Posts Tagged ‘OPEN’

Bulls Take A Seat At OpenTable

Trading in out of the money calls on OpenTable (Ticker: OPEN) this morning pushed options volume on the provider of online restaurant reservation services to more than twice the average daily level this morning, with upwards of 9,000 contracts changing hands in the early going versus an average daily reading of around 4,300 contracts.

The most traded options on OPEN are the 21Feb’14 $77.5 strike calls, with around 6,000 lots in play against open interest of roughly 1,200 contracts. It looks like traders quick enough out of the gate managed to pay as little as $0.10 apiece for approximately 1,500 of the calls. Gains in the price of the underlying, which spiked 4.0% near the open, coupled with an influx of buyers of the $77.5 calls pushed the premium on the contracts up to as high as $0.80 each at the same time that the stock price touched its intraday high of $77.85. The price of the underlying has since backed off those highs dragging down with it the prevailing premium on the contracts, which currently show a bid/ask spread of $0.05/$0.20 each. With expiration looming large and the price of the stock sitting decidedly lower than the $77.5 striking price, the morning purchase of these contracts may have generated transaction costs and little else by the looks of it. However, a review of time and sales data indicates some traders stepped in to sell the calls at an average premium of $0.27 each roughly an hour into the session. It’s difficult to say either way who is behind the selling, but perhaps buyers of the calls this morning were able to book quick profits on their positions at OpenTable this morning.

Looking out to options with more life left in them, the March expiry calls were also active during the first 30 minutes of the session. The Mar $80 strike calls traded roughly 1,000 times, with much of the volume purchased at a premium of $1.90 per contract. Traders long the calls stand ready to profit at expiration next month in the event that shares in OpenTable surge 7.0% over the current price of $76.50 to exceed the breakeven point at $81.90. Shares in the name last traded above $81.90 back on January 21st

Chart – P&L of long Mar 80 Call Strategy in IB Option Strategy Lab
Current (solid line), At expiration (dotted line)


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Bearish Options Traders Take A Seat At OpenTable

Today’s tickers: OPEN, FDO & EAT

OPEN - OpenTable, Inc. – Shares in OpenTable are moving lower this morning, down 2.9% at $65.96 as of 11:10 a.m. ET, after analysts at Citigroup initiated a ‘sell’ rating on the stock with a price target of $58.00. Options on the provider of online restaurant reservations are more active than usual, with volume nearing 1,200 contracts versus the stock’s average daily volume of around 600 contracts. Front month put options are seeing the most action, specifically at the Jul $65 strike where more than 800 contracts have changed hands so far today. It looks like most of the $65 puts were purchased for an average premium of $1.13 apiece, thus positioning buyers to profit at expiration next week in the event that OpenTable’s shares dip 3.2% from the current price of $65.96 to breach the average breakeven point on the downside at $63.87.

FDO - Family Dollar Stores, Inc. – Upside call options are changing hands on discount retailer, Family Dollar Stores, Inc., today with shares in the name up as much as 4.6% in the early going to touch a six-month high of $66.90. The company reported better than expected third-quarter comparable store sales growth and higher than expected third-quarter earnings ahead of the opening bell. The Aug $67.5 strike calls attracted the most volume during morning trading, with upwards of 3,900 contracts in play against open interest of 138 contracts. It looks like most of the $67.5 strike calls were purchased for an average premium of $1.60 apiece. Call buyers stand ready to profit at expiration next month should shares in FDO rally another 3.3% over today’s high of $66.90 to surpass the average breakeven price of $69.10. Shares in Family Dollar Stores last traded above $69.10 in December of 2012.

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Testy Tuesday – AAPL Rebalancing in May May Keep the Nasdaq from 2,800 Today

A staff member holds the new Apple iPad2 at the Apple store in London March 25, 2011. REUTERS/Luke MacGregorThe Nasdaq is finally rebalancing!  

That is good news but not so much for Apple, Inc., whose current 20.49% weighting in the index will be cut to 12.33% on May 2nd.  This explains a lot of the strange movement in the Nasdaq as apparently the cognescenti have already begun jockying their positions – trying to guess which of the 100 stocks in the Composite Index will curry some of AAPL's lost favor.  

Perhaps the the moves up in fellow 4-letter stocks like PCLN ($25Bn market cap), NFLX ($13Bn), OPEN ($2.5Bn), BIDU ($50Bn) and GMCR ($9.4Bn) don't seem quite so crazy in light of the 40% reduction in AAPL ($314Bn) – take the money out of one bucket and you HAVE to fill up the others!  

