Posts Tagged ‘Sabrient’

DARK HORSE HEDGE – Take It On The Run

DARK HORSE HEDGE – Take It On The Run

By Scott at Sabrient and Dark Horse Hedge, and Ilene at PSW and Dark Horse Hedge

Man sitting on window sill using telephone, smiling, side view

Heard it from a friend who, heard it from a friend who
Heard it from another you been messin’ around

They’re talkin’ about you and it’s bringin’ me down

But I know the neighborhood
And talk is cheap when the story is good
And the tales grow taller on down the line
But I’m telling you, babe, that I don’t think it’s true, babe
And even if it is keep this in mind

Take it on the Run – REO SPEEDWAGON 

That was fast.  We’re going to smile and take it on the run, for another 9% in 3 days on our HUSA short. 

BUY TO COVER HUSA short at the market, Thursday, September 16, 2010.  

And to quote the Terminator “I’ll be back.”     

Take it on the Run – REO SPEEDWAGON 


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How to Buy Quality Stocks for a 10%-20% Discount & Get $500

Scott Brown at Sabrient has set up a deal with OptionsXpress for those who want to subscribe to PSW and/or Sabrient, and open an account at OptionsXpress.  Here’s the OptionsXpress deal, first with Sabrient. The same deal is available for new and renewing Phil’s Stock World subscribers. (Keep reading below.) - Ilene  

How to Make Money in Stocks and Still Sleep Well at Night …  and Get $500! 

In this wild and crazy market of 2010 the Sabrient Investor’s (H)Edge Virtual Portfolio is UP +6.74% YTD while the S&P 500 is DOWN -0.91%!   The Sabrient Investor’s (H)Edge Virtual Portfolio is a balanced long/short virtual portfolio which aims protects our subscribers in ALL markets. 

How? 

Based on Sabrient’s highly predictive Company Outlook Rank, we can identify the fundamentally strongest stocks with the best valuations and the most upside potential, as well as the fundamentally weakest stocks that should lag no matter what the market does. The resulting long/short virtual portfolio lets you capture the performance spread between the longs & shorts.  

A balanced long/short virtual portfolio like Sabrient’s Investor’s (H)Edge is a great approach to a volatile, unpredictable market.  Every Thursday, David Brown reviews one long and one short, and either renews or replaces the stocks, depending on their current rankings and fundamentals.  Take a look at the latest selections HERE - And click the 2009 Virtual Portfolio link on that page to see all the trades from last year. 

Our backtested, forward-tested and time-tested strategies have averaged +34.1% per year since 2000, providing safety in the 2008 meltdown and on virtually every down-market day in the past two years. The Investors’ (H)edge virtual portfolio has a beta of .25, an alpha of 28.6% and a Sharpe ratio of 1.36, and is designed to profit from both up and down market moves. 


The Sabrient Platinum Subscription:

Investor’s (H)Edge Virtual Portfolio is part of our Platinum Subscription, which also includes: 

• The Select Opportunity Virtual Portfolio, a long/short virtual portfolio for active traders, which is averaging 3.5% per stock trade, with an average holding time in each trade of 16 days. 

• MyStockFinder, a powerful stock search program for finding stocks that match your particular investing requirements, such as stocks with high insider buying or recent analyst upgrades; stocks with high growth rates or strong dividend yields. 

• The Sabrient Ratings Reports that let you see at a glance how Sabrient rates a stock, any stock…
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DARK HORSE HEDGE – Any way the wind blows, doesn’t really matter

Housing-keeping note: Thanks to WordPress’s destruction of Phil’s Favorites site (and replacement with an invite to sign up for its service!), I’ve been relocating my blog to TypePad.  Benefits: it looks better, is very user friendly and offers an easy way to search archives for any topic. One unique feature is that while exploring the internet, I can simply click on a button to post an excerpt of an interesting article with a link to the full article. That ability allows me to post links to articles that are worth reading when I do not have reprinting permission, such as articles from major news sources. 

