Courtesy of Doug Short
The S&P 500 rallied again today, up 1.01%, the fourth consecutive day of strong performance but still ended the month in the red, down 1.83%. The index is now up 5.01% year-to-date but down 3.15% from the interim high set on April 29.
From an intermediate perspective, the index is 95.2% above the March 2009 closing low and 15.6% below the nominal all-time high of October 2007. Below are two charts of the index — with and without the 50 and 200-day moving averages.
Below are two charts of the index – with and without the 50 and 200-day moving averages.
For a better sense of how these declines figure into a larger historical context, here’s a long-term view of secular bull and bear markets in the S&P Composite since 1871.
For a bit of international flavor, here’s a chart series that includes an overlay of the S&P 500, the Dow Crash of 1929 and Great Depression, and the so-called L-shaped “recovery” of the Nikkei 225. I update these weekly.
These charts are not intended as a forecast but rather as a way to study the current market in relation to historic market cycles.
