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Posts Tagged ‘Daniel Shaffer’

Daniel Shaffer Notices the “Invisible Hand” aka Plunge Protection Team

 

Daniel Shaffer Notices the "Invisible Hand" aka Plunge Protection Team

I am glad I am not the only one who notices these things…. I am only speaking as someone who has watched the market since mid 90s and have never seen the behavior I see now. Whenever a key technical average is threatened a magical flood of futures buying comes in. Almost every morning the past 10 weeks pre market futures are green (apparently there is not enough time to buy stocks between 9:30 AM and 4:00 PM). The last 30 minutes has magical reversals – we saw it just last Thursday at a key moving average. [May 21: Bookkeeping - Covering Index Shorts Around 3:30 - 3:45 PM]

There can only be one entity who has the buying power to do this… and with Goldman Sachs as the 4th arm of government you can use them behind closed doors. But I am sure we’ll never know the truth… and I hate to sound like a grassy knoll type but the market just does not act like it used to if you really watch closely. The S&P now regularly jumps in 4-5 point increments in a matter of 60-120 seconds late in the day. In my humble opinion the government knows so many quant and program trades now are tied to the indexes that it is easy to manipulate this market… you lead, they will follow automatically (by their programming). So for a relatively low cost you can move things where they "should be", and the momentum performance chasing computers will support your case. And Goldman Sachs can pile up trading wins since somewhere in their bowels, in the cigar smoke… cheers of victory cry out. From late April via ZeroHedge

Clearly in a ‘free market’ system it would look embarrassing for this type of behavior to be out in the open. But heck Japan was tossing around


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China Cash Crunch: 1-Day Interest Rate Spikes to Record High 25%

Courtesy of Mish.

The clampdown on China's shadow banking continues today, with Money Rates at Record Highs as PBOC Lets Cash Crunch Build
China’s benchmark money-market rates climbed to records as the central bank refrained from using reverse-repurchase agreements to address a cash crunch in the world’s second-biggest economy.

The seven-day repurchase rate, which measures interbank funding availability, rose 270 basis points, or 2.70 percentage points, to 10.77 percent in Shanghai, according to a daily fixing announced by the National Interbank Funding Center. That was the highest in data going back to March 2003. The one-day rate rose by an unprecedented 527 basis points to an all-time high of 12.85 percent, a separate fixing sh...



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Sabrient

Sector Detector: Investors try to decipher clues from the Fed

Courtesy of Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics

The world has been watching every peep, sniffle, or innuendo associated with any voting member of the FOMC. What is the future of the latest in their ongoing market manipulation, in which money is printed to buy bonds to hold down interest rates, spur corporate borrowing, and artificially inflate stocks? Lately, that’s all investors have cared about.

Yes, it seems that all anyone has been talking about is the Federal Reserve and the timing of their “tapering” off on quant easing. There was a lot of anticipation going into this latest meeting. Fed chairman Bernanke said on Wednesday that if the economy continues to improve, their asset-purchasing program could start to wind down in late 2013 and conclude in 2014.

Stocks sold off on the news and Treasury yields spiked to 2011 highs. Int...



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Insider Scoop

PDC Energy Announces Closing of Non-Core Colorado Natural Gas Asset Sale; Proceeds to Accelerate Development of Its Liquid-Rich Horizontal Programs in Core Wattenberg and Utica Shale

Courtesy of Benzinga.

PDC Energy, Inc. ("PDC" or the "Company") (Nasdaq: PDCE) today announced that it closed yesterday, June 18, 2013, on the previously disclosed sale of its non-core Colorado natural gas assets.

The Company's non-core Colorado assets were sold to Caerus Oil and Gas LLC for approximately $185 million in net proceeds, subject to customary post-closing adjustments. Under the purchase and sale agreement, the transaction was given economic effect as of January 1, 2013. The assets sold are approximately 99% natural gas in terms of reserves and include an estimated 85 billion cubic feet equivalent (Bcfe) of net proved developed producing reserves as of December 31, 2012. The assets produced approximately 40 million net cubic feet of natural gas equivalent per day in the first quarter of...



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Zero Hedge

China Interbank Market Freezes As Overnight Repo Explodes To 25%

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

It seems liquidity (or counterparty mistrust) is beginning to reach extreme levels in China as the nation's banking system is now quoting overnight repo transactions at 25%. The explosion in funding costs echoes the collapse in trust (and surge in TED spread) among US banks in the run-up to the Lehman bankruptcy. MSCI Asia-Pac stocks are down over 3% with China's Shanghai Composite -2.5% at seven-month lows.

