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Friday, April 19, 2024

Could a down grade be good in the short-term?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

Last August much of the talk was about the potential downgrade by S&P of U.S. Government debt and how it would push bond prices a good deal lower.  In the short-term did the downgrade push the long bond lower or higher?  The above chart reflects a 10 point rally in the long bond took place in short order.

 

Could the “long expected” down grade in European debt bring about a short-term rally, similar to the one that took place in the long bond last summer?

 

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