Archive for the ‘Immediately available to public’ Category

Delaware Professor Says “Rich, White, Clueless, Male” Warmbier “Got Exactly What He Deserved”

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Authored by Shannon Spada via CampusReform.org,

University of Delaware professor claimed Wednesday that Otto Warmbier was typical of “rich, white, clueless males” and “got exactly what he deserved” at the hands of the North Koreans.

Katherine Dettwyler, an anthropology professor at UDel, expressed her feelings on the death of Warmbier in the comments section of an article published by National Review, as well as on her personal Facebook page.

Dettwyler argues that while in North Korea, Warmbier had acted like a “spoiled, naive, arrogant U.S. college student who never had to face the consequences of his actions,” later describing him as having the “typical mindset of a lot of the young, white, rich, clueless males” she teaches.

She also expressed surprise at the footage of Warmbier crying during his sentencing hearing, saying he should have expected the consequences he faced, and then complaining that not enough thought is given to “all the other people in North Korea who are suffering under a repressive government.”

Dettwyler explains that she is “a 62 year old college professor” who has been teaching “folks just like Otto” her entire life, declaring that “these are the same kids who cry about their grades” after refusing to study, “or instead of crying, they bluster and threaten their female professors.”

Then another reader objected to “the hatred you spew at ordinary white college kids,” Dettwyler responded by allowing that not all of her students fall into the category she described, saying, “I love my hard-working, sincere, non-arrogant college students.”

She nonetheless reiterated her original assumption that Warmbier was the type of student she detests, clarifying that “I said Otto’s behavior is like the ‘white, rich, clueless males’…[who] think nothing of raping drunk girls at frat parties and snorting cocaine, cheating on exams, and threatening professors with physical violence.”

Dettwyler’s page on RateMyProfessors.com suggests that her outburst was not unusual, with former students describing her as “very opinionated” and “obnoxious,” and even claiming that she “hates America.”

“It’s her opinion or no opinion and she won’t be afraid to express it even if it may offend half the class,” one former student warned, while another declared that “My problem with her is that she says we are not ‘entitled to our own facts,’ but she clearly seems


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McDonalds Is Replacing 2,500 Human Cashiers With Digital Kiosks: Here Is Its Math

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

The stock market is luvin’ McDonalds stock, which has continued its recent relentless rise to all time highs, up 26% YTD, oblivious to the carnage among the broader restaurant and fast-food sector. There is a reason for Wall Street’s euphoria: the same one we discussed in January in “Dear Bernie, Meet the “Big Mac ATM” That Will Replace All Of Your $15 Per Hour Fast Food Workers.”

In a report released this week by Cowen’s Andrew Charles, the analyst calculates the jump in sales as a result of the company’s new Experience of the Future strategy which anticipates that digital ordering kiosks (shown above) will replace cashiers in at least 2,500 restaurants by the end of 2017 and another 3,000 over 2018. Cowen also cited plans for the restaurant chain to roll out mobile ordering across 14,000 U.S. locations by the end of 2017 (we did not show that particular math, but the logic was similarly compelling).

Here is a snapshot of the math that Cowen, likely in conjunction with management, used to come up with the cost-savings as McDonalds increasingly lays off more and more minimum wage workers and replaces them with “Big Mac ATMs”

MCD is cultivating a digital platform through mobile ordering and Experience of the Future (EOTF), an in-store technological overhaul most conspicuous through kiosk ordering and table delivery. Our analysis suggests efforts should bear fruit in 2018 with a combined 130 bps contribution to U.S. comps. We believe mobile ordering better supplements the drive-thru business where 70%+ of U.S. sales are transacted. In our view, MCD’s differentiation lies in the operational enhancements of mobile ordering that includes curbside pick-up of orders in order to not disrupt the drive-thru.

