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UK Bookies See 60% Chance Trump Is Impeached

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

It seems Americans are considerably more sanguine than the British about President Donald Trump's future…

First-Term Trump Impeachment Odds: Paddy Power 60% – PredictIt 35%

According to US-based PredictIt, the odds of Trump being impeached during his first term are 35%

However, money flow into UK bookies Paddy Power have pushed the odds of a first-term impeachment to 60%!

So Paddy Power odds of impeachment in first term are 60%, notably higher than PredictIt's 35%, certainly seems like a great opportunity for a translatlantic arbitrage.

But there are more discrepancies.

2017 Impeachment Odds: Paddy Power 33% – PredictIt 10%

PredictIt sees just a 10% chance of Trump being impeached by the end of 2017…

But Paddy Power sees a 33% chance of Trump being impeached by year-end…

And from 2017 on…

  • 2018 Trump Impeachment Odds: Paddy Power 15% – PredictIt 22%
  • 2019 Trump Impeachment Odds: Paddy Power 12%
  • 2020 Trump Impeachment Odds: Paddy Power 2%

So what is it that Trump will be impeached for?

Treason it is – with a 33% chance.

Of course, with that in mind, Paddy Power is taking bets on whether Trump will meet with the KKK


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