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Archive for August, 2011

Greif Plummets on Q3 Earnings Results

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Shares of Greif (NYSE: GEF) are trading lower in the after-hours following the release of the company’s Q3 earnings results. Currently, shares are lower by 8.70%, trading at $51.00; they ended the regular session higher by 1.69%, at $55.86.

Greif reported Q3 EPS of $1.18 on revenues of $1.12 billion; the Street was looking for $1.33 per share on revenues of $1.11 billion. Revenues increased 21.8% year over year.

The company lowered FY2011 EPS guidance to $4.15-4.30, from $4.50-4.75.

Michael J. Gasser, chairman and chief executive officer, said, “Our strong growth in net sales for the quarter benefited from acquisitions during the last 12 months, higher selling prices and the positive impact of foreign currency translation. Product demand for the Rigid Industrial Packaging & Services segment in North America and Western Europe was lower than anticipated during the final three weeks of the quarter.”

“There has been some recovery in demand based on August orders and shipments, on a seasonally adjusted basis, but at a lower level than earlier in the year. We are implementing actions to mitigate the financial impact of these developments.”

Greif, Inc. is a producer of industrial packaging products and services with manufacturing facilities located in over 50 countries. The company offers a line of industrial packaging products, such as steel, fiber and plastic drums, rigid intermediate bulk containers, closure systems for industrial packaging products, transit protection products, water bottles and reconditioned containers, and services such as container lifecycle management, blending, filling and other packaging services, logistics and warehousing.




Is It Time For The Financial World To Panic? 25 Reasons Why The Answer May Be Yes

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Every now and then it is easy to forget that the one or two “better than expected” data points blasted by flashing headlines do nothing that merely mask what is an otherwise quite deplorable and deteriorating reality. For the disconnect between America and the rest of the world look no further than this chart showing the dramatic divergence between the DJIA, which has just gone positive for the year, and every other major global stock market. Yet for those who require a narrative to go with their numbers, here is The Economic Collapse with the latest of their traditionally comprehensive bulletins, this time summarizing the “25 signs that the financial world is about to hit the big red panic button.”

From The Economic Collapse:

The following are 25 signs that the financial world is about to hit the big red panic button….

 

#1 According to a new study just released by Merrill Lynch, the U.S. economy has an 80% chance of going into another recession.

 

#2 Will Bank of America be the next Lehman Brothers?  Shares of Bank of America have fallen more than 40% over the past couple of months.  Even though Warren Buffet recently stepped in with 5 billion dollars, the reality is that the problems for Bank of America are far from over.  In fact, one analyst is projecting that Bank of America is going to need to raise 40 or 50 billion dollars in new capital.

 

#3 European bank stocks have gotten absolutely hammered in recent weeks.

 

#4 So far, major international banks have announced layoffs of more than 60,000 workers, and more layoff announcements are expected this fall.  A recent article in the New York Times detailed some of the carnage….

A new wave of layoffs is emblematic of this shift as nearly every major bank undertakes a cost-cutting initiative, some with names like Project Compass. UBS has announced 3,500 layoffs, 5 percent of its staff, and Citigroup is quietly cutting dozens of traders. Bank of America could cut as many as 10,000 jobs, or


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S&P 500 Snapshot: Up 0.49% for the Day, Down 5.68% for the Month

Courtesy of Doug Short.

The S&P 500 closed up 0.49% after slipping briefly into the red during the last ninety minutes of trading. August 2011 is now on the books as the worst S&P 500 monthly performance since May 2010. The index is in the red year-to-date at -3.08%, which is 10.61% below the interim high set on April 29.

From an intermediate perspective, the index is 80.2% above the March 2009 closing low and 22.1% below the nominal all-time high of October 2007.

Below are two charts of the index, with and without the 50 and 200-day moving averages.


 

Click to View
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For a better sense of how these declines figure into a larger historical context, here’s a long-term view of secular bull and bear markets in the S&P Composite since 1871.