Below we show Cowen’s full math laying out why the restaurant chain’s client-facing fast food workers are now obsolete:

We are most excited for mobile ordering, Experience of the Future and the launch of fresh beef to help drive U.S. same store sales in 2018. We provide analysis for the latter three, which cumulatively we expect to contribute roughly 150 bps to U.S. same store sales in 2018, respectively. This gives us confidence to raise our 2018 U.S. same store sales forecast from 2% to


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Smoking Gun Proof that Russia Hacked the Entire World

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

As shown below, the allegations that Russia has been hacking the entire world have been thoroughly vetted and verified.

Germany

Germany’s intelligence agency accused Russia of deploying cyberattacks to destabilize the government!

(But German intelligence agencies later found no evidence of Russian interference.)

And last December, German security officials said that Russia hacked secret German communications and provided them to Wikileaks (English translation).

(But German officials later concluded that the communications were likely leaked from an insider within the German parliament, the Bundestag (English translation)).

France

The Washington Post, New York Times (and here), Reuters, Politico, Register and many other mainstream publications  claimed that the Russians hacked the French election, just like they hacked the U.S. election.

The head of the NSA claimed that the NSA watched the Russians hack the French elections:

(But the French government later said there was no trace of Russian hacking.)

Qatar

CNN reported that U.S. officials suspected that Russia had hacked Qatar’s state news agency, causing a rift with Saudi Arabia.

(But the Qatari government later said it wasn’t Russia.)

America

The Washington Post published a story claiming that Russian hackers penetrated the US power grid through a utility in Vermont.

(The Post subsequently admitted that – according to officials close to the investigation – “the incident is not linked to any Russian government effort to target or hack the utility”, that the incident only involved a laptop not connected to the electrical grid, and there may not even have been malware at all on this laptop.)

When a treasure trove of secret NSA tools were revealed, Russian hackers were blamed.

(But it turns out that it was probably a leak by an NSA insider.)

And of course the evidence that the Russians hacked Democratic party emails and leaked them to Wikileaks – and otherwise stole the election away from Clinton – is extremely strong.  After all, the mainstream press has said so.

(Maybe not so much …)

So you see? It’s been proven that Russia has hacked the world …

</sarc>





Ubiquiti Networks Inc (UBNT), A Case Study In Business Model Disruption

By VW Staff. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Article by Ewing Morris, Via Capitalize For Kids

Ewing Morris & Co. Investment Partners is a Torontobased investment firm founded in 2011. We have never described ourselves as value investors. This reason is because there is no opposite of value when it comes to investing. For instance, have you ever met someone who intentionally overpays for low-quality, shrinking businesses run by crooks? Rather, we apply our investment Playbook approach based on two core thesis types: Cheap Assets and Compounders. Cheap Assets trade at discounts to private market value. However, our preferred approach is to find Compounders which come in two varieties: Great Capital Allocators (Tom Murphy, Henry Singleton, John Malone, etc.) and Great Businesses. We believe that Ubiquiti Networks (NASDAQ:UBNT) is an example of the latter.

[singelton]

Our private equity mindset means conducting deep research and placing heavy emphasis on people  to build a concentrated portfolio of investment opportunities that exceed a 15% IRR hurdle.

Ewing Morris & Co. Investment Partners is a Torontobased investment firm founded in 2011. We have never described ourselves as value investors. This reason is because there is no opposite of value when it comes to investing. For instance, have you ever met someone who intentionally overpays for low-quality, shrinking businesses run by crooks? Rather, we apply our investment Playbook approach based on two core thesis types: Cheap Assets and Compounders. Cheap Assets trade at discounts to private market value. However, our preferred approach is to find Compounders which come in two varieties: Great Capital Allocators (Tom Murphy, Henry Singleton, John Malone, etc.) and Great Businesses. We believe that Ubiquiti Networks (NASDAQ:UBNT) is an example of the latter.

