Posts Tagged ‘Sabrient’

DARK HORSE HEDGE – Take It On The Run

DARK HORSE HEDGE – Take It On The Run

By Scott at Sabrient and Dark Horse Hedge, and Ilene at PSW and Dark Horse Hedge

Man sitting on window sill using telephone, smiling, side view

Heard it from a friend who, heard it from a friend who
Heard it from another you been messin’ around

They’re talkin’ about you and it’s bringin’ me down

But I know the neighborhood
And talk is cheap when the story is good
And the tales grow taller on down the line
But I’m telling you, babe, that I don’t think it’s true, babe
And even if it is keep this in mind

Take it on the Run – REO SPEEDWAGON 

That was fast.  We’re going to smile and take it on the run, for another 9% in 3 days on our HUSA short. 

BUY TO COVER HUSA short at the market, Thursday, September 16, 2010.  

And to quote the Terminator “I’ll be back.”     

Take it on the Run – REO SPEEDWAGON 


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How to Buy Quality Stocks for a 10%-20% Discount & Get $500

Scott Brown at Sabrient has set up a deal with OptionsXpress for those who want to subscribe to PSW and/or Sabrient, and open an account at OptionsXpress.  Here’s the OptionsXpress deal, first with Sabrient. The same deal is available for new and renewing Phil’s Stock World subscribers. (Keep reading below.) - Ilene  

How to Make Money in Stocks and Still Sleep Well at Night …  and Get $500! 

In this wild and crazy market of 2010 the Sabrient Investor’s (H)Edge Virtual Portfolio is UP +6.74% YTD while the S&P 500 is DOWN -0.91%!   The Sabrient Investor’s (H)Edge Virtual Portfolio is a balanced long/short virtual portfolio which aims protects our subscribers in ALL markets. 

How? 

Based on Sabrient’s highly predictive Company Outlook Rank, we can identify the fundamentally strongest stocks with the best valuations and the most upside potential, as well as the fundamentally weakest stocks that should lag no matter what the market does. The resulting long/short virtual portfolio lets you capture the performance spread between the longs & shorts.  

A balanced long/short virtual portfolio like Sabrient’s Investor’s (H)Edge is a great approach to a volatile, unpredictable market.  Every Thursday, David Brown reviews one long and one short, and either renews or replaces the stocks, depending on their current rankings and fundamentals.  Take a look at the latest selections HERE - And click the 2009 Virtual Portfolio link on that page to see all the trades from last year. 

Our backtested, forward-tested and time-tested strategies have averaged +34.1% per year since 2000, providing safety in the 2008 meltdown and on virtually every down-market day in the past two years. The Investors’ (H)edge virtual portfolio has a beta of .25, an alpha of 28.6% and a Sharpe ratio of 1.36, and is designed to profit from both up and down market moves. 


The Sabrient Platinum Subscription:

Investor’s (H)Edge Virtual Portfolio is part of our Platinum Subscription, which also includes: 

• The Select Opportunity Virtual Portfolio, a long/short virtual portfolio for active traders, which is averaging 3.5% per stock trade, with an average holding time in each trade of 16 days. 

• MyStockFinder, a powerful stock search program for finding stocks that match your particular investing requirements, such as stocks with high insider buying or recent analyst upgrades; stocks with high growth rates or strong dividend yields. 

• The Sabrient Ratings Reports that let you see at a glance how Sabrient rates a stock, any stock…
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DARK HORSE HEDGE – Any way the wind blows, doesn’t really matter

Housing-keeping note: Thanks to WordPress’s destruction of Phil’s Favorites site (and replacement with an invite to sign up for its service!), I’ve been relocating my blog to TypePad.  Benefits: it looks better, is very user friendly and offers an easy way to search archives for any topic. One unique feature is that while exploring the internet, I can simply click on a button to post an excerpt of an interesting article with a link to the full article. That ability allows me to post links to articles that are worth reading when I do not have reprinting permission, such as articles from major news sources. 

