Archive for May, 2014

Comment by blair

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  1. blair

    Tiffany & Co. (TIF) up 4.5% as Citigroup initiates coverage at Buy, on expectations of a return to positive same-store sales and added market share.
     
    Because unemployed people buy lots of expensive jewelry. Or maybe they mean the return to positive same-store sales is coming in 2018.







Comment by Phil

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  1. Phil

    Good morning!

    There will be a lot of news this morning, I didn't get a chance to post it earlier.  

    Another pre-market push to paint the open, down until 11:30 and then probably back up into the close – why should today be different?  Even AAPL still running up on no news.  

    QQQ Friday $76.50 puts at $1.15 have very little premium – 10 in the STP







Comment by Pharmboy

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  1. Pharmboy

    ACAD/neet – well, they can now raise funds for $5…dilute the shareholders, and I would personally say thank you very much and get out.







Comment by 1020

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  1. 1020

    What really happened when Charlie presses the "button"…… :)
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zj0a4a0U13c







Comment by juliet

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  1. juliet

    Thank you very much Yodi!  I will try this!  When my AAPL tree works out, please come visit my apple ochard!  :)







Comment by Phil

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  1. Phil

    GDP/Shlomoso – I do not believe the GDP numbers we are presented with in this data are annualized.  If they are then the economy is in better shape than I think.  If anyone does know exactly what we’re measuring, I would like to know.  What I see is a2009/2 GDP at $12.901Tn, which is down from Q2 2008′s $13.415Tn and that’s down 4.4% but the quarterly number shows down 0.7%, which makes sense calculated from Q1 2009′s $12.925Tn only.  At one point, I know our GDP was supposedly over $14Tn so I didn’t think much of it but I would like to know where they hell they get these numbers from. 

    If GDP is really up an annualized anything at all – then why the helll are corporate revenues down 25%.

    Oops, markets heading higher, I still like the DDM $38s at $2.10 as a momentum play.







Comment by stjeanluc

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  1. stjeanluc

    Conflicting numbers from China:

    http://qz.com/90169/a-tale-of-two-pmis-shows-chinas-growth-conundrum/

    HSBC/Markit’s revised Purchasing Managers’ Index (pdf) fell in May to 49.2, down from 50.4 in April and lower than analyst expectations of 49.6. (A figure below 50 indicates the sector is shrinking.) By contrast China’s official PMI for the month was 50.8, up from 50.6 in April, which was better than expected. The difference is telling: The official figure includes more the giant state-owned enterprises, while HSBC polls smaller, independent firms.

    Where details differ, the message does not: China’s economy has lost crucial momentum. Hongbin Qu, HSBC’s chief China economist, said the government needs to boost domestic demand to avoid a further drop in manufacturing activity in the coming months.







Comment by BruceE

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  1. BruceE

    In again at $108.  Sticking with the program. 







Comment by MrMocha

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  1. MrMocha

    Rally evaporating.  Someone call the PPT, they’re MIA these days.







Bottoms Up or Top Down

Bottoms Up or Top Down

Insider Action: Still Positive Despite New Highs

By Dr. Paul Price of Market Shadows

I put more faith in actual transactions with money on the line than sentiment surveys where people can say one thing while doing something else. The Thomson Reuters Insider Sell-Buy ratio has proven to be especially prescient in term of calling short-term (weeks to months) action in the broad market.

Open market corporate officer action that registers bullishly often coincides with buying opportunities. Seeing the indicator along with the corresponding movements in the S&P 500 confirms this.

Insider Sell-Buy   as of May 30, 2014

Company officials understand their own firms intimately and welcome chances to buy low and sell high. Individual investors often go the other way by chasing momentum stocks that have already risen sharply.

The latest filings show insider buys in mostly lesser-known names.

Insider Buys week of May 26, 2014

The recent insider sell list was almost all in big name stocks.

Insider sells    May 26, 2014

Logic and history say it is better to invest ‘bottoms up’ based on valuation than ‘top down’ based on macro-economic factors. Even if you knew world event in advance the stock market action is often contrary to what might be expected.

Had you been privy to last week’s negative Q1 GDP announcement ahead of schedule would you have looked for bullish action?

