Sign up here for a 30-day FREE trial of our PSW Report! (NO Credit Card required.) Click here to become a part of our growing community and learn how to stop gambling with your investments. We will teach you to BE THE HOUSE — Not the Gambler!

Click here to see some testimonials from our members!

View Single Comment

  1. phil

    SCO/Jfaw – Be careful with market sell orders.  At the dead open, the MM can screw you.  The July $36s have a delta of .55 and closed at $1.15 so $1.70 is to be expected.  

    TOS let's you put trailing stop sell orders and, if you have to automate, that's the way to go.  In the STP, we have the $35s at net about $2.15 after buying back the short calls (brilliantly) yesterday.  Those closed at $1.50 and have a delta of .74 so, hopefully, we'll cash out better than even and, as we are on a mission to cash out our open positions even and keep our realized profits, that's going to be fine with us!. 

    Cycles/ZZ – I think, in the larger term, we are stabilizing from the big crash but, unfortunately, stable should be around 1,450 on the S&P, not 1,650.  This is like if you pull a ship underwater in the bathtub, down to the bottom but it's full of air (stimulus) and you let it go and it rises back up and, in fact, goes HIGHER than the surface of the water.  That's where we are now, because the ship went back to the top and even higher – people are extrapolating that the ship can now fly.  That's the difference between TA people and Fundamentalists in a nutshell. 

    Frankly, I think that the end of QE, once the initial shock to the system wears off, will be just what we need to get the economy going as people with savings will begin to get a return on their money and banks, who are sitting on virtually all of the money the Fed has been printing, will finally be forced to actually LEND some of that money out to generate their own income.  Once that massive pile of freshly printed money finally begins to move through the economy, we can hopefully get into a more virtuous cycle.  

    So that's how I reconcile the two and that's what keeps me long-term bullish.  

    Thanks for Fisher Equation – very good for people to understand.  

    Oil/Burr -Well, we did with our USO/SCO plays.  

    Gold/Jfaw – I don't think we get there ($1,100).  The macro is that the drop in gold (for various reasons) caused the massive sell-off in GLD that I've been predicting for years and that flooded the market with physical gold.  Now GLD is about 50% depleted so I don't see it going to zero and, even if 25%, then they can only dump half as much gold going forward as they dumped in the first half of this year, which began at $1,700.  So $350 ($400 today) and another 50% would be $1,100 at worst.  $1,100 is also the point at which most miners lose money extracting gold and, if you've ever seen a gold mining operation, you know they'll shut down long before that happens.  So I think $1,200-$1,250 is worst case and, once GLD is forced back to buying – things can turn around very quickly as the physical market is very tight.  Those are all factors that have nothing to do with inflation or investor confidence or global conflict, which can also drive the price up very quickly. 





Sign up here for a 30-day FREE trial of our PSW Report! (NO Credit Card required.)


See our disclaimer here.

 
 
 

Zero Hedge

Church Elder Defrauds Investors With "Holy Spirit" Day Trading System

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Submitted by Daniel Drew via Dark-Bid.com,

While it remains unclear if the Holy Spirit was behind these trades, one thing is for sure: When Charles Erickson's investors opened their recent statements, they said, "Holy Shit!"

As reported by Ponzi Tracker, Charles Erickson of Uxbridge, Massachusetts was looking for a way to supplement his retirement income. Despite having no day trading experience, Erickson jumped head first into the E-Mini Russell 2000 futures contract. In testimony provided to the Massachus...



more from Tyler

Phil's Favorites

Puerto Greek-o

 

Puerto Greek-o

Courtesy of 

A few things…

The twin debt blow-ups in Greece and Puerto Rico have absolutely captivated the market’s attention this week, despite the fact that they’ve been ongoing issues for years and years now.

The Greek crisis is like a barber shop – everyone gets to talk all the sh*t they want but at the end of the day, someone’s getting a haircut.

As for Puerto Rico, it is an island nation with 3 million or so residents and over $70 billion in face-value debt, or 8 times the amount of outstanding debt as Detroit. The White House has already denied that it is considering a bailout (so, does...



more from Ilene

Chart School

Neutral Day

Courtesy of Declan.

After yesterday's gains there was no more gas in the tank to squeeze any more out of the market. Worryingly, the Russell 2000 finished near Monday's lows in a relative loss to S&P and Nasdaq, suggesting bearish leadership will come from speculative Small Caps, and that further losses are likely. The S&P recovered afternoon losses, but the Spinning Top candlestick of today suggests the advance is slowing, and what may be emerging is a 'bear flag'. In the meantime, the index is caught in a no-mans land between resistance and support. ...

more from Chart School

Market News

News You Can Use From Phil's Stock World

 

Financial Markets and Economy

Labor Market Runs in Place; More Jobs, Participation Lowest Since 1977 (Business Insider)

The U.S. labor market took one step forward and one back in June as job creation advanced while wages stagnated and the size of the labor force receded.