Ubiquiti Networks Inc (UBNT)

Business Model Innovation: A Case Study

Over the years, our observation has been that capital markets are often willing to pay a high price for potential profits from new products (Tesla Model 3, GoPro) or services (Snap), but are much slower to appreciate new business models (Price Club, Dell, Southwest Airlines, mini-mills). One such “business model disruptor” is Ubiquiti Networks (NASDAQ:UBNT), led by Robert Pera. The company has already transformed two industries. Although the term “disruptor” is commonly applied to companies, the people working at the company are the real change agents.

People

“Any architect can design a desk that will cost five thousand kroner, but only the most highly skilled can design


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Stockman Warns Of “Huge Air Pocket Between Wall Street Fantasy & Economic Reality”

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Authord by Craig Wilson via The Daily Reckoning,

David Stockman joined Boom Bust to discuss the massive storm that is building and about to slam into Wall Street. During the discussion Stockman reveals what he believes is ahead for the stocks in the market and the economy.

The interview began with the Boom Bust host asking the acclaimed author about his concern surrounding a government shutdown.  David Stockman beganwe’re in the midst of the biggest political train wreck in modern history There will be no governance in Washington. There will be no tax bill, stimulus or infrastructure.”

“We’re heading for an expiration of the debt ceiling and running out of cash that will create an enormous crisis by August or September. They’re not going to be able to cope with it.”

“I think the odds by the day are increasing that we’re going to have a government shutdown. Expect the mother of all debt ceiling crisis. The market is utterly unprepared and it really is the orange swan that is about ready to take Wall Street by surprise.”

When prompted about the potential shocks to the S&P 500 and the threats stocks face in a severe decline Stockman continued to offer his sobering analysis.  The former Reagan cabinet member noted, “The market today is trading at 25 times S&P 500 earnings which were $100 a share in the period ending in March. That represents a tiny growth from $85 a share back in June 2007 – ten years ago. We’re about 1.2% over the last decade.”

“Why would you pay 25 times earnings for one percent growth after a tepid expansion of 100 months that’s near the end of its “sell by date?”

We’re going to have a recession, likely sooner than later, and the market is dramatically overpriced. I would say sixteen times earnings given all the headwinds in the world and chaos in Washington.”

“The Fed is now finally going to begin to shrink its balance sheet and not just a little bit but by $2 trillion over the next two or three years. With all of that staring us in the face, the market is barely worth 1,600…


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New Home Sales Rebound From April Collapse As Median Price Hits All Time High

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Following the modest bounce in existing home sales (and disappointment in starts and permits), new home sales bounced in May to 610k (after plunging 11.4% in April, now revised to a 7.9% drop).

For now affordability doesn’t matter…

Of particular note is that median new home prices surged to $345,800 – an all-time record high.

In fact, a closer look shows that home prices are exploding higher…this is the fastest 3-month spike in prices since Jan 2011… (and up 16.8% YoY)

Of course, homebuilders stocks don’t care about any of this…





US PMIs Tumble To 9-Month Lows, Catching Down To Collapse In ‘Hard’ Data

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Following disappointment from China last week, and Europe this morning, US PMIs (both manufacturing and services) dropped and disappointed as it appears the lagged impact of China’s slumping credit impulse are finally hitting the world’s economies.

With ‘hard’ data collapsing to 13 month lows, it is not surprising that ‘soft’ survey data is finally catching down with Manufacturing at 9-month lows.

Who could have seen this tumble in ‘soft’ data coming?

Commenting on the flash PMI data, Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at IHS Markit said:

The economy ended the second quarter on a softer note. The June PMI surveys showed some pay-back after a strong May, indicating the second weakest expansion of business activity since last September.

“The average expansion seen in the second quarter is down on that seen in the first three months of the year, indicating a slowing in the underlying pace of economic growth. While official GDP data are expected to turn higher in the second quarter after an especially weak start to the year (our recent GDP tracker based on various official and survey data points to 3.0% growth), the relatively subdued PMI readings suggest there are some downside risks to the extent to which GDP will rebound.

“There are signs, however, that growth could pick up again: new orders showed the largest monthly rise since January, business optimism about the year ahead perked up and hiring remained encouragingly resilient. The survey is indicative of non-farm payroll growth of approximately 170,000.

