Archive for the ‘Permissions’ Category

Another Day One Action: White House Climate Change Web Page Disappears

Courtesy of Mish.

Donald Trump is following through on his pledge to act quickly. In yet another day one action, White House Climate Change Webpage Disappears After Trump’s Inauguration.

Less than an hour after President Trump took the oath of office on Friday, the White House’s webpage on climate change disappeared, the latest sign that the new administration will divert resources – and attention – from the issue.

The removal of the page from the White House’s website came around the same time the site and other Executive Branch digital platforms were overhauled to reflect the new administration.

Trump has long denied, or at least questioned, the nearly unanimous agreement among scientists that human activity is causing rapid shifts in the Earth’s climate.

He has also brought into question whether the U.S. will adhere to the United Nation’s landmark climate deal, which went into effect late last year. Trump has indicated that the U.S. could withdraw from the accord, though such a move would take years to accomplish.

That’s Two, Expect More

That’s two quick initiatives by Trump already. The other day one action: Trump Suspends FHA Premium Reduction.

More Obama undoings are sure to follow in the next couple weeks. Healthcare is the biggie on deck.

Mike “Mish” Shedlock


Original article here.





Gold Pops; Banks, Bonds, & Greenback Drop As Trump Takes Office

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Quite a week… this seemed appropriate…

Gold remains 2017′s big winner with bonds and stocks close to unch…

Trump’s actual swearing in (and speech) sparked a notable drop in stocks and pop in VIX…But in a desperat attempt to keep The Dow green, VIX was monkey-hammered

But VIX ended the week higher…

On the week, Nasdaq and Trannies desperately tried to get back to green but Dow, S&P and Small Caps lost ground (Russell 2000′s worst week in the last 7)

The Dow managed to get back into the green for 2017

US Financials suffered their worst week since September 9th 2016… (Goldman Sachs’ worst week since April 2016)

Treasuries had their worst week in six weeks…(notably 2Y ended the week best – unch)

The USD Index fell for the 4th consecutive week (longest losing streak since Feb 2016)..

The Loonie was the worst on the week and cable best…

The Mexican Peso was lower on the week again (6th week on a row) but ripped higher today by the most since the election!!

And as The Dollar slides, so Gold is up 4 weeks in a row (longest win streak since July)…

Crude managed to scramble back to unchanged on the week…





RT News In Hot Water: Reporter Covering Protests Of Trump’s Inauguration Arrested

By Michelle Jones. Originally published at ValueWalk.

RT News found itself in the headlines earlier this week when Facebook slapped restrictions on its account and Twitter tool Dataminr denied it service. Now one of its reporters is behind bars after being arrested while covering the protests at President Donald Trump’s inauguration earlier today.

rt news

RT News reporter caught in the fray

RT America reporter Alexander Rubinstein was arrested in Washington, D.C. near McPherson Square at the corner of 12th and L St. NW, where he happened to be in a crowd of protesters at the time police officers encircled a group of them. According to RT News, he showed the officers his media credentials, but they took him into custody anyway. He was covering the DisruptJ20 Anti-capitalist march in protest of Trump’s inauguration as 45th President of the United States.

Rubinstein tweeted that he was hit in the face with a flash grenade. He was blinded for a moment, and his ears started ringing. After he was treated for the injuries from the grenade, police encircled the group he was in and informed all of them that they would be arrested. The National Park Police took the group into custody, the reporter said, using riot shields to corral them. He overheard talk amongst the group of filing a lawsuit as some claimed that it is illegal to “kettle” protesters like that.

Police issue statement on arrests of protesters

RT News said it appeared that officers were taking people from the group one at a time, although it was initially unclear whether they were being arrested or simply detained. The Metropolitan Police Department said in a statement that the members of the group were arrested and will face rioting charges. They reported using pepper spray and “other control devices” to “control the criminal actors and protect persons and property.”

