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  1. phil

    Wow, big finish in the indexes:

       





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Phil's Favorites

Where Are We in the Cycle?

 

Where Are We in the Cycle?

Courtesy of 

Where are we in the cycle? It’s a hard question to answer. Inflation is high but interest rates are low. The stock market is getting crushed but the economy is okay. When you put everything together, some pieces of the puzzle seem very out of place.

Ben and I went on Derek Thompson’s Plain English podcast to discuss all of this.

I’ll give you the bad news first. It’s over.

Over the last decade, the defining feature in financial markets has been easy money. Investors were willing to subsidize money-losing companies as long ...



more from Ilene

Zero Hedge

Stocks Surge, Bonds Purge As FedSpeak Offers Nothing New

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

A beat for retail sales and industrial production (both in nominal dollars, don't forget) but a gut-wrenching miss for homebuilder sentiment (not in nominally inflated dollars) set the scene for another hyperactive day in the markets but it was FedSpeak that dominated as various talking heads "spoke much but said little":

0845ET BULLARD: MUST MONITOR IMPACT OF GLOBAL QUANTITATIVE TIGHTENING, US WILL BE RESERVE CURRENCY 'FOR A LONG TIME TO COME'

1300ET KASHKARI: LOT OF CONFIDENCE THAT CENTRAL BANKS CAN LOWER DEMAND, DON'T KNOW YET IF FED ACTION WILL TRIGGE...



more from Tyler

ValueWalk

Home Depot Beats Quarterly Earnings Expectations Amid Housing Boom

By Cristian Bustos. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Home Depot Inc (NYSE:HD) posted better-than-expected earnings for the first quarter, depicting a solid housing market in the U.S. As results showcase the best quarterly sales on record, the retailer is now raising its outlook for the full year in terms of both sales and earnings per share.

Successful Quarter

As reported by CNBC, the company posted earnings per share of $4.09 against expectations of $3.68. In terms of revenue, Home Depot accrued $38.91 billion versus an estimate of $36.72 billion.

...



more from ValueWalk

Digital Currencies

Stablecoin volatility shows an urgent need for regulation to protect consumers

 

Stablecoin volatility shows an urgent need for regulation to protect consumers

Shutterstock/David Sandron

Courtesy of Matthew Shillito, University of Liverpool

Some cryptocurrencies have always been fairly volatile, with values soaring or plunging within a short space of time. So for the more cautious investor, “stablecoins” were considered the sensible place to go. As the name implies, they are designed to be a steadier and safer bet.

At the moment though, that stability is proving hard to find. The value of o...



more from Bitcoin

Chart School

Powell doing a Volker to crush inflation, yeah right!

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

In 1979, Volker was equal to Goliath as he had a good chance of crushing inflation, today the debt Goliath is massive.

In the video below David Rosenberg explains the FED is on a 'Volker' mission to crush inflation no matter what happens to risk on assets like stocks.

David Rosenberg thinking is challenged when ask about the current US debt levels, as Paul Volker did say that he could not have crushed inflation with the debt levels of today.  David Rosenberg simply says the FED is going to hike no matter what, until something very serious breaks.

The question remains will something break in the markets after 1%, 1.5% or 2% hikes. No one knows. But as the US debt to GDP% is over 120% this suggests s...



more from Chart School

Kimble Charting Solutions

Microstrategy Stock Crash Gets Crypto Bulls Attention, Key Support Test In Play!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Microstrategy is a tech company selling its enterprise software solutions and analytics (platform)… but it is better known for something else…

It’s CEO Michael Saylor is a bitcoin whale. And he has been investing significant amounts of the companies reserves in Bitcoin. He even secured a term loan using bitcoin as collateral.

So Microstrategy is a bitcoin play as much as anything else. Well, bitcoin and the cryptocurrency space has been hit hard of late, with Bitcoin falling under $30K and other crypto coins tanking.

This is also illustrated through today’s “monthly” chart of ...



more from Kimble C.S.

Biotech/COVID-19

China's COVID crisis and the dilemma facing its leaders, by experts who have monitored it since the Wuhan outbreak

 

China’s COVID crisis and the dilemma facing its leaders, by experts who have monitored it since the Wuhan outbreak

A Shanghai refuse worker shows the strain of the month-long COVID lockdown. Shutterstock

Courtesy of Jane Duckett, University of Glasgow; Meixuan Chen, University of Glasgow, and William Wang, ...



more from Biotech/COVID-19

Politics

5 justices, all confirmed by senators representing a minority of voters, appear willing to overturn Roe v. Wade

 

5 justices, all confirmed by senators representing a minority of voters, appear willing to overturn Roe v. Wade

An unscalable fence around the U.S. Supreme Court, on May 7, 2022, set up in response to protests against the possible overruling of Roe v. Wade. Jose Luis Magana / AFP/Getty Images

Courtesy of Kevin J. McMahon, Trinity College

If the leaked Supreme Court decision on abortion is to be believed, five justices have ...



more from Politics

Promotions

Phil's Interview on Options Trading with TD Bank

TD Bank's host Bryan Rogers interviewed Phil on June 10 as part of TD's Options Education Month. If you missed the program, be sure to watch the video below. It should be required viewing for anyone trading or thinking about trading using options. 

Watch here:

TD's webinar with Phil (link) or right here at PSW

Screenshots of TD's slides illustrating Phil's examples:

 

 

&n...



more from Promotions

Mapping The Market

Suez Canal: Critical Waterway Comes to a Halt

 

Suez Canal: Critical Waterway Comes to a Halt

Courtesy of Marcus Lu, Visual Capitalist

The Suez Canal: A Critical Waterway Comes to a Halt

On March 23, 2021, a massive ship named Ever Given became lodged in the Suez Canal, completely blocking traffic in both directions. According to the Suez Canal Authority, the 1,312 foot long (400 m) container ship ran aground during a sandstorm that caused low visibility, impacting the ship’s navigation. The vessel is owned by Taiwanese shipping firm, Evergreen Marine.

With over 2...



more from M.T.M.

The Technical Traders

Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling System Suggests Market Peak May Be Near

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is suggesting a moderate price peak may be already setting up in the NASDAQ while the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Transportation Index continue to rally beyond the projected Fibonacci Price Expansion Levels.  This indicates that capital may be shifting away from the already lofty Technology sector and into Basic Materials, Financials, Energy, Consumer Staples, Utilities, as well as other sectors.

This type of a structural market shift indicates a move away from speculation and towards Blue Chip returns. It suggests traders and investors are expecting the US consumer to come back strong (or at least hold up the market at...



more from Tech. Traders

Lee's Free Thinking

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia - The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

 

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia – The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

Courtesy of Lee Adler, WallStreetExaminer 

The numbers of new cases in some of the hardest hit COVID19 states have started to plateau, or even decline, over the past few days. A few pundits have noted it and concluded that it was a hopeful sign. 

Is it real or is something else going on? Like a restriction in the numbers of tests, or simply the inability to test enough, or are some people simply giving up on getting tested? Because as we all know from our dear leader, the less testing, the less...



more from Lee

Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
...

http://www.insidercow.com/ more from Insider





About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.