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Sabrient Divers – 05/19/2012


Top 5 Divers

Stock Rating Analysis
CYMI STRONGSELL Expectations for Cymer are decreasing along with projected valuation.
APL STRONGSELL Degradation in recent earnings and declining long term growth prospects are pushing Atlas Pipeline lower and lower in our stack.
XPO STRONGSELL Degradation in recent earnings and declining long term growth prospects are pushing Express-1 lower and lower in our stack.
AZN STRONGSELL Expectations for AstraZeneca are decreasing along with projected valuation.
CME SELL A consensus is building that CME is showing weakening near term and long term prospects.



Sabrient Risers – 5/19/2012


Top 5 Risers

Stock Rating Analysis
AIG BUY An increasingly positive growth rate of past earnings, along with improving expectations for long term growth, make AIG a good prospect for high returns.
KRO STRONGBUY Kronos Worldwide has been gaining recognition from analysts as a good canditate for achieving higher than expected earnings along with higher overall projected valuation.
ELX BUY An increasingly attractive expected long term growth rate and a significantly higher projected valuation from just a few weeks ago make Emulex a company to watch.
NCS BUY The recent earnings history for NCI Building Systems shows significant improvement while projected valuation continues to rise.
ARII STRONGBUY The projected value for American Railcar is still rising quickly even though past earnings have already improved significantly.



Sabrient Divers – 05/18/2012


Top 5 Divers

Stock Rating Analysis
APL STRONGSELL Degradation in recent earnings and declining long term growth prospects are pushing Atlas Pipeline lower and lower in our stack.
CYMI STRONGSELL Expectations for Cymer are decreasing along with projected valuation.
XPO STRONGSELL Degradation in recent earnings and declining long term growth prospects are pushing Express-1 lower and lower in our stack.
AZN STRONGSELL Expectations for AstraZeneca are decreasing along with projected valuation.
CMP SELL Expectations for Compass Minerals are decreasing along with projected valuation.



Sabrient Risers – 5/18/2012


Top 5 Risers

Stock Rating Analysis
ELX BUY Projected value continues to rise for Emulex while long term increases in earnings growth are also becoming more widely expected.
KRO STRONGBUY Kronos Worldwide has been gaining recognition from analysts as a good canditate for achieving higher than expected earnings along with higher overall projected valuation.
AIG BUY An increasingly positive growth rate of past earnings, along with improving expectations for long term growth, make AIG a good prospect for high returns.
NCS BUY The recent earnings history for NCI Building Systems shows significant improvement while projected valuation continues to rise.
ARII STRONGBUY Projected value continues to rise for American Railcar while long term increases in earnings growth are also becoming more widely expected.



Sector Detector: Confused investors are saying, “It’s all Greek to me”

Courtesy of Scott Martindale, Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics

When something is confusing or incomprehensible, a person might say, “It’s all Greek to me.” Well, that’s exactly what investors have been saying for the past several days—in the market’s inimitable way. Despite promising economic and corporate news in the U.S., the headline risk from Europe has been just too much to bear. It is keeping the bulls at bay, and front and center for an encore performance is Greece.

I guess the Greeks couldn’t stand losing their global limelight to Spain and Italy. Greece is like that pesky cousin who always stops by unannounced to bum a free meal and “borrow” a few bucks (and light up a cigarette in your living room before heading out).

They have not been able to put together a political coalition to run the government, so the likelihood of them having to drop out of the euro is steadily rising. Now we must await another round of elections slated for June 17, while bond rates in Spain and Italy rise. If Greece refuses to make mandated spending cuts after the new elections, which is likely given that anti-austerity candidates are likely to gain even more support the next time around, they may lose their bailout and get kicked out of the euro club. Many experts think such an occurrence would be devastating to the EU and UK.

The resulting weakness in the euro vs. the U.S. dollar has been a negative for U.S. equities and good for bonds. Looking at the U.S. sector iShares this week, Financial (IYF) and Materials (IYM) have been the weaklings, while defensive sectors Healthcare (IYH) and Consumer Goods (IYK) have held up pretty well. The PowerShares US Dollar Fund (UUP) and iShares Barclays 20-Year Treasury Fund (TLT) are both up this week.

But this correction seems like a developing buying opportunity to me. The only question in my mind is how much pain investors will have to endure before the market rebounds.

Bonds have become wildly overvalued relative to stocks. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield is near its all-time low as money flees Europe in favor of the relative safety of the U.S. So, there is no shortage of liquidity in this country…and the Fed has pledged to make sure it stays that way.

