Archive for September, 2005

Testy Tuesday Morning

Another day where we will be testing our levels. On the whole, we are getting the exact kind of consolidation we were looking for in mid-August but without the sell-off. I would have rather had the sell-off so I could be more comfortable buying calls but if it does break up we’ll take it! Asia was mixed, still hammered by falling commodity stocks with steel making a downside move today. Europe is flat this morning I am very uncomfortable with the indices not hitting our numbers yesterday but I’m encouraged by the movement on the SOX and the Transports so it’s going to be another wait and see sort of day. http://stockcharts.com/webcgi/perf.html?$sox,$tranq Today we will only look to the upside; anything down will be a bad sign as we need a change in leadership to overcome the commodity sell-off. Let’s look for Dow 11,400, S&P 1,300 and Nasdaq 2,175. Both the Nasdaq and the NYSE will set direction for today but watch the NYSE very closely as it tested the 50 dma of 8,222 yesterday and needs to make a move towards 8,300 today. Oil took a nice bounce off $65 yesterday and traders were determined to test $66, which they did European trading. The test did not go well so we may be testing $65 on the downside in US trading today. I think we would make real progress in this country if we forced the same analysts that predicted $100 oil to come back on TV when oil is plunging and tell us what the heck they were thinking at the time (it was only 3 weeks ago, surely they remember!). Instead the oil pumpers rode off into the sunset and now we have a whole new batch of geniuses coming on TV telling us how the commodities markets are “clearly overbought” and now they take turns coming up with ridiculously low targets, some down to $30 a barrel… I suppose we can blame CNBC et al for lacking any editorial oversight, this is epitomized by Cramer yesterday telling viewers that CVX is far from a bottom at $62. In his August 7th show, with CVX at $67 he recommended BHI and Chevron as featured picks. http://seekingalpha.com/article/15127 I don’t want to pick on Cramer as I love the guy but this is the problem with all analysts in a nutshell, there is a lack of accountability – even…
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Monday Madness

Wheee, what a day! 19 successful oil and gold plays averaging over 300% gains! Many of these were rolls from profits on earlier trades, one of these days I need to track these things in a chart… Just a 90-minute sell-off then back in the black for the rest of the day. This must be very frustrating for bears at this point (other than us commodity bears!). SOX made a huge power move, up 2% but pulling back at the close to finish below 450 but I’m going to say it’s consolidating for a run at 480 (the 200 dma). The transports led today’s rally with a huge bounce off 2,310, running all the way to the top of last week’s channel at 2,370. We got our Nasdaq leadership but none of the indices were very strong. With the massive hits being taken by PD (down 8%), BTU (- 7%), AU (-7.5%), XOM (- 3%) and other commodities, it’s amazing we weren’t down a percent or two. The XAU may seem like it had a big sell-off with a 3% drop on the day but it is still well above the June close and 30% above this time last year. The same can be said for OSX, which is flat to last year but still 50% above Sept ’04 levels. http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=%5EOSX&t=2y&l=on&z=m&q=l&c= Oil is now just $10 above September ’04 levels of $55 while gold is about 15% over last fall’s pricing. In both cases however, the underlying commodity was on an upswing and the stock prices reflected high expectations. OPEC, as expected, elected to leave production levels in place. When your country’s 1M exported barrels a day drop from $75 to $65 you are already out $360M a year, giving up production of another 100,000 barrels a day ($2.3Bn/yr) in order to maintain $65 pricing is just not something you get a lot of volunteers for. OPEC needs 10 such volunteers in order to make any significant production cutback. Gold closed at $597 and what is really awful for both gold and oil bulls is that the dollar was relatively flat today ahead of some big auctions this week. All in all things could not have gone much better. Only the REITs surprised me with a big turnaround on hopes that the Fed is done (but didn’t we already play that song?). Someone is making a big bet on all…
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Phil's Favorites

Negative Interest Rates Spread To Mortgage Bonds

Courtesy of John Rubino, DollarCollapse.com

There are trillions of dollars of bonds in the world with negative yields – a fact with which future historians will find baffling.

