Author Archive for jnyaradi

Wall Street Likley To Start The New Year Off Right

Courtesy of John Nyaradi.

Wall Street and the Stock Market will likely start 2014 off right

stocks, ETF, Daily Market Wrap, SPX, SPX Chart, NYSEARCA:DIA, NYSEARCA:SPY, NASDAQ:QQQ, NYSEARCA:IWM, NYSEARCA:USOThe Fortune Teller Speaks:

I predict a stock market rise today as investors will likely start 2014 off with a bang.

All Eyes on Wall Street:

All Eyes on Wall Street are likley to be a little glazed and hungover due to the New Years holiday and excessive stock market records for 2013.  All in all, Wall Street appears to be in a state of higher priced euphoria, and when that wave stops is anyone’s guess.  All I can say is that stock markets will decline one day, and when they do we will likely be in a bit of pain.

We are also due for the Weekly Jobless claims, Market PMI, Construction Spending, and ISM reports today, all of which could derail market sentiment if the news is bad.

Hindsight is a Beach and We’re Playing on It:

Before New Years Eve we were partially correct on Monday with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSEARCA:DIA) rising .16%.  On December 3rd, all three indexes rose substantially to new record highs, with the S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) rising .40%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSEARCA:DIA) rising .44%, and the NASDAQ (NASDAQ:QQQ) rising .54%.  What a year for 2013 and what will 2014 bring??

Fun Fact:

I just saw the new flick “The Wolf of Wall Street.”  Crazy story.

Its raining Bulls:

The bulls are likely going to charge today.  I can feel it in the air:)

This stock market forecast is for educational and informational purposes only.  It is not intended to be investment advice nor an investment recommendation.  Past performance is no guarantee of or indication of future performance and your performance may vary widely from any that may be indicated in this column. There is risk of loss in all investing and trading activities and you should consult your financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

Click here to learn more about John’s book and for a free membership to Wall Street Sector Selector





Stocks Close 2013 with More Record Highs

Courtesy of John Nyaradi.

Stocks finished 2013 with new record highs, as the S&P 500 closed-out the year with a 30 percent advance.

Stocks finished a bullish year with more record highs, as the S&P 500 capped-off its best year since 1997 with a 30-percent advance.  Two upbeat Stocks, ETF, Daily Market Wrap, SPX, SPX Chart, NYSEARCA:DIA, NYSEARCA:SPY, NASDAQ:QQQ, NYSEARCA:IWM, NYSEARCA:USO economic reports got the New Year’s Eve party going early.  The Conference Board reported that its Consumer Confidence Index for December climbed to 78.1 from 72 in November.  Economists were expecting a less-significant increase to 76.  The S&P / Case-Shiller Home Price Index was basically in-line with economists’ expectations, as its 20-City Composite Index climbed 13.6 percent, compared with an expected 13.7 percent increase.  The report was based on a three-month average from August through October.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSEARCA:DIA) picked up 72 points to finish Tuesday’s trading session at a record-high close at 16,576.66 for a 0.44 percent advance, after hitting a record intraday high of 16,588.25.  The S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) advanced 0.40 percent to a record-high close at 1,848.36, after reaching a record intraday high of 1,849.44.

The Nasdaq 100 (NASDAQ:QQQ) surged 0.61 percent to finish at 3,592.  The Russell 2000 (NYSEARCA:IWM) climbed 0.26 percent to a record-high close of 1,163.64.

In other major markets, oil (NYSEARCA:USO) dropped 0.59 percent to close at $35.32.

On London’s ICE Futures Europe Exchange, February futures for Brent crude oil declined 31 cents (0.28 percent) to $110.90/bbl. (NYSEARCA:BNO).

February gold futures advanced $1.20 (0.10 percent) to $1,205.00 per ounce (NYSEARCA:GLD).  Gold and Silver Stocks – Will They Ever Rise Again?

Transports accelerated across the 2013 finish line on Tuesday, as the Dow Jones Transportation Average (NYSEARCA:IYT) ended the year with a record-high close at $131.10 after hitting a record intraday high of $132.14.

In Japan, the stock market was closed on New Year’s Eve (NYSEARCA:EWJ).