For a bit of international flavor, here’s a chart series that includes an overlay of the S&P 500, the Dow Crash of 1929 and Great Depression, and the so-called L-shaped “recovery” of the Nikkei 225. I update these weekly.

These charts are not intended as a forecast but rather as a way to study the current market in relation to historic market cycles.

 

 

 

 




Patent Consultant David Martin Says Google Buying ‘Crap Patents’ in Motorola Mobility Deal

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Martin, founder and chairman of patent consulting firm M-Cam, speaking on Bloomberg said that Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) made “an immense mistake” buying Motorola Mobility (NYSE: MMI).

“First of all, what they bought is crap. Motorola sold off its good assets. Back in the day they sold off their MPEG patents to GE in a securitization deal, after that they took a bunch of the Freescale patents and sold those.”

Martin Says Google may actually have increased its liability buying these patents. “Google thought through the present, but actually didn’t do its homework on the past. The target they’ve painted on themselves is immense.”




Southcross Energy Purchases Enterprise Alabama Intrastate

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Southcross Energy today announced that the company has purchased Enterprise Alabama Intrastate, LLC, a subsidiary of Enterprise Products Partners L.P. (NYSE: EPD). EAI’s assets consist of approximately 388 miles of natural gas pipelines and 21,545 horsepower of compression in northwest and central Alabama. Throughput on the pipeline system averages approximately 108 million cubic feet of natural gas per day.




QE3 Levitation Day 3… Brings the DJIA To Positive For The Year, In Comic Contrast With The Rest Of The World

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

And so it continues, as it was outlined yesterday, and the day before. There is little to add here: 50 ES points in three days on substantially below average volume (red area chart), robots gunning for VWAP, and nothing but hollow expectations for QE3 despite the clear quandary for the Fed that absent a clear deflationary threat, read a plunge in stocks, it will be very difficult for Bernanke to sell easing to the dissenting votes. The important thing: unlike every other relevant market in the world (Belarus may be a notable exception), the DJIA is now green for the year. In the meantime bonds continue to ignore the whole move in stocks. Of course, if this is just a career protection rally for the end of the month, the reconnection of stocks with gravity tomorrow will be painful. Alternatively, gravity will be even more painful if the Fed does end up disappointing on September 21, which it may have no choice but to do if stocks price all of it in by then.

And an even more amusing relative volume chart: the entire 100 point ES move since the lows has been on below average volume.

Stock hope vs Bond reality:

And here, once again, is why America is number one… in market manipulation.




Bernie Madoff Responds To Charlie Gasparino’s Fox Business Network Story

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Convicted Ponzi scheme architect Bernie Madoff responded to FOX Business Network’s Charlie Gasparino’s story which pointed out the lies that Madoff continues to spin from his prison cell. Madoff’s response came via “lengthy and somewhat rambling emails,” in which he not only refuted Gasparino’s story, but called Gasparino a “typical hatchet job reporter rather than someone (he) truly respected in the past.” Madoff maintains that Harvard Business School “is building an Entrepreneur course” around his career and he has received over “one hundred requests worldwide” for media interviews from his prison cell. Excerpts from the report are below, courtesy of Fox Business Network.

On Bernie Madoff’s response to Charlie Gasparino challenging the veracity of his claims:

“The guy who wronged so many people now says he was wronged by me. What has Madoff so peeved, according to a couple of lengthy and somewhat rambling emails he sent me yesterday, is that I somehow doubted much of what he told me during nearly two months of telephone and email chats, and by doing so I’ve become a ‘typical hatchet job reporter rather than someone (he) truly respected in the past.’”

