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Wednesday, April 24, 2024

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  1. phil

    Good morning!

    We've had a great rally since Asia opened and Hong Kong blasted 3% higher, led by energy and commodity companies.  We didn't take into account that the 5% rally in oil came AFTER they closed yesterday – so big catch-up there and, of course, Shanghai is still closed (back tomorrow).  

    Also, Samsung had a huge number based on what, exactly, it's hard to say.  Seems like chip sales and screen sales were good business but also massive currency devaluation helped a lot.  Still, we're the only people who look under the hood so massive tech rally in Asia for the moment. 

    Samsung Expects A Strong Third-Quarter Thanks To Chip And Display Sales

    5 Takeaways From Samsung’s Guidance – WSJ

    Obviously, the most important chart of the day is:

    If DAX holds 10,000 into the close, we have to give all the markets the benefit of the doubt.  

    S&P 2,000 is still almost 1% away (in addition to the up 0.66% we have this morning):

    Essentially, this is just a repeat of yesterday, which means the same shorting lines should work on the Futures (very tight stops over, short the laggard after 2 cross and get out if any cross back over!): 16,750, 1,980, 4,325 and 1,135.  

    Oil, of course, is a short below $49.50 or $50 or $49.  

    That's another big market booster, RDS/A and others have been pumping up their oil forecasts and pushing that Russia/OPEC alliance rumor for all it's worth (and it's worth $50, so far!):

    Shell boss sees signs of oil price recovery but warns of ‘spike’

    Why oil is picking up (and why it matters for stocks) – fastFT: Market-moving news and views, 24 hours a day

    And, of course – please completely ignore these:

    German Industry Output Unexpectedly Falls as China Weakens

    IMF Cuts Global Growth For The Fourth Time In 12 Months… But That’s Not The Biggest Problem

    In short, after selling off from yesterday's low-volume, pre-market spike up, we're having another low-volume, pre-market spike up this morning.  

    SPY 5 MINUTE

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