Archive for the ‘Immediately available to public’ Category

The Over-Criminalization Of American Life

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Authored by Charles Hugh Smith via OfTwoMinds blog,

The over-criminalization of America has undermined justice, the rule of law and legal egalitarianism.

While the corporate media devotes itself to sports, entertainment, dining out and the latest political kerfuffle, America has become the Over-Criminalization Capital of the World. The proliferation of laws and administrative regulations, federal, state and local, that carry criminal penalties has swollen into the tens of thousands.

The number of incarcerated Americans exceeds 2.3 million, with the majority being non-violent offenders--often for War on Drugs offenses.

Holly Harris has written an important summary of this profoundly destabilizing trend: The Prisoner Dilemma: Ending America’s Incarceration Epidemic (Foreign Affairs, registration required).

The over-criminalization of America is a relatively recent trend. As Harris notes:

It wasn’t always like this. In 1972, for every 100,000 U.S. residents, 161 were incarcerated. By 2015, that rate had more than quadrupled, with nearly 670 out of every 100,000 Americans behind bars.

The over-criminalization of America is rooted in federal laws and regulations, and state and local governments have followed suite. here is Harris’s account:

The burgeoning U.S. prison population reflects a federal criminal code that has spiraled out of control. No one—not even the government itself—has ever been able to specify with any certainty the precise number of federal crimes defined by the 54 sections contained in the 27,000 or so pages of the U.S. Code. In the 1980s, lawyers at the Department of Justice attempted to tabulate the figure “for the express purpose of exposing the idiocy” of the criminal code, as one of them later put it. The best they were able to come up with was an educated guess of 3,000 crimes. Today, the conservative Heritage Foundation estimates that federal laws currently enumerate nearly 5,000 crimes, a number that grows every year.

Overcriminalization extends beyond the law books, partly because regulations are often backed by criminal penalties. That is the case for rules that govern matters as trivial as the sale of grated cheese, the precise composition of chicken Kiev dishes, and the washing of cars at the headquarters of the National Institutes of Health. State laws add tens of thousands more such crimes. Taken together, they push the total number of criminally punishable offenses in the United States into the hundreds of


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Container Ship Was On Autopilot When It Struck USS Fitzergerald

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

A deadly collision between the Philippine-registered container ship ACX Crystal and Navy destroyer USS Fitzgerald that left seven sailors dead earlier this week occurred while the ACX was on autopilot, according to a report in the Washington Free Beacon.

While investigators say they’ve found no evidence the collision was intentional, that the ship was relying on its computerized navigation system at the team of the collision means hackers could’ve infiltrated into the ship’s navigation system and steered it into the Navy ship – though the collision off the coast of Japan could’ve just as easily been caused by a malfunction, or human error if the system’s warning signals were ignored.

“The Philippines-flagged cargo ship ACX Crystal was under control of a computerized navigation system that was steering and guiding the container vessel, according to officials familiar with preliminary results of an ongoing Navy investigation.

Investigators so far found no evidence the collision was deliberate.

Nevertheless, an accident during computerized navigation raises the possibility the container ship’s computer system could have been hacked and the ship deliberately steered into the USS Fitzgerald, an Arleigh Burke-class guided missile destroyer.”

The ship’s tracking data, particularly a part of the record showing how the ship reacted after the collision, is the most telling piece of evidence that it was on autopilot, sources told the Free Beacon that it’s clear the container ship was on autopilot.

Commercial ship autopilot systems normally require someone to input manually the course for the ship travel. The computer program then steers the ship by controlling the steering gear to turn the rudder.

The system also can be synchronized with an electronic chart system to allow the program to follow courses of a voyage plan.

Tracking data broadcast from the Crystal as part of the Automatic Identification System (AIS) shows the ship changed course by 90 degrees to the right and slightly reduced its speed between around 1:32 a.m. and 1:34 a.m. After that time, the data shows the ship turned to the left and resumed a northeastern coarse along its original track line.

