Archive for the ‘High Mailing Priority’ Category

The PhilStockWorld.com Weekly Trading Webinar – 05-22-19

 

For LIVE access on Wednesday afternoons, join us at Phil's Stock World – click here.

 

Major Topics

  • 00:00:11 – Checking on the Markets
  • 00:01:21 – Politics
  • 00:08:05 – Cont. Checking on the Markets
  • 00:09:50 – Tuesday Post Comments
  • 00:12:05 – Inventory Report
  • 00:13:46 – Oil Report
  • 00:16:17 – Gasoline RBOB
  • 00:32:10 – FOMC Minutes
  • 00:41:42 – Trade Techniques
  • 00:46:34 – LB & Retailers
  • 00:59:10 – Portfolio Review
  • 01:00:05 – Market Recap
  • 01:01:27 – SPY
  • 01:04:59 – Coppper
  • 01:16:17 – Market Summary

Phil's Weekly Trading Webinars provide a great opportunity to learn what we do at PSW. Subscribe to our YouTube channel and view past webinars here. For LIVE access to PSW's Weekly Webinars – demonstrating trading strategies in real time – click here to join us at PSW!





Trump Wants To Sell Public Power Agencies To Wall Street

 

Trump Wants To Sell Public Power Agencies To Wall Street

Move Will Hand Over New Deal-Era Giants TVA and Bonneville Power; Much Higher Electricity Costs for the Public and Businesses

Courtesy of David Cay Johnston, DCReport 

People and businesses would pay much higher electricity prices under revived Trump administration plans to sell nonprofit electricity grids owned by taxpayers, killing one of the most enduring and beneficial policies of the New Deal.

Last year the Trump administration said it had abandoned plans to sell these taxpayer assets, built up during the Great Depression and fostering economic growth ever since.

But now the mercurial president is itching to sell Bonneville Power Administration in the Pacific Northwest, the Tennessee Valley Authority, the Southwestern Power Administration and Western Area Power Administration. The plan is at Page 38 of the latest Trump budget.

Raising electricity prices has been a consistent Trump administration policy.

These valuable taxpayer-owned assets would be sold at deep discounts to their net worth, essentially another Trump scheme to transfer wealth from millions of taxpayers to a relatively few and already rich Wall Street investors.

Energy consultant Robert McCullough

BPA transmission charges after a sale would rise by at least 24%, utility economist Robert McCullough calculated for DCReport.

TVA would experience a whopping 41.3% increase in transmission costs. Its annual rate of return on assets would more than triple under private ownership to almost 11%.

McCullough is a cheerful Oregon utility economist. He has a long track record of exposing utility industry cost estimates as low-ball fantasies designed to trick regulators and customers. He was formerly the chief economist for Portland General Electric, a for-profit Oregon monopoly.

BPA’s rate of return is 3.71% annually, while a Warren Buffet-controlled electric utility in Oregon, PacifiCorp, requires a return twice that high at 7.41% annually.

“A privatized BPA transmission system would be above 10%” on its required rate of return once corporate income taxes are factored in, McCullough calculated.

Three Times the Costs

TVA reports reveal its rate of return is


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The PhilStockWorld.com Weekly Webinar – 05-15-19

For LIVE access on Wednesday afternoons, join us at Phil's Stock World – click here.

Major Topics:

00:01:54 Trade Charts
00:05:32 Checking on the Markets
00:09:48 BA
00:27:55 MT
00:39:50 M
00:42:06 Trade Ideas
00:48:00 Seeking Alpha Market News
00:52:35 Active Trader
00:56:24 TZA
01:08:40 COMPQ
01:14:42 Long Term Portfolio
01:18:54 LB

Phil's Weekly Trading Webinars provide a great opportunity to learn what we do at PSW. Subscribe to our YouTube channel and view past webinars here. For LIVE access to PSW's Weekly Webinars – demonstrating trading strategies in real time – click here to join us at PSW!





The PhilStockWorld.com Weekly Trading Webinar – 05-08-19

 

For LIVE access on Wednesday afternoons, join us at Phil's Stock World – click here.

