Archive for the ‘Immediately available to public’ Category

“The Situation In Iraq Has Become Very Dangerous”- Iraq PM Orders Arrests As Mass Protests Continue

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Following yesterday’s dramatic escalation in Iraq’s suddenly very unstable political situation, when Beghdad was put under a state of emergency after supporters of popular Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr breached the heavily fortified Green Zone and stormed both the parliament and government offices – an event which we dubbed the collapse of the US-created political system in Iraq – the situation has continued to deteriorate. 

Protesters reached the cabinet headquarters inside the Green Zone, storming the general secretariat of the cabinet building, al-Sumaria reported, citing security officials. Security has been boosted around the central bank, the Interior Ministry said in an e-mailed statement. The United Nations Assistance Mission for Iraq said it’s “gravely concerned” by Saturday’s developments and urged political leaders to work together to restore security in the country.


Followers of Iraqi Shi’ite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr hold a sit-in at Grand

Festivities Square within the Green Zone in Baghdad, Iraq, May 1, 2016.

The situation in Iraq has become very dangerous,” said Wathiq al-Hashimi, a Baghdad-based political analyst said cited by Bloomberg. “No one will be able to control thousands of angry protesters while the rest of residents in Baghdad are in panic and living in real fear.” 

Iraq has been mired in a political crisis for months, hindering the government’s ability to combat ISIS, which still controls much of the country’s north and west, or address a financial crisis largely prompted by the plunge in global oil prices.  Sadr and his supporters want to reform the political system put in place following the U.S.-led invasion in 2003, in which entrenched political blocs representing the country’s Shiites, Sunnis and Kurds rely on patronage, resulting in widespread corruption and poor public services. The major blocs have until now stymied the reform attempts of Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi.

Meanwhile, Iraq’s prime minister has ordered the arrest of protesters who attacked security forces and assaulted MPs as they stormed the country’s parliament in Baghdad Saturday.  The protesters, who were responding to Sadr’s call to pressure the government to introduce reforms, left the parliament building on Saturday night and were holding a sit-in at the Saddam-era Grand Festivities Square.

“Security forces cannot force the protesters to leave the Green Zone. Therefore the only choice that is available and will help to
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Berkshire Hathaway 2016 Meeting – Resources And Highlights

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

We are going to have a TON of coverage on the annual meeting but in the meantime I wanted to put some of the best material and coverage I have seen on the meeting – I hope I do a decent job

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Is This The Ultimate Act Of A Frantic Establishment Willing To Do Anything To Stop Trump?

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Submitted by SM Gibson via TheAntiMedia.org,

As Donald Trump inches closer to the Republican nomination, GOP insiders scramble to put a halt to the billionaire’s run for the White House. A new lawsuit filed in the state of California could prove to be the ultimate act of desperation by a frantic establishment willing to go to any lengths to end Trump’s bid for the Oval Office. However, if the allegations contained within the court documents are found to be true, they would not only spell the end of Trump’s presidential aspirations, but most likely his brand as a whole.

On April 26, a woman residing in California named Katie Johnson filed a lawsuit against Donald J. Trump and Jeffrey E. Epstein – for the amount of $100 million – accusing the two billionaires of “forcing her to engage in various perverted and depraved acts by threatening physical harm.” The plaintiff, who describes herself as Trump and Epstein’s “sex slave” in the papers, also accuses the pair of having threatened to kill her family if she told anyone of their crime.

The incidents alleged to have taken place over a four-month span in 1994 in New York City, when Johnson was only 13-years-old.

Of the four separate encounters Johnson outlined in the documents, the last incident is described in the most detail:

“On the fourth and final sexual encounter with the defendant, Donald J. Trump, the Plaintiff, Katie Johnson, was tied to a bed by Defendant Trump who then proceeded to forcibly rape Plaintiff Johnson. During the course of this savage sexual attack, Plaintiff Johnson loudly pleaded with Defendant Trump to “please wear a condom.” Defendant Trump responded by violently striking Plaintiff Johnson in the face with his open hand and screaming that “he would do what he wanted” as he refused to wear protection. After achieving sexual orgasm, the Defendant, Donald J. Trump put his suit back on and when the Plaintiff, Katie Johnson, in tears asked Donald Trump what would happen if he had impregnated her, Defendant Trump grabbed his wallet and threw some money at her and screamed that she should use the money “to get a f*cking abortion.”

Jumping in front of the media blitz that accompanies rumors of this nature, Trump has already addressed the story, calling the events described by the woman a lie.

