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Stock World Weekly

Newsletter writers are available to chat with Members regarding topics presented in SWW, comments are found below each post.

The newest Stock World Weekly is ready. Click here for the this weekend's reading and sign in with your PSW user name and password. 

Picture credit: AnnaER at Pixabay. 





The Biggest Threat to U.S. Jobs: “The Contestability Nightmare”

Outside the Box: The Biggest Threat to U.S. Jobs: “The Contestability Nightmare”

By John Mauldin

Today’s Outside the Box comes from Sam Rines of Chilton Capital Management in Houston, TX – a promising young economics contributor to The National Interest and a rising star who I met at Worth Wray’s wedding a few weeks ago.

Worth and Sam have developed a friendship over the past several months, and it didn’t take much convincing from Worth to get me to share Sam’s latest article with you. Sam’s work speaks for itself and I am very impressed by his insights on a wide range of economic issues – from the evolution of Fed policy and growing risk of a rising US dollar, to the long-awaited industrialization of India.

In his latest piece, Sam alerts us to a breakdown in the Federal Reserve’s full-employment mandate (one leg of its dual mandate, the other being stable prices). In a normal recovery, Sam reminds us, “[W]age growth and the labor market move together in a lagged fashion – the labor market heals and tightens, followed by wage increases as labor becomes increasingly scarce. But this has not happened during the current recovery, and it has not occurred economy-wide in quite some time.”

But why the breakdown? Janet Yellen herself points to growing inequality. Here’s Yellen (as quoted by Sam): “[W]idening inequality resumed in the recovery, as the stock market rebounded, wage growth and the healing of the labor market have been slow, and the increase in home prices has not fully restored the housing wealth lost by the large majority of households for which it is their primary asset.”

But again, why – why the laggardly wage growth? Sam drills down and finds the problem rooted in what he (and others) are calling the “contestability” of many US jobs, and especially those of middle-skilled workers, whose jobs are liable to international outsourcing or antiquation by computer technology (robotic or otherwise). To make matters worse, much of the post-Great Recession job growth has come in the form of low-paying and part-time work. Thus we have the “hollowing out of the middle class,” which is tantamount to saying that the middle is slipping down the wage ladder, even as those…
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Stock World Weekly

Newsletter writers are available to chat with Members regarding topics presented in SWW, comments are found below each post.

The latest Stock World Weekly is now available. Sign in with your PSW user name and password.

This week, we note a few trades ideas: USO, YHOO and IBM are at play at PSW. 

 

 





Stock World Weekly

Newsletter writers are available to chat with Members regarding topics presented in SWW, comments are found below each post.

Stock World Weekly is available now. Click on this link and sign in with your PSW user name and password. Or you may take a free trial here. 

In this week's edition, Phil outlines option trade ideas for AAPL, GILD and CMG. 

Picture by Stux at Pixabay. 





Time is running out! Join us in Vegas!

Welcome to Las Vegas!

Join us for the PSW Conference where you'll learn:

  • To BE THE HOUSE – Not the Gambler!!!  
  • How to critically analyze today's markets and economy
  • What strategies to apply to the current market conditions
  • When to hold your trades and when to fix them for bigger gains
  • How to use futures to leverage portfolio returns
  • How to incorporate fundamental analysis for long-term wins
  • The investing trends that will matter next year
  • Our top stock picks for 2015!!!

 

Highlights include:

  • Meet our members and authors at our Annual Nobu Dinner on Saturday (optional)
  • Try to beat Phil in our Poker Tournament (Saturday, optional)
  • Live Education Session Sunday, Nov 9th, 10am – 4pm (Brunch provided.)
  • Dinner at Rao's on Sunday night (optional)
  • Live Market Session Monday, Nov 10th, 6am – 1pm (Breakfast provided.)

 

We're getting special room rates for the Nobu Tower at Caesar's Palace and for Bally's Hotel and Casino as well. (We will send you special reservation information when you register.)

 

Nobu Hotel King RoomRoom Rates are:

  • 5-Star Nobu Hotel (in Caesar's Palace) - Deluxe King room - Saturday and Sunday – just $239/night
  • Bally's (across the street from Caesar's) – Saturday and Sunday – $99/night

 

(For those of your planning to stay longer, either before or after the conference, they're extending a special rate for us for weekdays as well. As it fluctuates with their availability, we don't have a solid price, but it expected to be around $159/night at the Nobu Tower.)

 

Price for BOTH days of the Seminar are: $699 (12 left at this rate):

 

SIGN UP to Join Us HERE!

 

 

 


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There’s still time to JOIN US in LAS VEGAS!

Welcome to Las Vegas!

