Archive for the ‘High Mailing Priority’ Category

The PhilStockWorld.com Weekly Webinar – 05-16-18

 

The PhilStockWorld.com Weekly Webinar – 05-16-18

For LIVE access on Wednesday afternoons, join us at Phil's Stock World – click here

 

Major Topics:

00:04:21 – Petroleum Status Report
00:15:55 – SCO
00:18:00 – Oil & Gasoline Trade Ideas
00:25:50 – Silver & USD
00:35:36 – More Trade Ideas
00:36:22 – KCU8 / Coffee
00:47:11 – TZA
00:52:00 – OPK
00:53:44 – Money Talk Portfolio
00:56:00 – OOP (LB)
01:03:25 – LTP
01:19:43 – OOP Review
01:28:55 – Trade Reviews
01:38:32 – Butterfly Portolio
01:39:11 – LTP Summary
01:39:21 – Money Talk Summary
01:39:26 – OOP Summary
01:39:33 – STP Summary

Phil's Weekly Trading Webinars provide a great opportunity to learn what we do at PSW. Subscribe to our YouTube channel and view past webinars, here. For LIVE access to PSW's Weekly Webinars – demonstrating trading strategies in real time – join us at PSW — click here!





Three Things I Think I Think – Marx, Value Stocks & Bitcoin

 

Three Things I Think I Think – Marx, Value Stocks & Bitcoin

Courtesy of Cullen Roche, Pragmatic Capitalism

Here are some things I think I am thinking about:

1) Time to buy value stocks? Value stocks have done very badly for a long time when compared to growth stocks. So we’re starting to hear more and more contrarians argue that value stocks are much more attractive.

I always find this idea interesting. You see, what financial salesman did was create all of these brands within the stock market. Things like “growth” stock or “value” stock or whatever. Then they supported that brand with some evidence. Then they told you it would beat the market, slopped it into a strategy and then slapped a high fee on it and people bought it. Sometimes it works great, but mostly it doesn’t work so great.

The problem is, these sorts of strategies don’t always work out and can often fail for very long times before working out. And the reason for this is that no one really knows what a “value” or “growth” stock is before they buy it. Yeah, we have some vague definition like certain price ratios or whatever, but there isn’t a CEO in the world who would brand their firm the way Wall Street product salesman do. In other words, Mark Zuckerberg doesn’t think Facebook is a bad value or a growth stock. I’m certain that he thinks Facebook is a growth AND value stock. That’s how entrepreneurs think. Their firm is always a great value because they are working their butts off to make it more valuable. Sometimes the market reflects that a high growth stock is going to grow very fast. Sometimes the market reflects that a “value” stock is not going to grow fast. And sometimes the market gets this fantastically wrong. The point is, we never really know what these ratios are telling us about the future performance of the particular companies because predicting the future performance of individual firms is really damn hard.

As I often say, asset picking is the new stock picking. And this is how we’re pretending to be able to “beat the market” now – by pretending to know which stocks will reflect these big broad asset brands that we now call them. So I


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The PhilStockWorld.com Weekly Webinar – 05-09-18

 

The PhilStockWorld.com Weekly Webinar – 05-09-18

For LIVE access on Wednesday afternoons, join us at Phil's Stock World – click here

Major Topics:

00:01:54 Petroleum Status Report
00:04:25 Checking on the Markets
00:06:38 Petroleum Status Report
00:10:24 Active Trader
00:16:58 CL Trade Ideas
00:22:36 HMNY
00:32:38 TWTR
00:42:23 Long Term Portfolio
00:48:00 Options Opportunity Portfolio
00:49:03 Butterfly Portfolio
00:50:20 Money Talk Portfolio
00:50:40 Short Term Portfolio
00:51:47 Active Trader
00:54:15 CHK
01:01:46 Trade Ideas
01:06:02 BBBY
01:13:12 PG
01:30:29 D
01:35:31 Active Trader
01:40:12 Checking on the Markets
01:44:39 OOP
01:51:58 More Trade Ideas

Phil's Weekly Trading Webinars provide a great opportunity to learn what we do at PSW. Subscribe to our YouTube channel and view past webinars, here. For LIVE access to PSW's Weekly Webinars – demonstrating trading strategies in real time – join us at PSW — click here!

