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Tuesday, March 21, 2023

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Chicago PMI Suffers Longest ‘Contraction’ Streak Since Lehman

After a surprisingly strong rebound in December, Chicago PMI fell back in January to 44.3 (below expectations of 45.0), below ’50’ for the 5th straight month…

Source: Bloomberg

That is the longest streak of prints in ‘contraction’ since the Great Financial Crisis.

Under the hood, the business barometer fell at a faster pace; signaling contraction

  • Prices paid rose at a faster pace; signaling expansion

  • New orders fell at a faster pace; signaling contraction

  • Employment fell at a faster pace; signaling contraction

  • Inventories fell at a faster pace; signaling contraction

  • Supplier deliveries rose at a faster pace; signaling expansion

  • Production fell at a slower pace; signaling contraction

  • Order backlogs fell and the direction reversed; signaling contraction

  • Number of components rising vs last month: 3

This continues a trend of ‘soft’ survey data disappointing notably.

This post was originally published on this site

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