Join us for the PSW Conference where you'll learn:

  • To BE THE HOUSE – Not the Gambler!!!  
  • How to critically analyze today's markets and economy
  • What strategies to apply to the current market conditions
  • When to hold your trades and when to fix them for bigger gains
  • How to use futures to leverage portfolio returns
  • How to incorporate fundamental analysis for long-term wins
  • The investing trends that will matter next year
  • Our top stock picks for 2015

 

Highlights include:

  • Meet our members and authors at our Annual Nobu Dinner on Saturday (optional)
  • Try to beat Phil in our Poker Tournament (Saturday, optional)
  • Live Education Session Sunday, Nov 9th, 10am – 4pm (Brunch provided.)
  • Live Market Session Monday, Nov 10th, 6am – 1pm (Breakfast provided.)

 

We're getting special room rates for the Nobu Tower at Caesar's Palace and for Bally's Hotel and Casino as well. (We will send you special reservation information when you register.)

 

Nobu Hotel King RoomRoom Rates are:

  • 5-Star Nobu Hotel (in Caesar's Palace) - Deluxe King room - Saturday and Sunday – just $239/night
  • Bally's (across the street from Caesar's) – Saturday and Sunday – $99/night

 

(For those of your planning to stay longer, either before or after the conference, they're extending a special rate for us for weekdays as well. As it fluctuates with their availability, we don't have a solid price, but it expected to be around $159/night at the Nobu Tower.)

 

Price for BOTH days of the Seminar are: $699 (15 left at this rate):

 

SIGN UP to Join Us HERE!

 

 

 


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Stock World Weekly

Newsletter writers are available to chat with Members regarding topics presented in SWW, comments are found below each post.

Here's the latest Stock World Weekly. Enjoy!

(As usual, use your PSW user name and password to sign in. You may also take a free trial.) 

 

 





JOIN US for the PhilStockWorld Las Vegas Conference! Nov 9th & 10th, 2014

Welcome to Las Vegas!

Join us for the PSW Conference where you'll learn:

  • To BE THE HOUSE – Not the Gambler!!!  
  • How to critically analyze today's markets and economy
  • What strategies to apply to the current market conditions
  • When to hold your trades and when to fix them for bigger gains
  • How to use futures to leverage portfolio returns
  • How to incorporate fundamental analysis for long-term wins
  • The investing trends that will matter next year
  • Our top stock picks for 2015

 

Highlights include:

  • Meet our members and authors at our Annual Nobu Dinner on Saturday (optional)
  • Try to beat Phil in our Poker Tournament (Saturday, optional)
  • Live Education Session Sunday, Nov 9th, 10am – 4pm (Brunch provided.)
  • Live Market Session Monday, Nov 10th, 6am – 1pm (Breakfast provided.)

 

We're getting special room rates for the Nobu Tower at Caesar's Palace and for Bally's Hotel and Casino as well. (We will send you special reservation information when you register.)

 

Nobu Hotel King RoomRoom Rates are:

  • 5-Star Nobu Hotel (in Caesar's Palace) - Deluxe King room - Saturday and Sunday – just $239/night
  • Bally's (across the street from Caesar's) – Saturday and Sunday – $99/night

 

(For those of your planning to stay longer, either before or after the conference, they're extending a special rate for us for weekdays as well. As it fluctuates with their availability, we don't have a solid price, but it expected to be around $159/night at the Nobu Tower.)

 

Price for BOTH days of the Seminar are: $699 (20 left at this rate):

 

SIGN UP to Join Us HERE!

 

 

 

 


Tags: , , , , , , , , ,




Stock World Weekly

Newsletter writers are available to chat with Members regarding topics presented in SWW, comments are found below each post.

Here's this week's Stock World Weekly. Just sign in with your PSW user name and password. (Or take a free trial.)

 





Stock World Weekly

Newsletter writers are available to chat with Members regarding topics presented in SWW, comments are found below each post.

The latest Stock World Weekly is here. Click on this link and sign in with your PSW user name and password. 

Picture by Geralt at Pixabay.





 
 
 

Zero Hedge

LooTeRS!!!

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by williambanzai7.

...

more from Tyler

Phil's Favorites

Bloomberg Sensationalism and Inaccuracies Regarding "Forced Nationalization of Crimea"

Courtesy of Mish.

A few days ago a friend emailed the Bloomberg article Russia Delivers a New Shock to Crimean Business: Forced Nationalization.

I replied something along the lines of "interesting, but I am going to bounce this of Jacob Dreizin", a US citizen who provides frequent updates to me regarding Ukraine.

I also bounced the article off Pater Tenebrarum at the Acting Man blog. Pater commented ...
Russian oligarchs stealing stuff back from Ukrainian oligarchs would be my guess. I should add, the arbitrariness of this process is of course quite disturbing (regardless of the fact that Ukraine's oligarchs are a bunch of corrupt thieves). But this strikes me mainly as a case of politically motivated payback. The oligarchs all aligned themselv...



more from Ilene

Chart School

The Big Four Economic Indicators: Real Retail Sales

Courtesy of Doug Short.

Note from dshort: With yesterday's release of the Consumer Price Index for October, I've updated Real Retail Sales for October.

Official recession calls are the responsibility of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, which is understandably vague about the specific indicators on which they base their decisions. This committee statement is about as close as they get to identifying their method.

