Posts Tagged ‘Chris Whalen’

Apple, Google, NewsCorp and the Future of Content: Interview with Michael Whalen

Courtesy of rcwhalen - Chris Whalen - writing at Zero Hedge 

Apple, Google, NewsCorp and the Future of Content: Interview with Michael Whalen

The Institutional Risk Analyst

In this issue of The Institutional Risk Analyst, we speak to Michael Whalen, award winning composer and new media observer about the outlook for the business of creating and delivering content.  Since graduating from Berklee College of Music, Michael has taught a business for music class than has saved thousands of young atists from making terrible mistakes with content and other contractual rights.  Think Frank Zappa and Warner Brothers.   And yes, Michael is IRA co-founder Chris Whalen’s younger brother.  

The IRA: So Michael, let’s start with kudos for the call on iTunes years ago. You first gave your brother a heads up about Apple Computer’s (AAPL) move into music via iTunes a decade ago, correct?

Whalen: Thanks. Yes…back in 2000 – 2001, I saw that Apple was getting ready to take a monumental step by shifting its business away from just computers and software towards mobile devices. To see how big a deal this decision was, you have to travel back to that time… When people thought of downloadable music the first thing they thought of was Napster (remember them?) and to the general business community the idea of all entertainment being sold and distributed digitally through a SIMPLE platform was "risky" and truly visionary. The music business was all about CDs (still) and the traditional model of physical product. Interestingly, iPod was not first to market. The digital music players that did exist beforehand were clunky and big. In 2001, concepts such as iTunes and the iPod made it look like Steve Jobs and the management at AAPL were crazy or at least losing "confidence" in their core business. People asked with more than a tone of criticism: "why diversify"? "Has Microsoft (MSFT) beaten you"? Now 10 years later, their gamble looks like genius. It was…

The IRA: Indeed. How do you view the AAPL strategy going forward, especially with the apparent decision to let Droid handset take overall share? Is AAPL still well advised to keep proprietary control over the hardware and not allow third-party produces to make handsets that run the AAPL OS?  Click here ( http://us1.irabankratings.com/mobile/home.asp ) to see IRA’s new digital widget for handsets.

Whalen: I think handicapping the handset/mobile device market…
continue reading


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WHALEN: BANK RESTRUCTURINGS LIKELY AS FORECLOSURES “OVERWHELM” BIG BANKS

WHALEN: BANK RESTRUCTURINGS LIKELY AS FORECLOSURES “OVERWHELM” BIG BANKS

Courtesy of The Pragmatic Capitalist 

Chris Whalen of Institutional Risk Analytics provided some recent clarity on the foreclosure crisis and its impact on the banking sector.  Whalen believes the foreclosure crisis merely proves that the credit crisis never ended and that the government “bought time” for the banks.  That time is now running out and the banks simply do not have the capital, the earnings or the capability to absorb the losses in the pipeline from the continuing foreclosures.  Ultimately, Whalen believes restructurings are likely to occur in 2011 as the U.S. government is finally forced to deal with the banking sector as it should have in 2009.

For more from Chris Whalen see his recent must see presentation at AEI. 


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Check Out Chris Whalen’s Terrifying Presentation On The 2011 Foreclosure Crisis

Check Out Chris Whalen’s Terrifying Presentation On The 2011 Foreclosure Crisis

Courtesy of Gus Lubin at Business Insider

whalenThe biggest bear in foreclosure-gate is Institutional Risk Analytic’s Chris Whalen.

At a conference Wednesday, Whalen said the foreclosure crisis would make 2008 look like a cakewalk (via Prag Cap):

"The U.S. banking industry is entering a new period of crisis where operating costs are rising dramatically due to foreclosures and defaults. We are less than ¼ of the way through the foreclosure process."

Whalen says subprime losses never really showed up on balance sheets. But a coming wave of foreclosures will make them a reality. At a time when banks are already stressed, these rising operational costs will cause bankruptcy.

Even without foreclosure-gate banks were screwed. As the government stalls the clear out of toxic assets, bank liabilities will rise even more.

Click here to see Whalen’s presentation > 


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CHRIS WHALEN DESCRIBES WHY 2011 COULD MAKE 2008 LOOK LIKE A CAKEWALK

CHRIS WHALEN DESCRIBES WHY 2011 COULD MAKE 2008 LOOK LIKE A CAKEWALK

Courtesy of The Pragmatic Capitalist 

Christopher Whalen makes a remarkably convincing case for why we’ve simply kicked the can down the road and why the banks could be in for a repeat of their 2008 nightmares in 2011.  If Mr. Whalen is right the banking sector is in for a whole new round of government intervention, takeovers, likely nationalizations and general disaster:

The U.S. banking industry is entering a new period of crisis where operating costs are rising dramatically due to foreclosures and defaults. We are less than frac14; of& the way through the foreclosure process. Laurie Goodman of Amherst Securities predicts that 1& in 5 mortgages could go into foreclosure without radical action.