The new Favorites site is here.  I’ve also created a website for Dark Horse Hedge, here.  - Ilene 

DARK HORSE HEDGE – Any Way the Wind Blows, Doesn’t Really Matter

By Scott Brown at Sabrient & Ilene at Phil’s Stock World

Is this the real life? 
Is this just fantasy? 
Caught in a landslide 
No escape from reality 
Open your eyes 
Look up to the skies and see 
I’m just a poor boy (Poor boy) 
I need no sympathy 
Because I’m easy come, easy go 
Little high, little low 
Any way the wind blows 
Doesn’t really matter to me, to me

Queen, Bohemian Rhapsody

 *****

Ilene and I started the Dark Horse Hedge on July 1, 2010 with the goal of helping self-directed investors weather any storm, no matter which way the wind was blowing.  Today completes the second month of publishing the Dark Horse Hedge and we thought it would be a good time to review.  

 

September 1976:  British rock group Queen at Les Ambassadeurs, where they were presented with silver, gold and platinum discs for sales in excess of one million of their hit single 'Bohemian Rhapsody'. The band are, from left to right, John Deacon, Freddie Mercury (Frederick Bulsara, 1946 - 1991), Roger Taylor and Brian May.  (Photo by Keystone/Getty Images)

The
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Phil’s Favorites New Blog

WordPress, without notice or warning, deactivated the "Phil’s Favorites" blog. I’m unable to reach anyone that might help me get the blog back. So, having little hope early on, I’ve been recreating my TypePad blog and importing Favorites files onto that site. I also created a sister blog for Dark Horse Hedge, the virtual portfolio Scott (at Sabrient) and I are managing using Sabrient’s research and Phil’s buy/write strategy.

Here’s a link to the new Phil’s Favorites:  http://ilene.typepad.com/ourfavorites/  

Here’s Dark Horse Hedge’s new website: http://ilene.typepad.com/dark_horse_hedge/

I’m not finished retrieving all the archives for the Favorites and DHH, as it’s been an amazing amount of work, but I like the appearance of these blogs better and they seem easier to manage. For example, category links on the right site of the page were set up automatically and clicking on a subject brings up posts that have been automatically selected for that category. 

*****People shaking hands in antique shop

For anyone interested, Scott arranged an offer from OptionsXpress to fund new OptionsXpress accounts with $500 for those either trying out a Phil’s Stock World subscription and/or a Sabrient premium subscription.

Click here for details for Phil’s Stock World and here for Sabrient. 

Ilene 

p.s. Rev Todd created a new blog for his work, and fortunately it’s a TypePad blog also, here’s the url:  http://bloomingcactus.typepad.com/revtodds_ira_plot/


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MESA-Sabrient Trading Alerts

Here’s the latest from Mesa-Sabrient Trading Alerts: no new positions, summary of open positions, and closing out of EAT long. Sign up for a free trial here. - Ilene  

MESA-Sabrient Trading Alerts  

Signals generated at end-of-day 8/11/2010 for the open on Thursday, August 12, 2010:

No long entry signals today

Exit long:  EAT  

No short entry signals today

No short exit (cover) signals today

Open trade summary:

   Long FPIC since 7/28/2010, profit: $ -524
   Long ALV since 7/28/2010, profit: $ -331
   Long EAT since 7/26/2010, profit: $ -425
   Short BMTI since 7/14/2010, profit: $ 870

End of report for Wednesday, August 11, 2010

For background on Mesa-Sabrient Trading Alerts, read: The Winners of the Sabrient Technical Challenge Are . . .


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DARK HORSE HEDGE

DARK HORSE HEDGE Weekend Catch-Up 

By Scott at Sabrient and Ilene at Phil’s Stock World

Hedging into the week of August 2nd, the Dark Horse Hedge (DHH) is in a BALANCED tilt (long to short ratio) with 8 LONG and 8 SHORT positions. We used Phil’s BUY/WRITE strategy to enter two of our LONG positions (IM and GCI) at a 10-20% discount to the market.  As you can see from the chart, the SPX wandered between the 50 and 200 day moving averages (MAs) all week before whimpering towards the bottom of the channel Thursday and Friday. The 12-26-9 MACD which is the faster of the 2 technical direction signals we follow has flat-lined at just above +6 and the slower RSI 14-day still remains just below 50.

Without some impressive economic reports coming this week or much better than expected earnings reports, we believe the market will drift down towards and test the 50 day MA. If a bullish tone sets back in, it is doubtful that it could easily push through the 200 day MA.  Resistance points as well as the 50 and 200 day MAs all which fit into a fairly narrow trading channel.

