and data communication networks. It operates in two segments, Networked Storage Solutions and Storage Infrastructure.





Allegheny Technologies Operations and USW Reach Tentative Labor Agreements

Courtesy of Benzinga

Allegheny Technologies Incorporated (NYSE: ATI) today announced that the United Steelworkers (USW) and ATI Allegheny Ludlum and ATI’s Albany, OR titanium operations have reached tentative four-year agreements covering approximately 3,000 employees. If ratified, the agreements will expire on June 30, 2015. The USW has informed the Company that employees covered by the collective bargaining agreements will soon be notified of the ratification process. The existing contracts have been extended and are effective through August 1, 2011.




Risk Spread Compression Time

Courtesy of Tyler Durden

It’s that time of the day when Brian Sack is holding the ES flat or rising even as his increasingly depleted arsenal to push other risk assets higher causes the RISK basket to decline. The latest: the ES-RISK (commodities, FX carry and rates) spread has just blown out to a 7 ES point equivalent. In the past 2 months the divergence has not failed to close upon emergence within 48 hours. Those with discount window access and wishing to take on the Fed in this relatively low risk pair trade, now that the Fed is about to step out of overt market manipulation (and just be stuck the covert one… and with the fiber optic cable to 131 South Dearborn Street) are as usual advised to take a long, hard look at a compression trade at these levels.




Anyone notice what Grains are doing today?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

The “Power of the Pattern” suggested a two-thirds odds that Grain prices would decline.

Anyone notice that the July Corn contract is down over 10% today and the July Wheat futures are down over 8%.  

The quiz of June 16th was titled “wow what an opportunity” due to the huge rising wedges  (See post here)  AGA is doing pretty well since the quiz! 

Remember that when grain prices started falling hard in 2008…so did stocks  (see post here)




Hearing CRH Upgraded to Buy from Hold at Tier-1 Firm

Courtesy of Benzinga

Beleaguered investment bank Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) is likely going to lay off around 230 employees according to the Wall Street Journal. The Wall Street house cited economic reasons for the move. In a notice dated June 29, Goldman said a “plant layoff” may affect those employees between late September and March 2012.

Under state law, according to the New York Department of Labor website, businesses in the state that have 50 or more employees are required to provide 90 days notice before a “plant closing, mass layoff, relocation, or other covered reduction in work hours.”

The likely reason for the layoffs is a slowdown in Wall Street trading, which has been ongoing. According to the Journal article, equities volumes have been contracting over recent weeks and other banks such as Barclays (NYSE: BCS) and Credit Suisse (NYSE: CS) are also reducing headcounts. There have also been recent rumors swirling about big losses in Goldman’s commodities unit last quarter, when the price of crude oil, silver, and other commodities plunged.




Ebix Announces Increase to Share Buy Back Program

Courtesy of Benzinga

Ebix, Inc. (NASDAQ: EBIX) today announced that its Board of Directors has unanimously approved an increase to the Company’s share repurchase program from $45 million to $100 million. The Board also authorized the Company to possibly complete these share repurchases over the next twelve months, and that they be funded by the Company’s operating cash flows. The Board made the determination to increase the share buy back plan limit after reviewing Ebix’s consistent cash flows.

The Company also reported that since January 1, 2011 and thru June 29, 2011 that it has bought back 1.31 million shares of common stock for aggregate consideration in the amount of $26.2 million and at an overall average of $20.02 per share. All share repurchases were and continue to be done in accordance with Rule 10b-18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 as to the timing, pricing, and volume of such transactions.




OMG! Obama Talks Debt With One Side of His Mouth, Stimulus With the Other

Courtesy of Jr. Deputy Accountant 

Quick poll: any JDA readers actually surprised to find this out?

The result in Google News reads Amid debt talks, Obama calls for stimuluswhile the actual article reads Obama call for stimulus may complicate debt talks. Whatever they want to call it, Reuters has the latest:

U.S. President Barack Obama called on Wednesday for new steps to spur job growth and tax hikes on the rich, hardening a stance that will likely complicate deficit reduction talks with Republicans.

