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Posts Tagged ‘calculated risks’

Hey, Look, The Stress Tests Really Weren’t Stressful Enough

Hey, Look, The Stress Tests Really Weren’t Stressful Enough

Courtesy of Henry Blodget at ClusterStock

Calculated Risk illustrates what we already knew: the bank stress tests weren’t nearly stressful enough.

The chart below looks at unemployment by quarter.  The green bars are the "base case" in the stress tests (the most likely scenario, in the government’s opinion).  The blue bars are the "adverse case" scenario–unlikely but possible.  And the red bars are what’s actually happening (Q2 is a forecast).

The larger story here, unfortunately, is that the Obama administration continues to blow its credibility on the economy.  By being too optimistic from the get-go, the administration is opening the door for critics and opponents who are already arguing that the Obama plan has failed.

Calculated Risk has a bigger version of the chart and more thoughts here >

 



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Phil's Favorites

Elizabeth Warren: GMAC did not pose a systemic risk

Elizabeth Warren: GMAC did not pose a systemic risk

Courtesy of Edward Harrison at Credit Writedowns  

So why did we rescue this institution with a massive bailout? Elizabeth Warren, who chairs the Congressional Oversight panel of the TARP program, doesn’t understand any more than taxpayers do. This is another example of the malinvestment and zombie finance which bailouts have fostered.

Here’s a question for you: if GMAC was a U.S. auto financing company, why was it speculating in mortgage finance… in Spain?  That’s what I was ...



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Zero Hedge

Daily Highlights: 3.12.10

Courtesy of Tyler Durden

  • Americans' net worth rised 1.3 percent in the fourth quarter to $54.2 trillion.
  • Asian shares mixed, Japan stocks gain on speculation central bank to add funds.
  • Eurozone industrial output jumps by massive 1.7 percent in January.
  • Money fund assets fell by $36.22 billion to $3.090 trillion in latest week.
  • Obama to nominate Yellen to post of vice chairman of Federal Reserve.
  • Oil drifts above $82 in Asia as month-long rally loses momentum amid weak US crude demand.
  • Retail sales probably fell as blizzards kept US shoppers home.
  • Democrats resolve disputes over Obama's health overhaul plan; still hunting for votes.
  • Total US household debt fell 1.7% in 2009 to $13.5 trillion - fastest pace in a decade: Fed.
  • Agrium to terminate offer to acquire CF Industries.
  • Air China Ltd. announces plans to raise $954M in...


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Chart School

Stock Market Commentary: New Highs for Tech and Small Caps

Stock Market Commentary: New Highs for Tech and Small Caps

Courtesy of Fallond Stock Picks 

Small Caps and Tech continued their good form. Technicals continue to support the move higher for Small Caps (Russell 2000) with new highs for the MACD and +DI line. The Russell 2000 would have to give up 25 points (or 4%) just to test breakout support at 650.

The prior underperformance of the semiconductors was undone with today's 2% gain. 

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Trading Goddess

Pivotfarm Support and Resistance Levels 12th March 2010



Pivotfarm.com provides Support & Resistance, Fibonacci, Volume Analysis, Market Profile, Moving Average and Pivot Information for day traders. These data sheets are designed to help day traders gain an edge in the market, providing all the most important information a trader needs in one clear and concise data sheet.

Today's levels can be found by clicking here




You can now have the Support and Resistance levels emailed to you via our Newsletter every morning please sign up at pivotfarm.com

All information on this website is for educational purposes only and is not intended to provide financial advise. Any sta...



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The Options Report

By Andrew Wilkinson


Anadys Pharm-Bull Eyes Upside, Buys Call Spread

Today’s tickers: ANDS, FXI, GME, BIIB, TRA, WYN & AES

ANDS - Anadys Pharmaceuticals, Inc. – Biotechnology firm, Anadys Pharmaceuticals, enticed a long-term bullish investor to shell out option premium in order to establish a debit call spread in the September contract. ANDS-shares are trading 0.45% higher on the day to $2.19 as of 2:25 pm (ET). The optimistic options player purchased 3,000 calls at the September $2.5 strike for a premium of $0.55 apiece, marked against the sale of 3,000 calls at the higher September $5.0 strike for $0.15 each. The net cost of the call spread amounts to $0.30 per contract. The transaction positions the trader to accrue maximum potential profits of $2.20 per contract should shares of the underlying stock surge 128.3% over the current price to $5.00 by expiration day in September. Shares mus...



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Insider Zone


INSIDER SELLING HITS NEW 2010 HIGH

Update on insider activity from Pragcap -- selling still far exceeds buying, confirming my thoughts on Feb. 20 that trends haven't changed. - Ilene 

INSIDER SELLING HITS NEW 2010 HIGH

Courtesy of The Pragmatic Capitalist 

The recent uptick in stocks has not been met with much enthusiasm by corporate insiders.  In fact, pessimism rules the day in the land of insider buying and selling trends.  For the week ending February 26th insiders sold a total of $1.88...


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OpTrader


Swing trading portfolio - Week of March 8th, 2010

This post is for live trades and daily comments. 

To learn more about the swing trading portfolio (strategy, membership etc.), please click here

- Optrader

...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the Favorites backup site (blogroll, archives, more). Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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