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Thursday, April 18, 2024

Comment by phil

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  1. phil

    Closing/Jeff – If you have 30 spreads, like the WBA Jan $47.50/50 spread, try selling 5 at a time so as not to get burned.  

    The Jan $47.50s are $9.60/12.45 and WBA is $58 so they are $10.50 with no premium (last was $15)

    The Jan $50s are $7.90/8.60 and WBA is $58 so they are $8 with no premium. (last was $8.20)

    As WBA is down 0.37 today and the delta on the $50s is 0.91, I'd offer 0.35 less than last or $7.85 for 5 and I'd ask for $11 on the $47.50s and see which one fills first.  If they both fill, my $2.50 spread goes for $3.15 and, whichever one fills first, I then tweek the other to sell it as close to net $2.50 (or over) that I can.   Once I fill 5 and 5, I offer up the next 5 and 5 until they are all gone.

    Fills go the same way, only take a position if you get a BETTER price.  You don't NEED any of these positions – why chase?   

    Also, use your head.  If the stock is going down and the market is going down – sell the long calls first and then sell the short calls – a little swing trading goes a long way towards improving your spreads.  

    • SPCE/Albo – I want to set up a "Future" is now Portfolio, let's talk candidates:
    • SPCE
    • TSLA
    • BYND
    • SPWR 
    • LMT (Fusion) 
    • DIS (entertainment) 
    • XYL (water treatment)
    • WM (more people, more waste)
    • CRSP
    • IBM (AI) 
    • QCOM (5G…) 
    • ISRG 
    • BLDP, PLUG, FCEL (not sure which)

    Additional ideas would be appreciated.  

    Ponds/Yodi, Winston – I'm never ashamed to go back to the well.  People fish the same lake their whole lives – you just need to know the difference between the waters that replenish themselves and ones who don't.  

    Oops, Oil just collapsed – taking the indexes with it.  ROFL OPEC!

    Crude inventory unexpectedly rise

    • EIA Petroleum Inventories: Crude +0.8M barrels vs. -2.8M consensus, -4.9M last week.
    • Gasoline +5.4M barrels vs. +2.5M consensus, +3.4M last week.
    • Distillates +4.1M barrels vs. +1.6M consensus, +3.1M last week.
    • Futures -0.14% to $59.16.

    How was that unexpected, API had a net build of 10Mb and this is a net build of 10Mb – just in different places.  Traders are such morons!  

    More to the point though – yet another big holiday weekend where demand is a bust.



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