Despite some extremely worrisome developments last week, including European elections,…
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Sabrient Divers – 05/17/2012


Top 5 Divers

Stock Rating Analysis
APL STRONGSELL Degradation in recent earnings and declining long term growth prospects are pushing Atlas Pipeline lower and lower in our stack.
CYMI STRONGSELL Expectations for Cymer are decreasing along with projected valuation.
XPO STRONGSELL Degradation in recent earnings and declining long term growth prospects are pushing Express-1 lower and lower in our stack.
AZN STRONGSELL Expectations for AstraZeneca are decreasing along with projected valuation.
CMP SELL Expectations for Compass Minerals are decreasing along with projected valuation.



Sabrient Risers – 5/17/2012


Top 5 Risers

Stock Rating Analysis
ELX BUY An increasingly attractive expected long term growth rate and a significantly higher projected valuation from just a few weeks ago make Emulex a company to watch.
AIG BUY An increasingly positive growth rate of past earnings, along with improving expectations for long term growth, make AIG a good prospect for high returns.
KRO STRONGBUY Kronos Worldwide is gaining higher expectations and its recent history of its earnings increases is significant.
NCS BUY NCI Building Systems has shown significant advances in achieving substantial earnings growth recently, and analysts also appear confident these higher earnings will continue to grow in the near future.
ARII STRONGBUY Projected value continues to rise for American Railcar while long term increases in earnings growth are also becoming more widely expected.



Sabrient Divers – 05/16/2012


Top 5 Divers

Stock Rating Analysis
APL STRONGSELL Recent earnings changes for Atlas Pipeline are troublesome, as is a sinking projected valuation.
CYMI STRONGSELL Expectations for Cymer are decreasing along with projected valuation.
XPO STRONGSELL Recent earnings changes for Express-1 are troublesome, as is a sinking projected valuation.
AZN STRONGSELL We project an unfortunate decrease in value for AstraZeneca, and we’re not alone in this opinion as other analysts are also reducing expectations.
CMP SELL Expectations for Compass Minerals are decreasing along with projected valuation.



Sabrient Risers – 5/16/2012


Top 5 Risers

Stock Rating Analysis
AIG BUY The long term projected growth rate for AIG is rising, and this is happenening at a time when historical earnings have already increased significantly.
ELX BUY An increasingly attractive expected long term growth rate and a significantly higher projected valuation from just a few weeks ago make Emulex a company to watch.
NCS BUY The recent earnings history for NCI Building Systems shows significant improvement while projected valuation continues to rise.
HLF STRONGBUY Herbalife has shown a remarkable increase in projected value recently, with the majority of analysts expecting higher than previously expected earnings.
ARII STRONGBUY American Railcar has shown a remarkable increase in projected value recently, with the majority of analysts expecting higher than previously expected earnings.



Sabrient Divers – 05/15/2012


Top 5 Divers

Stock Rating Analysis
AVP STRONGSELL We project an unfortunate decrease in value for Avon, and we’re not alone in this opinion as other analysts are also reducing expectations.
APL STRONGSELL Recent earnings changes for Atlas Pipeline are troublesome, as is a sinking projected valuation.
CYMI STRONGSELL A consensus is building that Cymer is showing weakening near term and long term prospects.
AZN STRONGSELL We project an unfortunate decrease in value for AstraZeneca, and we’re not alone in this opinion as other analysts are also reducing expectations.
XPO STRONGSELL Recent earnings changes for Express-1 are troublesome, as is a sinking projected valuation.



 

Zero Hedge

Europeans Betting Millions That Facebook Will Plunge Another 30% By December

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

While US banks have been busy refocusing their "creative financial products"-time over the past two months, instead defending against allegations of muppetism, or explaining how hedging is really betting it all on red, and then doubling down (just because the casino supposedly has the bank's back), Europe has been busy coming up with new and creative ways of betting on the demise of FaceBook. While official shorting of the most overhyped and overvalued company in history only became a reality for most investors today, Europe's banks h...



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Chart School

The ''Real'' Goods on the Latest Durable Goods Orders

Courtesy of Doug Short.

Earlier this morning I posted an update on the May Advance Report on April Durable Goods Orders. This Census Bureau series dates from 1992 and is not adjusted for either population growth or inflation.

Let's now review the same data with two adjustments. In the charts below the red line shows the goods orders divided by the Census Bureau's monthly population data, giving us durable goods orders per capita. The blue line goes a step further and adjusts for inflation based on the Producer Price Index, chained in today's dollar value. This gives us the "real" durable goods orders per capita. The snapshots below offer a quite sobering corrective to the standard reports on the nominal monthly data (which itself was significantly below expectations).

...

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Insider Scoop

New York Stock Exchange Spokesperson Says There Have Been No Discussions with Facebook About Switching

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Rich Adamonis, NYSE (NYSE: NYX) spokesperson told Benzinga "In response to incorrect reports re: NYX and Facebook (NDAQ: FB): There have been no discussions with Facebook regarding switching their listing in light of the events of the last week, nor do we think a discussion along those lines would be appropriate at this time.”

document.write("") (c) 2012 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.


For more Benzinga, visit Benzinga Professional Service, ...