 

Major Topics:

00:01:30 – Checking on the Markets
00:02:32 – Trade Talks
00:08:40 – $DJSH
00:10:23 – $SPX
00:12:07 – Trade Techniques
00:15:41 – Natural Gas
00:20:21 – April Portfolio Review
00:21:18 – LTP
00:26:11 – STP
00:32:56 – Butterfly Portfolio
00:33:39 – Money Talk Portfolio
00:35:01 – OOP
00:37:31 – UNG & DNS Trade
00:45:07 – Silver
00:49:03 – Gasoline RBOB
00:49:22 – Natural Gas
00:49:50 – Coffee
01:00:27 – Petroleum Status Report
01:12:10 – Oil Reserves by Country (Chart)
01:23:38 – More Trade Techniques
01:25:13 – Market News
01:28:23 – MSG
01:33:44 – NYSE
01:38:13 – WEN
 

Phil's Weekly Trading Webinars provide a great opportunity to learn what we do at PSW. Subscribe to our YouTube channel and view past webinars here. For LIVE access to PSW's Weekly Webinars – demonstrating trading strategies in real time – click here to join us at PSW!





The PhilStockWorld.com Weekly Webinar – 05-01-19

For LIVE access on Wednesday afternoons, join us at Phil's Stock World – click here.

Major Topics:

00:01:56 Money Talk Portfolio Review
00:03:54 April Portfolio Review
00:05:30 S&P 500
00:12:48 Nasdaq 8,000 Edition
00:15:30 AAPL
00:17:55 FB
00:19:59 CSCO
00:22:26 PEP
00:34:33 S&P 500
00:39:50 Long Term Portfolio
00:40:51 DIS
00:54:16 Portfolio Review
00:57:47 Checking on the Markets
00:58:52 FOMC Statement
01:03:40 Personal Income and Consumer Spending
01:19:49 SPX
01:26:37 FTR
01:31:02 More Trade Ideas

Phil's Weekly Trading Webinars provide a great opportunity to learn what we do at PSW. Subscribe to our YouTube channel and view past webinars here. For LIVE access to PSW's Weekly Webinars – demonstrating trading strategies in real time – click here to join us at PSW!





Chart of Real Business Investment Has a Shocking Divergence

 

Chart of Real Business Investment Has a Shocking Divergence

Courtesy of , Wall Street Examiner

The chart of real business investment has always followed the stock market. From 1993 to 2012 real business investment tracked stock prices almost perfectly. That makes sense because corporate decision makers take their investment cues from stock prices. 

They say that correlation does not prove causation. What has happened since 2012 demonstrates that, because the correlation has broken down since then.

That breakdown also disproves the Trickle Down dogma of the economic priesthood. Economism dogma said that rising stock prices lift business investment. That was the religious gibberish that Pope Bernanke used in 2010 as the excuse for restarting QE. He turned emergency QE into QE infinity based on that single false premise. 

But the premise was BS. Just look at what has happened since 2012.

Chart of Real Business Investment

I developed this chart of real business investment by combining commercial and industrial construction with non-defense capital goods orders. I use the PPI for durable goods as the deflator.

But what about before stripping out inflation? You have probably seen the charts where inflation makes it seem that business investment is growing. They look like this one. Look Ma! New Highs! Maybe a lot slower than in the past, but new highs, nevertheless. No problem, right?

Total Nominal Business Investment Chart

The Chart of Real Business Investment Has Been Dead In the Water

Yes. Problem. Ex-ing out inflation, we see that the unit volume of real business investment has barely grown at all since 2012. It even fell slightly from February 2018 to February 2019. The old stock market magic hasn’t worked since 2012, when QE was just becoming a way of life for the high priesthood of central banking and Economism.

But economists don’t give a crap about facts and reality. They only care about their insane mythology. They could have


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The PhilStockWorld.com Weekly Trading Webinar – 04-24-19

For LIVE access on Wednesday afternoons, join us at Phil's Stock World – click here.

 

Major Topics

00:04:59 – Money Talk Portfolio
00:33:34 – IBM
00:44:56 – LB
00:51:42 – MJ ETF
00:57:17 – Top 10 NASDAQ 1999
01:00:31 – TSLA
01:08:55 – MU
01:09:03 – WPM
01:12:53 – UNG | Natural Gas
01:21:17 – CLNY
01:24:18 – Petroleum Status Report
01:28:53 – Manufacturing Jobs | Oils | Iran
01:31:32 – IPO on Beef
01:34:50 – Disney
 

Phil's Weekly Trading Webinars provide a great opportunity to learn what we do at PSW. Subscribe to our YouTube channel and view past webinars here. For LIVE access to PSW's Weekly Webinars – demonstrating trading strategies in real time – click here to join us at PSW!