The new Favorites site is here.  I’ve also created a website for Dark Horse Hedge, here.  - Ilene 

DARK HORSE HEDGE – Any Way the Wind Blows, Doesn’t Really Matter

By Scott Brown at Sabrient & Ilene at Phil’s Stock World

Is this the real life? 
Is this just fantasy? 
Caught in a landslide 
No escape from reality 
Open your eyes 
Look up to the skies and see 
I’m just a poor boy (Poor boy) 
I need no sympathy 
Because I’m easy come, easy go 
Little high, little low 
Any way the wind blows 
Doesn’t really matter to me, to me

Queen, Bohemian Rhapsody

 *****

Ilene and I started the Dark Horse Hedge on July 1, 2010 with the goal of helping self-directed investors weather any storm, no matter which way the wind was blowing.  Today completes the second month of publishing the Dark Horse Hedge and we thought it would be a good time to review.  

 

September 1976:  British rock group Queen at Les Ambassadeurs, where they were presented with silver, gold and platinum discs for sales in excess of one million of their hit single 'Bohemian Rhapsody'. The band are, from left to right, John Deacon, Freddie Mercury (Frederick Bulsara, 1946 - 1991), Roger Taylor and Brian May.  (Photo by Keystone/Getty Images)

The
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Phil’s Favorites New Blog

WordPress, without notice or warning, deactivated the "Phil’s Favorites" blog. I’m unable to reach anyone that might help me get the blog back. So, having little hope early on, I’ve been recreating my TypePad blog and importing Favorites files onto that site. I also created a sister blog for Dark Horse Hedge, the virtual portfolio Scott (at Sabrient) and I are managing using Sabrient’s research and Phil’s buy/write strategy.

Here’s a link to the new Phil’s Favorites:  http://ilene.typepad.com/ourfavorites/  

Here’s Dark Horse Hedge’s new website: http://ilene.typepad.com/dark_horse_hedge/

I’m not finished retrieving all the archives for the Favorites and DHH, as it’s been an amazing amount of work, but I like the appearance of these blogs better and they seem easier to manage. For example, category links on the right site of the page were set up automatically and clicking on a subject brings up posts that have been automatically selected for that category. 

*****People shaking hands in antique shop

For anyone interested, Scott arranged an offer from OptionsXpress to fund new OptionsXpress accounts with $500 for those either trying out a Phil’s Stock World subscription and/or a Sabrient premium subscription.

Click here for details for Phil’s Stock World and here for Sabrient. 

Ilene 

p.s. Rev Todd created a new blog for his work, and fortunately it’s a TypePad blog also, here’s the url:  http://bloomingcactus.typepad.com/revtodds_ira_plot/


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MESA-Sabrient Trading Alerts

Here’s the latest from Mesa-Sabrient Trading Alerts: no new positions, summary of open positions, and closing out of EAT long. Sign up for a free trial here. - Ilene  

MESA-Sabrient Trading Alerts  

Signals generated at end-of-day 8/11/2010 for the open on Thursday, August 12, 2010:

No long entry signals today

Exit long:  EAT  

No short entry signals today

No short exit (cover) signals today

Open trade summary:

   Long FPIC since 7/28/2010, profit: $ -524
   Long ALV since 7/28/2010, profit: $ -331
   Long EAT since 7/26/2010, profit: $ -425
   Short BMTI since 7/14/2010, profit: $ 870

End of report for Wednesday, August 11, 2010

For background on Mesa-Sabrient Trading Alerts, read: The Winners of the Sabrient Technical Challenge Are . . .


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DARK HORSE HEDGE

DARK HORSE HEDGE Weekend Catch-Up 

By Scott at Sabrient and Ilene at Phil’s Stock World

Hedging into the week of August 2nd, the Dark Horse Hedge (DHH) is in a BALANCED tilt (long to short ratio) with 8 LONG and 8 SHORT positions. We used Phil’s BUY/WRITE strategy to enter two of our LONG positions (IM and GCI) at a 10-20% discount to the market.  As you can see from the chart, the SPX wandered between the 50 and 200 day moving averages (MAs) all week before whimpering towards the bottom of the channel Thursday and Friday. The 12-26-9 MACD which is the faster of the 2 technical direction signals we follow has flat-lined at just above +6 and the slower RSI 14-day still remains just below 50.

Without some impressive economic reports coming this week or much better than expected earnings reports, we believe the market will drift down towards and test the 50 day MA. If a bullish tone sets back in, it is doubtful that it could easily push through the 200 day MA.  Resistance points as well as the 50 and 200 day MAs all which fit into a fairly narrow trading channel.

