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  1. phil

    SNY/Learner – P/E is not as low as it seems.  They make about $5Bn on a $110Bn market cap, not sure where people get 10 but, to me, that's 20.   Q3 was a miss and guidance is flat, so no growth and, if anything, they seem to be in steady decline but I don't know their pipeline going forward.  Still, if you have reason to like them, it's not like they are a rip-off at $44 – just not thrilling.  The dividend is $1.64 and you can sell June $42 puts for $2.10 so 125% of the dividend in 6 months without all that messy owning the stock and then your worst case is owning them at net $39.90, which is a 10% discount from here.   That's how I'd start.  If you feel they are stronger than that, you can always add a bull call spread or buy the stock and cover as it breaks over $45.

    TSLA – Well it turns out Pepsi has 10,000 trucks so ordering 100 from TSLA (which brings the total to 287 in Worldwide orders) is a 0.1% experiment by PEP, so meaningless to them and making much ado about nothing for TSLA.  TSLA claims to be taking $20,000 deposits (PEP does not confirm) so $2M deposit represents 1 min of Pepsi sales.  

    PEP has 140 hydrogen trucks and hundreds of electric trucks already, 176 from Smith Electric (now Chanje as Smith went bust successfully selling electric trucks) so I guess they should be worth more than TSLA?  For PEP, this has been going on since 2010.

    Traders are such idiots!  





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Phil's Favorites

Five types of gun laws the Founding Fathers loved

 

Five types of gun laws the Founding Fathers loved

Were muskets in 1777 better regulated than assault rifles in 2017? Jana Shea/Shutterstock.com

Courtesy of Saul Cornell, Fordham University

The Second Amendment is one of the most frequently cited provisions in the American Constitution, but also one of the most poorly understood.

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Zero Hedge

'Bump Stock' Prices Spike After Trump's Ban Plan

[Maybe it's time to close up shop. 1. Bump stocks are not protected the second amendment. 2. It's hard to make a serious argument that these items have a useful purpose that outweighs their potential for harm.]

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

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Insider Scoop

MKM Turns More Bullish On Amazon, Lifts Price Target To $1,750

Courtesy of Benzinga.

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Chart School

Sellers Come In But Semiconductors Gain

Courtesy of Declan

Markets were set up for sellers with most indices experiencing broad selling. However, the one index which looked set up best for shorts - the Semiconductor Index - actually managed to gain.  Anyone taking up Friday's short in the latter Index will have been stopped out but another shorting opportunity may have presented itself. Technicals haven't returned to becoming net bullish but only the ADX remains to shift.
 


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ValueWalk

Bill Nygren's Stock Picks

By VW Staff. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Bill Nygren, Harris Associates U.S. equities CIO and Oakmark Funds portfolio manager, shares his top stock picks and long-term investment strategy.

H/T Dataroma

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Get the entire 10-part series on Seth Klarman in PDF. Save it to your desktop, read it on your tablet, or email to your colleagues.

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Digital Currencies

As Bitcoin Nears $11,000, Here's A History Of Its Biggest Ups And Downs

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

The cryptocurrency rebound off Feb 5th's bloodbath lows (below $6,000 for Bitcoin) has been impressive, as a 'mysterious' massive buyer 'bought the dip' and momentum took care of the rest.

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Biotech

What is 'right to try,' and could it help?

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

What is 'right to try,' and could it help?

In this March 18, 2011 photo, Cassidy Hempel waved at hospital staff as she was being treated for a rare disorder. Her mother Chris, left, fought to gain permission for an experimental drug. AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez

Morten Wendelbo, Texas A&M University and Timothy Callaghan, ...



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Mapping The Market

The tricks propagandists use to beat science

Via Jean-Luc

How propagandist beat science – they did it for the tobacco industry and now it's in favor of the energy companies:

The tricks propagandists use to beat science

The original tobacco strategy involved several lines of attack. One of these was to fund research that supported the industry and then publish only the results that fit the required narrative. “For instance, in 1954 the TIRC distributed a pamphlet entitled ‘A Scientific Perspective on the Cigarette Controversy’ to nearly 200,000 doctors, journalists, and policy-makers, in which they emphasized favorable research and questioned results supporting the contrary view,” say Weatherall and co, who call this approach biased production.

A second approach promoted independent research that happened to support ...



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Members' Corner

An Interview with David Brin

Our guest David Brin is an astrophysicist, technology consultant, and best-selling author who speaks, writes, and advises on a range of topics including national defense, creativity, and space exploration. He is also a well-known and influential futurist (one of four “World's Best Futurists,” according to The Urban Developer), and it is his ideas on the future, specifically the future of civilization, that I hope to learn about here.   

Ilene: David, you base many of your predictions of the future on a theory of historica...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Promotions

NewsWare: Watch Today's Webinar!

 

We have a great guest at today's webinar!

Bill Olsen from NewsWare will be giving us a fun and lively demonstration of the advantages that real-time news provides. NewsWare is a market intelligence tool for news. In today's data driven markets, it is truly beneficial to have a tool that delivers access to the professional sources where you can obtain the facts in real time.

Join our webinar, free, it's open to all. 

Just click here at 1 pm est and join in!

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Kimble Charting Solutions

Brazil; Waterfall in prices starting? Impact U.S.?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Below looks at the Brazil ETF (EWZ) over the last decade. The rally over the past year has it facing a critical level, from a Power of the Pattern perspective.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

EWZ is facing dual resistance at (1), while in a 9-year down trend of lower highs and lower lows. The counter trend rally over the past 17-months has it testing key falling resistance. Did the counter trend reflation rally just end at dual resistance???

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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: Harlan is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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