The PhilStockWorld.com Money Talk Portfolio Review – Apr 24, 2019

I'll be on BNN's (Bloomberg Canada) Money Talk tonight at 7pm.

As usual, we will be reviewing our Money Talk Portfolio, which we initiated back on Sept 6th, 2017 to track the trade ideas we would introduce, live on the show, about once each quarter.  The idea of the portfolio was to select highly leveraged, high-probability trades that did not have to be adjusted very often (or at all) and, so far, it's been a tremendous success with our initial $50,000 turning into a lovely $127,663 (up 155.3%) at yesterday's close, about 18 months after we got started.

We recently reviewed the MTP back on Feb 15th and, at the time, the portfolio was at $88,922 with, of course, the exact same positions – as I hadn't been on the show since Jan.  We did send out an alert (our first ever) to dump GE shortly after that – those alerts go out free of charge on Twitter, Facebook, Seeking Alpha, etc to make sure they were available to all so make sure you follow those feeds.    Note that, for each position, we clearly define our expectations and, overall, we expected our positions to make another $76,638 at the time but we've already made another $38,741 (43%) – which is way too fast – so we have to be careful that some of our positions are overbought already.  

That's right as FUNDAMENTAL VALUE INVESTORS we believe that stocks – even the ones we like – can be too expensive, as well as too cheap.  When they are too cheap, we buy them – when they are too expensive, we sell them.  It sounds logical but how many traders actually do it when the time comes?  

Now, let's take a fresh look at what we have:

  • Alaska Airlines (ALK) – Just a short put that nets us in for $51.80.  We're not worried about it.  Expect to gain the full $4,100 so $2,650 left to gain.
  • Nasdaq Ultra-Short ETF (SQQQ) - A hedge we expect to lose on and so far, so good as we're down about $4,000 with just $450 in value left.  Still, we do need


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The new digital divide is between people who opt out of algorithms and people who don’t

 

The new digital divide is between people who opt out of algorithms and people who don't

File 20190409 2914 1j91hez.jpg?ixlib=rb 1.1

Do you know what happens when you share your data? mtkang/shutterstock.com

Courtesy of Anjana Susarla, Michigan State University

Every aspect of life can be guided by artificial intelligence algorithms – from choosing what route to take for your morning commute, to deciding whom to take on a date, to complex legal and judicial matters such as predictive policing.

Big tech companies like Google and Facebook use AI to obtain insights on their gargantuan trove of detailed customer data. This allows them monetize users’ collective preferences through practices such as micro-targeting, a strategy used by advertisers to narrowly target specific sets of users.

In parallel, many people now trust platforms and algorithms more than their own governments and civic society. An October 2018 study suggested that people demonstrate “algorithm appreciation,” to the extent that they would rely on advice more when they think it is from an algorithm than from a human.

In the past, technology experts have worried about a “digital divide” between those who could access computers and the internet and those who could not. Households with less access to digital technologies are at a disadvantage in their ability to earn money and accumulate skills.

But, as digital devices proliferate, the divide is no longer just about access. How do people deal with information overload and the plethora of algorithmic decisions that permeate every aspect of their lives?

The savvier users are navigating away from devices and becoming aware about how algorithms affect their lives. Meanwhile, consumers who have less information are relying even more on algorithms to guide their decisions.

Should you stay connected – or unplug? pryzmat/shutterstock.com

The secret sauce behind artificial intelligence

The main reason for the new digital divide, in my opinion as someone who studies information systems, is that so few people understand how algorithms work. For a majority of users, algorithms are seen as a black box.

AI algorithms take in data, fit…
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The PhilStockWorld.com Weekly Webinar – 04-17-19

For LIVE access on Wednesday afternoons, join us at Phil's Stock World – click here.

Major Topics:

00:00:59 Checking on the Markets
00:02:05 Natural Gas
00:04:15 Petroleum Status Report
00:09:16 AAPL
00:12:35 FB, GOOGL, INTC
00:17:47 CSCO, CMCSA
00:23:00 PEP
00:28:40 NMM
00:33:57 Levels 4/16/2019
00:36:19 News
00:40:13 SQQQ
00:43:16 COMPQ
00:49:01 Long Term Portfolio
01:01:07 Portfolios
01:07:36 Checking on the Markets
01:10:07 Trade Ideas

Phil's Weekly Trading Webinars provide a great opportunity to learn what we do at PSW. Subscribe to our YouTube channel and view past webinars here. For LIVE access to PSW's Weekly Webinars – demonstrating trading strategies in real time – click here to join us at PSW!





