March 20th, 2010 1:08 am
John's thoughts on the relentless trend higher in stocks, with the languishing VIX.
The Boredom Before the Storm (Time to Buy Volatility)
Courtesy of John Rubino at Dollar Collapse
As eventful as the past few months have been (what with Greece, California, Illinois, Iran, the Lehman Brothers revelations, U.S./China trade friction, and record deficits just about everywhere), you’d think the financial markets would be agitated, to put it mildly. Instead, just about everything is range-bound, and the things that aren’t, like U.S. stocks, are trending slowly, reassuringly, higher. This has taken the VIX, the main measure of fear (i.e. volatility) in the options market down to levels last seen before the ...
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March 20th, 2010 5:48 am
Courtesy of Chopshop
In succinct synopsis of what lays just over the horizon ~ "the cycle of economic implosion" ~ for the ill-conceived amalgam known *today* as the European Union, phinance's phavorite political prisoner, Martin Armstrong, cautions that:
- "the EU is in dire position", on the precipice of shattering into default and civil unrest;
- the sovereign debt crisis materializing across Europe will soon reach US shores;
- the CFTC will curtail currency speculation by slashing leverage from 100:1 to 10:1, which "can cause a liquidity crisis that backfires, magnifying everything."
Since "debts will never be paid and interest expenditures are the greatest transfer of wealth ...
more from Tyler
March 19th, 2010 12:05 pm
Quad Witching Expiration and a Pullback from the Long Term Trend
Courtesy of JESSE'S CAFÉ AMÉRICAIN
The front month on the SP futures has now switched from March to June as a part of the Quad Witching Expiration. (Technically it switched last week, but for charting purposes I made the switch last night.) The June Futures have essentially the same formations as did March, it's just that the earlier months have few trades to mark them.
This is the first serious test for US equities since mid-February, as it has been on a spectacular rally streak, no doubt fueled by excess liquidity applied to a selling exhaustion in the funds. Curiously not among corporate...
more from Chart School
March 19th, 2010 9:29am
Well now we're officially cashed out!
As I always do before options expiration I reviewed our Buy List, which, this quarter, is a list of 37 stocks we've been playing since late December and, sadly, after reviewing 37 of our favorite investments very carefully this week - I could only conclude that cashing them out was the only decision I could be comfortable with this week. Of 66 trades we had on our 37 stocks, 64 are winners with an average return since 2/8 of 28% - since most of the trades were designed to make 40% for the year - it just seems silly not to take the money and run now, on March 19th.
You are not supposed to have 64 out of 66 winners in 6 weeks, you are not supposed to make 3/4 of what you anticipate for the year in 6 weeks - that is NOT how the markets are supposed to work! When the ma...
more from Goddess
March 19th, 2010 11:05 am
Identifying the Fundamentals
Stocks move under the influence various factors that we can use to identify stocks that are likely to move 3-5% in a single day. Even t...
more from David
By Andrew Wilkinson
March 19th, 2010 4:41 pm
Today’s tickers: BBY, DNDN, GLD, BAC, AET, BA & NBR
BBY - Best Buy Co., Inc. – Shares of the world’s largest electronics retailer rallied 2% to $41.25 during the trading session after receiving an upgrade to ‘buy’ from ‘neutral’ at Goldman Sachs Group where analysts increased BBY’s target share price to $47.00 from $44.00. Options traders employed a few different bullish tactics to position for continued upward movement in the price of the underlying stock through expiration in April. Plain-vanilla call buyers targeted the April $44 strike to purchase 5,100 calls for an average premium of $0.55 apiece. These investors stand ready to accrue profits if Best Buy’s share price increases 8% from the current value to exceed the effective breakeven point on the calls at $44.55 by expirati...
more from Andrew
March 15th, 2010 6:49 pm
By Ilene
Let's take a look at Insider Buying and Selling over the last week or so. These are screen shots from Finviz - the significant buys against a green background first and significant sells against the pink background second. All the buys fit into my screen shot but the sells did not. Click here to see all the sells.
Note that the largest buy in the group, for KITD was at a price of 9.73 (KITD is currently at 11.54). The buy was part of an Equity Offering rather than an open market purchase. Tuzman Kaleil Isaza's (KITD's Chairman and Chief Exec. Officer) history of buys is http://www.insidercow.com/
more from Insider
March 15th, 2010 8:55 am
This post is for live trades and daily comments.
To learn more about the swing trading portfolio (strategy, membership etc.), please click here
- Optrader
...
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