This does make me feel better as there may actually be a rational reason for NFLX having a p/e of 82 despite the fact that they have a completely indefensible service that already has competition from several on-line clones as well as big boys like AMZN, not to mention every cable and satellite company in America.  Why does WFMI, a GROCERY STORE, trade at 41 times it's projected 2011 earnings in the middle of the worst food inflation in US history?  It's not just because rich people are stupid and will overpay for anything because they hate to have people think they can't afford stuff – it's because their market cap is $11.4Bn and if you take 40% of AAPL's $300Bn and distribute it around the Nasdaq – then WFMI get's $1.2Bn of additional allocation.  

That's not exactly how it works but that's the effect.  A $1Bn Index fund who follows the Nasdaq has $205M of AAPL stock (20.49%) and, after the reweighing, they are to have $123M of AAPL stock.  The other $82M does, in fact, get distributed to the other Nasdaq stocks according to the new weightings.  Do you think that doesn't distort the markets?  Of course, that doesn't "just" affect the Nasdaq – AAPL is a heavyweight in all the indexes.  

The special rebalancing of the NASDAQ-100 Index will be enacted based on index securities and shares outstanding as of March 31…
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PSW Wrap-Up Show for the Week

We have a new episode of The Wrap-Up Show.

This time, it’s a quick review of the week’s activity:

Also, as we have a ton of Government Data that will be driving the markets next week, let’s review "How the US Government Manipulates Inflation Data" – just so we remember not to take it all too seriously.  


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Wednesday – Working Toward the Clampdown

 

No man born with a living soul
Can be working for the clampdown
Kick over the wall 'cause government's to fall
How can you refuse it?
Let fury have the hour, anger can be power
D'you know that you can use it?

The voices in your head are calling
Stop wasting your time, there's nothing coming
Only a fool would think someone could save you 

In these days of evil presidentes
Working for the clampdown
But lately one or two has fully paid their due
For working for the clampdown – The Clash

Portugal is having a national strike today and labor unions in Ireland are planning “mass mobilization” in protest of planned spending cuts, with a march in Dublin on Nov. 27.

Portugal said in September it would cut the wage bill by 5 percent for public workers earning more than 1,500 euros ($2005) a month, freeze hiring and raise value-added taxes by 2 percentage points to 23 percent to help reduce a deficit that amounted to 9.3 percent of gross domestic product last year. The measures are included in the government’s 2011 spending plan, which faces a final vote in parliament on Nov. 26.  “The strike arises in a context of a set of measures that are quite significant and have social impact,” said Carlos Firme, a director at Lisbon-based Banif Banco de Investimento SA. “It’s natural that there are demonstrations of discontent.”

I'm sure King George's Bankster buddies told him the same thing when the American colonists expressed their "discontent" – Don't worry my King, there's sure to be some grumbling from the peasants but your stimulus package is working wonderfully – now come outside and check out the golden horseshoes I put on my carriage team!  

We were able to add a little bling to our own rides as those QQQQ $53 puts I told you about in yesterday's morning post, which we picked up in Member chat on Monday at .45, opened at .75 and flew on up to $1.25 (up another 110% from Monday's entry) and pulled back to finish the day at .98.  We were, of course, very happy to…
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Zero Hedge

Meanwhile, In Every News Editor's Office Across America

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Speaking the unspeakable...

Source: Townhall.com

...

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ValueWalk

Mass Deportations Coming?

By insidesources. Originally published at ValueWalk.

The accelerated deportation of illegal immigrants is brainless, cruel, antagonizing to many allies and neighbors and, ultimately, banal. Mass Deportations  are antithetical to our better natures and to the humane face of America that has made us an exemplar for human rights, a voice for the voiceless and, as Ronald Reagan said, “a shining city on a hill.”

It is American exceptionalism abandoned for petty prejudice.

Mass Deportations

PublicDomainPictures / Pixabay

There is linkage — there always is linkage — between the desecration of the Jewish Chesed Emeth Cemetery in University City, Mo., and those knocks on the door as the men from Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) perpetrate the ...



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Phil's Favorites

Le Pen Calls for "Europe of Nations", Blasts EU as "the Problem"

Courtesy of Mish.

Striking back at the nannycrats who want “more Europe” including a “superstate”, French presidential candidate Marine le Pen instead seeks a “Europe of Nations”.

Bloomberg reports Le Pen Says French Foreign Policy Must Be Decided in Paris.

Laying out her foreign-policy vision in a speech in Paris, Le Pen spoke of a world based on nation states that pursue their own interest and preserve their own cultures without interference.