Stocks advanced in China as the government finally ended its IPO freeze.  Shares in brokerage firms led the advance after the government approved five initial purchase offerings on Tuesday.  The Shanghai Composite Index surged 0.88 percent to 2,115 (NYSEARCA:FXI).  Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index advanced 0.26 percent to 23,306 (NYSEARCA:EWH).

A shortened trading day in Europe brought thin trading volume,…
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Stocks in Holding Pattern for New Year

Courtesy of John Nyaradi.

Stocks held close to the breakeven level on Monday, although the Dow picked up 25 points, as 2013 drew toward a close.

Stocks managed to hang on to most of their monthly gains through Monday’s session, as the S&P 500 dipped by only 0.2 percent, as it is stocks, ETF, Daily Market Wrap, SPX, SPX Chart, NYSEARCA:DIA, NYSEARCA:SPY, NASDAQ:QQQ, NYSEARCA:IWM, NYSEARCA:USOexpected to close-out December with a 2 percent advance, while wrapping-up 2013 with a 29-percent jump, making this year its best since 1997.

Monday’s important economic news came from the National Association of Realtors.  The NAR reported that its Pending Home Sales Index (sales not yet closed but agreed-to by contract) increased for the first time in six months for a 0.2 percent advance to 101.7 in November.  Unfortunately, economists had been expecting a move by slightly more than one percent.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSEARCA:DIA) picked up 25 points to finish Monday’s trading session at 16,504 for a 0.16 percent advance.  Nevertheless, it was the first time the Dow failed to hit a record intraday high after a seven-session streak of doing so.  The S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) slipped 0.02 percent to close at 1,841, closing-out a five-day streak of record intraday highs.

The Nasdaq 100 (NASDAQ:QQQ) declined 0.11 percent to finish at 3,570.  The Russell 2000 (NYSEARCA:IWM) retreated 0.04 percent to end the day at 1,160.

In other major markets, oil (NYSEARCA:USO) dropped 0.86 percent to close at $35.53.

On London’s ICE Futures Europe Exchange, February futures for Brent crude oil declined 96 cents (0.86 percent) to $111.22/bbl. (NYSEARCA:BNO).

February gold futures declined $17.80 (1.47 percent) to $1,196.20 per ounce (NYSEARCA:GLD).  Gold and Silver Stocks – Will They Ever Rise Again?

Transports remained stuck in snowbound traffic on Monday, as the Dow Jones Transportation Average (NYSEARCA:IYT) was unchanged from Friday’s close at $131.10.

In Japan, the exchange rate for the yen continued to be the dominant factor in stock market activity.  Japanese stocks advanced as the yen weakened to 105.41 per dollar during Monday’s trading session in Tokyo.  A weaker yen causes Japanese exports to be more competitively priced in foreign markets (NYSEARCA:FXY).  The Nikkei 225 Stock Average advanced 0.69 percent to 16,291 (NYSEARCA:EWJ).

Stocks retreated in mainland China as ongoing…
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Stock Markets To Have Two More Days

Courtesy of John Nyaradi.

Stock markets are likely to rise today as we inch towards the New Year

stocks, ETF, Daily Market Wrap, SPX, SPX Chart, NYSEARCA:DIA, NYSEARCA:SPY, NASDAQ:QQQ, NYSEARCA:IWM, NYSEARCA:USOThe Fortune Teller Speaks:

I predict a stock market rise today, as the bulls seem determined to ride out 2013 in green.

All Eyes on Wall Street:

All eyes are now focused on the record setting 2013 for stock markets, but also on the underlying gut feeling that these stock markets will decline, badly.  What goes up must ultimately come down, and many Wall Street analysts are definitely nervous for 2014.  In the short term, we are dealing with new records on the baord coupled with minimal trading volume; in the long term things are not looking that rosey for Wall Street.  Today also brings us a Pending Home Sales report at 10:00 AM EST which will likely not sway investors one way or another.

Oddly enough, the VIX Index or the “fear index” as it is widely known, started to rise last week, suggesting lower prices for equity markets ahead.  Again, I think the Bulls are ready to celebrate New Years, but the Bears will not be hungover come New Years Day.

Hindsight is a Beach and We’re Playing on It:

Last week was a positive week as we saw more records posted from the S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY), the Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSEARCA:DIA) and the NASDAQ 100 (NASDAG:QQQ).  Last Monday was our last stock market prediction in which we were correct across the board.  Hopefully the Bulls will be in our favor again today.