Private naval analyst Steffan Watkins said the course data indicates the ship was running on autopilot. “The ACX Crystal powered out of the deviation it performed


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China: New Ambitions, New Directions

By Knowledge Wharton. Originally published at ValueWalk.

China’s remarkable story of economic growth is well-documented. Some 800 million people have moved out of poverty over the last 40 years thanks to market-based economic reforms. The annual 10%-plus GDP growth that dominated for years may have moderated, but the latest five-year plan calls for a still-robust 6.5% annual GDP growth rate.

Economic ambitions, however, have not become more moderate

.Moody’s Downgrades China And HK, As Debt Continues To Rise Across Asia

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China’s “One Belt, One Road” initiative, for example, would stitch together roads, ports, railways and other links from East China through Southeast, and South and Central Asia over to Europe. It exceeds in scope the Marshall Plan that rebuilt post-war Europe. Beyond that, China is by far the biggest source of financing for many of its neighbors. The Export and Import Bank of China alone lent $80 billion in 2015, compared with $27 billion from the Asian Development Bank. All this expands China’s economic and geopolitical sway across Asia, the Middle East, Europe and Africa.

Paul Singer Warns Of A World At Risk

For now, however, the pace of reforms needed to push that process forward has been slowing and is unlikely to regain momentum until certain political cycles are completed in March 2018. What seems clear is that Beijing is committed to globalization, and to the integration of its markets and financial systems – but on its own terms, at its own pace. This includes transitioning from an export-based economy to a consumer-based one, and a deeper integration into global financial markets.

This report considers many of these issues and also offers a closer look at two sectors: retail, which is ground zero for any consumer-oriented transition; and high-tech, through the eyes of…
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Canary In The Coal Mine: Unfunded Liabilities Have Turned Illinois Into A “Banana Republic”

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Authored by Daniel Lang via SHTFplan.com,

Illinois is the perfect example of what happens when your state is run by fiscally irresponsible dunces for decades.

The state is buried debt, and hasn’t passed a budget in over 700 days. 100% of their monthly revenue is being consumed by court ordered payments, and the Illinois Department of Transportation has revealed that they may not be able to pay contractors (who are working on over 700 infrastructure projects) after July 1st if the state doesn’t pass a budget. To top it all off, the state’s credit rating is one step away from junk status, the lowest of any state. Because of these factors, Illinois may become the first state to declare bankruptcy since the Great Depression.

Governor Bruce Rauner has gone so far as to call his state a “banana republic.”

The state’s comptroller has admitted that “We are in massive crisis mode.”

And a reporter for the Chicago Tribune thinks Illinois has gone so far past the point of no return, that the state should be broken up. He recently wrote what basically sounds like a suicide note for Illinois.

Dissolve Illinois. Decommission the state, tear up the charter, whatever the legal mumbo-jumbo, just end the whole dang thing.

We just disappear. With no pain. That’s right. You heard me.

The best thing to do is to break Illinois into pieces right now. Just wipe us off the map. Cut us out of America’s heartland and let neighboring states carve us up and take the best chunks for themselves.

The group that will scream the loudest is the state’s political class, who did this to us, and the big bond creditors, who are whispering talk of bankruptcy and asset forfeiture to save their own skins.

But our beloved Illinois has proved that it just doesn’t deserve to survive.

So how did it get to this point?

The root of the problem is Illinois’ unfunded pension liabilities, which amount to $130 billion. The state’s leaders simply promised what could not be delivered. Most of their employees can retire in their 50’s, and many of them will receive 1-2 million dollars over the course of their retirements. As the


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Another Mika Meltdown: Trump Is Morphing Into A “Dictator Or Someone Who Is Not Well”

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

MSNBC’s “Morning Joe” co-host Mika Brzezinski has become famous for her on-air Trump meltdowns and apparently she was feeling particularly ‘triggered’ this morning as an entire segment seemingly got derailed when she went rogue and compared Trump’s administration to a “developing dictatorship.”  The snowflake moment sparked a minor per-martital tiff between Mika and Joe resulting in some cringe-worthy awkwardness.

