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Protalix Biotherapeutics – Using Plants to Treat Human Disease

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Protalix (AMEX: PLX) is revolutionizing the development and manufacturing of recombinant therapeutic proteins through its ProCellEx™ plant cell-based protein expression system. The company is focused on the development and commercialization of a proprietary pipeline (Figure 1) of novel and biosimilar proteins that target large, established pharmaceutical markets and that rely upon known biological mechanisms of action. Protalix’s initial commercial focus is on complex therapeutic proteins for the treatment of genetic disorders, such as Gaucher disease and Fabry disease.

Protalix is also advancing other recombinant biopharmaceutical drug development programs, including a Tumor Necrosis Factor (TNF) inhibitor for inflammatory diseases. TNF inhibitors work by blocking the action of TNF, a cytokine – a small cell-signaling protein molecule – in the body that causes inflammation. (Pubmed Health)

Tumor necrosis factors (or the TNF-family) refers to a group of cytokines family that can cause cell death (apoptosis). TNF blockers include infliximab (Remicade), etancercept (Enbrel), adalimumab (Humira), certolizumab pegol (Cimzia) and golimumab (Simponi). (Wikipedia)

Protalix’s lead product is Uplyso (taliglucerase alfa) for the treatment of Gaucher’s disease. The treatment has orphan drug status in both the EU and US. The product is partnered with Pfizer. Gaucher’s disease is a genetic disease in which a fatty (lipid) substance accumulates in cells and certain organs. Patients (males and females) have a hereditary deficiency of the enzyme glucocerebrosidase (also known as acid β-glucosidase). This deficiency causes lipids to accumulate in cells, especially those of the immune system. Uplyso is a plant-cell expressed recombinant form of glucocerebrosidase which Protalix is developing for the treatment of Gaucher disease." (Drugs.com)

About 1 in 100 people in the United States are carriers of the most common type of Gaucher disease. The carrier rate among Ashkenazi Jews is 8.9% while the birth incidence is 1 in 450 (remember this!).

In clinical trials, data from Uplyso showed that it is as efficacious as Genzyme’s Cerezyme and Shire’s Vpriv. (See comparison table at Gekkowire’s terrific site.) During Genzyme’s manufacturing issues in 2009, patients were switched over to Uplyso under a Life Savings Use Program from the Department of Health.  As of November 2010, PLX submitted a Marketing Authorization Application (MAA) in the EU for Uplyso and the company is awaiting a ruling. 

In February 2011, PLX…
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Theravance – A GSK Love Affair

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

(This post has been updated)

(THRX) is a biopharmaceutical company that is involved in discovering, developing and commercializing small molecule medicines for respiratory diseases, bacterial infections, and central nervous system (CNS) pain.

Figure 1. Theravance Stock Price the last year.

 

While THRX has a mixed product pipeline, a majority of its pipeline (and future) is tied up with GSK in the treatment of asthma/COPD.

Asthma comes from a Greek word meaning "panting."  It is a common chronic inflammatory disease of the airways characterized by variable and recurring symptoms including wheezing, coughing, chest tightness, and shortness of breath. Doctors clinically classify asthma according to the frequency of symptoms, forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1), and peak expiratory flow rate.  Asthma can also be classified as atopic (extrinsic) or non-atopic (intrinsic).

                     Figure 2.  Normal vs. asthmatic lungs/bronchi.

The causes of asthma are thought to be a combination of genetic and environmental factors (e.g., allergens).  Treatment of acute symptoms is usually with an inhaled short-acting beta-2 agonist (such as salbutamol).  Recent global data estimate the asthma market to be valued at $12.4 billion in 2009. It is expected to grow with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 1.5% from $12.4 billion to $14 billion by 2017.

Figure 3.  Overlap of Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: Asthma, COPD, Bronchitis, Emphysema.

A brief description of the players in the asthma/COPD field are noted below, with GSK’s Advair and MRK’s Singulair owning a lion’s share of the market. 

GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) – I wrote about GSK here. GSK owes its market-leading position in the global respiratory market to Ventolin for the treatment of asthma over 30 years ago.  In 1990, the company developed and launched Serevent and Flixotide.  A combination of these two compounds is sold under the brand name Seretide (Advair).  The Advair combination drug consists of a corticosteroid (fluticasone) and a long-acting beta antagonist (salmeterol).  It is the dominant drug in the market, with 2010 sales of $7.94B billion. It will likely remain the market leader in the current generation of asthma medication.

AstraZeneca (AZN) – Symbicort (budesonide/formoterol) is a new asthma drug that was launched in the US in mid-2007. The sales in 2010…
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Accumulation – Time to Consider A Few Biotech Picks

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Seasonality stock rotation is nothing new to investors, and we at PSW have mainly stayed on the sideline in many biotech stocks for the past few months, knowing that late spring and early summer is not a time to start buying.  Come July and August, though, it is time to consider accumulating scientifically sound companies for potential rewards later. 

Figure 1. IBB 5 year weekly chart.

 

A few weeks ago, INCY and YMI were in a write-up and we jumped on the pullback in YMI’s stock price in member chat.  While it is early for YMI, I still like their chances and one can buy in on the stock and selling the Jan12 $2.5 calls and puts for $1.40.  INCY has a similar product that is further along, and the stock has had an impressive run up.  Many think they could be a takeover by LLY, and it is not out of the realm of possibility.  LLY has a horrible pipeline, and they need revenue…badly.  Time will tell if a deal is done. 

One of LLY’s biggest revenue generators is in the treatment of diabetes.  The next pick is more of a speculative bet on a new mechanism of action for this very large medical need, and one that LLY could also take advantage of in the future.

Diabetes is a group of metabolic diseases in which a person has high blood sugar, either because the body does not produce enough insulin, or because cells do not respond to the insulin that is produced. This high blood sugar produces the classical symptoms of polyuria (frequent urination), polydipsia (increased thirst) and polyphagia (increased hunger). 

There are three main types of diabetes:

  • Type 1 diabetes: results from the body’s failure to produce insulin, and presently requires the person to inject insulin. (Also referred to as insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus, IDDM for short, and juvenile diabetes.)
  • Type 2 diabetes: results from insulin resistance, a condition in which cells fail to use insulin properly, sometimes combined with an absolute insulin deficiency. (Formerly referred to as non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus, NIDDM for short, and adult-onset diabetes.)
  • Gestational diabetes: is when pregnant women, who have never had diabetes before, have a high blood glucose level during pregnancy. It may precede development of type 2 DM.

 

Treatment…
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The Change is Coming – Biotech Watchlist

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Over a year ago, I noted that the winds of change were coming for the pharmaceutical industry.  This week, a very good article came out in the Guardian that stated two of the largest firms in the business, GSK and AZN are getting out of the neuroscience business.  This is a huge blow to those that suffer from mental disorders such as bipolar, depression, anxiety, schizophrenia, OCD and the likes.    The reason for this, according to David Nutt, a professor of Neuropsychopharmacology at Imperial College in London, is:

Despite the public health imperative, not only has EU research funding remained very low, but – even worse – big pharma is increasingly coming to see research into better neuropsychiatric drug targets as economically non-viable.

There are a number of reasons why companies are leaving the field, according to the report. Medicines for brain disorders take longer to develop than for other conditions – on average, 13 years – and there is a high failure rate.

Figure 1. Prevalence of Mental Disorders in the US from NIMH.

The brain is one of the last unknowns of medicine.  It is a complex network of cells that interact to enable humans to hear, see, talk, feel, remember, experience emotion, and it controls our ‘biological clocks.’  I believe that the brain will be the ultimate frontier for personalized medicine.  Mental disorders need to be treated on an individual basis.  There is nothing worse than having a loved one or someone very close to you who suffers from these debilitating disorders.  The patients require time with a psychiatrist/psychologist to be properly diagnosed.  The varying treatment regimens take time, and in many cases patients will have to go on and off multiple medications until the right combination and dosages are attained.  The drug combinations can take years to complete and the patient must want to get better and those around must provide support and compassion that the patient requires for successful treatment.  Further, those close to the patient must try to understand that it is very hard for the patients to describe, with words, what they are experiencing.