There is, however, a general belief that there are four big indicators that the committee weighs heavily in their cycle identification process. They are:

  • Industrial Production
  • Real Personal Income (excluding Transfer Payments)
  • Nonfarm Employment
  • Real Retail Sales
  • ...

    more from Chart School

    All About Trends

    Mid-Day Update

    Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

    Click here for the full report.




    To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

    more from David

    Market Shadows

    EZCH - Not So EZ Year

    EZCH - Not So EZ Year

    By Ilene 

    After a disappointing quarter and some probable tax-selling, EZchip might be a good turnaround for next year.

    So I'm thinking we'll sell a stock or two out of Paul's otherwise neglected Virtual Portfolio (check back) and add EZCH.

    ...

    more from Paul

    OpTrader

    Swing trading portfolio - week of November 17th, 2014

    Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

     

    This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

    We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

    Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

    To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



    more from OpTrader

    Sabrient

    Sector Detector: Investors make up new rules for their new market paradigm

    Reminder: Sabrient is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

    Courtesy of Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics

    By Scott Martindale

    Investors in U.S. equities seem to have embraced a new market paradigm in which upside spikes come more swiftly than the downside selloffs. Remember when it used to be the other way around? When fear was stronger than greed? The market is consolidating its gains off the early-October V-bottom reversal, and no one seems to be in any hurry to unload shares this time around, with the holidays rapidly approaching and all. After all, there are bright blue skies directly overhead giving hope and respite from the early freeze blanketing the country.

    In this weekly update, I give my view of the current market environment, offer...



    more from Sabrient

    Stock World Weekly

    Stock World Weekly

    Newsletter writers are available to chat with Members regarding topics presented in SWW, comments are found below each post.

    The newest Stock World Weekly is ready. Click here for the this weekend's reading and sign in with your PSW user name and password. 

    Picture credit: AnnaER at Pixabay. 

    ...

    more from SWW

    Digital Currencies

    Ukraine Central Bank Bans Bitcoin "To Protect Citizens" From Financing Terrorism

    If you would have supposed that Ukraine had enough problems to make banning bitcoins a backburner issue, you'd have been wrong. The rationale, "to protect consumers' rights" makes little to no sense... The other one, "to keep money in the country" makes more sense. 

    Ukraine Central Bank Bans Bitcoin "To Protect Citizens" From Financing Terrorism

    Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

    The Hryvnia has collapsed to new record lows near 15/USD this morning. The Central Bank and bankers "agreed to keep UAH at 15-16/USD" but are &qu...



    more from Bitcoin

    Option Review

    Yamana Gold call options sink

    Yamana Gold call options sink

    By Andrew Wilkinson at Interactive Brokers

    A four-year low for the spot price of gold has had a devastating impact on Yamana Gold (Ticker: AUY), with shares in the name down at the lowest price in six years. Some option traders were especially keen to sell premium and appear to see few signs of a lasting rebound within the next five months. The price of gold suffered again Wednesday as the dollar strengthened and stock prices advanced. The post price of gold fell to $1145 adding further pain to share prices of gold miners. Shares in Yamana Gold tumbled to $3.62 and the lowest price since 2008 as call option sellers used the April expiration contract to write premium at the $5.00 strike. That strike is now 38% above the price of the stock. Premium writers took in around 16-cents per contract o...



    more from Caitlin

    Pharmboy

    Biotechs & Bubbles

    Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

    Well PSW Subscribers....I am still here, barely.  From my last post a few months ago to now, nothing has changed much, but there are a few bargins out there that as investors, should be put on the watch list (again) and if so desired....buy a small amount.

    First, the media is on a tear against biotechs/pharma, ripping companies for their drug prices.  Gilead's HepC drug, Sovaldi, is priced at $84K for the 12-week treatment.  Pundits were screaming bloody murder that it was a total rip off, but when one investigates the other drugs out there, and the consequences of not taking Sovaldi vs. another drug combinations, then things become clearer.  For instance, Olysio (JNJ) is about $66,000 for a 12-week treatment, but is approved for fewer types of patients AND...



    more from Pharmboy

    Help One Of Our Own PSW Members

    "Hello PSW Members –

    This is a non-trading topic, but I wanted to post it during trading hours so as many eyes can see it as possible.  Feel free to contact me directly at jennifersurovy@yahoo.com with any questions.

    Last fall there was some discussion on the PSW board regarding setting up a YouCaring donation page for a PSW member, Shadowfax. Since then, we have been looking into ways to help get him additional medical services and to pay down his medical debts.  After following those leads, we are ready to move ahead with the YouCaring site. (Link is posted below.)  Any help you can give will be greatly appreciated; not only to help aid in his medical bill debt, but to also show what a great community this group is.

    http://www.youcaring.com/medical-fundraiser/help-get-shadowfax-out-from-the-darkness-of-medical-bills-/126743

    Thank you for you time!




    FeedTheBull - Top Stock market and Finance Sites



    About Phil:

    Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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    About Ilene:

    Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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