Police said that some of the people in the group damaged some of their vehicles and that two officers in uniform suffered “minor injuries from coordinated attacks by members of the group that were attempting to avoid arrest.”

DisruptJ20 claimed that this was the first mass arrest in Washington, D.C. in 14 years, although RT News said that it was unable to verify that claim. This protest was one of several large protests around the area where the inauguration was taking place.

The post …
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Day One Action: Trump Suspends FHA Premium Reduction; Move Makes Perfect Sense

Courtesy of Mish.

Donald Trump just made a day one announcement: FHA Premium Cut Officially Reversed; Mortgagee Letter Already Out.

The newly installed Trump Administration has indefinitely suspended a scheduled reduction in the annual premium for Federal Housing Administration (FHA) insurance. A 25-basis point reduction in that premium was announced by then Housing and Urban Development (HUD) Secretary Julian Castro on January 9, scheduled to go into effect on January 27.

Mortgagee Letter 2017-07 was issued about an hour after Donald Trump took the oath of office as President, counteracting the earlier Mortgagee Letter 2017-01.

Move Makes Perfect Sense

Trump’s action makes perfect sense. FHA loans are “government guaranteed”. That of course means taxpayers are on the hook for defaults.

On January 9, House Financial Services Committee Chairman Jeb Hensarling stated Obama ‘Parting Gift’ Puts Taxpayers at Risk of Another FHA Bailout.

Hensarling is correct.

FHA Absurdities

  • FHA loans are known as being one the easiest programs to qualify for. Applicants only need a credit score of 580, and downpayments can be as low as 3.5%.
  • FHA loans have some of the lowest mortgage rates available. Rates on FHA loans are consistently lower than similar conventional loans. This makes FHA one of the best loan programs available.
  • FHA loans are also the most likely of any major loan to get approved.

Over 70 percent of FHA loans closed in May of 2016. Bullet points from Mortgage Insider.

Given the FHA approves loans at lower credit scores and lower down payments than the private market, FHA loans ought to reflect that risk and have a higher interest rates than the private market.

Taxpayers bear this risk.


Continue reading here…





The Audacity of Trump: Can He Succeed In Spite Of An Establishment That Wants Him To Fail

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted via the Opinion Section of the Wall Street Journal

Donald J. Trump takes the oath of office on Friday facing unprecedented opposition but also an extraordinary opportunity. He confronts the paradox of a country skeptical that he has the personal traits for the Presidency but still hopeful he can fulfill his promise to shake up a government that is increasingly powerful even as it fails to work.

In this respect he is the opposite of President Obama, whom Americans admire personally but see as a failure in delivering on his promises. Mr. Trump begins his Presidency without a reservoir of personal goodwill, so more than most Commanders in Chief he will have to win over Americans with results.

***

He will have to do this, moreover, against a political opposition that is blunt and relentless in wanting him to fail. Inaugurations are typically moments of political unity and appeals to larger national purpose, but Mr. Trump will get no honeymoon.

Democratic leaders are calling his election illegitimate, and most of the media wants Mr. Trump to implode—for reasons of partisanship, ideology or simply to vindicate their view during the campaign that he couldn’t and shouldn’t win. No President since Nixon will face a more hostile resistance in the press and permanent bureaucracy.

Yet rather than rage against this hostility, Mr. Trump should view it as an opportunity. So many elites expect him to fail that even small early successes will confound them. So many on the left are predicting the rise of fascism that he can make them look foolish by working well with Congress. So many in the media will portray him as the leader of a gang of billionaires that he can turn the tables with an up-from-poverty and education choice campaign.

Mr. Trump owes his narrow election victory to center-right and independent voters who decided he was a risk worth taking. Notably, they seem to be reserving judgment. In the new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, Mr. Trump’s personal popularity rating is 10 points underwater, 38% positive, 48% negative—the lowest of any modern President at inauguration.

But as notably, the public is better disposed to Mr. Trump’s agenda than to his character and temperament. Tax reform, a faster campaign against Islamic State, improving roads and bridges, and fixing health care enjoy widespread support.