The most important things are the hardest things to say. They are the things you get ashamed of, because


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Robert Reich – What’s Wrong With the Economy in 2 Minutes

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

By PragCap, with graph courtesy of Gordon T. Long

Robert Reich describes what’s wrong with the economy in 2 minutes. His bullet points (thanks to Stephanie Kelton):

  • The economy doubles since 1980, but wages flat.  Where did the money go…
  • All (or most) of the gains went to the super rich.  And…
  • With money comes political power.  Taxes on super rich slashed, revenues evaporate.  This leads to…
  • Huge budget deficits.  Middle class agitated, fights for scraps…
  • Middle class divided.  Buying and borrowing slow.  Resulting in:
  • Anemic recovery/economy.

I would add one very important point that Mr. Reich misses here:

The real destruction has come in the growth of the financialization of the US economy.  Since the 1970′s when the financialization of the USA began we have seen an increasing number of would-be entrepreneurs leave productive positions for Wall Street jobs where they largely help devise ways to help separate the middle class from their savings.  

As the country grew more and more wealthy in the 1980′s and 1990′s (thanks to entrepreneurs like Bill Gates) the problem compounded because the demand for Wall Street’s services expanded (higher wealth meant higher demand for protecting that wealth).  Wall Street convinces Main Street that the best way to protect their wealth is by giving it to them (2% at a time) and Main Street doesn’t know any better because they don’t (and still don’t) understand how the monetary system or the economic system in the USA actually works so they give their money to a trusted “expert”.  

…Now we all suffer because of this cannibalization of capitalism.

Full article by PragCap here.




United Therapeutics – Growth Engine for Cardiovascular Diseases

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Here’s a company that Pharmboy wrote up in April – with several updates.  The stock has been bouncing around the price it was trading at when Pharmboy first entered a long position, and he still likes this trade.   Caveat: Phil likes the idea of waiting for the company to "screw up" and the stock to drop lower before entering a position.

That’s why there are buyers and sellers, but there are not promises.- Ilene 

  United Therapeutics (UTHR) is a biotech company developing and selling pharmaceutical products for the treatment of cardiovascular disease. It has also been expanding into the viral and cancer arenas. The company has been profitable since ’04, and the stock has had a nice run since the market crash in 2008, rising from $24/share to its current price of around $64.50 (as of May 31, 2011). (Figure 1)

Figure 1. 2 yr stock price of UTHR

 

I think the stock still has strong potential to go higher.  The company has a market cap of almost $3.8B, a forward looking P/E value of 20, and a operating margin of 27%.  Revenue growth as been a whopping 52% year over year, and UTHR’s mainstay product, Remodulin, used to treat pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), is making in-roads into a very competitive field.  

As discussed in the company’s February earnings call, UTHR’s total revenue for the three months ended December 31, 2010, was $166.5 million, up from $108.9 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2009. Net income for the three months ended December 31, 2010, was $9.5 million or $0.17 per basic share, compared to a net loss of $3.3 million or $0.06 per basic share for the quarter ended December 31, 2009. For the year ended December 31, 2010 (Table 1), UTHR had net income of $105.9 million, or $1.89 per basic share and $1.78 per diluted share, compared to $19.5 million, or $0.37 per basic share and $0.35 per diluted share, for the year ended December 31, 2009.  Bottom line: revenues and income are growing rapidly!    

Table 1.  2009 vs. 2010 Revenues by Product    

  2009 2010
  in $M
Remodulin 332


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Personalized Medicine for the Masses

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Courtesy of Pharmboy at Phil’s Stock World 

This article was originally published at Phil’s Stock World, and has been updated.

Costs of everything from food, oil and medicine have been increasing for American consumers.  Health care is one expense that is increasing faster than inflation. Over the past 12 years, prescription drug prices have outpaced the two largest health care costs, hospital care and physician services (Figure 1).  However, pharmaceuticals only make up 10% of all health care costs, while hospital and doctor costs make up 52% of the total $2.3T (Figure 2).  More effective prescription drugs and vaccines have transformed health care over the last several decades and many health problems have been prevented, cured, or managed effectively through the use of these agents.1 In some cases, the use of prescription medicines have kept people from more expensive options such as hospitalization and/or surgery.  