[chart from FreeStockCharts.com]

We are happy with the positions we put on in DHH’s first 30 days of existence and we look forward to capturing more profit as the companies report earnings this week.  We will continue to take profits "after the news" and rotate into newer, fresher positions while keeping an eye on the overall market to adjust our tilt for maximum Alpha,* which is why we write and read DHH. 

Summary of DHH positions in the virtual portfolio

LONG: XRTX, WDC, GCI, IM, DLX, GME, FRZ, and TEO  

SHORT: AIV, STI, HUSA, USG, CLDA, TEX, RAIL, and JOE 

Read previous DHH actions and follow our latest virtual portfolio moves here. > 

*We are aiming to be hedged in our market exposure by being long stocks with the greatest potential to rise and short stocks with the greatest potential to decline.  To identify these winner and loser stocks, we use Sabrient’s Value Change Up (VCU) assessment system. Sabrient’s VCU system is a multi-factor quantitative ranking system that scores over 2,000 stocks and allows us to enter LONG positions in the best ranking stocks and SHORT positions in worst ranking stocks.
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DARK HORSE HEDGE

DARK HORSE HEDGE Weekend Catch-Up 

By Scott at Sabrient and Ilene at Phil’s Stock World

Hedging into the week of August 2nd, the Dark Horse Hedge (DHH) is in a BALANCED tilt (long to short ratio) with 8 LONG and 8 SHORT positions. We used Phil’s BUY/WRITE strategy to enter two of our LONG positions (IM and GCI) at a 10-20% discount to the market.  As you can see from the chart, the SPX wandered between the 50 and 200 day moving averages (MAs) all week before whimpering towards the bottom of the channel Thursday and Friday. The 12-26-9 MACD which is the faster of the 2 technical direction signals we follow has flat-lined at just above +6 and the slower RSI 14-day still remains just below 50.

Without some impressive economic reports coming this week or much better than expected earnings reports, we believe the market will drift down towards and test the 50 day MA. If a bullish tone sets back in, it is doubtful that it could easily push through the 200 day MA.  Resistance points as well as the 50 and 200 day MAs all which fit into a fairly narrow trading channel.

[chart from FreeStockCharts.com]

We are happy with the positions we put on in DHH’s first 30 days of existence and we look forward to capturing more profit as the companies report earnings this week.  We will continue to take profits "after the news" and rotate into newer, fresher positions while keeping an eye on the overall market to adjust our tilt for maximum Alpha*, which is why we all write and read DHH. 

Summary of DHH positions in the virtual portfolio

LONG: XRTX, WDC, GCI, IM, DLX, GME, FRZ, and TEO  

SHORT: AIV, STI, HUSA, USG, CLDA, TEX, RAIL, and JOE 
 
Read previous DHH actions and follow our latest portfolio moves here. > 
 
*We are aiming to be hedged in our market exposure by being long stocks with the greatest potential to rise and short stocks with the greatest potential to decline.  To identify these winner and loser stocks, we use Sabrient’s Value Change Up (VCU) assessment system. Sabrient’s VCU system is a multi-factor quantitative ranking system that scores over 2,000 stocks and allows us to enter LONG positions in the best ranking stocks and SHORT positions in worst ranking


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Sabrient Investor’s (H)edge

sabrient


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DARK HORSE HEDGE – After the BOOM!

DARK HORSE HEDGE – After the BOOM! 

Add Clinical Data, Inc. (CLDA) SHORT at the market, 7/30/10

Silhouette of Horses Jumping a Steeplchase

Clinical Data, Inc. operates as a global biotechnology company developing early and late stage targeted therapeutics, as well as genetic and pharmacogenomic tests that detect serious diseases and help predict drug safety, tolerability, and efficacy.

After taking profits on earnings sell-offs from AMAG and BOOM, we are adding Clinical Data, Inc. (CLDA) as the 8th SHORT in our currently BALANCED tilt.  CLDA is rated a STRONGSELL by Sabrient with a BALANCE SHEET score barely registering at 1.1 (out of 100) and almost non-existent FUNDAMENTALS score of 0.3 (out of 100).  These rosy figures combine with five analysts forecasting a second quarter loss of -$.63. That is coming off a mind-numbing first quarter loss of -$1.44 per share, compared with expectations for only losing -$.63.  These negatives provide us with a heavy dose of “preponderance of evidence” to believe CLDA is a reasonable SHORT at the market, Friday July 30, 2010.    