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“The Potential Problems Are As Follows” – How The Bull Market Could End According To Credit Suisse

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

With Trump now officially US president amid concerns that a “sell the inauguration” sentiment may emerge at any moment, it was an appropriate moment for Credit Suisse analyst Andrew Garthwaite to release his report listing the 10 possible ways in which the bank’s central views (and often the consensus) could be surprised. Below the bank highlights the factors its thinks could surprise adversely in 2017, together with its core views.

The quick summary:

  • The S&P hits 2,500 before falling back to 2,000. Core view: the S&P 500 rises to 2,350 mid-year before falling to 2,300.
  • EURUSD hits 0.90, before strengthening to end the year at 1.20. Core view: Credit Suisse’s house view sees the euro declining to 1.03 on a three-month view and down to 1.00 on a 12-month view.
  • Chinese GDP growth slows to 5% and with it the RmB weakens to 8. Core view: 6.8% GDP growth in 2017 and the RmB weakens to 7.33 at year-end.
  • A Le Pen victory in France’s presidential election. Core view: Francois Fillon becomes president.
  • European defensives outperform by 15%. Core view: we are a small underweight of defensives, though we did add to them in our Outlook.
  • President Trump’s policies disappoint the market. Core view: corporate taxes will be cut, inflation expectations rise and protectionist policies toned down.
  • The oil price hits $75pb by end 2017. Core view: The oil price will rise to $62 by the end of the year.
  • The Nikkei rises to 25,000. Core view: we have a mid-year target for the Nikkei of 20,500.
  • The European pharma sector underperforms by another 10%. Core view: we are overweight pharma and believe it can outperform modestly from Q2 this year.
  • US 10-year Treasury yields hit 4%. Core view: CS US rates strategists have a 3% year-end target.

We will present more on these core 10 points over the next several days, but wanted to highlight one relevant point. While Garthwaite makes it clear it is far from his base case, he lays out the following assessment of what could kill the bull market.

The End Of The Bull Market

In essence, the first half of 2017 could look like a normal business cycle, but in the second half it seems plausible the cycle in the US could face significant challenges, and so could equities.


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Violence Breaks Out In Washington D.C. As Protesters Clash With Police

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Clashes broke out between protesters and D.C. police after Donald Trump’s inauguration. Black-clad activists angry about U.S. President Donald Trump’s inauguration have smashed store car windows and blocked traffic in Washington on Friday and fought with police in riot gear who responded with tear gas and stun grenades.

About 500 people, some wearing masks, marched through the city’s downtown, using hammers to claw up chunks of pavement to smash the windows of a Bank of America branch and a McDonald’s outlet, all symbols of the American capitalist system.

The crowd chanted anti-Trump slogans and carried signs with slogans including “Make Racists Afraid Again,” a play on the New York businessman-turned-politician’s “Make America Great Again” campaign slogan. The incident occurred about 90 minutes before Trump was sworn in at the Capitol a mile and a half (2.4 km) away.

According to Reuters, Washington police made “numerous” arrests on Friday after violent protests during Donald Trump’s inauguration, with individuals being charged with rioting, the city’s police department said. “Pepper spray and other control devices were used to control the criminal actors and protect persons and property,” the department said in a statement. The statement added that two police officers had sustained minor injuries from “coordinated attacks” and that police vehicles were damaged.

Two police officers sustained minor injuries from people who were trying to avoid arrest, police said.

“The message I want to send is that Trump does not represent this country. He represents the corporate interests,” said Jessica Reznicek, a 35-year-old Roman Catholic aid worker from Des Moines, Iowa, who was part of the protest but did not participate in the violence.

Not far from the White House, protesters scuffled with police, at one point throwing aluminum chairs at an outdoor café. Bob Hrifko, a member of the “Bikers for Trump” group in town to celebrate the inauguration, was struck in the face when he tried to intervene.