Figure 1.  Percent increases of Prescription Drugs, Hospital Care and Physicians (2010, Kaiser)

Figure 2.  Health Care Costs (2010, Kaiser)

Total = $2.3 Trillion
Source: Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary, National Health Statistics Group.

The pharmaceutical industry is headed for a patent expiration cliff, as I pointed out last year (here). The NY Times wrote covered this problem recently (here).  Pharmaceuticals make up a big part of our life. In 2007, 90% of seniors and 58% of non-elderly adults relied on a prescription medicine on a regular basis.2 While the public demands safe, effective drugs, the costs to bring these medications to market keep increasing.  Development costs have soared according to a recent analysis by Tufts.  Tuffs’ research showed a 64% increase in the cost to discover and bring a new drug (not a reformulation or recombination of an existing drug) to market from $802M in 2000 to $1,320M in 2006.  The Pharmaceutical industry must recoup the R&D costs for drugs that make it to market, as well as those that do not.  Only one in five drugs that enter the clinical testing process receive FDA approval and are brought to market.The pharmaceutical industry must reinvent itself, and I think personalized medicine will be part of its reinvention and the next wave to take the industry by storm.

Personalized medicine is about devising a treatment plan as individualized…
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Chart School

The ''Real'' Goods on the Latest Durable Goods Orders

Courtesy of Doug Short.

Earlier this morning I posted an update on the May Advance Report on April Durable Goods Orders. This Census Bureau series dates from 1992 and is not adjusted for either population growth or inflation.

Let's now review the same data with two adjustments. In the charts below the red line shows the goods orders divided by the Census Bureau's monthly population data, giving us durable goods orders per capita. The blue line goes a step further and adjusts for inflation based on the Producer Price Index, chained in today's dollar value. This gives us the "real" durable goods orders per capita. The snapshots below offer a quite sobering corrective to the standard reports on the nominal monthly data (which itself was significantly below expectations).

...

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Zero Hedge

The GEURO: "The Only Winners Are Foreign Banks"

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

In a brief though detailed clip, Stratfor's VP Peter Zeihan discusses the risk of contagion from Greece and the 'creative' - if not self-centered - suggestions for a solution to these problems. Earlier in the week we described Deutsche's suggestion of a dual currency - the GEURO - and that is where Zeihan focuses, noting that "The Greek economy is as deliciously non-competitive as the German economy is hyper-competitive" - this mismatch is the core of the crisis. The GEURO (tradin...



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Insider Scoop

New York Stock Exchange Spokesperson Says There Have Been No Discussions with Facebook About Switching

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Rich Adamonis, NYSE (NYSE: NYX) spokesperson told Benzinga "In response to incorrect reports re: NYX and Facebook (NDAQ: FB): There have been no discussions with Facebook regarding switching their listing in light of the events of the last week, nor do we think a discussion along those lines would be appropriate at this time.”

document.write("") (c) 2012 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.


For more Benzinga, visit Benzinga Professional Service, ...

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Market Montage

Chinese, European Data Continues to Weaken as Market Potentially Forming New Bear Flag

Submitted by Mark Hanna

Courtesy of MarketMontage. View original post here.

First we'll go to the technicals.  Back in mid April I had opined a 'bear flag' formation was being created. [Apr 17, 2012: Potential Bear Flag Forming]  But the market being the difficult beast it is, head faked everyone and rather than a break down from said flag it first went UP and nearly touched yearly highs.  This caused everyone to think the bear flag had failed…. only to lead to a horrid May in the market.  Generally a bear flag will resolve relatively quickly but the longer...