Fun Fact:

Check out this car made out of over 500,000 legos and runs on compressed air!

May the Bulls be With Us!

May the bulls be with us this second to last day of the year.  I think we need more records!

This stock market forecast is for educational and informational purposes only.  It is not intended to be investment advice nor an investment recommendation.  Past performance is no guarantee of or indication of future performance and your performance may vary widely from any that may be indicated in this column. There is risk of loss in all investing and trading activities and you should consult your financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

Click here to learn more about John’s book and for a free membership to Wall Street Sector Selector





Dow Jones Industrial Average Posts Christmas Gains

Courtesy of John Nyaradi.

Dow Jones Industrial Average and major U.S. indexes post Christmas week gains

dia, nysearca:dia, dow jones industrial average, spy, qqq, dow, dia, Charles Dow Says "Sell!" (DIA, IWM, SPY, QQQ)

Charles Dow

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSEARCA:DIA) gained 1.6% for the Holiday shortened week after closing fractionally lower on a low volume Friday Session.

The Nasdaq 100 (NYSEARCA:QQQ) lost 0.29% on Friday but the Nasdaq Composite was up 1.3% for the week.

The SP500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) climbed 1.3% week over week.

The Santa Rally appears to be well underway and the bulls are looking for more gains to close out the last two trading days of the year.

Read “Is The Santa Rally Underway”

On My Stock Market Radar

On a technical basis, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSEARCA:DIA) is in a solid bull market but with several warning signals flashing.

RSI, relative strength is over 70 which is considered in the overbought range and momentum is positive, however, the index is considerably overextended when compared to its 50 and 200 day moving averages.

Click here to learn more about John’s book and for a free membership to Wall Street Sector Selector





Stocks Dip after Hitting New Record Highs

Courtesy of John Nyaradi.

Stocks made a retreat at one hour into Friday’s trading session, after hitting new record intraday highs.

After starting Friday’s trading session with a quick advance to new record intraday highs, both the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Stocks, ETF, Daily Market Wrap, SPX, SPX Chart, NYSEARCA:DIA, NYSEARCA:SPY, NASDAQ:QQQ, NYSEARCA:IWM, NYSEARCA:USOAverage headed slightly into the red, as their relative strength indices rose above 70 – a level seen by many investors as an “overbought” signal.  Stocks spent the rest of Friday’s session bobbing above and below the breakeven level, finishing the bullish Christmas week with a toe in the red.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSEARCA:DIA) lost a point to finish Friday’s trading session at 16,478 for a 0.01 percent dip, after hitting a record intraday high of 16,529.01.  The S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) slipped 0.03 percent to close at 1,841, after hitting a new record intraday high of 1,844.89.

The Nasdaq 100 (NASDAQ:QQQ) declined 0.29 percent to finish at 3,574.  The Russell 2000 (NYSEARCA:IWM) retreated 0.13 percent to end the day at 1,161.

In other major markets, oil (NYSEARCA:USO) climbed 0.53 percent to close at $35.84.

On London’s ICE Futures Europe Exchange, February futures for Brent crude oil advanced 14 cents (0.13 percent) to $112.12/bbl. (NYSEARCA:BNO).  Joe Friday – Commodities Working on a Breakout

February gold futures advanced $1.10 (0.09 percent) to $1,213.40 per ounce (NYSEARCA:GLD).

Transports were stuck in snowbound traffic on Friday, as the Dow Jones Transportation Average (NYSEARCA:IYT) declined 0.17 percent.

In Japan, the exchange rate for the yen returned to its role as the dominant factor in stock market activity.  Japanese stocks advanced as the yen weakened to 104.98 per dollar during Friday’s trading session in Tokyo.  A weaker yen causes Japanese exports to be more competitively priced in foreign markets (NYSEARCA:FXY).  The Nikkei 225 Stock Average advanced 0.03 percent to 16,178 (NYSEARCA:EWJ).

Stocks rallied in mainland China after the seven-day repurchase rate dropped to 5.09 percent, easing the persistent concerns about liquidity, which have been keeping the Shanghai Composite Index below its 50-day moving average (currently at 2,165) since December 16.  The Shanghai Composite Index jumped 1.36 percent to 2,101 (NYSEARCA:FXI).  Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index advanced 0.27 percent to 23,243 (NYSEARCA:EWH).