Average prices charged for goods and services meanwhile showed one of the largest rises in the past two years, pointing to improved pricing power amid healthy demand.”

So rising prices and tumbling growth – Stagflation looms once again.

Historical comparisons of the PMI against GDP indicates that the PMI is running at a level broadly consistent with the economy growing at a 0.4% quarterly rate (1.5% annualized) in the second quarter, or just over 2% once allowance is made for residual seasonality in the official GDP data.

Not exactly the “shockingly good numbers” that President Trump said we would see in Q2?





“The Hope Trade” Is Over: BofA Slashes Its 2017 GDP Forecast To Just 2.1%

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

First they came for the Trump Trade… then they came for the hope. And, as a result, BofA has thrown in the towel on its economic rebound for this year.

As BofA’s Michelle Meyer writes, “Hopes for a big fiscal stimulus have faded, prompting us to revise our 2018 GDP growth forecast to 2.1%, down from 2.5%. While growth will be slower, it is important to remember that the economy does not “need” stimulus to expand.” Unless it does of course, because as Citi showed recently, all central bank liquidity injections are fungible, and prop up not only stocks but also economies.

In any case, here is BofA’s explanation why it, like the rest of Wall Street not to mention the Fed, were all wrong.

Revising 2018

Back in November when we released our Year Ahead piece, we argued that growth would be a trend-like 2% this year but would rise to 2.5% next year amid fiscal stimulus. We feel generally comfortable with our forecast for this year but now believe growth will end up being slower next year. We are therefore revising our forecast to 2.1% for 2018, implying that the economy will continue to grow modestly above trend .

The hope trade

There are three main reasons for our downward revision to growth next year:

  1. The prospects of tax reform have dimmed. While it is still possible that legislation is passed, it seems that it would be later and smaller than previously speculated.
  2. Policy uncertainty is high and threatens to remain elevated into next year given tensions in Washington and controversies in the Trump administration. This has contributed to a “wait and see” mode among businesses and consumers.
  3. The auto sector is shifting from a tailwind to a headwind next year. This means that auto output should go from adding a few tenths to annual GDP growth to slicing a tenth or two.

Keep in mind that our downward revision in growth next year simply returns our forecast to the post-recession average of 2.1%. The US does not need fiscal easing to enjoy slightly above-trend growth. There are plenty of reasons to feel confident that the expansion will persist into 2018 without stimulus. The labor market is still adding workers in excess of what is necessary to keep up


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Trump Explains Why He Bluffed On ‘Comey Tapes’; Blasts Mueller’s Hiring Of “Clinton Supporters”

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

After weeks without a live interview, President Trump, much to the dismay of the left-leaning MSM, appeared on Fox & Friends this morning with Melania.  The interview will undoubtedly be described throughout the day as a ‘softball’ piece but it did at least result in some new insights, maybe.

First, on the now infamous ‘Comey tapes.’  Given that Trump has now admitted that there never were any ‘tapes,’ at least as far as he knows, why the bluff?  Apparently, Trump believes the bluff helped to steer Comey toward the path of truth in his testimony, a path that Trump believes he’d lost before the bluff.  Here’s Trump on the topic:

“Well I didn’t tape him.  You never know what’s happening when you see that the Obama administration and perhaps longer than that was doing all this unmasking and surveillance and you read all about it and I’ve been reading about it for the last couple of months about the seriousness of the and the horrible situation of surveillance all over the place.”

“But I didn’t tape, and I don’t have any tapes, and I didn’t tape, but when he found out that there may be tapes out there, whether its governmental tapes or anything else and who knows, I think his story may have changed.”

“You’ll have to take a look at that. Because then he’ll have to tell what actually took place at the events. And my story never changed. My story was the straight story. My story was always the truth.”