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Sabrient

Sector Detector: New “Grecian Formula” is making us all gray

Courtesy of Scott Martindale, Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics

Despite the fact that U.S. equities are well-positioned and well-supported to go up, once again it is the headlines out of Europe—especially Greece—that are scaring off investors. Some are saying that it is now likely (and even desirable) that Greece will default on all its sovereign debt, withdraw from the euro, and severely devalue its domestic currency (Drachma?). This will allow them to operate a balanced budget while pumping cash into growth initiatives, rather than suffer the ravages of Germany-mandated austerity.

Some say, so what? Greece makes up only about 2% of the Eurozone’s overall economy. Nevertheless, you might say that this new “Grecian Formula” is creating the opposite effect to the men’s hair product, i.e.., rather than losing the gray we are al...



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Phil's Favorites

Rumors and Denials of Rumors

Courtesy of Russ Winter of Winter Watch at Wall Street Examiner

The market rallied higher once again on more rumors (some kind of unworkable bank deposit scheme: what Europe’s loan-deposit ratios look like), and denials of yesterday’s rumors (L-Pap now says Greece to say in EU, blah, blah).  The second chart shows what’s involved with PIIGS banking deposits.  Using hook theory,  trading rumors is the modus operandi, and not just plain rumors; but rather, inside-job rumors.  It’s only a matter of time before this market collapses, but one has to slough through the rigged foul stench along the way. Fund managers scramble all over themselves to load up on “safe” German Bunds and US Treasuries [...



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ETF Selector

Markets Die Then Flatten…Again (SPY, DIA, QQQ, IWM, FB)

Courtesy of John Nyaradi.

Markets died and then rallied to flat again as European leaders “prepared contingencies” for a possible Grexit

Markets died hard and fast earlier today as major indexes registered as much as 1.5% of losses after news that Euro zone officials were unofficially “preparing contingencies” for a Greek exit from the Euro.  Unofficial statements were not enough to keep markets down however, as major indexes rallied back to flat levels by the end of the day.

So the world continues to wait on Europe, as the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEACA:SPY) gained .05%, the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSEARCA:...



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Option Review

AT&T Weekly Puts In Play

 

Today’s tickers: T, FXE & OI

T - AT&T, Inc. – U.S. equities are on the decline as Europe’s woes once again take center stage. Shares in AT&T, down 0.90% at $33.24 this afternoon, are faring better than most of the other Dow components so far, though options activity on the wireless carrier suggests some strategists are bracing for further declines ahead of the long w...



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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of May 21st, 2012

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here

Optrader 

...

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Stock World Weekly

Stock World Weekly: Test Issue

NEW: Ilene is available to chat with Members regarding topics presented in SWW, comments are found below each post.

Here is this week's test version of the latest newsletter. We apologize for some formatting issues that need to be worked out. Please tell us what you think. 

Click on Stock World Weekly here, and sign in/sign up.

...

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Pharmboy

Big Pharma - Where Are We Now?

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

In this article, please revisit an article written two years ago titled, "The Calm Before the Storm."  This article focused on the patent cliff that was looming in the pharmaceutical industry, that was later picked up by the New York Times and several other bloggers!  Subsequent articles were written about big pharma company's revenue streams, and the pros and cons of of their later stage pipelines.  Other articles have also attempted to identify smaller biotechs with the potential to reap big reward...



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IRA Strategy/Income Trader

Weekend Virtual Portfolio Update 2/26/2012

My last weekend update is dated from January 30 so after a long hiatus, here is an update of our virtual portfolio. Since the last update, we have closed the AA Money portfolio due to a lack of enthusiasm (and activity) and I have stopped tracking the FAS strangle as the low VIX makes it hard to get rewarded for the risk! But we have added a small $5KP virtual portfolio which does not use any margin. FAS Money We have had to recover from a big move up by FAS and a low VIX which keeps option prices low. But the portfolio has gaine about 10% since the last update. Last update P&L - $5499.00 IWM Money Not a lot of activity in this portfolio where the main focus is on the large IWM BCS. But the portfolio has grown over 20% since the last update. Last update P&L - $1998.00 $5KP Portfolio This is the virtual portfolio that replaced the AA Money portfolio. It does not use margin and we will keep holdings under $5K. AAPL $50K P...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the Favorites backup site (blogroll, archives, more). Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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