“The allegations are not only categorically


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The EU: a 46 Trillion Euro Lehman Brothers?

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Phoenix Capital Research.

So much for QE as the answer to the EU’s problems.

In 2012, during the depth of the EU banking crisis which nearly took the entire EU financial system down, Mario Draghi stated that he would do “whatever it takes” to hold the EU together.

Anyone paying attention knew that this was a bluff. True, the ECB and EU leaders had already defied if not broken every condition of the Maastricht Treaty and the Schengen Treaty (the legislation that formed the EU proper). However, even to the most cynical analyst, Mario Draghi’s claim was pushing the envelope a little too hard.

Implementing capital controls and border controls limit freedom, but from the perspective of monetary policy, they’re secondary items. The REAL power is that of the printing press. 

This is how Draghi’s promise to save the EU was different from every other action: it addressed the structure of the EU in its most critical component, namely the control of the currency.

It took the EU two years to cobble together its reasoning for how something that went completely against the Maastricht Treaty would be permitted. As usual it was the Germans (the ultimate holders of the purse strings) who gave the “OK.”

Since being given the green light on QE, Draghi has spent over €600 billion. The ECB’s balance sheet is now approaching its former record high from 2012 after the massive LTRO and LTRO 2 programs.

And Draghi has accomplished?

Not much of note. The EU’s inflation rate is clearly trending lower. This is AFTER the first ever QE program was both launched and increased in pace form €60 billion to €80 billion per month.

For all intensive purposes, four cuts into NIRP and the first ever QE program…
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Germany’s Third Largest Party Adopts Anti-Islam Manifesto: Says “Muslims Are Not Welcome In Germany”

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

One week after Austria was shocked by the news that its right-wing, anti-immigrant Freedom Party, had swept the competition, gathering over 35% of the vote and leaving the other five candidates far behind, Europe’s anti-immigrant juggernaut just added to its momentum when neighboring Germany’s populist AfD party adopted an anti-Islam policy on Sunday in a manifesto that also demands curbs to immigration according to AFP. The biggest surprise however, is that the three year-old party is now also Germany’s third strongest party.

Formed only three years ago on what was originally a eurosceptic platform, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) has gained strength as the loudest protest voice against Chancellor Angela Merkel’s welcome to refugees that brought over one million asylum seekers last year. However, with the migrant influx sharply down in recent months, the AfD has shifted focus to the signature issue of the xenophobic Pegida street movement, whose full name is Patriotic Europeans Against the Islamisation of the Occident.

“Islam is not part of Germany” ran a headline in the AfD policy paper agreed in a vote by some 2,400 members at the party congress in the western city of Stuttgart.

The paper demanded bans on minarets on mosques, the call to prayer, full-face veils for women and female headscarves in schools.

Frauke Petry, party leader of Alternative for Germany (AfD) votes at
a party congress on May 1, 2016 in Stuttgart

A proposal for a more nuanced formulation, to “stop Islamism but seek dialogue with Islam”, was rejected with boos in the mostly-male gathering, which was held in a hall decorated with banners that read “Courage. Truth. Germany.”

“Islam is in itself political,” retorted one speaker, while another linked the religion with “sharia, suicide bombings and forced marriages”.

As AFP adds, in a broader sense the AfD is presenting itself as a nationalistic conservative force that also questions climate change, promotes traditional gender roles and “family values”, would reintroduce military conscription and take Germany out of the euro. Co-leader Joerg Meuthen said the AfD stood for a “modern conservatism” and a “healthy patriotism” while it rejected “the Germany of 1968, infected by the (socialist and environmentalist) red-green left“.

Having soared to national prominence and entering half of Germany’s 16 state parliaments, the AfD, which…
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Einhorn Still Up In 2016 Despite SUNEQ And PXD Woes

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Einhorn Still Up In 2016 Despite SUNEQ And PXD Woes

As Dan Loeb noted in his recent letter it has been brutal for hedge funds lately – A recent Deutsche Bank Prime Brokerage notes “March concludes what may have been the most challenging quarter for hedge funds since the financial crisis” and April was only slightly better – HFRX Global Hedge Fund Index  was up 0.61 percent in April and down 1.27 percent in 2016 – but what are the latest returns? We have them for you – overall, the results are mixed. First let us start with Dan Loeb himself.

SUNEQ Hedge-funds

Third Point was up 1.8 percent in April bringing returns to -0.2 percent YTD – not bad considering recent hedge fund returns. See the chart below.