***** 

EARNINGS UPDATE: Ingram Micro (IM)

 

Ingram Micro (IM): LONG with Phil’s Buy/Write strategy in DHH virtual portfolio

As expected in our July 26, 2010 post, IM posted better than expected results and higher revenues after the market closed on Thursday.  Analysts had been forecasting a profit of +$.37 per share and revenue of $7.9B, but IM delivered a healthy +$.44 per share and revenue of $8.2B.  "Every region performed well, with our two largest regions doubling and tripling operating profits on double-digit sales growth," Ingram Micro Chief Executive Gregory Spierkel said in a statement.  That is the type of BOOM! (see BOOM! article this morning) statement we like to hear from our long stocks. 

We feel very comfortable with the position we put on using Phil’s Buy/Write Strategy. IM is trading +1.67% today at $16.44.  Recall that we took in $2.50 in option premium on Monday by selling the December 2010 $17.50 calls and puts.  On Monday, we wrote

Add LONG Ingram Micro (IM) at the market Monday July 26.

We like IM leading into its earnings announcement on July 29, 2010.  The 10 analysts covering


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MESA-Sabrient Trading Alerts

Here’s the latest from the Mesa-Sabrient Trading Alert Service which is entering four new long positions tomorrow. Sign up for a free trial here. – Ilene  

Signals generated at end-of-day 7/27/2010 for the open on Wednesday, July 28, 2010:

  • Enter long:  ALV  
  • Enter long:  FPIC  
  • Enter long:  GSK  
  • Enter long: TTWO

No long exit signals today

No short entry signals today

No short exit (cover) signals today

Open trade summary:

   Long EXC since 7/27/2010, profit: $ 195
   Long EAT since 7/26/2010, profit: $ 117
   Short BMTI since 7/14/2010, profit: $ 1180

End of report for Tuesday, July 27, 2010

 

*********

About the MESA-Sabrient Trading Alerts

 

The MESA-Sabrient Trading Alerts employ MESA Software’s algorithmic system for trading the stocks in the Sabrient Outlook Rankings.The Outlook Rankings reflect each stock’s relative probability of short-term upside or downside action based on Sabrient’s proprietary quantitative fundamental analysis.

 

NOTE:  New subscribers should ignore the open positions and start their trading with the first entry alert that received.

  • The MESA-Sabrient system produces end-of-day trading signals after the market day’s closing bell for execution at the next open.  All trades are intended to be placed as market orders on open.
  • Exit signals are also specified for each open trade.  All trade exits are intended to be placed as market orders at the next open.
  • Long signals (buy) are produced from the top quartile of the Sabrient Outlook Rankings and short signals (sell short) are


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Zero Hedge

Will Thursday's Final TLTRO Finally Spark Carry Trades?

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

By Nick Kounis of ABN Amro

Euro Rates Watch – Will the TLTRO spark carry trades?

  • The last of the ECB’s TLTRO-II operations is expected to have a big take up, with the market expecting EUR 125bn, and some forecasts as high as EUR 300bn
  • From a rates perspective, what matters is whether these funds will trigger flows into the bond or swap markets as banks set up carry trades
  • Carry trades have certainly looked attractive and currently there is a pos...


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ValueWalk

Onset of a Global Trade War for People

By Mauldin Economics. Originally published at ValueWalk.

After World War II, we split the planet into East and West—with an Iron Curtain in between. Lesser barriers subdivided each side.

WikiImages / Pixabay

Time passed. Borders loosened. People and goods started flowing more freely.

This was okay at first, but eventually, it became too much. People yelled, “Enough!”

As I’ve written about before, we are now in a great debate over which visitors, immigrants, and goods can cross national borders—and on what terms.

It’s a debate worth having, but we can’t forget that ...