“I know, law and order and all that. We need more order. This ain’t right,” said Hrifko, who was bleeding from a cut under his eye.

Trump supporters Chris and Karen Korthaus, who carried a life-size cardboard cutout of the former reality TV star, crossed paths with an anti-Trump crowd.

“A protester came over and ripped off the Don’s head,” Karen Korthaus said as


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The FDA’s War On Vaping Will Cost Millions Of Lives

By The Foundation for Economic Education. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Rep. Tom Price (R-GA) is a controversial pick for Secretary of Health and Human Services. During his Senate confirmation hearings, Democrats were clearly concerned about Price’s well-known desire to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act. For his part, however, Price testified that his focus is on “improving the health and well-being of Americans.” If that is the case, there’s one simple change he could make as head of Health and Human Services that has the potential to save millions of American lives: stop the Food and Drug Administration’s dangerously foolish war on vaping.

Electronic cigarettes are likely not risk-free, but they are clearly less harmful than traditional cigarettes.

Vaping

Image source: Wikimedia Commons
Vaping

Thanks to the efforts of public health advocates, tobacco usage has declined from its height of popularity in the 1950s and 60s when more than 40% of all American adults smoked, down to just about 15% today. However, in recent years the rate of decline has slowed and smoking is a particularly stubborn habit among certain groups of people, especially those who are low-income and have less education. Considering that smoking traditional tobacco cigarettes kills about half of those with the habit, smoking cessation is, understandably, a top priority for health officials.

Electronic cigarettes or vapes, which involve no combustion, are likely not risk-free in the long-term, but they are clearly less harmful than traditional cigarettes. According to a Britain’s Department of Health, the available e-cigarette brands are at least 95 percent less harmful than regular cigarettes. According to a study published last summer, these tobacco alternatives could even lead to a 21 percent decline in deaths from smoking-related diseases for people born after 1997—even after taking into account possible harms people might suffer from vaping who otherwise would not have smoked at all. Put simply, even given the risks associated with vaping, there is a net public health gain from their existence in the market. This is why CEI, along with a coalition of other groups dedicated to free markets and innovation have signed a coalition letter imploring Congress to step in and stop the FDA’s plan to destroy the vaping market.

Twisted Incentives

The FDA’s so-called “Deeming Rule” took effect on August 16,…
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Protesters Block Traffic Outside Trump Tower In Manhattan

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

As reproted earlier, violence erupted in some streets of Washington, D.C as members of a group dressed head to toe in black smashed the windows of cars and store windows shortly before President Donald Trump took the oath of office. Over 90 people were arrested, Interim Police Chief Peter Newsham said in a Periscope video posted on Twitter.

Quoted by ABC, He added that the problems were caused by one group, “and it’s a very, very small percentage of the number of folks that came here to peacefully assemble in our city.”

Police said in a statement an organized group marched through the northwest part of the city at around 10:30 a.m., and that “members of the group acting in a concerted effort engaged in acts of vandalism and several instances of destruction of property.”

The police statement said the group damaged vehicles, destroyed the property of multiple businesses, and ignited smaller isolated fires” and that police vehicles were among those damaged.

So far at least three police officers have been injured, and approximately 100 protesters arrested.

Meanwhile, as ABC also reports, the anti-Trump protest has shifted to Manhattan, where it notes that protesters have blocked traffic outside the Trump Tower on Fifth Avenue.

Protesters block traffic outside Trump Tower in Manhattan following Pres. Trump’s #inauguration https://t.co/r6XHIFhUBb pic.twitter.com/94VFHUFCCa

— ABC News Politics (@ABCPolitics) January 20, 2017

More protests are likely in other cities, with groups already congregating in Los Angeles and other major cities.

Billed as “United against hate” protest begins in Los Angeles pic.twitter.com/GaBmR3fwXb

— Jennifer Medina (@jennymedina) January 20, 2017





Obama Makes Incredible Admission About WikiLeaks In Final Press Conference

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Alice Salles via TheAntiMedia.org,

President Barack Obama’s last press conference was a success, but only if you consider journalistic incompetence worthy of praise.

