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Friday, January 27, 2023

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US Leading Economic Indicators Plunge Most ‘Since Lehman’

The Conference Board’s Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) suffered a significantly worse than expected drop in November, tumbling 1.0% MoM (vs -0.5% exp).

  • The biggest positive contributor to the leading index was stock prices at 0.21

  • The biggest negative contributor was building permits at -0.37

Despite this morning’s GDP beat, the LEI is showing no signs at all of ‘recovering’…

And on a year-over-year basis, the LEI is down 4.42% – its biggest YoY drop since 2008 (Lehman) outside of the COVID lockdown-enforced collapse…

Judging by this, the tightening policies of The Fed are having a ‘lagged’ effect.

This post was originally published on this site

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