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Friday, March 29, 2024

SPX Trading Model & GOLD

Courtesy of Allan 

SPX Trading Model

I started Trend Following Trading Models in early January.  The chat below chronicles all of the real time signals of the SPX Daily Model since inception.  I consider this model the defining model of the dominant trend in the markets.

SPX Daily Trend Model
1/21 Sell 1116    +21
2/16 Buy 1095  +97
4/16 Sell 1192   -25
4/23 Buy 1217   -33
4/27 Sell 1184   +69
6/15 Buy 1115    +2
 
Total SPX points = +131

GOLD

Let’s not keep banging our heads against the wall when there is a clear Wave 3 advance taking place in the precious metals.  I sent out a Gold & Silver Basket to my subscribers earlier this weekend and expect to add more gold and silver stocks going forward.  What follows are three views of the the gold market and a table comparing returns on those charts to returns from a basket of mining stocks during the psat 18 months.  This looks like the real deal to me.

GLD
 
 
DGP
 
 
GDX
 
 
Below is a copy of an email Alert I sent out to subscribers over the weekend, illustrating the potential that individual mining stocks have over even leveraged gold and silver indexes: 

Here is exactly why I prefer individual gold stocks to indexes and/or leveraged indexes.  The individual Gold & Silver stocks come from the current list and/or stocks I have written up on my blog during the time period. Note that the SPX for the same period is up +44%.

Dates:  1/1/2009 through 6/19/2010

Gold & Silver Indexes

GLD  83.92—>122.83 =  46%
SLV  11.09—> 18.75   =  69%
GDX  31.31—> 54.06  =  72%

          Average = +62%

Select Gold & Silver Stocks

ANV   3.92—> 21.83   = 457%
GSS   1.27—>  4.41     = 247%
TRE   3.50—>  4.90     =  36%
KMKCF 0.30—>1.96  = 553%
SWC   4.84—> 13.53   = 180%
TGB   0.98—>  5.04    = 415% 
SVM   2.08—>  7.50   = 260%
      
          Average = +307%

 

Allan’s “Trend Following Trading Model” is based on his trend-following trading system for buying and selling stocks and ETFs. Most trades last for weeks to months. Allan’s offering PSW readers a special 25% discount. Click here.  For more details, read this introductory article.

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