It all started when Mika decided to, once again, share her personal thoughts on the Trump administration…

“It does feel like a developing dictatorship.”

…which prompted a swift rebuke from Mika’s future husband, and co-host, Joe Scarborough.

“You see, that’s an inside voice thing….what you just said.”

Except, when Joe went ‘low,’ Mika went ‘lower’:

“I will say you can do some work reading history and reading books about how dictatorships happen. The development of very negative forces taking over and what you are seeing is either this happening right now, or someone who’s not well. Very few options.  Very very imbalanced.” 

Ironically, the only “very negative forces” that seem to be having any impact on Americans at the moment are the forces within the media which are intent upon continuing their fake “Russian collusion” crusade until it results in mass hysteria among the general public…and, of course, we got a small dose of that hysteria recently when a gunman decided to try and assassinate a bunch of Republican congressmen.

Here’s the full clip courtesy of the Daily Caller:

Of course, this is hardly the first time Mika has melted down on live television.  Perhaps our recent favorite was when she shared her thoughts regarding one of President Trump’s weekend tweet storms about alleged wiretapping of his Trump Tower.  Fighting back tears during her opening remarks, Mika lamented that she had “lost hope completely” in President Trump’s competency and declared that “this presidency is fake and failed.”

“I had hope and an open mind and I have lost hope completely and my mind is closed.  This presidency is fake and failed.”

Keep up the good work, Mika.  Your morning comedy routine is very entertaining for a lot of folks.





Q1 2017 – Huge Page Of Hedge Fund Letters, Conferences, Calls, And More

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Q1 2017 Hedge Fund Letters is now up stay tuned for more as we sometimes update these pages even months after the quarter ends (3/31/2017 in this case).

Also some hedge fund conferences in Q1 2017 will be profiled here

Last updated 6/24/2017

The links are not an endorsement whatsoever nor does any omission mean anything, besides for the fact that we do not find the letter interesting/newsworthy or we do not have access to it. More on that below.



If you are concerned about issues of confidentiality, privacy or other legal issues related to sending information, you can review the following ProPublica article on communicating confidentially.  ProPublica recommends that if you are sending information by mail, that you consider sending it without a return address, but we will accept any form of submission and protect your confidentiality to the full extent of the rights provided under the law.  Anonymous tips by email can be sent to tips(@)valuewalk.com.  Also for super secure-file sharing we like onionshare  and for messaging Signal App. I can be contracted on signal at 845-304-5782.

Pension funds in particular invest hundreds of billions of taxpayer (YOUR money) in hedge funds. According to a recent report by Willis Towers Watson  over $250 billion of pension money is invested in hedge funds and fund of funds. According to their own public records – New York City public pension funds alone have $4 billion in hedge funds and according to Barclays Prime Broker Research hedge funds have not generated positive alpha since 2011–  The future of journalism can either be watermelon squeezing or holding our Government officials accountable for how they allocate our retirement money.

But wait there is more! While in the past we focused just on letters this 2017 Hedge Fund Letters post and our posts going forward will also contain links to the best stories on the industry, profiles, important trends, investment conferences and more (they are listed separately at the bottom). However, the vast majority of our hundreds of links in this post deal with 2017 hedge fund letters.

NOTE: The list is in alphabetical order. To be completely accurate, while most funds listed below are hedge funds some are mutual funds or other (i.e. Berkshire Hathaway).
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“The Medical System As We Know Is Going To Blow Up… And Soon”

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Authored by Howard Kunstler via Kunstler.com,

Think of the ObamaCare reform debate now playing in the US Senate as the final gurglings of polity that knows it is whirling around the drain. They’re pretending to attempt to fix a racket that comprises eight percent of the American economy. Yikes! How did that happen? At the beginning of the 20th century it was one-quarter of one percent (.25 percent) of the economy.

