Courtesy of Read the Ticker
If investors can correctly forecast the US Dollar then their portfolio will be standing on better ground.
Jesse Livermore said investors must familiarise themselves with all matters of the market. The sine wave cycle below shows regular tops and bottoms and if the investor ignores this repeating phenomena it could be at their peril. If you decide to do so, you best have a good technical or fundamental reason.
The sine wave cycle below was found with readtheticker.com ‘Cycle Finder Spectrum’ use of ‘Bartels’ logic. Yes it is mathematics, but within the site RTT Plus service we also examine the dollar fundamentals (like: inflation, money supply, banking risk, interest rates, market risk) and subject to another market like COVID19 smash the fundamentals suggest a slump in the US dollar in the immediate short term future.
The question remains how deep the dollar slump is likely to be. Cycle are good for forecasting periods of peaks and troughs, the size of the extension or the depth of a slump is a little more tricky, and if the DXY holds above $90 then a bullish pattern remains as a higher low remains, below will make life very interesting.
A lower US dollar does act as stimulus to risk on assets, and it is no surprise the current Trump White House welcomes higher asset prices prior to November 2020 elections. Yes! You can accept the white glove of the White House inked up the printing presses to make it so, and we can assume they have gallons of ink.
Chart Review ..
– Sine Wave cycle
– Sine Wave with DPO (Detrending Price Osc)
– Momentum Osc synced with cycles.
Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
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NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net
Investing Quote…
..”There is a time for all things, but I didn’t know it. And that is precisely what beats so many men in Wall Street who are very far from being in the main sucker class. There is the plain fool, who does the wrong thing at all times everywhere, but there is the Wall Street fool, who thinks he must trade all the time. Not many can always have adequate reasons for buying and selling stocks daily – or sufficient knowledge to make his play an intelligent play.”…
Jesse Livermore
..“I buy on the assumption they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years” and “Much success can be attributed to inactivity. Most investors cannot resist the temptation to constantly buy and sell.”..
Warren Buffet
..“Investing should be like watching paint dry or watching grass grow. If you want excitement…go to Las Vegas.”…
Paul Samuelson
..“Don’t try to buy at the bottom and sell at the top. It can’t be done except by liars.”..
Bernard Baruch
..”The first rule is not to lose. The second rule is not to forget the first rule”
Warren Buffett