The addition of 223,000 jobs followed a 254,000 increase in the prior month that was less than previously estimated, a Labor Department report showed Thursday in Washington. The jobless rate fell to a seven-year low of 5.3 percent as people left the workforce.

Goldman: "Greece...



more from Paul

All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

more from David

Kimble Charting Solutions

Shanghai index creates historic reversal pattern like 2007

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

Much of the attention around the world seems to be revolving around a small country called Greece. What about the most populated country in the world (China), any key messages coming from there of late?

Well another Month, Quarter and Half a year are in the books. With this in mind I wanted to look at Monthly action of the hottest stock market in the world, the Shanghai Index. Above looks at the Shanghai index over the past 25-years. The 100%+ rally over the past year has pushed the Shanghai index up to its 23% Fibonacci ratio and a long-term resistance line, that has been in play for 25-years at (1) above.

As the Shanghai index was hitting this...



more from Kimble C.S.

OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of June 29th., 2015

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



more from OpTrader

Digital Currencies

BitGold Now Available in US! Why BitGold?

Courtesy of Mish.

BitGold USA

Effective today, BitGold Announces Platform Launch in the United States.

BitGold, a platform for savings and payments in gold, is pleased to announce the launch of the BitGold platform for residents of the US and US territories. As of today, US residents can sign up on the BitGold platform and buy, sell, or redeem gold using BitGold’s Aurum payment and settlement technology. US residents will also have access to the BitGold mobile app and a prepaid card when these features launch over the coming weeks. Send and receive gold payment features are not initially available in the US.

About BitGold

...



more from Bitcoin

Sabrient

Sector Detector: Bulls under the gun to muster troops, while bears lie in wait

Reminder: Sabrient is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Courtesy of Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics

Two weeks ago, bulls seemed ready to push stocks higher as long-standing support reliably kicked in. But with just one full week to go before the Independence Day holiday week arrives, we will see if bulls can muster some reinforcements and make another run at the May highs. Small caps and NASDAQ are already there, but it is questionable whether those segments can drag along the broader market. To be sure, there is plenty of potential fuel floating around in the form of a friendly Fed and abundant global liquidity seeking the safety and strength of US stocks and bonds. While the technical picture has glimmers of strength, summer bears lie in wait.

In this weekly ...



more from Sabrient

Pharmboy

Baxter's Spinoff

Reminder: Pharmboy and Ilene are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Baxter Int. (BAX) is splitting off its BioSciences division into a new company called Baxalta. Shares of Baxalta will be given as a tax-free dividend, in the ratio of one to one, to BAX holders on record on June 17, 2015. That means, if you want to receive the Baxalta dividend, you need to buy the stock this week (on or before June 12).

The Baxalta Spinoff

By Ilene with Trevor of Lowenthal Capital Partners and Paul Price

In its recent filing with the SEC, Baxter provides:

“This information statement is being ...



more from Pharmboy

Mapping The Market

An update on oil proxies

Courtesy of Jean-Luc Saillard

Back in December, I wrote a post on my blog where I compared the performances of various ETFs related to the oil industry. I was looking for the best possible proxy to match the moves of oil prices if you didn't want to play with futures. At the time, I concluded that for medium term trades, USO and the leveraged ETFs UCO and SCO were the most promising. Longer term, broader ETFs like OIH and XLE might make better investment if oil prices do recover to more profitable prices since ETF linked to futures like USO, UCO and SCO do suffer from decay. It also seemed that DIG and DUG could be promising if OIH could recover as it should with the price of oil, but that they don't make a good proxy for the price of oil itself. 

Since...



more from M.T.M.

Promotions

Watch the Phil Davis Special on Money Talk on BNN TV!

Kim Parlee interviews Phil on Money Talk. Be sure to watch the replays if you missed the show live on Wednesday night (it was recorded on Monday). As usual, Phil provides an excellent program packed with macro analysis, important lessons and trading ideas. ~ Ilene

 

The replay is now available on BNN's website. For the three part series, click on the links below. 

Part 1 is here (discussing the macro outlook for the markets) Part 2 is here. (discussing our main trading strategies) Part 3 is here. (reviewing our pick of th...

more from Promotions

Help One Of Our Own PSW Members

"Hello PSW Members –

This is a non-trading topic, but I wanted to post it during trading hours so as many eyes can see it as possible.  Feel free to contact me directly at jennifersurovy@yahoo.com with any questions.

Last fall there was some discussion on the PSW board regarding setting up a YouCaring donation page for a PSW member, Shadowfax. Since then, we have been looking into ways to help get him additional medical services and to pay down his medical debts.  After following those leads, we are ready to move ahead with the YouCaring site. (Link is posted below.)  Any help you can give will be greatly appreciated; not only to help aid in his medical bill debt, but to also show what a great community this group is.

http://www.youcaring.com/medical-fundraiser/help-get-shadowfax-out-from-the-darkness-of-medical-bills-/126743

Thank you for you time!




FeedTheBull - Top Stock market and Finance Sites



About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

Learn more About Phil >>


As Seen On:




About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

Market Shadows >>