[chart from FreeStockCharts.com]

We are happy with the positions we put on in DHH’s first 30 days of existence and we look forward to capturing more profit as the companies report earnings this week.  We will continue to take profits "after the news" and rotate into newer, fresher positions while keeping an eye on the overall market to adjust our tilt for maximum Alpha,* which is why we write and read DHH. 

Summary of DHH positions in the virtual portfolio

LONG: XRTX, WDC, GCI, IM, DLX, GME, FRZ, and TEO  

SHORT: AIV, STI, HUSA, USG, CLDA, TEX, RAIL, and JOE 

Read previous DHH actions and follow our latest virtual portfolio moves here. > 

*We are aiming to be hedged in our market exposure by being long stocks with the greatest potential to rise and short stocks with the greatest potential to decline.  To identify these winner and loser stocks, we use Sabrient’s Value Change Up (VCU) assessment system. Sabrient’s VCU system is a multi-factor quantitative ranking system that scores over 2,000 stocks and allows us to enter LONG positions in the best ranking stocks and SHORT positions in worst ranking stocks.
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DARK HORSE HEDGE

DARK HORSE HEDGE Weekend Catch-Up 

By Scott at Sabrient and Ilene at Phil’s Stock World

Hedging into the week of August 2nd, the Dark Horse Hedge (DHH) is in a BALANCED tilt (long to short ratio) with 8 LONG and 8 SHORT positions. We used Phil’s BUY/WRITE strategy to enter two of our LONG positions (IM and GCI) at a 10-20% discount to the market.  As you can see from the chart, the SPX wandered between the 50 and 200 day moving averages (MAs) all week before whimpering towards the bottom of the channel Thursday and Friday. The 12-26-9 MACD which is the faster of the 2 technical direction signals we follow has flat-lined at just above +6 and the slower RSI 14-day still remains just below 50.

Without some impressive economic reports coming this week or much better than expected earnings reports, we believe the market will drift down towards and test the 50 day MA. If a bullish tone sets back in, it is doubtful that it could easily push through the 200 day MA.  Resistance points as well as the 50 and 200 day MAs all which fit into a fairly narrow trading channel.

[chart from FreeStockCharts.com]

We are happy with the positions we put on in DHH’s first 30 days of existence and we look forward to capturing more profit as the companies report earnings this week.  We will continue to take profits "after the news" and rotate into newer, fresher positions while keeping an eye on the overall market to adjust our tilt for maximum Alpha*, which is why we all write and read DHH. 

Summary of DHH positions in the virtual portfolio

LONG: XRTX, WDC, GCI, IM, DLX, GME, FRZ, and TEO  

SHORT: AIV, STI, HUSA, USG, CLDA, TEX, RAIL, and JOE 
 
Read previous DHH actions and follow our latest portfolio moves here. > 
 
*We are aiming to be hedged in our market exposure by being long stocks with the greatest potential to rise and short stocks with the greatest potential to decline.  To identify these winner and loser stocks, we use Sabrient’s Value Change Up (VCU) assessment system. Sabrient’s VCU system is a multi-factor quantitative ranking system that scores over 2,000 stocks and allows us to enter LONG positions in the best ranking stocks and SHORT positions in worst ranking


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Sabrient Investor’s (H)edge

sabrient


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DARK HORSE HEDGE – After the BOOM!

DARK HORSE HEDGE – After the BOOM! 

Add Clinical Data, Inc. (CLDA) SHORT at the market, 7/30/10

Silhouette of Horses Jumping a Steeplchase

Clinical Data, Inc. operates as a global biotechnology company developing early and late stage targeted therapeutics, as well as genetic and pharmacogenomic tests that detect serious diseases and help predict drug safety, tolerability, and efficacy.

After taking profits on earnings sell-offs from AMAG and BOOM, we are adding Clinical Data, Inc. (CLDA) as the 8th SHORT in our currently BALANCED tilt.  CLDA is rated a STRONGSELL by Sabrient with a BALANCE SHEET score barely registering at 1.1 (out of 100) and almost non-existent FUNDAMENTALS score of 0.3 (out of 100).  These rosy figures combine with five analysts forecasting a second quarter loss of -$.63. That is coming off a mind-numbing first quarter loss of -$1.44 per share, compared with expectations for only losing -$.63.  These negatives provide us with a heavy dose of “preponderance of evidence” to believe CLDA is a reasonable SHORT at the market, Friday July 30, 2010.    