“But you’ll have to determine for yourself whether or not his story changed. He did admit that what I said was right.  And, if you look further back, before he heard about that, I think maybe he wasn’t admitting that.  So, you’ll have to do a little investigative reporting to determine that, but I don’t think it will be that hard.”

.@POTUS on why he wanted former FBI Dir. James Comey to believe there were tapes of their conversations pic.twitter.com/pCuibM5Z6k

— FOX & friends (@foxandfriends) June 23, 2017

And on Robert Mueller:

“Well he’s very, very good friends with Comey. Which is very bothersome.  We’re going to have to see. But there has no obstruction,


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Some US Airlines Are Testing Mandatory Facial Recognition Scans On Americans Flying Abroad

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Authored by Mike Krieger via Liberty Blitzkrieg blog,

Just when you thought air travel couldn’t get any more invasive, authoritarian and downright miserable, the Department of Homeland Security and two U.S. carriers are determined to prove you wrong.

Yesterday, Harrison Rudolph, a law fellow at the Center on Privacy & Technology at Georgetown Law, wrote a very troubling article at Slate titled, DHS Is Starting to Scan Americans’ Faces Before They Get on International Flights. Here’s some of what we learned:

Decades ago, Congress mandated that federal authorities keep track of foreign nationals as they enter and leave the United States. If the government could record when every visitor stepped on and off of U.S. soil, so the thinking went, it could easily see whether a foreign national had overstayed a visa.

But in June of last year, without congressional authorization, and without consulting the public, the Department of Homeland Security started scanning the faces of Americans leaving the country, too.

You may have heard about new JetBlue or Delta programs that let passengers board their flights by submitting to a face recognition scan. Few realize, however, that these systems are actually the first phase of DHS’s “Biometric Exit” program.

For certain international flights from Atlanta and New York, DHS has partnered with Delta to bring mandatory face recognition scans to the boarding gate. The Delta system checks a passenger is supposed to be on the plane by comparing her face, captured by a kiosk at the boarding gate, to passenger manifest photos from State Department databases. It also checks passengers’ citizenship or immigration status. Meanwhile, in Boston, DHS has partnered with JetBlue to roll out a voluntary face recognition system for travelers flying to Aruba. In JetBlue’s case, you can actually get your face scanned instead of using a physical ticket.

While these systems differ in details, they have two things in common. First, they are laying the groundwork for a much broader, mandatory deployment of Biometric Exit across the country. Second, they scan the faces of everyone—including American citizens.

Treating U.S. citizens like foreign nationals contradicts years of congressional mandates. DHS has never consulted the American public about whether Americans should be subject to face recognition. That’s


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Zero Hedge

Delaware Professor Says "Rich, White, Clueless, Male" Warmbier "Got Exactly What He Deserved"

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Authored by Shannon Spada via CampusReform.org,

University of Delaware professor claimed Wednesday that Otto Warmbier was typical of “rich, white, clueless males” and “got exactly what he deserved” at the hands of the North Koreans.

Katherine Dettwyler, an anthropology prof...



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ValueWalk

Ubiquiti Networks Inc (UBNT), A Case Study In Business Model Disruption

By VW Staff. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Article by Ewing Morris, Via Capitalize For Kids

Ewing Morris & Co. Investment Partners is a Torontobased investment firm founded in 2011. We have never described ourselves as value investors. This reason is because there is no opposite of value when it comes to investing. For instance, have you ever met someone who intentionally overpays for low-quality, shrinking businesses run by crooks? Rather, we apply our investment Playbook approach based on two core thesis types: Cheap Assets and Compounders. Cheap Assets trade at discounts to private market value. However, our preferred approach is to find Compounders which come in two varieties: Great Capital Allocators (Tom Murphy, Henry Singleton, John Malone, etc.) and Great Businesses. We believe that Ubiq...



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Phil's Favorites

Bitcoin In Perspective: Bill Gates Worth More, Gold 200 Times More

Courtesy of Mike Shedlock, MishTalk

An interesting article on HowMuch puts the Bitcoin phenomenon into proper perspective.