On Madoff’s defense to his relationship with the Harvard Business School:

“Some of the things Madoff takes issue with include my reporting on his alleged relationship with the Harvard Business School. Madoff wrote me in one of our first emails that he ‘is building an Entrepreneur course’ around his role in creating the largest electronic market on Wall Street. I reported that Harvard denied any and all involvement with Madoff, but Madoff is undeterred in his quest to show he has a relationship with the school. In his latest emails, he says my initial FBN story was sent to him by the actual ‘Harvard Business School Professor I have been working with,’ and that he has received from this unnamed professor a ‘letter and numerous e-mails concerning Harvard Business School’s professor’s course project with me.’”

On what media outlets have requested interviews with Madoff:

“‘As for your comments about my use of the media to somehow feed my ego,’ Madoff writes, ‘Of the more than one hundred requests I have received worldwide, I have only granted three interviews; two for books and…
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GTSI Authorizes $5M Share Repurchase Program

Courtesy of Benzinga.

GTSI (NASDAQ: GTSI) announced today that its Board of Directors has authorized a share repurchase program pursuant to Rules 10b5-1 and 10(b)-18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 permitting the Company to repurchase up to $5,000,000 in shares of the Company’s common stock.

This program is effective immediately and the common stock may be repurchased from time to time in open market transactions or privately negotiated transactions in the Company’s discretion. The timing and amount of shares repurchased will be determined by the Company’s management based on its evaluation of market conditions and other factors. The repurchase program may be increased, suspended or discontinued at any time.




Remember The 15 Sigma Surge In Greek Financial Stocks This Week? Here Is An Update

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Remember the 15 sigma move (yes, the move was 15 standard deviations) in Greek financial stocks on the failed attempt by the country to create its very own TBTBF bank with some Petrodollar support? Here is a quick update of how that ended up.

And a longer-term perspective.




 

Phil's Favorites

Largest Central Banks Now Hold Over 15 Trillion in Fictitious Capital

Largest Central Banks Now Hold Over 15 Trillion in Fictitious Capital

Courtesy of Russ Winter of Winter Watch at Wall Street Examiner  

I could not help noticing that China’s imports from Japan fell 16.2pc in December. Imports from Taiwan fell 6.2pc.  The strong yen strikes again: Honda decides to build a high-performance hybrid Acura in Ohio – instead of its home nation of Japan. The firm’s continued shift in p...



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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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Zero Hedge

Debt Ceiling 101, Santelli Sounds Off

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

In an effort to reach the angry mob, CNBC's Rick Santelli goes all Sesame Street on the numbers behind the US Debt Ceiling Rise. Focusing for two minutes on what this practically means for every man, woman, child, and politician, the shouting Chicagoan points out that when the US breaches this new limit then the world's entire population will be on the hook for $2,346 each (and $52,409 per US person).

...

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Chart School

ECRI Recession Call: Growth Index Contraction Eases Further

Courtesy of Doug Short.

The Weekly Leading Index (WLI) growth indicator of the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) posted -6.5 in its latest reading, data through January 20. The latest public data point is a reduced contraction from last week's -7.6 (a slight downward revision from -7.5). This is the highest level (i.e., least negative) since early September. However, the underlying WLI declined fractionally from an adjusted 123.3 to 122.8 (see the third chart below).

Early last December Lakshman Achuthan, the Co-founder of ECRI, spoke with Tom Keene on Bloomberg Television's Surveillance Midday. You can watch the video on the ECRI website here, with bold heading Recession Update. The eight-minute video is well worth watching in its...



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Market Montage

Average Age of U.S. Vehicles Hits Record 10.8 Years

Submitted by Mark Hanna

Courtesy of MarketMontage. View original post here.

Some combination of better made cars, and less Americans able to pay new car prices has conspired to push up the average age of U.S. vehicles to a new record high.  Reflecting this sea change, one of the best investment g...



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Insider Scoop

Research in Motion Surging after Prem Watsa Stake

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Shares of battered tech company Research in Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM) are seeing much strength during Friday's trading session.

Fairfax Financial Holdings released a 13G filing with the SEC this morning, in which they disclosed a 5.12% stake in Research in Motion.

