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What the Market Wants: After Tomorrow, Another Uncertainty Bites The Dust

Courtesy of David Brown, Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics

The market remains sensitive to weak forward outlooks and continues to punish those stocks that miss on revenues and beat on earnings. Today, ESRX, Z, and BSFT bore the brunt of that attitude, down -14%, -21%, and -11% respectively after-hours.

But not all is morose. EOG and CVI delivered great earnings reports and raised their forward outlooks, and the market responded positively, though not in as dramatic a fashion as the disappointers.

Hopefully, with the election behind us tomorrow, investors can remove another item of uncertainty from the equation, giving more weight to the most important factors like company performance and economic growth. However, what’s been touted as the closest election in 36 years might very well drag on in a Bush-Gore style of recounts.

Most importantly, whoever is elected needs to be able to work with the members of Congress and show unity in decision-making. If investors see this as a possibility, we might get some bullish activity through the end of the year and perhaps beyond, if the “fiscal cliff” isn’t kicked down the road.

The election looms as the weightiest announcement this week, as economic reports are thin.

Who’ll benefit if Obama or Romney wins? While politicians are famous for compromising on their election platforms once elected, there are a few sectors that seem likely to benefit, depending on who is elected. In Healthcare, it seems traditional companies would likely do better under another Obama administration, while something like Pharmaceuticals might respond favorably to a Romney victory. Energy seems to be a good place to be, as both men are supportive of our energy independence. Finally, we see Finance as likely doing better under Romney. The rest, who knows?

That’s why we continue to seek out the most growth we can find for the cheapest price.

Here are the market stats.

4 Stock Ideas for this Market

This week, I used the GARP (growth at a reasonable price) preset search in MyStockFinder. Here are four you may find interesting:

Tenneco Inc. (TEN) — Consumer Cyclical

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO)—Energy

Pinnacle Entertainment, Inc. (PNK)—Consumer Cyclical

U.S. Airways Group Inc. (LCC)—Industrials 

Full disclosure:  The author does not hold positions in any of the stocks mentioned in this article.


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