Stocks advanced in Europe, as…
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Stocks Climb as Weekly Unemployment Claims Fall

Courtesy of John Nyaradi.

Stocks continued to reach new record highs on Thursday, as initial unemployment claims dropped significantly.

Stocks had yet another reason to reach new record highs on Thursday, after the Department of Labor reported that for the week ending Stocks, ETF, Daily Market Wrap, SPX, SPX Chart, NYSEARCA:DIA, NYSEARCA:SPY, NASDAQ:QQQ, NYSEARCA:IWM, NYSEARCA:USODecember 21, initial unemployment claims dropped by 42,000 to 338,000.  A Timely Decline in New Jobless Claims

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSEARCA:DIA) picked up 122 points to finish Thursday’s trading session at a new, record-high close of 16,479.88 for a 0.75 percent advance, after hitting a record intraday high of 16,483.00.  The S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) climbed 0.47 percent to a record-high closing level of 1,842.02, after hitting a new record intraday high of 1,842.84.

The Nasdaq 100 (NASDAQ:QQQ) advanced 0.33 percent to finish at 3,584.  The Russell 2000 (NYSEARCA:IWM) rose 0.07 percent to end the day with a record-high close at  1,162.65.  Stock Trading Alert:  Stocks Ought to Extend Rally

In other major markets, oil (NYSEARCA:USO) advanced 0.45 percent to close at $35.65.

On London’s ICE Futures Europe Exchange, February futures for Brent crude oil advanced 12 cents (0.11 percent) to $112.02/bbl. (NYSEARCA:BNO).

February gold futures advanced $6.70 (0.56 percent) to $1,210.00 per ounce (NYSEARCA:GLD).

Transports were flying high enough to benefit from weightlessness on Thursday, as the Dow Jones Transportation Average (NYSEARCA:IYT) climbed 0.31 percent.

In Japan, stocks climbed to a six-year high as the nation’s program of not taxing investment accounts took effect.  The Nippon Individual Savings Account program allows for a five-year hiatus from taxes on capital gains and dividends from stocks, mutual funds and ETFs.  The yen weakened to 104.82 per dollar just before Thursday’s closing bell in Tokyo.  A weaker yen causes Japanese exports to be more competitively priced in foreign markets (NYSEARCA:FXY).  The Nikkei 225 Stock Average jumped 1.03 percent to 16,174 (NYSEARCA:EWJ).

Stocks slumped in mainland China as investors were in a bearish mood on Thursday, after the nation’s central bank refused to inject more funds into the money market.  Persistent concerns about liquidity have been keeping the Shanghai Composite Index below its 50-day moving average since December 16.  The Xinhua News Agency reported that Xu Shaoshi, minister of the National Development and Reform…
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Stocks Climb as Santa Brings Upbeat Economic Data

Courtesy of John Nyaradi.

Stocks continued their routine of reaching new record highs after Tuesday’s economic reports beat expectations.

Stocks climbed higher on Tuesday as Santa brought more upbeat economic news.  The Commerce Department’s Census Bureau reported that Stocks, ETF, Daily Market Wrap, SPX, SPX Chart, NYSEARCA:DIA, NYSEARCA:SPY, NASDAQ:QQQ, NYSEARCA:IWM, NYSEARCA:USONew Home Sales in November were at a seasonally-adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 464,000.  Economists were expecting a SAAR of 450,000.  Although the number represented a decline from October’s SAAR of 474,000, the November reading is slightly more than 16 percent above the November 2012 SAAR of 398,000.

The Census Bureau also reported the new orders for durable goods increased 3.5 percent during November to $241.6 billion.  Economists were expecting a less-significant. 2.0 percent advance.  So-called “core capital goods” which exclude defense spending and aircraft purchases, rose 4.5 percent, for the most significant advance since January.  Core capital goods expenditures are seen as a forward-looking economic indicator, which signal whether businesses plan to expand in the near future.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSEARCA:DIA) picked up 62 points to finish Tuesday’s trading session at a new, record-high close of 16,357.55 for a 0.39 percent advance, after hitting a record intraday high of 16,360.60.  The S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) climbed 0.29 percent to close at an all-time high of 1,833.32.

