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Thursday, March 28, 2024

2020 Was a Record Year For Dividends

By DIVIDEND GROWTH INVESTOR. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Dividend 2020

The year 2020 was definitely a turbulent one. It was marked by lockdowns worldwide due to the Covid-19 pandemic, high unemployment and economic turbulence. Yet, it also marks as another record year for US dividend payments, as measured by S&P 500. S&P 500 is a proxy for how US stocks do, since this index of 500 prominent US based companies accounts for 75% – 80% of total stock market capitalization. These are huge companies, with global operations, in 11 industries.


Q3 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

S&P 500 Dividend Payments Rose To A New Record In 2020

Dividend payments to investors in the S&P 500 rose to a new record in 2020, up 0.7% to $58.28 per share from the previous record set in 2019, according to research from S&P Global. This marked the eleventh consecutive annual dividend increase for annual dividends on the S&P 500 index.

S&P 500

This is due to strong performance in US companies, which expect business to improve over time. The growth in dividends was due to strong first quarter and a strong fourth quarter. While the dividend cuts received a lot of publicity, at the end of the day we ended up with record dividend incomes.

This also means that the best dividend fund is probably still the S&P 500.

In 2020, there were 423 companies on the S&P 500 that paid a dividend. It is fascinating to see that:

  • 287 companies raised dividends
  • 11 companies initiated dividends
  • 27 companies cut dividends
  • 42 companies suspended dividends

You can see the performance by sector broken out in the chart below:

performance

It is fascinating to look at how the S&P Dividend Aristocrats did in 2020.

There were 61 dividend increases, and only two dividend cuts and one dividend suspension. The dividend suspension was from Ross Stores (ROST), which had just joined the index at the beginning of 2020.

The dividend cuts were from Amcor (AMCR) and Raytheon Technologies (RTX). Raytheon Technologies was formed when dividend aristocrat United Technologies (UTX) merged with Raytheon (RTN), and then spun off Otis Elevator (OTIS) and Carrier Global (CARR).

The S&P committee also points out to two dividend initiations for the dividend aristocrats index, notably Otis (OTIS) and Carrier Global (CARR).

There were five companies that failed to increase dividends in 2020. If they don’t raise dividends anytime by 2021, they would be kicked out of the index. The companies include:

  • AT&T (T)
  • Caterpillar (CAT)
  • Exxon Mobil (XOM)
  • Leggett & Platt (LEG)
  • Sysco (SYY)

You can view all the dividend actions year to date below:

actions

You can also view it by sector below:

Dividend 2020

United Technologies Spin-Off Carrier And Otis

As I discussed in a previous post, I disagree with the way they handled the transaction where United Technologies spun-off Carrier and Otis. That’s because, based on spin-off weights, it looks like Raytheon Technologies actually increased dividends. Based on pre-spin-offs weights, it looks like Carrier and Otis are not pulling in their weight. In other words, these two companies are paying less than what they would have paid if United Technologies had not done any breakups. Yet, the company that actually ended up raising dividends, and which actually created the long record of annual dividend increases ended up being booted off the S&P Dividend Aristocrats index. It makes no sense that the two spin-offs would be kept due to the record of the original company, but the original companies is booted off because the spin-off itself it is treated as a dividend cut. My head is spinning just thinking about it.

Overall, United Technologies shareholders received less dividends with all the spin-offs than before. Now if you want to treat the whole thing as a dividend cut, that would be logical. But do not treat the original company with the track record as a cut, but the spin-offs that just initiated dividends as dividend aristocrats.

Anyway, my issue is that the S&P committee is not treating spin-offs consistently. In 2007, Altria was kicked off the Dividend Aristocrats list after it spun-off Kraft foods. However, in 2013 they kept both Abbott and Abbvie after the original Abbott Labs split into two companies.

Addition Of Amcor To Dividend Aristocrats

I also disagree with the Dividend Aristocrats committee in adding Amcor (AMCR). It looks like Amcor acquired Bemis in 2019. Bemis had a 36 year track record of annual dividend increases. It is unclear why the acquirer would be treated as a dividend aristocrat and inherit the dividend track record of the acquired company. Looking at Amcor’s dividend history, it looks like they cut dividends in 2019, as the quarterly payment went from 12 cents/share to 11.50 cents/share.

Somehow in April, The S&P committee is showing that the annual dividend decreased from 47 cents/share to 46 cents/share. That makes no sense, because the quarterly payment was 11.50 cents/share, which means that the annual payment should have been 46 cents/share to begin with.

Perhaps someone at S&P added the two payments in 2019 together ( 12 cents/share + 11.50 cents/share), then averaged them up to 11.75 cents/share, and annualized it to 47 cents/share. Then, when they saw the first payment of 11.50 cents/share in 2020, they annualized it, and declared that the dividend was cut.

Dividend 2020

This is Amcor’s dividend history since 2019:

Dividend 2020

I would stop my ramblings now. I will update the dividend aristocrats list in 2020 in a few weeks, but I have always stated that the Dividend Champions list is more extensive. It is best reviewed together with the list of dividend champions. I still like a lot of the companies on the aristocrats list, and find many of them to be of higher quality. It is also easier to learn about 65 dividend aristocrat companies than 138 dividend champions.

Either way, it is fascinating to see that strong dividend payments continued in 2020, despite the global pandemic, economic turbulence and high unemployment. It makes me wonder how much higher we would have been if Covid-19 was contained.

Relevant Articles:

Article by Dividend Growth Investor

The post 2020 Was a Record Year For Dividends appeared first on ValueWalk.

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