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Wednesday, April 24, 2024

Comment by biodieselchris

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  1. biodieselchris

    Well I'll just continue to talk to myself in here… 

    The mention of tulip bulbs is interesting to me because interesting the concept of comparison may be deepluy flawed. "Tulip mania" was described in a popular book 200 years after it occurred to which wiki has to say "Mackay claims that many such investors were ruined by the fall in prices, and Dutch commerce suffered a severe shock. Although Mackay's book is a classic, his account is contested. Many modern scholars feel that the mania was not as extraordinary as Mackay described and argue that not enough price data are available to prove that a tulip bulb bubble actually occurred"

    Tulipmania is probably very much an apocryphal  account "often used metaphorically to refer to any large economic bubble when asset prices deviate from intrinsic values."

    My posting tries to describe just what an "intrinsic value" for crypto might be. I was excoriated for suggesting that crypto cannot be compared to metrics used to value stocks, since they are not stocks, or currencies, since they are not currencies, but in fact this "new thing" that has curious aspects of both of the former, couple with a new internet-based system of trust that didn't exist before it was created, and this new value does not have a known upside.

    I might be completely full of shit, and might be completely wrong looking forward but I'v been somewhat right, even if for the wrong reasons until now. But when I hear "tulips" I immediately move on. What grasp on solid fundamental reason and accountability to comparing a modern event to an children's fairy tale have to do with discussing the reality of money in a dynamic, changing, modern era?



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