The Nasdaq 100 (NASDAQ:QQQ) advanced 0.10 percent to finish at 3,572.  The Russell 2000 (NYSEARCA:IWM) climbed 0.40 percent to end the day with a record-high close at  1,161.80.

In other major markets, oil (NYSEARCA:USO) advanced 0.37 percent to close at $35.49.

On London’s ICE Futures Europe Exchange, February futures for Brent crude oil advanced 44 cents (0.39 percent) to $112.00/bbl. (NYSEARCA:BNO).

February gold futures advanced $7.40 (0.62 percent) to $1,204.40 per ounce (NYSEARCA:GLD).

Transports had to dodge Santa’s sleigh as they continued to fly higher on Tuesday, while the Dow Jones Transportation Average (NYSEARCA:IYT) climbed 0.36 percent.

In Japan, the exchange rate for the yen continued to be the dominant factor in stock market activity.  Japanese stocks advanced as the yen weakened to 104.22 per dollar.  A weaker yen causes Japanese exports to be more competitively priced in foreign markets (NYSEARCA:FXY).  The Nikkei 225 Stock Average advanced 0.10 percent to 15,889 (NYSEARCA:EWJ).

Stocks continued to regain strength in mainland China…
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Stocks Get Another Boost from Economic Data

Courtesy of John Nyaradi.

Stocks continued their routine of reaching new record highs after Monday’s economic reports encouraged investors.

Economic data pushed stock prices higher again on Monday, after Friday’s third estimate of third-quarter GDP from the Bureau of Economic Stocks, ETF, Daily Market Wrap, SPX, SPX Chart, NYSEARCA:DIA, NYSEARCA:SPY, NASDAQ:QQQ, NYSEARCA:IWM, NYSEARCA:USOAnalysis showed GDP expansion at a 4.1 percent annual rate.  On Monday, the final Thompson Reuters / University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for December held to the preliminary reading of 82.5, compared with November’s 75.1.  Nevertheless, the result fell a tad short of economists’ expectations for an increase to 83.0.

Also on Monday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis released its Personal Income and Outlays report for November.  The report indicated that “Real PCE” (personal consumption expenditures, adjusted to remove price changes) increased by 0.5 percent in November, consistent with economists’ expectations.  October’s increase was 0.4 percent.  Although personal income increased by 0.2 percent in November compared with October’s -0.1 percent, the November reading fell short of economists’ expectations for an increase of 0.5 percent.

The Chicago Federal Reserve National Activity Index (CFNAI) for November climbed to +0.60 from October’s -0.07.  More important, the CFNAI’s three month moving average rose to +0.25 from October’s +0.12 for the highest reading since February of 2012.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSEARCA:DIA) picked up 73 points to finish Monday’s trading session at a new, record-high close of 16,294.61 for a 0.45 percent advance, after hitting a record intraday high of 16,318.11.  The S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) climbed 0.53 percent to finish at a new, record-high closing level of 1,827.99, after hitting a record intraday high of 1,829.75.

The Nasdaq 100 (NASDAQ:QQQ) jumped 1.08 percent to finish at 3,569.  The Russell 2000 (NYSEARCA:IWM) soared 0.94 percent to end the day with a record-high close at 1,157.22 after hitting a new record intraday high of 1,213.49.  Welcome to the Santa Claus Rally

In other major markets, oil (NYSEARCA:USO) declined 0.34 percent to close at $35.36.

On London’s ICE Futures Europe Exchange, February futures for Brent crude oil declined 12 cents (0.11 percent) to $111.65/bbl. (NYSEARCA:BNO).

February gold futures declined $5.60 (0.47 percent) to $1,198.10 per ounce (NYSEARCA:GLD).

Transports had to increase cabin pressure as they continued to fly…
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Stock Market Bulls Likely To Pull Santa’s Sleigh

Courtesy of John Nyaradi.

The stock market’s bulls will likely pull Santa’s sleigh today

stocks, ETF, Daily Market Wrap, SPX, SPX Chart, NYSEARCA:DIA, NYSEARCA:SPY, NASDAQ:QQQ, NYSEARCA:IWM, NYSEARCA:USOThe Fortune Teller Speaks:

I predict a stock market rise as investors go bullish on the Holidays and New Year 2014.

