A fresh pickup in AIG puts…and traders take jaded view of Children’s Place
by Greg - February 8th, 2008 6:37 am
Today’s tickers: AIG, PRU, MYL, PLCE, HBC, CSCO, RIMM, MSFT, ANN, CREE, AKAM, NWA, AET
AIG – Is litigation fanning the flames of put action in American International Group? Shares in the property and casualty insurance giant are trading .60% lower this afternoon at $51.82, lagging behind the broader S&P 500. While the current share price action is relatively subdued, a look at the 55% implied volatility reading shows current option premiums pricing in about 11% more price risk for AIG shares over the next month than has already been documented over the past year. With more than 120,000 options trading this afternoon, AIG was one of the most heavily visited tickers on our platform, and the volume favored puts by a factor of 7 to 1. Prosecutors rested their case yesterday in accounting fraud proceedings against five former insurance company executives from General Re and AIG. The courtroom drama may be hardening investors’ inclination to seek put protection – AIG options saw a big spike in out-of-the-money put volume in the May and August contracts earlier this week on credit exposure worries. Today’s volume appears centered in the February contract at strikes 40, 45 and 50, where buyers went long on premiums up as much as 14% on the session.
PRU – Shares in the country’s second-biggest life insurer Prudential Financial are down 6.6% to $72.25, recouping some losses after having declined as much as 9% on back of its earnings miss and lowering of guidance. Traders were positioned long volatility heading into the earnings release, anticipating just this kind of violent move on earnings by buying into the then-at-the-money February 80 straddle. The position, which cost $6 heading into the close yesterday, has since mushroomed in value by some 42% to $8.55, yielding a tidy profit for traders looking to cash in on the big move now. Elsewhere traders sought fresh positions today in February calls at strikes 70 and 75, which traded at around $1 apiece – possibly looking for stabilization in Prudential shares at strikes well below the 52-week low.
MYL – Shares in generic drug maker Mylan Inc. sank 5.7% to $13.02 in afternoon trading. The move appears to have come after the company opted against providing guidance as part of its upcoming earnings report on February 27. Earlier today, Bloomberg reported that Mylan might be a pole position to realize $150 billion…
A fresh pickup in AIG puts…and traders take jaded view of Children’s Place
by Greg - February 8th, 2008 6:37 am
Today’s tickers: AIG, PRU, MYL, PLCE, HBC, CSCO, RIMM, MSFT, ANN, CREE, AKAM, NWA, AET
AIG – Is litigation fanning the flames of put action in American International Group? Shares in the property and casualty insurance giant are trading .60% lower this afternoon at $51.82, lagging behind the broader S&P 500. While the current share price action is relatively subdued, a look at the 55% implied volatility reading shows current option premiums pricing in about 11% more price risk for AIG shares over the next month than has already been documented over the past year. With more than 120,000 options trading this afternoon, AIG was one of the most heavily visited tickers on our platform, and the volume favored puts by a factor of 7 to 1. Prosecutors rested their case yesterday in accounting fraud proceedings against five former insurance company executives from General Re and AIG. The courtroom drama may be hardening investors’ inclination to seek put protection – AIG options saw a big spike in out-of-the-money put volume in the May and August contracts earlier this week on credit exposure worries. Today’s volume appears centered in the February contract at strikes 40, 45 and 50, where buyers went long on premiums up as much as 14% on the session.
PRU – Shares in the country’s second-biggest life insurer Prudential Financial are down 6.6% to $72.25, recouping some losses after having declined as much as 9% on back of its earnings miss and lowering of guidance. Traders were positioned long volatility heading into the earnings release, anticipating just this kind of violent move on earnings by buying into the then-at-the-money February 80 straddle. The position, which cost $6 heading into the close yesterday, has since mushroomed in value by some 42% to $8.55, yielding a tidy profit for traders looking to cash in on the big move now. Elsewhere traders sought fresh positions today in February calls at strikes 70 and 75, which traded at around $1 apiece – possibly looking for stabilization in Prudential shares at strikes well below the 52-week low.
