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August 3rd, 2015 12:54 am
Submitted by Tim Knight from Slope of Hope.
One of the assumptions about technical analysis' efficacy is that history tends to repeat itself and, based on historical examples, the future can be anticipated with greater clarity than just hopeful guessing (a skill bulls exhibit with particular panache).
I tripped across an interesting example of this far afield from the world of finances. It has more to do with geopolitics. Check out this quote from a historian made before the cold war ever started and see if, based on what happened, it rings true (I've boldfaced some parts):...
August 2nd, 2015 11:31 pm
By Mani. Originally published at ValueWalk.
Mirroring softer 1Q earnings and weaker sentiment globally, India's NIFTY dropped 1% last week, with 9 out of 19 stocks missing estimates.
Analysing the fund flows, Koul and colleagues at Goldman Sachs point out that equities saw ...
August 2nd, 2015 5:09 pm
Need some Sunday reading? Project Syndicate has an interesting lineup of articles...Letting China’s Bubble Burst
NEW YORK – The problems with China’s economic-growth pattern have become well known in recent years, with the Chinese stock-market’s recent free-fall bringing them into sharper focus. But discussions of the Chinese economy’s imbalances and vulnerabilities tend to neglect some of the more positive elements of its structural evolution, particularly the government’s track record of prompt corrective intervention,...
August 2nd, 2015 2:40 pm
Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.
August 2nd, 2015 12:10 am
Courtesy of Read the Ticker.readtheticker.com is primarily a Richard Wyckoff logic site, however through our research into Wyckoff logic the three indicators below make us very lazy in applying Richard Wyckoff logic.Why? Because if these indicators look handsome together then it most likely the Wyckoff logic is working very well.
August 2nd, 2015 12:00 am
Courtesy of Benzinga.
Benzinga's M&A Chatter for Friday July 31 through Sunday Aug 2, 2015
The following are the M&A deals, rumors and chatter circulating on Wall Street for Friday July 27, 2015:
Yahoo to Acquire Polyvore
Yahoo!, Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) announced Friday that it has reached an agreement to acquire social shopping site Polyvore. Terms were not disclosed.
Yahoo closed at $36.67 on Friday, a loss of 2%.
Hearing Unconfirmed Market Chatter of Potential Costco Bid for Whole Foods
Shares of Whole Foods Market, Inc. (NYSE: WFM) were boosted Friday, on unconfirmed market chatter of a potential offer from Costco Wholesa...
August 1st, 2015 7:56 am
Courtesy of Chris Kimble.
CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE
This chart looks at the Thompson/Reuters Commodity Index on a monthly basis for the past 50 years
The index took off in the early 1970’s and rallied over 200% in a little over a decade at (1). Then it created a potential double top. What followed at (2)? An unwinding of the rally that lasted nearly 20-years, taking it to the bottom of its rising channel.
In the early 2000’s, the index took off again, gaining over 250% in a decades time at (3) and the rallied looks to have ended in 2011, as it was hitting the top of this long-term rising channel.
Since hitting the top of the channel the index has been pretty soft,...
August 1st, 2015 2:33 am
Financial Markets and Economy
As oil prices tanked, hedge-fund managers and other large speculators increased bullish bets on Treasury securities to the most in two years, even as the Federal Reserve moves closer to raising interest rates.
After last week's surge in total rig count, this week saw a modest 2 rig drop to 874 total rigs. However, oil rigs rose...
July 27th, 2015 7:42 pm
Reminder: Sabrient is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.
Courtesy of Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics
In this weekly update, I give my view of the current market environment, offer a technical analysis of the S&P 500 chart, review our weekly fundamentals-based SectorCast rankings of the ten U.S. business sectors, and then offer up some actionable trading ideas, including a sector rotation strategy using ETFs and an enhanced version using top-ranked stocks from the top-ranked sectors.
Corporate earnings reports have been mixed at best, interspersed with the occasional spectacular report -- primarily from mega-caps like Google (GOOGL), Facebook (FB), or Amazon (AMZN). Some of the bul...
July 27th, 2015 9:22 am
Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.
This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).
We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options.
Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.
To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...
July 24th, 2015 2:16 pm
Gold is jumping after the overnight double flash-crash...testing back towards $1100...
Bitcoin is back up to pre-"Greece is Fixed" levels...
Charts: Bloomberg and Bitcoinwisdom...
June 10th, 2015 10:48 pm
Reminder: Pharmboy and Ilene are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.
Baxter Int. (BAX) is splitting off its BioSciences division into a new company called Baxalta. Shares of Baxalta will be given as a tax-free dividend, in the ratio of one to one, to BAX holders on record on June 17, 2015. That means, if you want to receive the Baxalta dividend, you need to buy the stock this week (on or before June 12).The Baxalta Spinoff
By Ilene with Trevor of Lowenthal Capital Partners and Paul Price
In its recent filing with the SEC, Baxter provides:
“This information statement is being ...
May 3rd, 2015 5:11 pm
Courtesy of Jean-Luc Saillard
Back in December, I wrote a post on my blog where I compared the performances of various ETFs related to the oil industry. I was looking for the best possible proxy to match the moves of oil prices if you didn't want to play with futures. At the time, I concluded that for medium term trades, USO and the leveraged ETFs UCO and SCO were the most promising. Longer term, broader ETFs like OIH and XLE might make better investment if oil prices do recover to more profitable prices since ETF linked to futures like USO, UCO and SCO do suffer from decay. It also seemed that DIG and DUG could be promising if OIH could recover as it should with the price of oil, but that they don't make a good proxy for the price of oil itself.
March 28th, 2015 7:45 am
Kim Parlee interviews Phil on Money Talk. Be sure to watch the replays if you missed the show live on Wednesday night (it was recorded on Monday). As usual, Phil provides an excellent program packed with macro analysis, important lessons and trading ideas. ~ Ilene
The replay is now available on BNN's website. For the three part series, click on the links below.Part 1 is here (discussing the macro outlook for the markets) Part 2 is here. (discussing our main trading strategies) Part 3 is here. (reviewing our pick of th...
May 22nd, 2014 5:03 pm
"Hello PSW Members –
This is a non-trading topic, but I wanted to post it during trading hours so as many eyes can see it as possible. Feel free to contact me directly at email@example.com with any questions.
Last fall there was some discussion on the PSW board regarding setting up a YouCaring donation page for a PSW member, Shadowfax. Since then, we have been looking into ways to help get him additional medical services and to pay down his medical debts. After following those leads, we are ready to move ahead with the YouCaring site. (Link is posted below.) Any help you can give will be greatly appreciated; not only to help aid in his medical bill debt, but to also show what a great community this group is.
Thank you for you time!
Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...