Rising operating costs in banks will be more significant than in past recessions and could force the U.S. government to restructure some large lenders as expenses overwhelm revenue. BAC, JPM, GMAC foreclosure moratoriums only the start of the crisis that threatens the financial foundations of the entire U.S. political economy.

The largest U.S. banks remain insolvent and must continue to shrink. Failure by the Obama Administration to restructure the largest banks during 2007?2009 period only  means that this process is going to occur over next three to five years –whether we like it or not.  The issue is recognizing existing losses ?? not if a loss occurred.

Impending operational collapse of some of the largest U.S. banks will serve as the catalyst for re?creation of RFC?type liquidation vehicle(s) to handle the operational task of finally deflating the subprime bubble.   End of the liquidation cycle of the deflating bubble will arrive in another four to five years.

Fast forward to the 1:07 minute mark where Mr. Whalen begins.

 


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Double Dip Est Arrivé: Institutional Risk Analyst

Double Dip Est Arrivé: Institutional Risk Analyst

Courtesy of JESSE’S CAFÉ AMÉRICAIN

Chris Whalen of Institutional Risk Analyst has this interesting interview on CNBC, sent to me by a reader.

I have not watched that television channel in some years, finding their shallowness and hypocrisy too much to bear. Of course my refuge, Bloomberg Television, has lowered its standards so much, with spokesmodels and smirking chimps, that it may have achieved parity. Are Cramer, Kudlow and Kernan still kicking? Remarkable.

This is an interesting exposition of the currency wars, and the pandering to the big financial institutions by the Fed over the past fifteen years, ultimately at the expense of the real economy in the distortions and misallocation of capital which the financial engineers have fostered.

Here is the interview with Jim Rickards to which Chris alludes.

Chris Whalen sounds like me. I wonder if he can cook? 

 


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Chris Whalen’s 2010 Outlook: “A Grudging Admission of the Truth”

Chris Whalen’s 2010 Outlook: "A Grudging Admission of the Truth"

By Aaron Task

Financials suffered Thursday after Citigroup’s massive secondary offering was poorly received and influential analyst Meredith Whitney cut 2010 estimates on Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley.

The answer is "yes" (or "both"), according to Christopher Whalen, managing director at Institutional Risk Analytics.

In 2009, the momentum created by a "wall of paper fiat dollars" overcame the industry’s still-poor fundamentals, driving the sector higher, Whalen says. "Where you see the markets changing in terms of sentiment is where fundamentals are so ugly they can’t be ignored."

Whalen is sticking by a prior forecast that the fourth-quarter will be a "bloodbath" for the banks but says the real ugliness won’t occur until the middle of 2010…

But even prior to Thursday’s selloff, a lot of traders were nervously watching the poor action in the financials as a possible "tell" for the broader market. The question is whether the recent weakness is just profit taking after the big gains earlier this year or concern about the fundamentals heading into 2010.

Read full article here.>>

 


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Zero Hedge

The Real Story Behind Goldman's Q2 Trading Loss: How A $100M Gas Bet Went Awry

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Goldman Sachs FICC-trading income was an unexpectedly ugly blemish on what was already a poor Q2 earnings report. And while the FDIC-backed hedge fund initially blamed the decline on lower trading revenues, lack of volatility and depressed client activity...

... there was more to the story. T...



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ValueWalk

The Entire Medical Industry Is About To Change

By The Sovereign Investor. Originally published at ValueWalk.

The doctor straightened and pulled the stethoscope from her ears. “I don’t hear anything on the right side.”

Sometimes silence is a good sign. When it comes to listening to my husband breathing, it’s not.

One quick X-ray later and we discover that his right lung had collapsed. There was also air putting pressure on his left lung.

The fix was easy. The doctor inserted a slender tube into his chest, sucking out the air. His lung reinflated in a matter of minutes.

I caught the doctor later and asked her why this had happened. When the pain started, he’d been watching TV.

She shrugged and admitted that sometimes it was just something that happened to men who are tall and thin.

Of course, the answer to the question of “How do we avoid this?”...



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Phil's Favorites

Investment Advice in Four Words: Have Patience, Avoid Bubbles

Courtesy of Mish.

