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Thursday, April 18, 2024

Cycle moves to profit from in 2019

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

cycle-moves-to-profit-from-in-2019Every thing has a cyclical manner, some more than others. And when price and the cycle runs together, it great to be in it for the ride!

Of course fundamentals are the reason for a price move, yet the laws of nature seems to co ordinate fundamentals, price and time together, hence the outcome can be seen via a sine wave cycle.

If you use some math called 'Bartels' (more here) you can scan many sine waves periods to see if they fit into your price time series, each time series will have it's own characteristics, some cycles will be a better with either a daily, weekly or monthly periods. Back testing the cycle is critical, as cycles do come into form and fall out of form, but over time they do add to the investors arsenal while working out the next risk reward price move. 

Consider these possible big movers in 2019.

Chart: Gold stocks to gold.


XAU
 

Chart: USD or DXY index.


DXY
 

Chart: Crude oil


OIL
 

There are some big moves coming in 2019, cycles help the investor judge each one. 

Investing Quotes:

.."I have yet to find a man, in or out of Wall Street, who is able to make money in (markets) continuously or uninterruptedly. Like anyone else, I have good and bad periods."..
Richard D Wyckoff

..“Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on scepticism, mature on optimism and die of euphoria.”..
John Templeton

.."Money can't buy you happiness but it does bring you a more pleasant form of misery"..
Spike Milligan

…“To me, the 'tape' is the final arbiter of any investment decision. I have a cardinal rule: Never fight the tape!”…
Martin Zweig

.."The key to making money in stocks is not to get scared out of them"
Peter Lynch

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