MYL – Shares in generic drug maker Mylan Inc. sank 5.7% to $13.02 in afternoon trading. The move appears to have come after the company opted against providing guidance as part of its upcoming earnings report on February 27. Earlier today, Bloomberg reported that Mylan might be a pole position to realize $150 billion…
Always an Option 1:3 – August 2007
by Greg - August 1st, 2007 7:38 pm
Download the latest issue here:
As always, we appreciate any feedback. Fire off an email to admin@philstockworld.com. Also, this is a great opportunity to remind everyone: please add our email address to your address book, white list, safe list, or whatever else you use so that messages from us don’t end up in your junk folder.
Always an Option #2
by Greg - July 9th, 2007 1:17 am
The next issue of our new newsletter is available for download:
Table of Contents:
- Phil: Weekly Review
- Steven (Zman): The Energy Report
- OptionSage: Making 100% or 1000% in 3 months
- Jared: SPY vs. SPX
- Andy (HappyTrading): Wang’s Weekly Picks
We’re still making changes based on your feedback on the last issue, but comments and suggestions are always appreciated!
-Jared
Always an Option – Newsletter Sample
by Greg - June 21st, 2007 12:32 am
Hi everyone,
We’ve been working really hard on getting the newsletter together, and we’re presenting our first sample issue here. This is exclusively for members, so please don’t distribute it. The newsletter is in Adobe PDF format; if you can’t open the file you’ll need to grab the reader here.
The newsletter features picks and trade updates from Phil, an energy report from Zman, an educational article from OptionSage, technical analysis picks from HappyTrading, and an iron condor experiment from me.
We’re very keen to get feedback and criticism, so please let us know what you like and dislike and if you have ideas for future improvements. You can leave comments here or email them directly.
Thanks,
Jared
Affiliation Made Easy
by Greg - April 18th, 2007 11:59 pm
I’ve just updated our affiliate program. Here’s the deal: refer someone, and get $25 when they subscribe. To participate, just login to your Member Page and go to the Affiliates area. There, you can get code for text links or banners, which you can put on your blog, website, or on the side of your car.
We’d honestly rather have new members who are referred by current members, because you are smart people and you are probably friends with other smart people. So if you signup 4 new members, we’ll throw another $50 your way, and will keep doing so for every fourth paid referral. Again, this last perk is only for current members.
Site Changes
by Greg - April 6th, 2007 8:58 pm
A few items you might not be aware of:
- Our Links page has been updated to include some helpful information about options-friendly brokers. Hint: you won’t get far trading options with Scottrade (I know, I tried once).
- You can edit your membership information, password, or subscription status at any time by going to your Member Page.
- You can reach me (Jared) anytime I’m online through any of the major instant messaging services. See the Contact Us tab for more information.
- For some of you, 2 posts a day and 250+ comments still isn’t enough, and you occasionally find yourself browsing through our archives, yearning for more. Well, today’s your lucky day: our archives now extend all the way back to January 2005! Note: if you come across any old posts that aren’t formatted properly, please let me know.
Confessions of a Phil’s Stock World Neophyte
by Greg - March 24th, 2007 10:24 am
[Ed: member gumbaphil submits:]
Confessions of a Neophyte “Phil Groupie”
“So, Cory old buddy, whadya get for your birthday???”
(I suppose I can use triple question marks…in keeping with the “Phil” lexicon)
“Well”, sez I, “I bought myself a subscription to PhilsStockWorld.com. Figgered I oughta find somethin’ interesting to do while recuperating from back surgery. Sitting is a might more comfortable than lying around in the bed doncha know; and I don’t care much for no soap operas on TV.”
“PhilStockWorld?…What’s that?
“Good question. I’ve been a member now for 12 trading days and it appears to be part Options trading education, part trading “hints” (he don’t give no “advice” since he’s not a registered securities “advisor”), and a whole batch o’ political and economic commentary”.