***** 

EARNINGS UPDATE: Ingram Micro (IM)

 

Ingram Micro (IM): LONG with Phil’s Buy/Write strategy in DHH virtual portfolio

As expected in our July 26, 2010 post, IM posted better than expected results and higher revenues after the market closed on Thursday.  Analysts had been forecasting a profit of +$.37 per share and revenue of $7.9B, but IM delivered a healthy +$.44 per share and revenue of $8.2B.  "Every region performed well, with our two largest regions doubling and tripling operating profits on double-digit sales growth," Ingram Micro Chief Executive Gregory Spierkel said in a statement.  That is the type of BOOM! (see BOOM! article this morning) statement we like to hear from our long stocks. 

We feel very comfortable with the position we put on using Phil’s Buy/Write Strategy. IM is trading +1.67% today at $16.44.  Recall that we took in $2.50 in option premium on Monday by selling the December 2010 $17.50 calls and puts.  On Monday, we wrote

Add LONG Ingram Micro (IM) at the market Monday July 26.

We like IM leading into its earnings announcement on July 29, 2010.  The 10 analysts covering


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MESA-Sabrient Trading Alerts

Here’s the latest from the Mesa-Sabrient Trading Alert Service which is entering four new long positions tomorrow. Sign up for a free trial here. – Ilene  

Signals generated at end-of-day 7/27/2010 for the open on Wednesday, July 28, 2010:

  • Enter long:  ALV  
  • Enter long:  FPIC  
  • Enter long:  GSK  
  • Enter long: TTWO

No long exit signals today

No short entry signals today

No short exit (cover) signals today

Open trade summary:

   Long EXC since 7/27/2010, profit: $ 195
   Long EAT since 7/26/2010, profit: $ 117
   Short BMTI since 7/14/2010, profit: $ 1180

End of report for Tuesday, July 27, 2010

 

*********

About the MESA-Sabrient Trading Alerts

 

The MESA-Sabrient Trading Alerts employ MESA Software’s algorithmic system for trading the stocks in the Sabrient Outlook Rankings.The Outlook Rankings reflect each stock’s relative probability of short-term upside or downside action based on Sabrient’s proprietary quantitative fundamental analysis.

 

NOTE:  New subscribers should ignore the open positions and start their trading with the first entry alert that received.

  • The MESA-Sabrient system produces end-of-day trading signals after the market day’s closing bell for execution at the next open.  All trades are intended to be placed as market orders on open.
  • Exit signals are also specified for each open trade.  All trade exits are intended to be placed as market orders at the next open.
  • Long signals (buy) are produced from the top quartile of the Sabrient Outlook Rankings and short signals (sell short) are


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Chart School

Selecting gold stocks by relative strength

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

Before you make your investment decisions stop and review the relative strength of the stock to the sector or index.


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NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net

Investing Quote...

...“After spending many years in Wall Street and after making and losing millions of dollars, I want to tell you this:  It never was my thinking that made the big money fo...



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Market News

News You Can Use From Phil's Stock World

 

Financial Markets and Economy

Merkel Rules out Assistance for Deutsche Bank, Focus Reports (Bloomberg)

Chancellor Angela Merkel has ruled out any state assistance for Deutsche Bank AG in the year heading into the national election in September 2017, Focus magazine reported, citing unidentified government officials.

A divided town in Connecticut shows that finance is ruining Ame...



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ValueWalk

10 Timeless Lessons from Bernard Baruch

By Investment Master Class. Originally published at ValueWalk.

By Investment Master Class

Known as “The Lone Wolf of Wall Street”, Bernard Baruch was one of the the world’s most famous speculators of the 20th Century.  By the age of 30, Mr Baruch had amassed a fortune.  He went on to advise US presidents and congressional leaders from 1918 to 1948.

His memoirs, “My Own Story”, written in 1957, provides a fascinating account of Baruch’s life, his insight into human psychology and the history of speculation.  His first hand account of market pani...