Google founder Larry Page’s net worth beats bitcoin’s entire market cap. Microsoft founder Bill Gates’s net worth is double Bitcoin.

Please consider The Bitcoin Economy, in Perspective.

Last year, Bitcoin became more stable than gold, and earlier this year, the price of a Bitcoin surpassed that of an ounce of gold for the first time. Currently, all the bitcoin in the world is ...



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Digital Currencies

Bitcoin In Perspective: Bill Gates Worth More, Gold 200 Times More

Courtesy of Mike Shedlock, MishTalk

An interesting article on HowMuch puts the Bitcoin phenomenon into proper perspective.

Google founder Larry Page’s net worth beats bitcoin’s entire market cap. Microsoft founder Bill Gates’s net worth is double Bitcoin.

Please consider The Bitcoin Economy, in Perspective.

Last year, Bitcoin became more stable than gold, and earlier this year, the price of a Bitcoin surpassed that of an ounce of gold for the first time. Currently, all the bitcoin in the world is ...



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Chart School

Crude oil how low will it go? - Update

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

The most recent price action in crude suggests that those that were long have re adjusted their positions for a downswing.

In our previous post our lower targets are:

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Notice how the current price action in crude has been seen before a plunge in price.


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Why is this happening?

Short answer, to...

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Insider Scoop

7 Stocks To Watch For June 22, 2017

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related SNX Earnings Scheduled For June 22, 2017 5 Must-See Earnings Charts Related SCS ...

http://www.insidercow.com/ more from Insider

Biotech

Even though genetic information is available, doctors may be ignoring important clinical clues

Reminder: Pharmboy and Ilene available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Even though genetic information is available, doctors may be ignoring important clinical clues

Courtesy of Greg HallCase Western Reserve University

Digitized strand of DNA. Mathagraphics/From www.shutterstock.com

With the availability of home genetic testing kits from companies such as “23andMe” and “Ancestry DNA,” more peo...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of June 19th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Mapping The Market

Frontier laid off state Senate president after broadband vote it didn't like

Courtesy of Jean-Luc

Speaking of FTR – not nice people…

Frontier laid off state Senate president after broadband vote it didn’t like

By Arstechnica.com

Broadband provider Frontier Communications recently laid off the West Virginia state Senate president after a vote the company didn't like—and yes, you read that correctly.

West Virginia does not have a full-time legislature, and state lawmakers can supplement their part-time government salaries ($20,000 a year,&...



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Promotions

NewsWare: Watch Today's Webinar!

 

We have a great guest at today's webinar!

Bill Olsen from NewsWare will be giving us a fun and lively demonstration of the advantages that real-time news provides. NewsWare is a market intelligence tool for news. In today's data driven markets, it is truly beneficial to have a tool that delivers access to the professional sources where you can obtain the facts in real time.

Join our webinar, free, it's open to all. 

Just click here at 1 pm est and join in!

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Members' Corner

Robert Sapolsky: The biology of our best and worst selves

Interesting discussion of what affects our behavior. 

Description: "How can humans be so compassionate and altruistic — and also so brutal and violent? To understand why we do what we do, neuroscientist Robert Sapolsky looks at extreme context, examining actions on timescales from seconds to millions of years before they occurred. In this fascinating talk, he shares his cutting edge research into the biology that drives our worst and best behaviors."

Robert Sapolsky: The biology of our best and worst selves

Filmed April 2017 at TED 2017

 

p.s. Roger (on Facebook) saw this talk and recommends the book ...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Brazil; Waterfall in prices starting? Impact U.S.?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Below looks at the Brazil ETF (EWZ) over the last decade. The rally over the past year has it facing a critical level, from a Power of the Pattern perspective.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

EWZ is facing dual resistance at (1), while in a 9-year down trend of lower highs and lower lows. The counter trend rally over the past 17-months has it testing key falling resistance. Did the counter trend reflation rally just end at dual resistance???

If EWZ b...



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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: Harlan is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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