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Highly Unusual US Treasury Yield Pattern Not Seen Since Summer of 2000

Courtesy of Mish.

Curve watchers anonymous has taken an in-depth review of US treasury yield charts on a monthly and daily basis. There’s something going on that we have not see on a sustained basis since the summer of 2000. Some charts will show what I mean.

Monthly Treasury Yields 3-Month to 30-Years 1998-Present

It’s very unusual to see the yield on the long bond falling for months on end while the yield on 3-month bills and 1-year note rises. It’s difficult to spot the other time that happened because of numerous inversions. A look at the yield curve for Treasuries 3-month to 5-years will make the unusual activity easier to spot.

Monthly Treasury Yields 3-Month to 5-Years 1990-Present

Daily Treasury Yields 3-Month to 5-Years 2016-2017

Daily Treasury Yields 3-Month to 5-Years 2000


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