Obama’s call came as the International Monetary Fund and the Treasury Department urged Washington to reach a budget deal that would pave the way for Congress to raise the United States’ $14.3 trillion borrowing limit by August 2.

Failure to increase the debt ceiling, which caps how much the United States can borrow, would likely trigger a default that could plunge the United States into a new recession and roil global financial markets, the Obama administration and economists warn.

Oh dear. 

Obama then used his young daughters as an example for how Congress can get things done.

Since deficit-reduction talks collapsed last week, Republicans and Democrats have made no progress on a deal to allow Congress to extend the government’s borrowing authority.

But Obama, invoking the example of his daughters Sasha and Malia, told Congress to do its job: "They don’t wait until the night before. They’re not pulling all-nighters. They’re — they’re 13 and 10. You know, Congress can do the same thing."

WHAT? Congress and pre-teen girls are the same thing?

Then again, this is the same man who has no idea what the Fed actually does (besides printing up his economic "recovery"). So, you know, don’t be all that surprised. 




 

Phil's Favorites

Largest Central Banks Now Hold Over 15 Trillion in Fictitious Capital

Largest Central Banks Now Hold Over 15 Trillion in Fictitious Capital

Courtesy of Russ Winter of Winter Watch at Wall Street Examiner  

I could not help noticing that China’s imports from Japan fell 16.2pc in December. Imports from Taiwan fell 6.2pc.  The strong yen strikes again: Honda decides to build a high-performance hybrid Acura in Ohio – instead of its home nation of Japan. The firm’s continued shift in p...



more from Ilene

All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

more from David

Zero Hedge

Debt Ceiling 101, Santelli Sounds Off

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

In an effort to reach the angry mob, CNBC's Rick Santelli goes all Sesame Street on the numbers behind the US Debt Ceiling Rise. Focusing for two minutes on what this practically means for every man, woman, child, and politician, the shouting Chicagoan points out that when the US breaches this new limit then the world's entire population will be on the hook for $2,346 each (and $52,409 per US person).

...

more from Tyler

Chart School

ECRI Recession Call: Growth Index Contraction Eases Further

Courtesy of Doug Short.

The Weekly Leading Index (WLI) growth indicator of the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) posted -6.5 in its latest reading, data through January 20. The latest public data point is a reduced contraction from last week's -7.6 (a slight downward revision from -7.5). This is the highest level (i.e., least negative) since early September. However, the underlying WLI declined fractionally from an adjusted 123.3 to 122.8 (see the third chart below).

Early last December Lakshman Achuthan, the Co-founder of ECRI, spoke with Tom Keene on Bloomberg Television's Surveillance Midday. You can watch the video on the ECRI website here, with bold heading Recession Update. The eight-minute video is well worth watching in its...



more from Chart School

Market Montage

Average Age of U.S. Vehicles Hits Record 10.8 Years

Submitted by Mark Hanna

Courtesy of MarketMontage. View original post here.

Some combination of better made cars, and less Americans able to pay new car prices has conspired to push up the average age of U.S. vehicles to a new record high.  Reflecting this sea change, one of the best investment g...



more from Mark

Insider Scoop

Research in Motion Surging after Prem Watsa Stake

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Shares of battered tech company Research in Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM) are seeing much strength during Friday's trading session.

Fairfax Financial Holdings released a 13G filing with the SEC this morning, in which they disclosed a 5.12% stake in Research in Motion.

Currently, shares of Research in motion are up over 4% at $16.85. Over the last year, Research in Motion is down over 72%.

Research In Motion Limited is a designer, manufacturer and marketer of wireless solutions for the worldwide mobile communications market. RIM provides platforms and solutions for access to information, including e-mail, voice, instant messaging, short message service.

