Courtesy of Read the Ticker
Gold tends to slump at the start of the US summer, and will Basel 3 make a difference this year?
Basel 3 has removed a large chuck of paper shorts off the LBMA, of course this is for the banks only, the hedge funds can continue to suppress gold with paper shorts. The true effect of Basel 3 may not be known for some month.
A typical pattern in the metals is a smash down just before a major rally, consider this:
POINT 1: IRD recent post did say this
…”I’m wondering if the entire ‘Kabuki Theatre’ production is being staged to torpedo the price of gold derivatives and thereby help the bullion banks cover a large portion of their unallocated gold liabilities (gold derivatives) ahead of the implementation of the Net Stability Funding Ratio provision of Basel 3.”…
POINT 2: Gold & Silver Smashed On False Narratives, Fed’s Balance Sheet Up By $112 Billion In Only A Week!
The video highlights seasonal patterns and some fixed period cycles of interest.
Chart in Video
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Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
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Investing Quote…
..”Successful tape reading is a study of force. It requires the ability to judge which side has the greatest of pulling power and one must have the courage to go with that side”..
Richard D Wyckoff
..“If a speculator is correct half of the time, he is hitting a good average. Even being right 3 or 4 times out of 10 should yield a person a fortune if he has the sense to cut his losses quickly on the ventures where he is wrong.”..
Bernard Baruch
..”Stock market bubbles don’t grow out of thin air. They have a solid basis in reality, but reality as distorted by a misconception”..
George Soros
..“Successful speculation requires staying on top of changes in industries and companies that either create new industries or improve on existing industries. The majority of your profits will come from these two … The shrewdest traders throughout history all adapted the skill of reactionary change, as the market constantly presents new and different opportunities.”..
Bernard Baruch
My experience has been that in successful businesses and fund management companies, which performed well over the long-term, some courageous decisions were taken. Courageous fund managers reduce their positions when markets become frothy and accumulate equities when economic and social conditions are dire. They avoid the most popular sectors, which are therefore over-valued, and invest in neglected sectors because being neglected by investors they are by definition inexpensive. The point is that it is very hard and that it takes a lot of courage for a fund manager to avoid the most popular sectors and stocks and to invest in unloved assets. Finally, every investor understands the principle ‘buy low and sell high’, but when prices are low nobody wants to buy.
Marc Faber