A relations manager for Ted Thomas reached out last week and asked: “What is your most valuable advice to people who are beginner investors so that they can get great results in the long term?”

The answer form had no formatting options. Here is a detailed response, with links.

Have Patience, Avoid Bubbles

The TINA theory (there is no alternative other than stocks and bonds) is a path to poor returns.

Cash and gold are indeed options. I discussed TINA in Median Price-to-Revenue Ratio Higher in All Deciles vs 2007, 90% vs Dot-Com Bubble: THE Choice

I recently discussed gold in ...



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Insider Scoop

Things To Like, Things To Watch At The Gap

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related GPS 20 Stocks Moving In Friday's Pre-Market Session A Peek Into The Markets: U.S. Stock Futures Edge Higher Ahead Of Consumer Sentiment Repor...

http://www.insidercow.com/ more from Insider

Chart School

Volatility on the Rise

Courtesy of Declan.

Today's losses look big on current charts but in a historic context, they weren't too severe. However, big red bars are not to be ignored and 'market leading' Small Caps have felt the full brunt of the selling from July which is bad news for the broader market.  Today's losses in the Russell 2000 undercut the 200-day MA leaving 1,345 as next support (of which I would not be too confident of it holding).


If the Russell 2000 gives up 1,350s then a drop to 1,150s could be on the cards. Things could get ugly if this scenario pl...

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Digital Currencies

Ukrainian Lawmakers Disclose $45 Million In Bitcoin Holdings

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

As Ukraine's crackdown on corruption continues, three lawmakers from Ukraine’s ruling party revealed this week that they own a combined $45 million in bitcoin, according to a report by RIA Novosti, a Russian foreign news service.

Their holdings came to light during mandatory financial disclosures by members of the Ukrainian parliament, part of an IMF-approved strategy to tamp down corruption in Ukraine. The country's democratic institutions, which were never very robust to begin with, have been further destabilized by...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of August 14th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Biotech

Editing human embryos with CRISPR is moving ahead - now's the time to work out the ethics

Reminder: Pharmboy and Ilene are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Editing human embryos with CRISPR is moving ahead – now's the time to work out the ethics

Courtesy of Jessica BergCase Western Reserve University

There’s still a way to go from editing single-cell embryos to a full-term ‘designer baby.’ ZEISS Microscopy, CC BY-SA

The announcement by researchers in Portland, Oregon that they’ve successfully modified the genetic m...



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Members' Corner

Why we need to act on climate change now

 

Why we need to act on climate change now

Interview with Jan Dash PhD, by Ilene Carrie, Editor at Phil’s Stock World

Jan Dash PhD is a physicist, an expert at quantitative finance and risk management, and a consultant at Bloomberg LP. In his thought-provoking book, Quantitative Finance and Risk Management, A Physicist's Approach, Jan devotes a chapter to climate change and its long-term systemic risk. In this article, Ilene interviews Jan regarding his thoughts on climate change and the way it can affect our futu...



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Mapping The Market

The App Economy Will Be Worth $6 Trillion in Five Years

Courtesy of Jean-Luc

This would be excellent news for AAPL and GOOG to a lesser extent although not inconsequential:

The App Economy Will Be Worth $6 Trillion in Five Years 

In five years, the app economy will be worth $6.3 trillion, up from $1.3 trillion last year, according to a report released today by app measurement company App Annie. What explains the growth? More people are spending more time and -- crucially -- more money in apps. While on average people aren't downloading many more apps, App Annie expects global app usership to nearly double to 6.3 billion people in the next five years while the time spent in apps will more than double. And, it expects the...



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Promotions

NewsWare: Watch Today's Webinar!

 

We have a great guest at today's webinar!

Bill Olsen from NewsWare will be giving us a fun and lively demonstration of the advantages that real-time news provides. NewsWare is a market intelligence tool for news. In today's data driven markets, it is truly beneficial to have a tool that delivers access to the professional sources where you can obtain the facts in real time.

Join our webinar, free, it's open to all. 

Just click here at 1 pm est and join in!

[For more information on NewsWare, click here. For a list of prices: NewsWar...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Brazil; Waterfall in prices starting? Impact U.S.?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Below looks at the Brazil ETF (EWZ) over the last decade. The rally over the past year has it facing a critical level, from a Power of the Pattern perspective.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

EWZ is facing dual resistance at (1), while in a 9-year down trend of lower highs and lower lows. The counter trend rally over the past 17-months has it testing key falling resistance. Did the counter trend reflation rally just end at dual resistance???

If EWZ b...



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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: Harlan is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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