 





Why the Masses Missed the 10-Year Bull Market

 

Why the Masses Missed the 10-Year Bull Market

Courtesy of Wade Slome, Investing Caffeine 

 

The investing masses generally are notoriously short-termed focused. Although the overall stock market notched another gain this month, stock values are still down roughly -8% from the January peak, which has caused some investor angst. Despite this nervousness, stock prices have quadrupled and the bull market has entered its 10th year after the March 2009 low (S&P 500: 666). Given this remarkable accomplishment, we can now look back and ask, “Did investors take advantage of this massive advance?” The short answer is “No.” For the most part, the fearful masses missed the decade-long, U.S. bull market. We know this dynamic to be true because data regarding stock ownership has gone down significantly, and hundreds of billions of dollars have been pulled from U.S. equity funds over the duration. For instance, Gallup, the survey and analytics company, annually polls the average percentage of Americans who own stocks and they found ownership has dropped from 62% of Americans in 2008 to 54% in 2017 (see chart below).

 

 

Much of the negativity that has dominated investor behavior over the last decade can be explained by important behavioral biases. As I describe in Controlling the Investment Lizard Brain, evolution created an almond-sized tissue in the prefrontal cortex of the brain (amygdala), which controls reasoning. Originally, the amygdala triggered the instinctual survival flight response for lizards to avoid hungry hawks and humans to flee ferocious lions. In today’s modern society, the probability of getting eaten by a lion is infinitesimal, so rather than fretting over a potential lion slaughtering, humans now worry about their finances getting eaten by financial crises, Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, and/or geopolitical risks.

Even with the spectacular +300% appreciation in stock values from early 2009, academic research can help us understand how pessimism can outweigh optimism, even in the…
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The PhilStockWorld Weekly Webinar – 05-02-18

 

The PhilStockWorld Weekly Webinar – 05-02-18

For LIVE access on Wednesday afternoons, join us at Phil's Stock World – click here

 

Major Topics:

00:01:39 – Latest Market Updates
00:08:06 – AAPL
00:14:51 – APPL & QCOM
00:30:07 – THC
00:34:30 – The Maven
00:35:29 – TAP
00:39:27 – FNSR & APPL
00:45:50 – Top Trades
00:49:18 – FOMC
00:59:00 – Trade Ideas
01:02:00 – FOMC
01:05:45 – Russel | S&P 500
01:06:42 – UYM
01:08:19 – HOV
01:15:00 – FOMC on CNBC
01:19:50 – OOP
01:20:14 – Butterfly Portfolio
01:21:46 – Money Talk Portfolio
01:22:12 – LTP
01:22:34 – STP
01:31:07 – GIS
01:39:20 – TSLA | AAPL | Forbes
01:49:15 – LTP Review & Trading Tips
01:59:30 – Petroleum Status Report

Phil's Weekly Trading Webinars provide a great opportunity to learn what we do at PSW. Subscribe to our YouTube channel and view past webinars, here. For LIVE access to PSW's Weekly Webinars – demonstrating trading strategies in real time – join us at PSW — click here!





15 Charts that Disturb Us about American ‘Capitalism’

 

15 Charts that Disturb Us about American ‘Capitalism’

Courtesy of The Myth of Captialism

Capitalism is the greatest system ever to lift people out of poverty and create wealth, but the “capitalism” we see today in the United States is a far cry from competitive markets. What people see today is a grotesque, deformed version of capitalism. The distorted representation we see is as far away from the real thing as Disney’s Pirates of the Caribbean are from real pirates.

Central to capitalism is choice, freedom, and opportunity to compete.  However, true consumer choice is an illusion in today’s economy. 