During the one-hour affair, Obama answered questions ranging from the commutation of whistleblower Chelsea Manning’s sentence to personal queries concerning his and First Lady Michelle Obama’s approach when talking to their daughters about the 2016 election — not quite a hard-hitting last inquiry for an outgoing president who, as the Los Angeles Times recently noted, managed to keep U.S. military forces “at war for all eight years of [his] tenure.”

But despite the media’s toothless strategy — showing the established press doesn’t understand its own role in a free society — the outgoing president made at least one admission most of the media has also ignored.

Around the eight-minute mark of the press conference, Obama says he hasn’t “commented on WikiLeaks generally,” and that the “conclusions of the intelligence community with respect to the Russian hacking were not conclusive as to whether WikiLeaks was witting or not in being the conduit through which we heard about the [Democratic National Committee] DNC e-mails that were leaked.”

To Craig Murray, an author, broadcaster, and human rights activist, Obama’s comment clarified that the U.S. government hasno evidence of how WikiLeaks got the DNC material.”

Obama’s statement is important, Murray continues, because itundermines the stream of completely evidence-free nonsense that has been emerging from the [U.S.] intelligence services this last two months, in which a series of suppositions have been strung together to make unfounded assertions that have been repeated again and again in the mainstream media.”

Referring to the emails “that were leaked” and not the servers that were hacked, Murray adds, Obama appears to agree with several experts on this subject, making it clear the entire ordeal revolving around the alleged Russian interference in the 2016 presidential election is but a smokescreen.

I have been repeating that this was a leak, not a hack, until I am blue in the face,” Murray added. But he isn’t the only one. William Binney, a whistleblower who previously worked as Technical Director of the National Security Agency (NSA), has also


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Phil's Favorites

Another Day One Action: White House Climate Change Web Page Disappears

Courtesy of Mish.

Donald Trump is following through on his pledge to act quickly. In yet another day one action, White House Climate Change Webpage Disappears After Trump’s Inauguration.

Less than an hour after President Trump took the oath of office on Friday, the White House’s webpage on climate change disappeared, the latest sign that the new administration will divert resources – and attention – from the issue.

The removal of the page from the White House’s website came around the same time the site and other Executive Branch digital platforms were overhauled to reflect the new administration.

Trump has l...



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Zero Hedge

Gold Pops; Banks, Bonds, & Greenback Drop As Trump Takes Office

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Quite a week... this seemed appropriate...

Gold remains 2017's big winner with bonds and stocks close to unch...

Trump's actual swearing in (and speech) sparked a notable drop in stocks and pop in VIX...But in a desperat attempt to keep The Dow green, VIX was monkey-hammered

But VIX ended the we...



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ValueWalk

RT News In Hot Water: Reporter Covering Protests Of Trump's Inauguration Arrested

By Michelle Jones. Originally published at ValueWalk.

RT News found itself in the headlines earlier this week when Facebook slapped restrictions on its account and Twitter tool Dataminr denied it service. Now one of its reporters is behind bars after being arrested while covering the protests at President Donald Trump’s inauguration earlier today.

RT News reporter caught in the fray

RT America reporter Alexander Rubinstein was arrested in Washington, D.C. near McPherson Square at the corner of 12th and L St. NW, where he happened to be in a crowd of protesters at the time police officers encircled a group of them. According to ...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Mr. President you want this to hold, says Joe Friday

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Consumer Confidence of late has continued to move higher, now reaching above the highs hit back in 2007. Long-Term S&P 500 returns are far below historical norms, when confidence is this high. We are not saying that high consumer confidence means the market is at a top!

Below is a look at the Advance/Decline line on a short-term basis.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

Joe Friday Just The Facts; It could be important for support to hold, of this bearish rising wedge above.

...