  • China’s 1-day Repo Rate Climbs to Highest Since at Least 2006
  • MNI - CHINA OVERNIGHT REPO FIXING AT RECORD HIGH

China's bond market is also collapsing:

Yield on 3.1% govt bonds due Januar...



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Option Review

Micron Calls Change Hands At A Clip Ahead Of Earnings After The Close

Today’s tickers: MU, VNDA & MW

MU - Micron Technology, Inc. – Options traders appear to be snapping up out of the money call options on Micron Technology this morning ahead of the company’s third-quarter earnings report after the closing bell today. Shares in the name kicked off the trading session in rally mode, rising as much as 2.6% to a six-year high of $14.11 in the early going, but have since turned negative to stand 0.15% lower on the day at $13.73 as of 11:10 a.m. ET. Micron’s shares are up roughly 130% since this time last year. July expiry call optio...



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Chart School

S&P 500 Snapshot: Post-FOMC Selloff on Hints of a QE Phase Out

Courtesy of Doug Short.

With nothing of international significance to predetermine US market direction, the trade from the opening bell was one of marking time in advance of the June FOMC press release at 2 PM and more importantly Chairman Bernanke's hour-long press conference at 2:30. Prior to 2 PM the S&P 500 traded in a narrow negative range and hit its intraday high at 2:01 PM, up 0.04%, Then began a three-stage selloff. The first was a brief knee-jerk sell when the Fed summary was released, one that was essentially reversed a few minutes later. The second started about 15-minutes into Bernanke's press conference, again one that was partially reversed. The third selloff came during the final 30 minutes with no reversal. The index closed down 1.39%, a microscopic 0.02 points off its in...



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Market Montage

Typical Fed Volatility

Submitted by Mark Hanna

Courtesy of MarketMontage. View original post here.

No change to the statement as expected and Ben is speaking now.  Basically he is dovish – one takeaway which I mentioned quite a few months ago but he reiterated today.  The 6.5% unemployment rate is a threshold NOT a trigger.  What that means is if inflation is benign when 6.5% unemployment returns, the Fed will be in no rush to raise interest rates.  i.e. the goalposts are soft, nor hard.  The market rallied on that… but it's not new news really.

Also the majority of members do not anticipate selling MBS off the balance sheet – this is part and parcel with the view that the balance sheet will not...



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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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Stock World Weekly

Stock World Weekly

NEW: Writers are available to chat with Members regarding topics presented in SWW, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the latest Stock World Weekly.  Sign in with your PSW user name and password, or sign up for a free trial. There's an interesting option trade on LULU presented in the newsletter this week. 

Trivia on lululemon via Paul Price, article found in NYTimes. 

Lululemon Athletica Combines Ayn Rand and Yoga

By 

...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of June 17th, 2013

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here

Optrader 

...

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IRA Strategy/Income Trader

The IRA portfolio

Reminder: Craigzooka is available to chat with Members regarding his virtual portfolio performance, comments are found below each post.

By Craigzooka

I am going to share with you how I manage my IRA and the power of reducing your cost basis.  My goal each year is a 20% return in my IRA.  Sometimes I make it and sometimes I don't, but I believe that all of my success is due to reducing my cost basis.  To illustrate the power of reducing your cost basis here are some trades we did last year.  These trades are taken from an educational portfolio we ran in a paper-trading account for a little more than a year.

  • We bought RIG on 5/15/2012 for $44.13, sold it on 1/18/2013 for $46 but booked a profit of $1,154.
  • We bought MT on 1/4/2012 for $19.24, sold it on 12/21/2012 for $15 but booked a profit of $454.
  • We bought CHK on 1/27/2012 for $21.93, sold it on 10/19/2012 for $18 b...


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ETF Selector

Stock Market Gets Big News After Friday’s Close

Courtesy of John Nyaradi.

Stock market posts another record setting week, but the big news came after Friday’s close.

Courtesy of NASA

The stock market put on another record setting show with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSEARCA:DIA) closing at a record high 15,118 and the S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) closing at 1633.70, another all time closing high.

For the week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSEARCA:DIA) gained 1%, the S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) climbed 1.2%, the Nasdaq Composite (NYSEARCA:...



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Pharmboy

Give Them an Inch, They Will Take a Mile

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Well, well, well....it is good to know that there are others in the scientific arena who believed that YMI Bioscience's data (cough - Gilead) is a better drug than Incyte's Jakafi.  Now, the definitive data are still unknown, but there was enough evidence from a Phase 2 trial to take a small risk for a huge reward.  So, let's forget about Apple (AAPL), and do nothing but biotechs from now until Congress passes universal health care coverage for prescriptions....and drive the prices down so that research and development is no longer feasible to conduct in the US. Even Seattle Genetics (SGEN) has been on a tear as of late...



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