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July 28th, 2015 9:37 am
By Guest Post. Originally published at ValueWalk.
Forecasting the shape the world will take in several years or decades is an audacious undertaking. There are no images to observe or precise data points to anchor us. We can only create a picture, and a fuzzy one at best. This is, after all, our basic human empirical instinct: to draw effortlessly from the vivid imagery of our present world and past experiences while we squint and hesitate before faint, blobby images of the future.
In the world of intelligence and military planning, it is far less taxing to base speculations on the familiar — to simulate a war game that pivots on an Iranian nuclear threat, a seemingly unstoppable jihadist force like the Islamic State and the military adventurism of Russia in Eastern Europe — than it is to imagine a world in which Russia is weak and internally fragmented, the jihadist menace i...
July 28th, 2015 8:30 am
Submitted by Secular Investor.
We wrote on July 5th that markets are increasingly looking scary. Now, only 3 weeks later, the situation seems to be escalating.
Let's get it straight: this is a serious deflationary bust in the making. The most worrisome fact is Dr. Copper's technical breakdown, as seen on the first chart.
The price of copper, being a leading indicator for the health of the global economy, has broken through a multi-decade trend channel. This is really bad news for th...
July 28th, 2015 6:39 am
"Information overload" may be especially problematic when we don't have a plan or don't stick with our plan. For example, we may have a long term goal for a stock, but then short term information gets presented, and we act on it, abandoning our original thesis. This can lead to over-trading, chasing the news, and ultimately, regrets.Information overload is making us dumber investors
We live in an age of seemingly infinite information, and that’s great in many ways. But that doesn’t make investors any smarter.
July 28th, 2015 4:27 am
Financial Markets and Economy
2015 has simply not been a fun year in the stock market (Business Insider)
2015 has not been a fun year for stock investors.
In 2015, the S&P 500, which opened the year nearly at all-time highs, has made a new all-time high just 10 times. For a point of comparison, at this time last time at this year, the benchmark index had hit 27 fresh all-time records, and when 2014 was said and done, the S&P 500 had hit a new record 53 times.
The bull in China’s shop has no more room to run (Market Watch) ...
July 27th, 2015 7:42 pm
Reminder: Sabrient is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.
Courtesy of Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics
In this weekly update, I give my view of the current market environment, offer a technical analysis of the S&P 500 chart, review our weekly fundamentals-based SectorCast rankings of the ten U.S. business sectors, and then offer up some actionable trading ideas, including a sector rotation strategy using ETFs and an enhanced version using top-ranked stocks from the top-ranked sectors.
Corporate earnings reports have been mixed at best, interspersed with the occasional spectacular report -- primarily from mega-caps like Google (GOOGL), Facebook (FB), or Amazon (AMZN). Some of the bul...
July 27th, 2015 5:08 pm
Courtesy of Declan.Sellers in the S&P made it five days of downside in a row. On this last day it closed near the day's lows, but also on its 200-day MA. If there was reason for a bounce, then tomorrow could be the day. Technicals are all net negative.
July 27th, 2015 9:22 am
Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.
This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).
We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options.
Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.
To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...
July 27th, 2015 9:06 am
Courtesy of Chris Kimble.
CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE
It could pay to be “aware of these surroundings!”
(1) – Nasdaq Composite Index is back at 2000 highs, with little wiggle room at the top of this rising wedge pattern
(2) – Google shot up after earnings two weeks ago hitting a resistance line based upon its 2007 highs and a 161% Fibonacci extension level, where it made a reversal pattern.
(3) – Red hot Biotech (IBB) is at the top of this rising channel and created a potential reversal pattern with support just below current prices.
(4) – TLT declined, hitting its 38% retracement level and of late is breaking above this bullish fall...
July 27th, 2015 12:00 am
Courtesy of Benzinga.Related BAC Market Update: Wednesday's Top Volume Leaders Why This Expert Thinks Bank Of America Is Still A Buy At $18 BofA more than doubles environmental lending pledge (Seeking Alpha) Related S ...
July 26th, 2015 1:40 pm
Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.
July 24th, 2015 2:16 pm
Gold is jumping after the overnight double flash-crash...testing back towards $1100...
Bitcoin is back up to pre-"Greece is Fixed" levels...
Charts: Bloomberg and Bitcoinwisdom...
June 10th, 2015 10:48 pm
Reminder: Pharmboy and Ilene are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.
Baxter Int. (BAX) is splitting off its BioSciences division into a new company called Baxalta. Shares of Baxalta will be given as a tax-free dividend, in the ratio of one to one, to BAX holders on record on June 17, 2015. That means, if you want to receive the Baxalta dividend, you need to buy the stock this week (on or before June 12).The Baxalta Spinoff
By Ilene with Trevor of Lowenthal Capital Partners and Paul Price
In its recent filing with the SEC, Baxter provides:
“This information statement is being ...
May 3rd, 2015 5:11 pm
Courtesy of Jean-Luc Saillard
Back in December, I wrote a post on my blog where I compared the performances of various ETFs related to the oil industry. I was looking for the best possible proxy to match the moves of oil prices if you didn't want to play with futures. At the time, I concluded that for medium term trades, USO and the leveraged ETFs UCO and SCO were the most promising. Longer term, broader ETFs like OIH and XLE might make better investment if oil prices do recover to more profitable prices since ETF linked to futures like USO, UCO and SCO do suffer from decay. It also seemed that DIG and DUG could be promising if OIH could recover as it should with the price of oil, but that they don't make a good proxy for the price of oil itself.
March 28th, 2015 7:45 am
Kim Parlee interviews Phil on Money Talk. Be sure to watch the replays if you missed the show live on Wednesday night (it was recorded on Monday). As usual, Phil provides an excellent program packed with macro analysis, important lessons and trading ideas. ~ Ilene
The replay is now available on BNN's website. For the three part series, click on the links below.Part 1 is here (discussing the macro outlook for the markets) Part 2 is here. (discussing our main trading strategies) Part 3 is here. (reviewing our pick of th...
May 22nd, 2014 5:03 pm
"Hello PSW Members –
This is a non-trading topic, but I wanted to post it during trading hours so as many eyes can see it as possible. Feel free to contact me directly at email@example.com with any questions.
Last fall there was some discussion on the PSW board regarding setting up a YouCaring donation page for a PSW member, Shadowfax. Since then, we have been looking into ways to help get him additional medical services and to pay down his medical debts. After following those leads, we are ready to move ahead with the YouCaring site. (Link is posted below.) Any help you can give will be greatly appreciated; not only to help aid in his medical bill debt, but to also show what a great community this group is.
Thank you for you time!
Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...