Until now those negative yields have been limited to the safest types of bonds issued by governments and major corporations. But this week a new category of negative-yielding paper joined the party: mortgage-backed bonds.

Bankers Stunned as Negative Rates Sweep Across Danish Mortgages

(Investing.com) – At the biggest mortgage bank in the world’s largest covered-bond market, ...



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Zero Hedge

Negative Interest Rates Spread To Mortgage Bonds

Courtesy of John Rubino, DollarCollapse.com

There are trillions of dollars of bonds in the world with negative yields – a fact with which future historians will find baffling.

Until now those negative yields have been limited to the safest types of bonds issued by governments and major corporations. But this week a new category of negative-yielding paper joined the party: mortgage-backed bonds.

Bankers Stunned as Negative Rates Sweep Across Danish Mortgages

(Investing.com) – At the biggest mortgage bank in the world’s largest covered-bond market, ...



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Insider Scoop

Jefferies Sees 60-Percent Upside In Aphria Shares, Says Buy The Dip

Courtesy of Benzinga.

After a red-hot start to 2019, Canadian cannabis producer Aphria Inc (NYSE: APHA) has run out of steam, tumbling more than 31 percent in the past three months.

Despite the recent weakness, one Wall Street analyst said Friday that the stock has 30-percent upside potential. 

The Analyst

Jefferies analyst ...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

DAX (Germany) About To Send A Bearish Message To The S&P 500?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Is the DAX index from Germany about to send a bearish message to stocks in Europe and the States? Sure could!

This chart looks at the DAX over the past 9-years. It’s spent the majority of the past 8-years inside of rising channel (1), creating a series of higher lows and higher highs.

It looks to have created a “Double Top” as it was kissing the underside of the rising channel last year at (2).

After creating the potential double top, the DAX index has continued to create a series of lower highs, while experiencing a bearish divergence with the S...



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Chart School

Brexit Joke - Cant be serious all the time

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

Alistair Williams comedian nails it, thank god for good humour! Prime Minister May the negotiator. Not!


Alistair Williams Comedian youtube

This is a classic! ha!







Fundamentals are important, and so is market timing, here at readtheticker.com we believe a combination of Gann Angles, ...

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Digital Currencies

Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream - the battle is on to bring them under global control

 

Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream – the battle is on to bring them under global control

The high seas are getting lower. dianemeise

Courtesy of Iwa Salami, University of East London

The 21st-century revolutionaries who have dominated cryptocurrencies are having to move over. Mainstream financial institutions are adopting these assets and the blockchain technology that enables them, in what ...



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Biotech

DNA as you've never seen it before, thanks to a new nanotechnology imaging method

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

DNA as you've never seen it before, thanks to a new nanotechnology imaging method

A map of DNA with the double helix colored blue, the landmarks in green, and the start points for copying the molecule in red. David Gilbert/Kyle Klein, CC BY-ND

Courtesy of David M. Gilbert, Florida State University

...



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ValueWalk

More Examples Of "Typical Tesla "wise-guy scamminess"

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Stanphyl Capital’s letter to investors for the month of March 2019.

rawpixel / Pixabay

Friends and Fellow Investors:

For March 2019 the fund was up approximately 5.5% net of all fees and expenses. By way of comparison, the S&P 500 was up approximately 1.9% while the Russell 2000 was down approximately 2.1%. Year-to-date 2019 the fund is up approximately 12.8% while the S&P 500 is up approximately 13.6% and the ...



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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...



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Mapping The Market

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

A good start from :

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

Excerpt:

The threat to America is this: we have abandoned our core philosophy. Our first principle of this nation as a meritocracy, a free-market economy, where competition drives economic decision-making. In its place, we have allowed a malignancy to fester, a virulent pus-filled bastardized form of economics so corrosive in nature, so dangerously pestilent, that it presents an extinction-level threat to America – both the actual nation and the “idea” of America.

This all-encompassing mutant corruption saps men’s souls, crushes opportunities, and destroys economic mobility. Its a Smash & Grab system of ill-gotten re...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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