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Thursday, April 25, 2024

S&P 500 Snapshot: A Weak Start to the Week

Courtesy of Doug Short’s Advisor Perspectives.

Global equity indexes outside the US were mixed today, and the big three US indexes were uniformly negative. The NASDAQ finished fractionally lower at -0.5%, while the Dow and S&P 500 settled at bit lower at -0.31% and -0.30%, respectively. Our benchmark 500 opened lower and sold off to its -0.60% intraday low during the lunch hour. It then struggled higher in a couple of waves to half its loss at -0.30%. The popular financial press pointed fingers at oil for the weak session. West Texas Intermediate Crude fell 2.40% to its lowest close in exactly three months.

The yield on the 10-year closed at 1.58%, up one basis point from the previous session.

Here is a snapshot of past five sessions in the S&P 500.

Here is a daily chart of the index. Trading volume was summertime light.

S&P 500

A Perspective on Drawdowns

Here’s a snapshot of selloffs since the 2009 trough.

S&P 500 Drawdowns

Here is a more conventional log-scale chart with drawdowns highlighted.

S&P 500 MAs

Here is a linear scale version of the same chart with the 50- and 200-day moving averages.

S&P 500 MAs

A Perspective on Volatility

For a sense of the correlation between the closing price and intraday volatility, the chart below overlays the S&P 500 since 2007 with the intraday price range. We’ve also included a 20-day moving average to help identify trends in volatility.

S&P 500 Snapshot

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