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Phil's Favorites

Pepsi Pulls 12-Packs, 2 Liter Bottles From Philadelphia Stores In Protest Over Soda Tax

Courtesy of Zero Hedge

Two weeks ago we reported that the latest unintended casualty from Philadelphia's soda tax would be at least 20% of Pepsi's 423 employees in the city of brotherly love. According to the Philadelphia Inquirer, with sales slumping as much as 40% because of the new Philadelphia sweetened beverage tax, in the last week of February, Pepsi said it will lay off 80 to 100 workers at three distribution plants that serve the city. And since Pepsi employs 423 people in the city, it means that as much as 20% of its employees will be out of job due to a disastrous ordnance that was meant to provide additional municipal funding and instead will ...



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Market News

News You Can Use From Phil's Stock World

 

Financial Markets and Economy

Record Number of Fund Managers Say U.S. Equities Are Overvalued (Bloomberg)

Fund managers now say stocks are the most overvalued they have been in nearly 20 years, according to a survey done last week by Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

For China’s Central Bank, an Increasingly Difficult Balancing Act (The Wall Street Journal)

China’s central bank faces an increasingly tough balancing act, trying to contain asset bubbles and steady the yuan without triggering a cash crunch and stifling economic growth...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Banks Stocks could under perform for years (Update)

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

90-days ago Joe Friday shared that if history was a guide, banks could under perform the broad market going forward. The chart below was shared on 12/23/16 (See Post Here). It highlighted that since the highs in 2007, when the Bank/SPY ratio became very over bought, banks lagged the broad market for a good while.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE...



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Chart School

Seniconductor Shorts Gifted Their Positions

Courtesy of Declan.

For those who took advantage of the resistance test in the Semiconductor Index; there was a picture perfect test of the hashed blue line resistance and secondary break of former rising channel support.  The Semiconductor Index finished bang on the 20-day MA so there may be a little (big?) bounce tomorrow. If buyers can't defend the 20-day MA then the 50-day MA is next.


The S&P did not experience the biggest loss, but it did undercut the recent swing low. In fact, the relative performance of the index against ...

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Members' Corner

Natterings

Check out some new posts from our friend The Nattering Naybob. 

The Big Lebowski Sequel?

Taking a "resp-shit" or "potty break" from "in the Toilet Thursday" or "Thursday's in the Loo"... One of our favorite scenes from the 1998 cult classic The Big Lebowski, the ash can scene where Walter Subchak (John Goodman) eulogizes the departed Donnie (Steve Buscemi) with Jeffrey Lebowski (Jeff Bridges) looking on.

Keep reading: ...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of March 20th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Digital Currencies

Bitcoin Tumbles Below Gold As China Tightens Regulations

Courtesy of Zero Hedge

Having rebounded rapidly from the ETF-decision disappointment, Bitcoin suffered another major setback overnight as Chinese regulators are circulating new guidelines that, if enacted, would require exchanges to verify the identity of clients and adhere to banking regulations.

A New York startup called Chainalysis estimated that roughly $2 billion of bitcoin moved out of China in 2016.

As The Wall Street Journal reports, the move to regulate bitcoin exchanges brings assurance that Chinese authorities will tolerate some level of trading, after months of uncertainty. A draft of the guidelines also indicates th...



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Mapping The Market

Congress begins rolling back Obama's broadband privacy rules

Courtesy of Jean Luc

I am trying to remember who on this board said that people wanted to Trump because they want their freedom back. Well….

Congress begins rolling back Obama's broadband privacy rules

By Daniel Cooper, Endgadget

ISPs will soon be able to sell your most private data without your consent.

As expected, Republicans in Congress have begun the process of rolling back the FCC's broadband privacy rules which prevent excessive surveillance. Arizona Republican Jeff Flake introduced a resolution to scrub the rules, using Congress' powers to invalidate recently-approved federal regulations. Reuters reports that the move has broad support, with 34 other names throwing their weight behind the res...



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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union

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Biotech

The Medicines Company: Insider Buying

Reminder: Pharmboy and Ilene are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

I'm seeing huge insider buying in the biotech company The Medicines Company (MDCO). The price has already moved up around 7%, but these buys are significant, in the millions of dollars range. ~ Ilene

 

 

 

Insider transaction table and buying vs. selling graphic above from insidercow.com.

Chart below from Yahoo.com

...

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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: Harlan is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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FeedTheBull - Top Stock market and Finance Sites



About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

Market Shadows >>