 
 
 

Phil's Favorites

Behold, the power of compounding! And fall to your knees in the presence of its invincibility!

 

Behold, the power of compounding! And fall to your knees in the presence of its invincibility!

Okay, this one was really fun to make. I hope you like it. Make sure to let my bosses at CNBC know and maybe they’ll let me make more of these!

Reply to this tweet:

Here it is – the world premiere of my new video:

How to Double Your Money in the Market

Hope you love it! https://t.co/yqRDtS32O5...



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Zero Hedge

Latest China Tariffs Will Cost American Households $831 Per Year, Fed Says

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

It's tempting to believe President Trump's insistence that Chinese companies will bear the costs of US tariffs, but as a chorus of emergent trade experts have pointed out, this simply isn't true.

American consumers will bear at least some of the costs of the new tariffs, though the extent will depend on how companies react to the new taxes (that is, whether they will pass it on to consumers, tolerate the gross margin hit, or decide to rejigger their supply chains).

...



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Insider Scoop

Jefferies Sees 60-Percent Upside In Aphria Shares, Says Buy The Dip

Courtesy of Benzinga.

After a red-hot start to 2019, Canadian cannabis producer Aphria Inc (NYSE: APHA) has run out of steam, tumbling more than 31 percent in the past three months.

Despite the recent weakness, one Wall Street analyst said Friday that the stock has 30-percent upside potential. 

The Analyst

Jefferies analyst ...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

DAX (Germany) About To Send A Bearish Message To The S&P 500?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Is the DAX index from Germany about to send a bearish message to stocks in Europe and the States? Sure could!

This chart looks at the DAX over the past 9-years. It’s spent the majority of the past 8-years inside of rising channel (1), creating a series of higher lows and higher highs.

It looks to have created a “Double Top” as it was kissing the underside of the rising channel last year at (2).

After creating the potential double top, the DAX index has continued to create a series of lower highs, while experiencing a bearish divergence with the S...



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Chart School

Brexit Joke - Cant be serious all the time

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

Alistair Williams comedian nails it, thank god for good humour! Prime Minister May the negotiator. Not!


Alistair Williams Comedian youtube

This is a classic! ha!







Fundamentals are important, and so is market timing, here at readtheticker.com we believe a combination of Gann Angles, ...

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Digital Currencies

Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream - the battle is on to bring them under global control

 

Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream – the battle is on to bring them under global control

The high seas are getting lower. dianemeise

Courtesy of Iwa Salami, University of East London

The 21st-century revolutionaries who have dominated cryptocurrencies are having to move over. Mainstream financial institutions are adopting these assets and the blockchain technology that enables them, in what ...



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Biotech

DNA as you've never seen it before, thanks to a new nanotechnology imaging method

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

DNA as you've never seen it before, thanks to a new nanotechnology imaging method

A map of DNA with the double helix colored blue, the landmarks in green, and the start points for copying the molecule in red. David Gilbert/Kyle Klein, CC BY-ND

Courtesy of David M. Gilbert, Florida State University

...



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ValueWalk

More Examples Of "Typical Tesla "wise-guy scamminess"

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Stanphyl Capital’s letter to investors for the month of March 2019.

rawpixel / Pixabay

Friends and Fellow Investors:

For March 2019 the fund was up approximately 5.5% net of all fees and expenses. By way of comparison, the S&P 500 was up approximately 1.9% while the Russell 2000 was down approximately 2.1%. Year-to-date 2019 the fund is up approximately 12.8% while the S&P 500 is up approximately 13.6% and the ...



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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...



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Mapping The Market

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

A good start from :

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

Excerpt:

The threat to America is this: we have abandoned our core philosophy. Our first principle of this nation as a meritocracy, a free-market economy, where competition drives economic decision-making. In its place, we have allowed a malignancy to fester, a virulent pus-filled bastardized form of economics so corrosive in nature, so dangerously pestilent, that it presents an extinction-level threat to America – both the actual nation and the “idea” of America.

This all-encompassing mutant corruption saps men’s souls, crushes opportunities, and destroys economic mobility. Its a Smash & Grab system of ill-gotten re...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union

...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

Market Shadows >>