Bottoms Up or Top Down





 
 
 

Phil's Favorites

The dysfunctional debt ceiling and why we should kill it: 5 questions answered

 

The dysfunctional debt ceiling and why we should kill it: 5 questions answered

Treasury Secretary Mnuchin is taking ‘extraordinary measures’ to avoid busting the debt ceiling. AP Photo/Jose Luis Magana

Courtesy of Steven Pressman, Colorado State University

Editor’s note: The U.S. government maxed out its national credit card in March and has been moving money around ever since to avoid running out of cash. Very soon the Treasury Department ...



more from Ilene

Zero Hedge

This Is Where The Next Recession Will Start: An Epidemiological Study

By Nicholas Colas of DataTrek

(Published at ZeroHedge)

US recessions are like epidemics: they all begin somewhere, and the “tell” is state-level unemployment data. For example, the end of the 2000 dot com bubble hit Connecticut and Massachusetts first – two hubs for the financials services industry with lots of affluent investors to boot. The end of the 2000s housing boom predictably impacted Florida and Nevada before the rest of the country. This time around, the data shows the manufacturing-heavy states of Michigan, Ohio and Indiana are most at risk. No wonder “Dr. Fed” wants to inoculate the region with lower interest rates.

When medical professionals study epidemics, they look for the source of the ou...



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Digital Currencies

Cryptos Suddenly Panic-Bid, Bitcoin Back Above $10k

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Following further selling pressure overnight, someone (or more than one) has decided to buy-the-dip in cryptos this morning, sending Bitcoin (and most of the altcoins) soaring...

A sea of green...

Source: Coin360

Bitcoin surged back above $10,000...

Ethereum bounced off suppo...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Silver ETF (SLV) Testing Dual Breakout Resistance

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Silver (NYSEARCA: SLV) has been in a bit of a slumber when compared to the price action for Gold (NYSEARCA: GLD).

Precious metals bulls hope that this about to change, as bullish action from Silver is necessary to confirm any bull market / move in metals.

Today’s chart takes a closer look at the Silver ETF (SLV) on a weekly basis. As you can see, Silver is up 5 percent this week alone.

This is good news for metals bulls. But this rally isn’t confirming a breakout just yet.

As you can see in the chart below, SLV has been trading between support (1) ...



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Insider Scoop

Analysts Weigh In On Netflix's Rocky Quarter

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX) reported second-quarter results highlighted by an uncharacteristic decline in U.S. subscribers while international subscriber adds missed expectations. Here is a summary of how some of the Street's top analysts reacted to the print.

The Analysts

Mor...



http://www.insidercow.com/ more from Insider

Biotech

DNA testing companies offer telomere testing - but what does it tell you about aging and disease risk?

Reminder: We're is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

DNA testing companies offer telomere testing – but what does it tell you about aging and disease risk?

A telomere age test kit from Telomere Diagnostics Inc. and saliva. collection kit from 23andMe. Anna Hoychuk/Shutterstock.com

Courtesy of Patricia Opresko, University of Pittsburgh and Elise Fouquerel, ...



more from Biotech

ValueWalk

Professor Shubha Ghosh On The Current State Of Gene Editing

 

Professor Shubha Ghosh On The Current State Of Gene Editing

Courtesy of Jacob Wolinsky, ValueWalk

ValueWalk’s Q&A session with Professor Shubha Ghosh, a professor of law and the director of the Syracuse Intellectual Property Law Institute. In this interview, Professor Ghosh discusses his background, the Human Genome Project, the current state of gene editing, 3D printing for organ operations, and gene editing regulation.

...

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Chart School

Gold Gann Angle Update

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

Charts show us the golden brick road to high prices.

GLD Gann Angle has been working since 2016. Higher prices are expected. Who would say anything different, and why and how?

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.



The GLD very wide channel shows us the way.
- Conservative: Tag the 10 year rally starting in 2001 to 2019 and it forecasts $750 GLD (or $7500 USD Gold Futures) in 10 years.
- Aggressive: Tag the 5 year rally starting in 1976 to 2019  and it forecasts $750 GLD (or $7500 USD Gold Futures) in 5 years.

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if ima...



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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...



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Mapping The Market

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

A good start from :

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

Excerpt:

The threat to America is this: we have abandoned our core philosophy. Our first principle of this nation as a meritocracy, a free-market economy, where competition drives economic decision-making. In its place, we have allowed a malignancy to fester, a virulent pus-filled bastardized form of economics so corrosive in nature, so dangerously pestilent, that it presents an extinction-level threat to America – both the actual nation and the “idea” of America.

This all-encompassing mutant corruption saps men’s souls, crushes opportunities, and destroys economic mobility. Its a Smash & Grab system of ill-gotten re...



more from M.T.M.

OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

Learn more About Phil >>


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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

Market Shadows >>