Source: USGovernmentSpending.com

The standard explanation is that, first, Medicare jacked up overall healthcare activity in the 1960s, hauling in a customer-base of old folks who previously received no special treatment and were, generally, less well than non-old folk. Secondarily, technological innovation opened up so many new methods of disease control for everybody, young and old, that we’re able to treat more sickness in more complicated ways — and that drove costs up way further.

The greater part of the story remains neatly concealed within the matrix of rackets erected around the money-flows since the big cost bump-up in the 1960s, and these involve insurance companies, Big Pharma, corporatized doctors’ practices, hospital monopolies, and, of course, politicians on-the-take dividing amongst each other a colossal pool of grift that exists mainly for one simple reason: the cost of everything is hidden from public view.

Nobody has any idea what anything costs. Certainly not the patients, sometimes called “customers” or “consumers” — but really hostages. If you go into the hospital for a stent in the left descending coronary artery, nobody will tell you what it costs, starting with the doctors who have performed the procedure a thousand times. They can’t even estimate the cost (or won’t), though they could probably give you a pretty good ballpark number for the cost-and-installation of a new fuel pump on their BMW-28i.

Charges for medical care are never discussed with the patient. Doctors especially pretend to regard such a proposition as beneath the dignity of their profession, rather like British aristocrats regarded all questions pertaining to money in the Downton Abby scheme of things — a filthy business better left to the servants, like disposing of the table-scraps. Of course the “servants” in the hospital scheme of things are a fantastic hierarchy of dangerously overfed clerks overwhelmed by the anomie of spending countless hours typing fictitious numbers into their work stations.


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How The Populist Wave Could Reshape Policy

By Alliance Bernstein. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Populism is here—and it isn’t going away. The ideology can come from either side of the political spectrum, and it can have a big impact on policy, the macroeconomic landscape and—ultimately—how we invest today.

The drivers of populism’s rise in the West today include economic insecurity, social insecurity and political ineffectiveness. Based on previous populist episodes (particularly in Latin America) and current populist agendas, we expect policy changes to focus on three broad categories (Display):

Populist

Raising the Drawbridge: These policies, which were prominent in US President Donald Trump’s campaign rhetoric, focus on several areas. They include more trade protection and restrictions on immigration and cross-border labor flows, together with withdrawal from supranational relationships. Immigration has been a key theme in recent European elections, and Brexit is perhaps the most dramatic example of a country choosing to withdraw from a supranational relationship.

Institutional Erosion: Attacks on the media, which have escalated in the US since Donald Trump entered office, are one example of the erosion of institutions globally. There have also been government attacks on the media, institutions of state, bureaucracy, the judiciary, parliamentary arrangements and other institutions. Turkey’s referendum in April, for example, gave President Recep Tayyip Erdogan powers widely regarded as autocratic. From a macroeconomic perspective, a key risk is the potential to undermine central bank independence through money-financed fiscal stimulus.

Redistribution Policies: These policies involve redirecting government largesse from the “rich” or “elites” toward the poor. The specific actions could include higher taxes on corporations and high-income earners and big wage increases. Redistribution is the least evident of the three policy areas in developed countries right now—in fact, the US under President Trump is actually moving to cut corporate taxes. But it did form a core part of the program that helped the opposition Labour Party come within a whisker of winning the recent parliamentary election in the UK.

Four Steps to Failure

The order and extent of the shift toward these types of policies is very important in determining the macroeconomic impact. In the typical Latin American experience—there are very many, including a large number of the biggest disasters in the history of populism—the playbook generally runs like this:

  • Redistribution first. This is initially successful—in effect, a big fiscal stimulus. But, eventually, resource constraints begin to bite.
  • As a result, the central bank is


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California Expands Civil Servant Travel Ban To 8 States

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

As ‘The Left’ rages about President Trump’s so-called “travel ban” from ‘mostly-Muslim’ nations for its dreadful discrimination, the liberal-ist of liberal states has decided that California civil servants should be banned from traveling to eight US states because “we will not spend taxpayer dollars in states that discriminate.”