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Zero Hedge

Washington Mall Shooter Caught: Suspect Is 20 Year Old Turk

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Following last night's shooting at the Cascade Mall in Burlington, WA mall, when an unidentified gunman killed 5 then managed to slip away from authorities for nearly 24 hours, moments ago the Washington State Patrol tweeted that the shooter has, after a daylong manhunt, been captured.

Gunman captured tonight by authorities, Details forthcoming, Press Conference tonight at 1800 Continental Pl. Time TBA

— WA State Patrol (@wastatepatrol) September 25, 2016

The m...



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Phil's Favorites

A Sunni Muslim Addresses the Question: Is "Radical Islam" the Problem or is "Islam" the Problem?

Courtesy of Mish.

In 2015, President Obama told CNN that 99.9 Percent of Muslims Reject Radical Islam. He made the comments in response to a question about the White House avoiding using the phrase “Islamic terrorists.”

Hillary Clinton says “Let’s be clear: Islam is not our adversary. Muslims are peaceful and tolerant people and have nothing whatsoever to do with terrorism.”

Are they correct?

Obama Rejects Religious War

“It’s absolutely true that I reject the notion that somehow that [Isis] creates a religious war”.

Let’s Be Clear...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Crude Oil attempting key breakout, says Joe Friday

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Below looks at Crude Oil on a “Monthly Closing” basis, since the early 1980’s.

Crude Oil started tanking in 2014 and its low earlier this year, took place at dual long-term support at (1) below.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

Two support lines, that date back over a decade, came into play at (1) and so far have held. Crude remains in a down trend and this down trend is being tested at this time.

Joe ...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 19th, 2016

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Members' Corner

Market Liquidity and Macroeconomic Bullshit

 

Market Liquidity and Macroeconomic Bullshit

Courtesy of The Nattering Naybob

STJL - "Apparently macroeconomics is all bullshit – ROFL! Paging Naybob now… Famous Economist Paul Romer Says Macroeconomics Is All Bullshit."

The Nattering One muses... Macroeconomics as practiced by academics and those in charge is pure voodoo. Better to chant over goat blood, bird feathers and scattered entrails...

As for reality, overnight CNH HIBOR (...



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Mapping The Market

Here's a Cautionary Tale of Pension Privatization From Chile

Via Jean-Luc:

"When you let the free market take over, the little people get screwed and bankers get rich. Chile tried privatizing retirement plans and surprise, surprise, fund manager ate the profits… Pretty sure the results would be the same here..."  ~ Jean-Luc

Here's a Cautionary Tale of Pension Privatization From Chile

By KEVIN DRUM, Mother Jones

Among free-market fans, Chile's privatized pension plan has long been held up as a model for us to follow. The problem, as the Financial Times notes today, is ...



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Digital Currencies

Gold, Silver and Blockchain - Fintech Solutions To Negative Rates, Bail-ins, Currency Debasement and Cashless

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

By Jan Skoyles

I was so pleased yesterday by the announcement that I have joined the Research team at GoldCore as it meant that I could finally start talking about it and was back in a role that lets me indulge in my passion by researching and geeking out on all things gold, silver and money.

...



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Biotech

Epizyme - A Waiting Game

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Epizyme was founded in 2007, and trying to create drugs to treat patient's cancer by focusing on genetically-linked differences between normal and cancer cells. Cancer areas of focus include leukemia, Non-Hodgkin's lymphoma and breast cancer.  One of the Epizme cofounders, H. Robert Horvitz, won the Nobel Prize in Medicine in 2002 for "discoveries concerning genetic regulation of organ development and programmed cell death."

Before discussing the drug targets of Epizyme, understanding epigenetics is crucial to comprehend the company's goals.  

Genetic components are the DNA sequences that are 'inherited.'  Some of these genes are stronger than others in their expression (e.g., eye color).  Yet, some genes turn on or off due to external factors (environmental), and it is und...



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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: Harlan is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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Promotions

PSW is more than just stock talk!

 

We know you love coming here for our Stocks & Options education, strategy and trade ideas, and for Phil's daily commentary which you can't live without, but there's more!

PhilStockWorld.com features the most important and most interesting news items from around the web, all day, every day!

News: If you missed it, you can probably find it in our Market News section. We sift through piles of news so you don't have to.   

If you are looking for non-mainstream, provocatively-narrated news and opinion pieces which promise to make you think -- we feature Zero Hedge, ...



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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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