All Eyes on Wall Street:

All eyes will likely not be focused on Wall Street this week, as the Holiday season will lower stock trading volume.  Still, we are due out for a plethora of data this week, so both the bulls and the bears have a chance to shine.  Today is the day of the consumer for economic data, as we are expecting the Personal Income, Consumer Spending, Core PCE Price Index, and University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment reports in the morning.  With the largest shopping season of the year coming to a close, bad data could surely bring out the bears for some Christmas dinner.

Hindsight is a Beach and We’re Playing on It:

Last Friday we got waxed in our predictions, with the S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) rising 48% to reach a new record, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSEARCA:DIA) rising .26% to reach  new record, and the NASDAQ 100 (NASDAQ:QQQ) rising 1.15%, not for a new record.  Investors appear frantic to make sure that we close out 2013 as high as possible, despite the fact that this market appears poised to roll over big time.

Fun Fact:

Watch Chuck Norris do the splits between two flying airplanes!

May the Bulls be With Us!

May the bulls be with us this trading day; Santa Claus is coming to town!

Click here to learn more about John’s book and for a free membership to Wall Street Sector Selector





 
 
 

Zero Hedge

UMich Consumer Sentiment Slumps To 6-Month Lows, Current Conditions Crash

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Following the collapse in Gallup's consumer confidence and Bloomberg's Consumer Comfort, UMich Consumer Senitment printed 90.7 (against expectations of a rise to 89.5 from 95.9). With May's preliminary print the biggest miss in 17 months, this final drop leaves Consumer Sentiment at its lowest since November 2014. Hope dropped from 88.8 to 84.2 but it was the collapse in Current conditions - which fell from 107 to 100.8 - that crushed the headline. This is the biggest plunge in current conditions since Summer 2011 (the US debt downgrade). Business expectatio...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

S&P 500 – Is it repeating the 2000 & 2007 topping pattern?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

Could the S&P 500 be pulling a repeat of the 2000-2007 topping process?

The chart above reflects that the tops in 2000 & 2007 were 7 years and 7 months apart. Is it possible that another top is taking place 7 years and 7 months from the 2007 high? As the S&P is facing this potential time window repeating pattern, it is also staring the Fibonacci 161% Extension resistance level based upon the 2007 highs and 2009 lows, at the top of a rising wedge.

Is the S&P the only market facing a breakout test? The chart below takes a look at the white hot DAX index.

...



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Phil's Favorites

Introducing the Zero Labor Factory (90% Free Actually); Robots at Chili's, Applebees, Panera

Courtesy of Mish.

In the strive for zero labor factories we are nearly there. Is 90% good enough?

China Daily reports Manufacturing Hub Starts Work on First Zero-Labor Factory.
A manufacturing hub in South China's Guangdong province has begun constructing the city's first zero-labor factory, a signal that the local authorities are bringing into effect its "robot assembling line" strategy.

Dongguan-based private company Everwin Precision Technology Ltd is pushing toward putting 1,000 robots in use in its first phase of the zero-labor project, China National Radio reported. It said the company has already put first 100 robots on the assembly line.

"The 'zero-labor factory' does not mean we will not employ any humans, but what it means is that we will sc...



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Chart School

STTG Market Recap May 28, 2015

Courtesy of Blain.

After 2 volatile days, a return to more calm on Thursday as the S&P 500 fell 0.13% and the NASDAQ 0.17%.  The daily Greek drama continues; IMF Managing Director Christine Lagare told a German newspaper that a Greek exit from the euro zone was possible but that this would probably not herald the end of the euro currency.  On Wednesday, both U.S. and European equities rallied after Greece said it had stated crafting a “staff level agreement” with its international bailout supervisors. However, European officials rebuked the claims on Thursday, saying there was some way to go before any agreement could be drawn up and that they were surprised by the upbeat sentiment from Greece.

Indexes look much the same as we entered the week.

...



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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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Sabrient

Sector Detector: Stocks provide a tepid breakout as Fed greases the skids. So now what?

Courtesy of Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics

Early last week, stocks broke out, with the S&P 500 setting a new high with blue skies overhead. But then the market basically flat-lined for the rest of the week as bulls just couldn’t gather the fuel and conviction to take prices higher. In fact, the technical picture now has turned a bit defensive, at least for the short term, thus joining what has been a neutral-to-defensive tilt to our fundamentals-based Outlook rankings.