A few massive firms dominate their respective industries in monopolies and oligopolies.  Economists call this industrial concentration, and it’s reminiscent of the age of robber barons under J.P. Morgan, Carnegie, Rockefeller, Gould, and Duke.  As industries become highly concentrated in the hands of very few players, it threatens competition, increases inequality, and chokes economic growth. Economic power and political power becomes entrenched in the hands of a few players, squeezing out competitors.

American capitalism is now comprised of monopolies, duopolies, and oligopolies. We’ve compiled a list of charts that help paint a picture of today’s reality.  (Believe it or not, since we collected these charts, many new mergers have been announced.  It is impossible to keep pace with companies gobbling each other up.)

1.    Fewer and fewer businesses are starting in the US

Despite illusions of ‘disruptors’ changing industries like ride-sharing and social media, in reality business dynamism (the number of entrepreneurs starting new businesses) is very low in the US.

 

2.   More large firms dominate industries

This chart shows the percent of industries controlled by the top 4 firms. From beer to glass to tires – Americans have little choice when purchasing their products.

 

3.   Decline of Competition

Firms do not even talk about competition


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The PhilStockWorld Weekly Webinar – 04-26-18

 

The PhilStockWorld Weekly Webinar – 04-26-18

For LIVE access on Wednesday afternoons, join us at Phil's Stock World – click here

Major Topics

00:01:43 Latest Market Updates
00:04:28 VLO | XOM | CVX
00:11:09 XOM Expectations & Trade Ideas
00:18:37 MO
00:25:55 LTP
00:39:55 PG
00:49:15 SQQQ
00:52:23 Trade Ideas
00:55:22 LB
01:00:05 SKT
01:04:52 Futures
01:29:59 Watchlist Update
01:35:03 Top Trade Alerts
 
Phil's Weekly Trading Webinars provide a great opportunity to learn what we do at PSW. Subscribe to our YouTube channel and view past webinars, here. For LIVE access to PSW's Weekly Webinars – demonstrating trading strategies in real time – join us at PSW — click here!




Why marijuana fans should not see approval for epilepsy drug as a win for weed

Reminder: Pharmboy and Ilene are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Why marijuana fans should not see approval for epilepsy drug as a win for weed

File 20180419 163978 wu7va8.jpg?ixlib=rb 1.1

Small vials of CBD, which some believe could be a cure for many ailments. Roxana Gonzalez/Shutterstock.com

Courtesy of Timothy Welty, Drake University

A Food and Drug Administration panel recommended approval of a drug made of cannabidiol on April 19 to treat two types of epilepsy. The FDA is expected to decide in June whether to accept the panel’s 13-0 recommendation to approve Epidiolex, which would would become the first drug made of cannabidiol, a compound in the cannabis plant, to gain approval from the FDA.

While the panel’s unanimous decision is not binding, the action will no doubt heighten public debate about the use of cannabidiol, medical marijuana, medical cannabis and hemp oil. Should cannabidiol, or CBD, or marijuana be legalized for medical purposes? What is the evidence that these products are beneficial? Are these products safe to use?

Those who support the use of marijuana for recreational or medicinal purposes might have found the timing of the panel’s ruling interesting. National Weed Day is April 20.

But weed is not cannabidiol, even though both come from cannabis.

As a professor of pharmacy with a special interest in epilepsy, I find it important that CBD may be a new option for the treatment of epilepsy. This new use has led me to carefully study published literature on CBD and discuss it as an option with patients who have epilepsy. Additionally, I have been involved with the American Epilepsy Society’s ongoing review of CBD as a possible treatment for epilepsy. From this perspective, I believe that CBD may offer benefits for patients with some types of epilepsy and possibly other disorders.

No high, but healing?

A cannabis leaf. The plant produces several compounds, one of which is CBD. Jiri Hawa/Shutterstock.com

The cannabis plant produces hundreds of different compounds, many of which have differing effects in the…
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Visualizing The Pension Time Bomb: $400 Trillion By 2050

 

The Pension Time Bomb: $400 Trillion by 2050

Courtesy of 

View the high resolution version of today’s graphic by clicking here.