Having unilaterally trotted over to sign a climate accord with China, secessionist California is restricting publicly funded travel to four more states because of recent laws that leaders here view as discriminatory against gay and transgender people.

As Sacbee.com reports, all totaled, California now bans most state-funded travel to eight states. The new additions to California’s restricted travel list are Texas, Alabama, Kentucky and South Dakota. They join Kansas, Mississippi, North Carolina and Tennessee as states already subjected to the ban.

California Attorney Xavier Becerra announced the new states at a Thursday press conference, where he was joined by representatives from ACLU Northern California and Equality California.

“We will not spend taxpayer dollars in states that discriminate,” Becerra said.

California’s Legislature last year voted to restrict state-funded travel to states with laws that allow businesses to deny services to gay and transgender people.

So, it appears that travel bans TO discriminatory states is ok, but travel bans FROM discriminatory states (as Ben Carson noted there is not “one of the Muslim nations” that doesn’t have “discrimination against women, discrimination against gays, subjugation of other religious beliefs”) is horrirfic.

How long before California bans visiotrs from these 8 states?





Weekend Reading: Oil Slick

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com,

Beginning in December of last year, following the announcement by OPEC of a cut in oil production, I have discussed the headwinds” that persist against a sustained rise in oil prices.

The supply/demand dynamics currently suggest that oil prices and energy-related investments could find a long-term bottom within the next year or so following the next recession. However, it does not mean those investments will repeat the run witnessed prior to 2008 or 2014. Such is the hope of many investors currently as their ‘recency bias’ tends to overshadow the potential of the underlying fundamental dynamics.”

After exiting the energy space in April 2014, there have been small tradeable opportunities within the energy sector but the trend remains sorely negative. The recent pounding of both oil prices, and the energy-related sector, continues to support the repeated warnings to remain clear of the space for now.

Energy continues to struggle after breaking its 50-dma and broke its 200-dma two weeks ago. While energy had a bit of a bounce last week, and tested resistance at the 50-dma, the bounce failed and the trend continues to materially weaken. Energy is very close to a major sector sell signal.  Remain heavily underweight energy for the time being.”

Since then energy stocks have continued to deteriorate and oil prices have now broken important support. The next major level of support for oil prices on a weekly basis is $42.50/bbl. A failure there leaves little support until $35/bbl.

However, there is more to the price of oil than just weakness in the energy sector. Oil prices are also a reflexion of what is happening in the actual economy. The Fed should be paying closer attention to what is happening in oil prices. As shown below, the decline in oil prices suggests not only a real lack of inflationary pressures but are also a threat to the mild recovery in earnings in the last quarter. This weakness is also feeding back through the interest rate complex as well.

As I stated yesterday:

“While the Federal Reserve clearly should not raise rates further in the current environment, it is clear they will remain on their current path.


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Zero Hedge

Mapping The U.S. States That Smoke The Most (And Least)

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

The number of people smoking in the U.S. has fallen considerably over the years.

The most recent figures from Centers for Disease Control and Prevention show that just 15 percent of adults are cigarette smokers - down from 20.9 percent in 2005.

There is considerable variation between states though,...



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ValueWalk

So Value Investing Is Not Dead According To Goldman

By The Acquirer's Multiple. Originally published at ValueWalk.

I had to smile when I read this article on Bloomberg titled, Goldman Sachs Mulls the Death of Value Investing.

The article states:

There isn’t much value in value investing these days.

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Phil's Favorites

Saudi Reshuffle Could Completely Shake Up Oil Markets

Courtesy of Nick Cunningham, OilPrice.com

The power restructuring in Saudi Arabia this week led to the elevation of 31-year-old Mohammed bin Salman to crown prince, essentially ensuring that he will become the youngest king of Saudi Arabia in the not-too-distant future. The heir apparent has already been effectively running the country for the past few years, so the move was not entirely a shock. Nevertheless, the effects on the oil market could be profound.