SUNEQ Hedge-fund-returns-loeb

David Einhorn is having a rough year between long bets on SUNE (which recently declared bankruptcy) and a short bet on PXD, which has done quite well recently. However, despite the SUNEQ  and PXD bets, Einhorn is having a decent year. In April, Einhorn was down 0.7 percent dragging down YTD numbers to (a still) positive 1.8 percent.

As of 30-April-2016, the largest disclosed long positions in Einhorn’s investment portfolio are Apple, CONSOL Energy, General Motors, gold and Time Warner; The hedge fund’s investment portfolio is approximately 93% long and 77% short.  All exposure information is calculated on a delta adjusted basis and excludes credit default swaps, interest rate swaps, sovereign debt, currencies, commodities, volatility indexes and derivatives on any of these instruments.

SUNEQ David Einhorn

Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square is having a brutal year mostly due to a long bet on Valeant and a short bet on Herbalife gone wrong. However, April was a great month for the hedge fund. Ackman is up 10.9 percent through April 26th (full month returns are not yet available), bringing YTD return to negative 17.5 percent.

Meanwhile, Hedge Weekly notes that Dorset Energy is up 41.44 percent in 2016 through April 22nd making it the best performing fund tracked by the service. Niederhoffer is up 10.12 percent through April 27th, while Conquest Macro has returned 9.93 percent through April 26th. On the other side, Horseman Macro is down 8.38 percent through April 27th, while Winton Futures is down 2.29…
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Silver Flushes Secret Sauce Down Toilet, Now Projects Trump has 69% Chance

Courtesy of Mish.

Just yesterday Nate Silver projected Ted Cruz had a 65% chance of Cruz winning despite the fact that the five most recent polls all had Donald Trump winning.

Today Silver flushed his secret sauce down the toilet, where it belonged all along.

Hail Mary Pass Revisited

This is what things looked like to Silver yesterday as I commented in Indiana Hail Mary Pass Coming Up.

Indiana Polls Plus

Indiana Polls Plus

The only way that makes any sense is if Silver believes every poll is extremely heavily biased in favor of Trump and something else in is play (like a deal that fell apart the moment it was announced between Kasich and Cruz).

Current Odds

  • Polls Only: Trump 70%
  • Polls Plus: Cruz 65%

My comment yesterday was “I find that preposterous even if Cruz does manage to win Indiana.”

Today Silver changed his mind, and dramatically.

Indiana Polls Plus May 1

New Poll


Continue reading here…





Crafty Conspicious Consolidated Currency Calculation

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Bruno de Landevoisin.

Contrary to what many maintain, The FED is not made up of irrational, unintelligent completely clueless policy makers, who have utterly no idea what they are effecting. Let’s get real, they certainly know exactly where their preconceived monetary programs are taking us.

 

After all, understanding the ramification of their money machinations is not rocket science.  The faltering economic and financial signs are everywhere for anyone to see who is actually looking. Issuing even more debt to solve an already out of control debt problem is visibly not a viable solution. They entirely understand this, a nursery school child could for Pete’s sake.



To use an often sited sarcastic analogy, they are doing “God’s work”. Directed by a far reaching and pervasive power base derived from the merger of Multi National Corporate – Int’l Banking – SupraState interests and objectives.  A global monopolistic Goliath of insatiable voracity, which has now achieved monumental control and influence over the daily economic affairs of the common man.





Most certainly, the end game is to totally eradicate the presently standing world’s reserve currency. Clearly, the final pillar to be toppled is the dollar, so as to introduce a unipolar currency backed by an SDR based multinational monetary regime. There can be no doubt this construct will serve to further consolidate the grip on the sovereignty of man.





Clearly, to achieve this aim they need to completely destabilize the Dollar, and that my dear friends IS coming.  At the end of the day, this will be yet another historic consolidating currency event, and nothing more………same as it ever was.





The only remaining question is whether it will be orchestrated methodically through peaceful negotiations among the major trading nation’s central banks of the world, or violently and abruptly until the last standing global military alliances are victorious.



In our view, the later will prevail, recorded history certainly points to that most regrettable outcome.

Got Gold?









Consolidated Currency Calculations

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Bruno de Landevoisin.

Contraray to what many maintain, The FED is not made up of irational, unintelligent completley clueless policy makers, who have utterly no idea what they are effecting. Let’s get real, they certainly have to know exactly where their pre-calculated monetary programs are taking us.  After all, understanding the ramification of their monetary machinations is not rocket science.  The faltering economic and financial signs are everywhere for anyone to see that is actually looking.