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Market Montage

Chinese, European Data Continues to Weaken as Market Potentially Forming New Bear Flag

Submitted by Mark Hanna

Courtesy of MarketMontage. View original post here.

First we'll go to the technicals.  Back in mid April I had opined a 'bear flag' formation was being created. [Apr 17, 2012: Potential Bear Flag Forming]  But the market being the difficult beast it is, head faked everyone and rather than a break down from said flag it first went UP and nearly touched yearly highs.  This caused everyone to think the bear flag had failed…. only to lead to a horrid May in the market.  Generally a bear flag will resolve relatively quickly but the longer...



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Sabrient

Sector Detector: New “Grecian Formula” is making us all gray

Courtesy of Scott Martindale, Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics

Despite the fact that U.S. equities are well-positioned and well-supported to go up, once again it is the headlines out of Europe—especially Greece—that are scaring off investors. Some are saying that it is now likely (and even desirable) that Greece will default on all its sovereign debt, withdraw from the euro, and severely devalue its domestic currency (Drachma?). This will allow them to operate a balanced budget while pumping cash into growth initiatives, rather than suffer the ravages of Germany-mandated austerity.

Some say, so what? Greece makes up only about 2% of the Eurozone’s overall economy. Nevertheless, you might say that this new “Grecian Formula” is creating the opposite effect to the men’s hair product, i.e.., rather than losing the gray we are al...



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Phil's Favorites

Rumors and Denials of Rumors

Courtesy of Russ Winter of Winter Watch at Wall Street Examiner

The market rallied higher once again on more rumors (some kind of unworkable bank deposit scheme: what Europe’s loan-deposit ratios look like), and denials of yesterday’s rumors (L-Pap now says Greece to say in EU, blah, blah).  The second chart shows what’s involved with PIIGS banking deposits.  Using hook theory,  trading rumors is the modus operandi, and not just plain rumors; but rather, inside-job rumors.  It’s only a matter of time before this market collapses, but one has to slough through the rigged foul stench along the way. Fund managers scramble all over themselves to load up on “safe” German Bunds and US Trea...



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ETF Selector

Markets Die Then Flatten…Again (SPY, DIA, QQQ, IWM, FB)

Courtesy of John Nyaradi.

Markets died and then rallied to flat again as European leaders “prepared contingencies” for a possible Grexit

Markets died hard and fast earlier today as major indexes registered as much as 1.5% of losses after news that Euro zone officials were unofficially “preparing contingencies” for a Greek exit from the Euro.  Unofficial statements were not enough to keep markets down however, as major indexes rallied back to flat levels by the end of the day.

So the world continues to wait on Europe, as the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEACA:SPY) gained .05%, the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSEARCA:...



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Option Review

AT&T Weekly Puts In Play

 

Today’s tickers: T, FXE & OI

T - AT&T, Inc. – U.S. equities are on the decline as Europe’s woes once again take center stage. Shares in AT&T, down 0.90% at $33.24 this afternoon, are faring better than most of the other Dow components so far, though options activity on the wireless carrier suggests some strategists are bracing for further declines ahead of the long w...



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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of May 21st, 2012

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here

Optrader 

...

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Stock World Weekly

Stock World Weekly: Test Issue

NEW: Ilene is available to chat with Members regarding topics presented in SWW, comments are found below each post.

Here is this week's test version of the latest newsletter. We apologize for some formatting issues that need to be worked out. Please tell us what you think. 

Click on Stock World Weekly here, and sign in/sign up.

...

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Pharmboy

Big Pharma - Where Are We Now?

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

In this article, please revisit an article written two years ago titled, "The Calm Before the Storm."  This article focused on the patent cliff that was looming in the pharmaceutical industry, that was later picked up by the New York Times and several other bloggers!  Subsequent articles were written about big pharma company's revenue streams, and the pros and cons of of their later stage pipelines.  Other articles have also attempted to identify smaller biotechs with the potential to reap big reward...



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IRA Strategy/Income Trader

Weekend Virtual Portfolio Update 2/26/2012

My last weekend update is dated from January 30 so after a long hiatus, here is an update of our virtual portfolio. Since the last update, we have closed the AA Money portfolio due to a lack of enthusiasm (and activity) and I have stopped tracking the FAS strangle as the low VIX makes it hard to get rewarded for the risk! But we have added a small $5KP virtual portfolio which does not use any margin. FAS Money We have had to recover from a big move up by FAS and a low VIX which keeps option prices low. But the portfolio has gaine about 10% since the last update. Last update P&L - $5499.00 IWM Money Not a lot of activity in this portfolio where the main focus is on the large IWM BCS. But the portfolio has grown over 20% since the last update. Last update P&L - $1998.00 $5KP Portfolio This is the virtual portfolio that replaced the AA Money portfolio. It does not use margin and we will keep holdings under $5K. AAPL $50K P...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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