In this weekly update, I give my view of the current market environment, offer a technical analysis of the S&P 500 chart, review our weekly fundamentals-based SectorCast rankings of the ten U.S. business sectors, and then offer up some actionable trading ideas, including a sector rotation strategy using ETFs and an enhanced version using top-ranked stocks from the t...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of May 24th, 2015

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Pharmboy

Big Pharma's Business Model is Changing

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Understanding the new normal of a business model is key to the success of any company.  The managment of companies need to adapt to the changing demand, but first they must recognize what changes are taking place.  Big Pharma's business model is changing rapidly, and much like the airline industry, there will be but a handful of pharma companies left at the end of this path.

Most Big Pharma companies have traditionally done everything from research and development (R&D) through to commercialisation themselves. Research was proprietary, and diseases were cherry picked on the back of academic research that was done using NIH grants.  This was in the heyday of research, where multiple companies had drugs for the same target (Mevocor, Zocor, Crestor, Lipitor), and could reap the rewards on multiple scales.  However, in the c...



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Digital Currencies

Nasdaq's bitcoin plan will provide a real test of bitcoin hype

 

Nasdaq's bitcoin plan will provide a real test of bitcoin hype

By 

Excerpt:

Bitcoin, the virtual digital currency, has been called the future of banking, a dangerous fad, and almost everything in between, but we're finally about to get some solid data to help settle the debate.

On Monday, the Nasdaq (NDAQ) stock exchange said it would ...



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Market Shadows

Kimble Charts: US Dollar

Which way from here?

Chris Kimble likes the idea of shorting the US dollar if it bounces higher. Phil's likes the dollar better long here. These views are not inconsistent, actually, the dollar could bounce and drop again. We'll be watching. 

 

Phil writes:  If the Fed begins to tighten OR if Greece defaults OR if China begins to fall apart OR if Japan begins to unwind, then the Dollar could move 10% higher.  Without any of those things happening – you still have the Fed pursuing a relatively stronger currency policy than the rest of the G8.  So, if anything, I think the pressure should be up, not down.  

 

UNLESS that 95 line does ultimately fail (as opposed to this being bullish consolidation at the prior breakout point), then I'd prefer to sell the UUP Jan $25 puts for $0.85 and buy the Sept $24 call...



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Mapping The Market

An update on oil proxies

Courtesy of Jean-Luc Saillard

Back in December, I wrote a post on my blog where I compared the performances of various ETFs related to the oil industry. I was looking for the best possible proxy to match the moves of oil prices if you didn't want to play with futures. At the time, I concluded that for medium term trades, USO and the leveraged ETFs UCO and SCO were the most promising. Longer term, broader ETFs like OIH and XLE might make better investment if oil prices do recover to more profitable prices since ETF linked to futures like USO, UCO and SCO do suffer from decay. It also seemed that DIG and DUG could be promising if OIH could recover as it should with the price of oil, but that they don't make a good proxy for the price of oil itself. 

Since...



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Promotions

Watch the Phil Davis Special on Money Talk on BNN TV!

Kim Parlee interviews Phil on Money Talk. Be sure to watch the replays if you missed the show live on Wednesday night (it was recorded on Monday). As usual, Phil provides an excellent program packed with macro analysis, important lessons and trading ideas. ~ Ilene

 

The replay is now available on BNN's website. For the three part series, click on the links below. 

Part 1 is here (discussing the macro outlook for the markets) Part 2 is here. (discussing our main trading strategies) Part 3 is here. (reviewing our pick of th...

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Help One Of Our Own PSW Members

"Hello PSW Members –

This is a non-trading topic, but I wanted to post it during trading hours so as many eyes can see it as possible.  Feel free to contact me directly at jennifersurovy@yahoo.com with any questions.

Last fall there was some discussion on the PSW board regarding setting up a YouCaring donation page for a PSW member, Shadowfax. Since then, we have been looking into ways to help get him additional medical services and to pay down his medical debts.  After following those leads, we are ready to move ahead with the YouCaring site. (Link is posted below.)  Any help you can give will be greatly appreciated; not only to help aid in his medical bill debt, but to also show what a great community this group is.

http://www.youcaring.com/medical-fundraiser/help-get-shadowfax-out-from-the-darkness-of-medical-bills-/126743

Thank you for you time!




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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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