The new crown prince is known to be a bit ...



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Insider Scoop

Marveling At Multi-Factor ETFs

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related This Goldman ETF Keeps Growing Getting Smarter About Smart Beta Related ...

http://www.insidercow.com/ more from Insider

Digital Currencies

Bitcoin In Perspective: Bill Gates Worth More, Gold 200 Times More

Courtesy of Mike Shedlock, MishTalk

An interesting article on HowMuch puts the Bitcoin phenomenon into proper perspective.

Google founder Larry Page’s net worth beats bitcoin’s entire market cap. Microsoft founder Bill Gates’s net worth is double Bitcoin.

Please consider The Bitcoin Economy, in Perspective.

Last year, Bitcoin became more stable than gold, and earlier this year, the price of a Bitcoin surpassed that of an ounce of gold for the first time. Currently, all the bitcoin in the world is ...



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Chart School

Russell 2000 at Rising Support

Courtesy of Declan.

There wasn't much to say about today, but the one index which caught my attention was the Russell 2000. The index caught a bounce in demand at the rising trendline and also did enough to recover the 20-day MA. Traders looking for pullback opportunity could take a look at the Russell 2000. Stops on a loss of 1,397.


The Nasdaq is primed for a move to challenge 6,350. Today's doji marks indecision just below 6,250 but if it can push above this price level it would likely trigger a spate of short covering. Technicals hav...

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Biotech

Even though genetic information is available, doctors may be ignoring important clinical clues

Reminder: Pharmboy and Ilene available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Even though genetic information is available, doctors may be ignoring important clinical clues

Courtesy of Greg HallCase Western Reserve University

Digitized strand of DNA. Mathagraphics/From www.shutterstock.com

With the availability of home genetic testing kits from companies such as “23andMe” and “Ancestry DNA,” more peo...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of June 19th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Mapping The Market

Frontier laid off state Senate president after broadband vote it didn't like

Courtesy of Jean-Luc

Speaking of FTR – not nice people…

Frontier laid off state Senate president after broadband vote it didn’t like

By Arstechnica.com

Broadband provider Frontier Communications recently laid off the West Virginia state Senate president after a vote the company didn't like—and yes, you read that correctly.

West Virginia does not have a full-time legislature, and state lawmakers can supplement their part-time government salaries ($20,000 a year,&...



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Promotions

NewsWare: Watch Today's Webinar!

 

We have a great guest at today's webinar!

Bill Olsen from NewsWare will be giving us a fun and lively demonstration of the advantages that real-time news provides. NewsWare is a market intelligence tool for news. In today's data driven markets, it is truly beneficial to have a tool that delivers access to the professional sources where you can obtain the facts in real time.

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Members' Corner

Robert Sapolsky: The biology of our best and worst selves

Interesting discussion of what affects our behavior. 

Description: "How can humans be so compassionate and altruistic — and also so brutal and violent? To understand why we do what we do, neuroscientist Robert Sapolsky looks at extreme context, examining actions on timescales from seconds to millions of years before they occurred. In this fascinating talk, he shares his cutting edge research into the biology that drives our worst and best behaviors."

Robert Sapolsky: The biology of our best and worst selves

Filmed April 2017 at TED 2017

 

p.s. Roger (on Facebook) saw this talk and recommends the book ...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Brazil; Waterfall in prices starting? Impact U.S.?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Below looks at the Brazil ETF (EWZ) over the last decade. The rally over the past year has it facing a critical level, from a Power of the Pattern perspective.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

EWZ is facing dual resistance at (1), while in a 9-year down trend of lower highs and lower lows. The counter trend rally over the past 17-months has it testing key falling resistance. Did the counter trend reflation rally just end at dual resistance???

If EWZ b...



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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: Harlan is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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