To use an often sited droll analogy, they are doing “God’s work”.  Directed by a far reaching and pervasive power base derived from the merger of Multi National Corporate – Int’l Banking – SupraState interests and objectives.  A global monopolistic Goliath of insatiable voracity, which has achieved monumental control and influence over the daily economic affairs of the common man.





Most certainly, the end game is to eradicate the presently standing world’s reserve currency. he final pillar to be toppled, so as to introduce a one world currency backed by an SDR based multinational monetary regime, which will serve to further consolidate the grip on the sovereignty of man.





Clearly, to achieve this aim they need to completely destabilize the Dollar, and mark my words that IS coming.  At the end of the day, this will be yet another consolidating currency event, and nothing more.





The only remaining question is whether it will be orchestrated methodically through peaceful negotiations among the major trading nation’s central banks of the world, or violently and abruptly until the last standing military alliances are victorious…………..same as it ever was.

Got Gold?





Conspicious Consolidated Currency Calculation

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Bruno de Landevoisin.

Contrary to what many maintain, The FED is not made up of irrational, unintelligent completely clueless policy makers, who have utterly no idea what they are effecting. Let’s get real, they certainly know exactly where their preconceived monetary programs are taking us.

 

After all, understanding the ramification of their money machinations is not rocket science.  The faltering economic and financial signs are everywhere for anyone to see who is actually looking. Of course, issuing even more debt to solve an already out of control debt problem is visibly not a viable solution. They entirely understand this, a nursery school child could for Pete’s sake.



To use an often sited sarcastic analogy, they are doing “God’s work”. Directed by a pervasive consolidating dominant power base forged from the merger of Multi National Corporate – Int’l Banking – SupraState interests and objectives.  A global monopolistic Goliath of insatiable voracity, which has now achieved monumental control and influence over the daily economic affairs of the common man.





Most certainly, the end game is to totally eradicate the presently standing world’s reserve currency. Clearly, the final pillar to be toppled is the dollar, so as to introduce a unipolar currency backed by an SDR based multinational monetary regime. There can be no doubt this construct will serve to further consolidate the giant grip on the sovereignty of man.





To achieve this ultimate aim the Globalist need to completely destabilize the Dollar, and that my dear friends IS coming.  At the end of the day, this will be yet another historic consolidating currency event, and nothing more………same as it ever was.





The only remaining question is whether this will be orchestrated methodically through peaceful negotiations among the major trading nation’s central banks of the world, or violently and abruptly until the last standing global military alliances are victorious.



In our view, the later will prevail. Recorded history certainly points to that most regrettable outcome, as these misguided monolithic monetary plans climatically completely collapse….

In the mean time………………………………Got Gold?









 
 
 

Zero Hedge

"The Situation In Iraq Has Become Very Dangerous"- Iraq PM Orders Arrests As Mass Protests Continue

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Following yesterday's dramatic escalation in Iraq's suddenly very unstable political situation, when Beghdad was put under a state of emergency after supporters of popular Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr breached the heavily fortified Green Zone and stormed both the parliament and government offices - an event which we dubbed the collapse of the US-created political system in Iraq - the situation has continued to deteriorate. 

Protesters reached the cabinet headquarters inside the Green Zone, storming th...



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ValueWalk

Berkshire Hathaway 2016 Meeting - Resources And Highlights

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

We are going to have a TON of coverage on the annual meeting but in the meantime I wanted to put some of the best material and coverage I have seen on the meeting – I hope I do a decent job

Get The Full Series in PDF

Get the entire 10-part series on Charlie Munger in PDF. Save it to your desktop, read it on your tablet, or email to your colleagues.

Get The Full Warren Buffett Series in PDF

Get the entire 10-part series on Warren Buffett in PDF. Save it to your desktop, read it on your tablet, or email to your colleagues.

...

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Phil's Favorites

Silver Flushes Secret Sauce Down Toilet, Now Projects Trump has 69% Chance

Courtesy of Mish.

Just yesterday Nate Silver projected Ted Cruz had a 65% chance of Cruz winning despite the fact that the five most recent polls all had Donald Trump winning.

Today Silver flushed his secret sauce down the toilet, where it belonged all along.

Hail Mary Pass Revisited

This is what things looked like to Silver yesterday as I commented in Indiana Hail Mary Pass Coming Up.

Indiana Polls Plus

The only way that makes any sense is if Silver believes every poll is extremely heavily biased in favor of Trump and s...



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Market News

News You Can Use From Phil's Stock World

 

Financial Markets and Economy

Buffett Says Bonds Unattractive, If Not Terrible for Reinsurers (Bloomberg)

Warren Buffett, who built Berkshire Hathaway Inc. by reinvesting premiums from insurance units, said low bond yields have hurt the prospects of that strategy.