“To assure the freedom of the French, there is no price too high too pay,” Le Pen said. “The foreign policy of France will be decided ...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Gold & Silver; Knocking on breakout door again!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Silver and Gold have continued to head lower since highs reached back in 2011. Is the 6-year bear market nearing an end?

Below looks at the Silver/Gold ratio over the past decade. To be long and strong Silver and Gold, the preference would be for this ratio to be heading higher.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

The ratio has formed a clean falling channel (series of lower highs and lower lows) inside of (1). Three different times it knocked on the underside of falling...



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Market News

News You Can Use From Phil's Stock World

 

Financial Markets and Economy

Oil Sands Batter Major Explorers' Reserves as Rout Sinks Value (Bloomberg)

Oil-sands investments in Western Canada that gobbled tens of billions of dollars over the past decade are proving an Achilles heel for some of the world’s biggest energy producers.

A definitive breakdown of the gloomy state of Wall Street (Business Insider)

Don't be fooled by the strong rebound in Wall Street trading revenues at the end of 2016: Investment banks still had a lousy year.

...



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Chart School

Market Pause

Courtesy of Declan.

Nothing really to add to yesterday. Markets took minor hits, but there was little intraday spread. The biggest spread was in the Russell 2000 which was underperforming heading into today's session. It reversed most of yesterday's gains, but it has some way to go before it begins challenging the breakout


The New Lows and Highs is in a secular bullish pattern, and it will take continued pressure in spike lows to generate a sustained sell off - none of which is happening here.

...

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Digital Currencies

It's Time To Beat Up On Credit Suisse and Their Woefully Misinformed Bitcoin Advice

Courtesy of Reggie Middleton at Zero Hedge

Credit Suisse has been posting cryptocurrency advisories over the last few weeks. They are quite one-sided, although couched in the appearance of objectivity. To explain why it's couched in the appearance of objectivity, and not actually objective, let me give you some background. 

The Obama administration enacted a law known as the Fiduciary Rule, as per Investopedia

The Department of Labor’s definition of a fiduciary demands that advisors act in the best interests of their clients, and to put their clients' interests above their own. It leaves no room for advisors to conce...



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Members' Corner

Lumber Liquidators Leukemia?

Courtesy of The Nattering Naybob

Phil – LL –   "I can see the ad campaign now: "Our lumber hardly kills you!" 

We Nattered... Today Feb 23, 2016 down -19.5% premarket from $14.21 to $11.27.   

Somebody forgot to convert feet to meters. The CDC said it made an ERROR in the Feb 10th report and had used an incorrect value to calculate ceiling height, which meant its estimates of the airborne concentration of cancer-causing formaldehyde were about three times lower than they should have been. 

Considering myeloid leukemia, some cancers and formaldehyde are linked at the hip, wonder if overexposure had anything to do with the CEO's leukemia?  

LL subsequently went to $19.67 on Sept 30th and has since cooled down to $15....



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of February 20th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Mapping The Market

NSA May Be Withholding Intel from President Trump

By Jean Luc

These GOP guys were so worried about Hillary's email server and now we find out that we had something close to a Russian mole in the White House. In the meantime, Trump keeps on using his unsecured phone, had high level conversation in his resort in front of dinner guests! It's getting so bad that rumors are now circulating that the NSA is not sharing information with the WH:

NSA May Be Withholding Intel from President Trump

By 

….Our spies have had enough of these shady Russian connections—and they are starting to push back….In light of this, and out of worries about the White House’s ability to keep secrets, some of our spy agencies have begun withholding intelligence fro...



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Promotions

Phil's Stock World's Las Vegas Conference!

Learn option strategies and how to be the house and not the gambler. That's especially apropos since we'll be in Vegas....

Join us for the Phil's Stock World's Conference in Las Vegas!

Date:  Sunday, Feb 12, 2017 and Monday Feb 13, 2017            

Beginning Time:  9:30 to 10:00 am Sunday morning

Location: Caesars Palace in Las Vegas

Notes

Caesars has offered us rooms for $189 on Saturday night and $129 for Sunday night but rooms are limited at that price.

So, if you are planning on being in Vegas (Highly Recommended!), please sign up as soon as possible by sending...



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Biotech

The Medicines Company: Insider Buying

Reminder: Pharmboy and Ilene are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

I'm seeing huge insider buying in the biotech company The Medicines Company (MDCO). The price has already moved up around 7%, but these buys are significant, in the millions of dollars range. ~ Ilene

 

 

 

Insider transaction table and buying vs. selling graphic above from insidercow.com.

Chart below from Yahoo.com

...

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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: Harlan is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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