...

http://www.insidercow.com/ more from Insider

Sabrient

Sabrient Risers - 1/27/2012

Top 5 RisersStockRatingAnalysisASBCBUYMany analysts are expecting higher than previously expected long term growth from Associated Bancorp, and its near-term earnings outlook is also improving.CZZSTRONGBUYThe recent earnings history for Cosan Ltd shows significant improvement while projected valuation continues to rise.STLDBUYProjected value continues to rise for Steel Dynamics while long term increases in earnings growth are also becoming more widely expected.PSESTRONGBUYAn increasingly attractive expected long term growth rate and a significantly higher projected valuation from just a fe...

more from Sabrient

ETF Selector

Wall Street Party Hangover (SPY, DIA, QQQ, IWM, GLD)

Courtesy of John Nyaradi.

Major markets and major index ETFs corrected slightly today after the stock market’s euphoric party yesterday

Major markets suffered a slight hangover today, as the S&P 500 dropped .57%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped .18%, the NASDAQ dropped .46% and the Russell 2000 Index dropped .34%, after yesterday’s crazy Fed and Tech Sector induced Wall Street Party.  The NASDAQ, in particular, partied very hard, so hard in fact that the NASDAQ reached its 11 year record high.

The major market index ETFs were hungover too as the SPDR S&P 500 ETF lowered .51%, the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial ...



more from John

Option Review

Big Prints In Deutsche Bank Put Options

 

Today’s tickers: DB, ATHN & LSI

...



more from Caitlin

OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of January 23rd, 2012

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here

Optrader 

...

more from OpTrader

IRA Strategy/Income Trader

Weekend Virtual Portfolio Update 1/22/2012

Here is the virtual portfolio weekend update. Basically a recap of the positions and some notes about the trades. As usual, I'll post the previous week's P&L for comparison. Not the greatest of week in general! AA Money Only transaction last week as we bought back the AA Feb 9 puts on Tuesday for close to a 70% profit. The idea is to sell another set of put as soon as we get a chance. Previous week P&L - $400.00 We lost some ground this week, but we'll keep on selling premium! FAS Money We also lost some ground in this virtual portfolio, but we have sold plenty of premium for the coming week. A little correction would go a long way to help! On Wednesday we sold the FAS Feb 72 puts (already good for 50%), on Thursday we added the Jan4 78 calls and on Friday we had to roll the Jan 78 puts to the Jan 80 puts. We were hoping for these ones to expire worthless on Friday, but a late stick killed that hope. Previous week P&L - $4372.00...

more from Strategies

Stock World Weekly

Stock World Weekly: QE-cating

NEW: Elliott and Ilene are available to chat with Members regarding topics presented in SWW, comments are found below each post.

Here's the latest Stock World Weekly. We discuss the Fed's next move, and it's new policy for more QE-cating.  Brief review of Sabrient's trade ideas for 2012 (already doing well) and a few new buy-writes from Phil and Pharmboy. Enjoy! (Feedback appreciated - give some life to the comment section below.)

Click this link for this weekend's newsletter, and sign in or sign up.

...

more from SWW

Pharmboy

Biotech Investing for 2012

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Finding new and exciting Biotech companies that target novel mechanisms is like trying to find a needle in a haystack.  Sure there are many companies working on cutting edge science, but investing in those companies to reap the rewards of their work is a very dangerous game.  More often than not, companies fail because the mechanism does not pan out, the compound(s) do not have pharmacokinetics (get into the body or last very long in the body), or an adverse event happens that knocks years off a development timeline.  In addition, the stock can be manipulated by market makers so investors don't know which way is up.  I approach investing in biotechs as a long term prospect.  I continue to like our current portfolio of biotech companies (join in chat for many of those plays), and we continually add/subtract shares and sell/buy options on ...



more from Pharmboy



As Seen On:




About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

Learn more About Phil >>

About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the Favorites backup site (blogroll, archives, more). Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

Favorites Site >>