A Leak Wounded This Company. Fighting the Feds Finished It Off (Bloomberg)

The first phone call that changed Michael Daugherty’s life came in May 2008. Daugherty was a happy man, running a good business in a nice place. That’s how he talks about it, like the opening five minutes of a movie, setting up how...



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Chart School

First Majastic Silver Wyckoff Friendly

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

Sometimes is just works! Wyckoff logic is excellent when all the evidence supports your view.

The traditional Wyckoff logic traders will see the Wyckoff accumulation in this stock. Notice the NetVolume divergence with price, very telling. Point and Figure chart showing off an excellent 'CAUSE', that exploded into a fantastic 'EFFECT'. Some times winning is just too easy!


Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.



PnF Chart, love the 'CAUSE' that was the base for the 'EFFECT'

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.



NOTE: readthe...

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Kimble Charting Solutions

Nasdaq 100- Potentially Very Dangerous Pattern!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

This chart looks at the Nasdaq 100 index over the past 10-years.

A potential “Head & Shoulders” (H&S) topping pattern could be in play, highlighted in red.

Even if this is NOT an H&S topping pattern, the following situation has me watching Tech very closely; the index broke 5-year rising support line (A) last fall and the rally over the past couple of months has it kissing the underside of lines (A) and (B) at (1).

The NDX “Kissed” the underside of dual resistance of late and has turn...



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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: Harlan is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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Biotech

PRGO, VRX and an Overpriced Papa

Reminder: Pharmboy and Ilene are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

By Ilene 

Remember this? It was Monday. PRGO is down from around $130 to under $100 since I started following it LAST WEEK. That's down almost 25% in a week, and almost 50% in the last year. So I wrote, 

"Perrigo CEO Joseph Papa leaves Perrigo (PRGO) to lead Valeant (VRX) while PRGO issues a warning about missing earnings expectations. Not surprisingly, PRGO stock plummeted today. 

Robert Ingram, Chairman of the [Valeant] Board, stated, "The Board has conducted a thorough search process and believes that Joe is the ideal leader for Valeant at this time. He has a strong shareholder orientation,...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of April 25th, 2016

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Digital Currencies

Is Bitcoin About To Soar?

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Back on September 2, 2015 when bitcoin was trading at $230, we laid out the simplest and most fundamental reason why, irrelevant of one's ideological persuasion with "alternative" or digital currency - bitcoin would soar.

it was earlier this summer when the digital currency, which can bypass capital controls and national borders with the click of a button, surged on Grexit concerns and fears a Drachma return would crush the savings of an entire nation. Since then, BTC has dropped (in no small part as a result of the ...



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Mapping The Market

About that debate last night

Although we try to stay focused on finding and managing promising trade ideas, the comments in the comment section sometimes take a political turn (for access, try PSW — click here!). So today, Jean Luc writes,

The GOP debate last night was just unreal – are these people running to be president of the US or to lead a college fraternity! Comparing tool size? The only guy that looks semi-sane is Kasich. The other guys are just like 3 jackals right now. 

And something else – if Trump is the candidate, that little Romney speech yesterday is probably already being made into a commercial. And all these little snippets from the debate will also make some nice ads! If you are a conservative, you have to be scared now. 

Phil writes back,

I was expecting them to start throwing poop at each other &n...



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We know you love coming here for our Stocks & Options education, strategy and trade ideas, and for Phil's daily commentary which you can't live without, but there's more!

PhilStockWorld.com features the most important and most interesting news items from around the web, all day, every day!

News: If you missed it, you can probably find it in our Market News section. We sift through piles of news so you don't have to.   

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Help One Of Our Own PSW Members

"Hello PSW Members –

This is a non-trading topic, but I wanted to post it during trading hours so as many eyes can see it as possible.  Feel free to contact me directly at jennifersurovy@yahoo.com with any questions.

Last fall there was some discussion on the PSW board regarding setting up a YouCaring donation page for a PSW member, Shadowfax. Since then, we have been looking into ways to help get him additional medical services and to pay down his medical debts.  After following those leads, we are ready to move ahead with the YouCaring site. (Link is posted below.)  Any help you can give will be greatly appreciated; not only to help aid in his medical bill debt, but to also show what a great community this group is.

http://www.youcaring.com/medical-fundraiser/help-get-shadowfax-out-from-the-darkness-of-medical-bills-/126743

Thank you for you time!




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Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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