“That’s it? You just glue yourself to a computer monitor all day, and READ stuff?”
“No way man. I launch my Ameritrade Control Panel which is a poor man’s trading platform and do my best to mirror the stock option trades (hints) that Phil posts on his commentary Phorum. “
“And that’s not all either. I discovered that the second by second monitoring of some the more “risky” positions was an excellent way to test out this little heart rate monitor that my son gave me. So far, it sez I’ve registered about 99 million calories by just sittin’ at the keyboard.”
“So, ya made any money?
“Well…yes…and…no.”
“Whaddya mean yes AND no?
“Well, I FOLLOWED PHIL’S DISCIPLINED APPROACH on most trades, which is basically the 20% rule, and took my gains off the table. But I made the classic mistake of DENIAL on my oil PUTS and let my losses pile up, without directional protection, to the point that my losses on them may well exceed the gains on my closed positions.”
“HOWEVER, I still have some time on my side with those oil PUTS (Apr 21st) and I’m so d@&mn far underwater with them that I may let them ride and hope for a miracle.”
Here’s the 12 trading day breakdown:
| Virtual Portfolio Balance | $25,000 | |
| CLOSED Positions (24) | ||
| Net Gain | $3,870 | 15% |
| Total position trades | 24 | |
| Avg value per trade | $600 | |
| Avg gain per trade | $161 | |
| Avg |
Confessions of a Phil’s Stock World Neophyte
by Greg - March 24th, 2007 10:24 am
[Ed: member gumbaphil submits:]
Confessions of a Neophyte “Phil Groupie”
“So, Cory old buddy, whadya get for your birthday???”
(I suppose I can use triple question marks…in keeping with the “Phil” lexicon)
“Well”, sez I, “I bought myself a subscription to PhilsStockWorld.com. Figgered I oughta find somethin’ interesting to do while recuperating from back surgery. Sitting is a might more comfortable than lying around in the bed doncha know; and I don’t care much for no soap operas on TV.”
“PhilStockWorld?…What’s that?
“Good question. I’ve been a member now for 12 trading days and it appears to be part Options trading education, part trading “hints” (he don’t give no “advice” since he’s not a registered securities “advisor”), and a whole batch o’ political and economic commentary”.
“That’s it? You just glue yourself to a computer monitor all day, and READ stuff?”
“No way man. I launch my Ameritrade Control Panel which is a poor man’s trading platform and do my best to mirror the stock option trades (hints) that Phil posts on his commentary Phorum. “
“And that’s not all either. I discovered that the second by second monitoring of some the more “risky” positions was an excellent way to test out this little heart rate monitor that my son gave me. So far, it sez I’ve registered about 99 million calories by just sittin’ at the keyboard.”
“So, ya made any money?
“Well…yes…and…no.”
“Whaddya mean yes AND no?
“Well, I FOLLOWED PHIL’S DISCIPLINED APPROACH on most trades, which is basically the 20% rule, and took my gains off the table. But I made the classic mistake of DENIAL on my oil PUTS and let my losses pile up, without directional protection, to the point that my losses on them may well exceed the gains on my closed positions.”
“HOWEVER, I still have some time on my side with those oil PUTS (Apr 21st) and I’m so d@&mn far underwater with them that I may let them ride and hope for a miracle.”
Here’s the 12 trading day breakdown:
| Virtual Portfolio Balance | $25,000 | |
| CLOSED Positions (24) | ||
| Net Gain | $3,870 | 15% |
| Total position trades | 24 | |
| Avg value per trade | $600 | |
| Avg gain per trade | $161 | |
| Avg |
Quick Note
by Greg - March 14th, 2007 5:06 am
We’re trying to improve the speed and reliability of the site, so the comment browser software is temporarily unavailable. We’ll keep you posted.

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Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...
Ilene is editor and affiliate program
coordinator for PSW. She manages the Favorites backup site
(