Currently, shares of Research in motion are up over 4% at $16.85. Over the last year, Research in Motion is down over 72%.

Research In Motion Limited is a designer, manufacturer and marketer of wireless solutions for the worldwide mobile communications market. RIM provides platforms and solutions for access to information, including e-mail, voice, instant messaging, short message service.

...

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Sabrient

Sabrient Risers - 1/27/2012

Top 5 RisersStockRatingAnalysisASBCBUYMany analysts are expecting higher than previously expected long term growth from Associated Bancorp, and its near-term earnings outlook is also improving.CZZSTRONGBUYThe recent earnings history for Cosan Ltd shows significant improvement while projected valuation continues to rise.STLDBUYProjected value continues to rise for Steel Dynamics while long term increases in earnings growth are also becoming more widely expected.PSESTRONGBUYAn increasingly attractive expected long term growth rate and a significantly higher projected valuation from just a fe...

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ETF Selector

Wall Street Party Hangover (SPY, DIA, QQQ, IWM, GLD)

Courtesy of John Nyaradi.

Major markets and major index ETFs corrected slightly today after the stock market’s euphoric party yesterday

Major markets suffered a slight hangover today, as the S&P 500 dropped .57%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped .18%, the NASDAQ dropped .46% and the Russell 2000 Index dropped .34%, after yesterday’s crazy Fed and Tech Sector induced Wall Street Party.  The NASDAQ, in particular, partied very hard, so hard in fact that the NASDAQ reached its 11 year record high.

The major market index ETFs were hungover too as the SPDR S&P 500 ETF lowered .51%, the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial ...



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Option Review

Big Prints In Deutsche Bank Put Options

 

Today’s tickers: DB, ATHN & LSI

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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of January 23rd, 2012

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here

Optrader 

...

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IRA Strategy/Income Trader

Weekend Virtual Portfolio Update 1/22/2012

Here is the virtual portfolio weekend update. Basically a recap of the positions and some notes about the trades. As usual, I'll post the previous week's P&L for comparison. Not the greatest of week in general! AA Money Only transaction last week as we bought back the AA Feb 9 puts on Tuesday for close to a 70% profit. The idea is to sell another set of put as soon as we get a chance. Previous week P&L - $400.00 We lost some ground this week, but we'll keep on selling premium! FAS Money We also lost some ground in this virtual portfolio, but we have sold plenty of premium for the coming week. A little correction would go a long way to help! On Wednesday we sold the FAS Feb 72 puts (already good for 50%), on Thursday we added the Jan4 78 calls and on Friday we had to roll the Jan 78 puts to the Jan 80 puts. We were hoping for these ones to expire worthless on Friday, but a late stick killed that hope. Previous week P&L - $4372.00...

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Stock World Weekly

Stock World Weekly: QE-cating

NEW: Elliott and Ilene are available to chat with Members regarding topics presented in SWW, comments are found below each post.

Here's the latest Stock World Weekly. We discuss the Fed's next move, and it's new policy for more QE-cating.  Brief review of Sabrient's trade ideas for 2012 (already doing well) and a few new buy-writes from Phil and Pharmboy. Enjoy! (Feedback appreciated - give some life to the comment section below.)

Click this link for this weekend's newsletter, and sign in or sign up.

...

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Pharmboy

Biotech Investing for 2012

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Finding new and exciting Biotech companies that target novel mechanisms is like trying to find a needle in a haystack.  Sure there are many companies working on cutting edge science, but investing in those companies to reap the rewards of their work is a very dangerous game.  More often than not, companies fail because the mechanism does not pan out, the compound(s) do not have pharmacokinetics (get into the body or last very long in the body), or an adverse event happens that knocks years off a development timeline.  In addition, the stock can be manipulated by market makers so investors don't know which way is up.  I approach investing in biotechs as a long term prospect.  I continue to like our current portfolio of biotech companies (join in chat for many of those plays), and we continually add/subtract shares and sell/buy options on ...



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Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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