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Market News

News You Can Use From Phil's Stock World

 

Financial Markets and Economy

Oil and Trump: Russians full of optimism in Davos (Reuters)

Twelve months ago, the mood of the Russian delegation at the World Economic Forum in Davos was distinctly gloomy, with oil prices near 12-year lows below $30 per barrel and Western sanctions depressing their economy and financial markets.

The Mortgage Market’s $1 Trillion Pocket of Worry (The Wall Street Journal)

Bonds backed by certain risky single-family mortgages topped $1 trillion for the first time in November, crossing that threshold amid rising warnings for one corner of the housing market.

...



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Chart School

Small Cap Losses Accelerate

Courtesy of Declan.

Small Caps again took the brunt of the selling as Shorts took advantage of yesterday's small rally back to former support (turned resistance) to enter positions. With the 'bull trap' in full effect, the next target down for the index is 1,308. Of supporting technicals, only Stochastics [39,1] is left to break its bullish alignment,


The S&P took a modest loss, but not enough to break it out of its consolidation. Volume was also lighter. With the Russell 2000 on the way down, it's suggesting the S&P will follow suit....

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Members' Corner

How To Poop At Work?

Courtesy of Nattering Naybob.

Once again it's "in the Toilet Thursday" or "Thursday's in the Loo". 

In our last episode, How to Poop On A Date? we were graced with a delicate shituation: what ever to do when your finally back at her place, snuggling in for a little "brown chicken brown cow" and you get hit with "Love Potion #2".

This week in How to Poop At Work? ,what to do when your at a big fancy pants meeting, when out of nowhere, you need to download a brown load?



...

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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of January 16th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Digital Currencies

China's Bitcoin Exchanges Suspend Margin Trading

Courtesy of Zero Hedge

China's bitcoin traders who use the most popular bitcoin exchange not only in China, but also the entire world, BTCChina, were met with an unexpected warning on Friday:

Starting from January 12th, 2017, BTCChina has suspended margin loan service. If you have any questions, please contact Customer Service: support@btcc.com.

BTCChina, which commands over 37% of global bitcoin trading...

... wasn't alone.

Fo...



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Mapping The Market

If we try it enough, it will work.

Via Jean-Luc

Brownback wants Trump to emulate what he did in Kansas because it worked so well:

Sam Brownback Calls on Donald Trump to Mimic His Kansas Tax Plan

By RICHARD RUBIN and  WILL CONNORS

Sam Brownback, the Kansas governor whose tax cuts brought him political turmoil, recurring budget holes and sparse evidence of economic success, has a message for President-elect Donald Trump: Do what I did.

In 2013, Mr. Brownback set out to create a lean, business-friendly government in his state that other Republicans could replicate. He now faces a $350 million deficit when the Kansas legislature convenes in January and projections of a larger one in 2018. The state’s economy is flat and his party is fractured...

...

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Biotech

The Medicines Company: Insider Buying

Reminder: Pharmboy and Ilene are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

I'm seeing huge insider buying in the biotech company The Medicines Company (MDCO). The price has already moved up around 7%, but these buys are significant, in the millions of dollars range. ~ Ilene

 

 

 

Insider transaction table and buying vs. selling graphic above from insidercow.com.

Chart below from Yahoo.com

...

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Promotions

Phil's Stock World's Las Vegas Conference!

 

Come join us for the Phil's Stock World's Conference in Las Vegas!

Date:  Sunday, Feb 12, 2017 and Monday Feb 13, 2017.            

Beginning Time:  8:00 am Sunday morning

Location: Caesar's Palace in Las Vegas

Notes

Caesar's has tentatively offered us rooms for $189 on Saturday night and $129 for Sunday night. However, we have to sign the contract ASAP. We need at least 10 people to pay me via Paypal or we may lose the best rate for the rooms. (Once we are guaranteed ten attendees, I will put up instructions to call the hotel for individual rooms.)

The more people who sign up,...



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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: Harlan is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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FeedTheBull - Top Stock market and Finance Sites



About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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