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Friday, March 29, 2024

Dow 2020 Crash Watch – Update

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

dow-2020-crash-watch--updateAs expected reality was to knock on the door of everything priced to perfection, but is the panic selling done yet?





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Previous Post Dow 2020 Crash Watch Dow, Three strikes and your out!



Today’s smash was expected after TRUMP made this virus a real thing. But you can also bet that the Treasury dept new what TRUMP was going to say and they had their targeted naked shorts to get money out of securities the do not want leading trends in the near future, like gold, silver and crypto currencies. 



Today is a rush to cash. Now the central bodies have Friday and the weekend to slow the panic, organise a defense and cause consolidation, just like 1929, 1987, 1937



Update: FED prints $1.5 trillion, just like that!



Recession stocks like DG, WMT and COST are trading better than gold, go figure. 



Some charts.





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DIA








Looks like the big boys stayed out of this last rally, smart money was way ahead of the crowd.







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NYSE margin




Just like 2008 contagion selling hit gold, for 1 monthly bar (maybe 2 this time), now we watch for the smart money to accumulate in the strong trends for the next 12 months. Our bet gold, silver, bonds and crypto will be attractive to the smart money once the margin calls and panic selling is done in the next few weeks.





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GLD




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Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
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NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net



Investing Quote…



..”TIME is the most important factor in determining market movements and by studying the past records of the averages or individual stocks you will be able to prove for yourself that history does repeat and that by knowing the past you can tell the future. … There is a definite relation between TIME and PRICE. … Now, by a study of the TIME PERIODS and TIME CYCLES you will learn why tops and bottoms are found at certain times and why Resistance Levels are so strong at certain times and bottoms and tops hold around them. … The most money is made when fast moves and extreme fluctuations occur at the end of major cycles.” ..



William D Gann





..”The financial markets generally are unpredictable. So that one has to have different scenarios… The idea that you can actually predict what’s going to happen contradicts my way of looking at the market.”..



George Soros







..”Money couldn’t buy friends, but you got a better class of enemy”..



Spike Milligan





..”October: This is one of the peculiarly dangerous months to speculate in stocks. The others are July, January, September, April, November, May, March, June, December, August and February.”..



Mark Twain





…“To me, the ‘tape’ is the final arbiter of any investment decision. I have a cardinal rule: Never fight the tape!”…



Martin Zweig







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