Are governments making promises about pensions that they might not be able to keep?

According to an analysis by the World Economic Forum (WEF), there was a combined retirement savings gap in excess of $70 trillion in 2015, spread between eight major economies..

The WEF says the deficit is growing by $28 billion every 24 hours – and if nothing is done to slow the growth rate, the deficit will reach $400 trillion by 2050, or about five times the size of the global economy today.

The group of economies studied: Canada, Australia, Netherlands, Japan, India, China, the United Kingdom, and the United States.

MIND THE GAP

Today’s infographic comes to us from Raconteur, and it illuminates a growing problem attached to an aging population (and those that will be supporting it).

Since social security programs were initially developed, the circumstances around work and retirement have shifted considerably. Life expectancy has risen by three years per decade since the 1940s, and older people are having increasingly long life spans. With the retirement age hardly changing in most economies, this longevity means that people are spending longer not working without the savings to justify it.

This problem is amplified by the size of generations and fertility rates. The population of retirees globally is expected to grow from 1.5 billion to 2.1 billion between 2017-2050, while the number of workers for each retiree is expected to halve from eight to four over the same timeframe.

The WEF has made clear that the situation is not trivial, likening the scenario to “financial climate change”:

The anticipated increase in longevity and resulting ageing populations is the financial equivalent of climate change ~ Michael Drexler, Head of Financial and Infrastructure Systems, WEF

Like climate change,…
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The PhilStockWorld.com Weekly Webinar – 04-18-18

 

The PhilStockWorld.com Weekly Webinar – 04-18-18

For LIVE access on Wednesday afternoons, join us at Phil's Stock World – click here

Major Topics:

00:02:22 Latest Market Updates
00:04:59 Weekly Petroleum Status Report
00:11:53 NASDAQ
00:12:46 DOW
00:14:58 COFFEE SOFTS
00:20:08 MO & BOY
00:27:28 OOP
00:28:56 XLF
00:37:25 CTB
00:37:50 WFC
00:40:17 S&P FUTURES
00:48:27 LB
00:49:27 Long Term Portfolio Review
00:53:00 Offshore Oppotunity Portfolio
00:53:45 Butterfly Portfolio 
00:53:50 Money Talk Portfolio
00:54:07 Short Term Portfolio
00:54:58 NFLX
00:58:09 SQQQ
01:02:30 Top Trade Review
01:10:47 Short Term Porfolio Review
01:16:19 Butterfly Portfolio Review
01:23:04 Money Talk Portfolio
01:24:06 Options Opportunity Portfolio
01:24:46 Oil Trade Ideas
01:33:49 Cont. Options Opportunity Portfolio
01:40:00 Portfolio Strategies

Phil's Weekly Trading Webinars provide a great opportunity to learn what we do at PSW. Subscribe to our YouTube channel and view past webinars, here. For LIVE access to PSW's Weekly Webinars – demonstrating trading strategies in real time – join us at PSW — click here!





 
 
 

Zero Hedge

Iran's Supreme Leader Says Trump Will "Vanish From History" In Response To Pompeo's "12 Requirements"

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Iran's leadership heightened its rhetoric in response to Secretary of State Mike Pompeo's bellicose speech given at the Heritage Foundation in which he outlined 12 "basic requirements" issued to Iran in the wake of Trump's pulling the US from the 2015 nuclear deal.

Pompeo's list included demands that Iran withdraw from Syria, release all US citizens, stop enrichment of uranium, end support for anti-Saudi Houthi fighters in Yemen, and allow "unqua...



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Digital Currencies

How the US Government Could Effectively Use Crypto

The US government could start, or officially endorse an existing crytpo coin. What they would do is build a fee into the software protocol that went to a single address that they control. This is effectively a tax. The fee could be a transaction fee, a percentage of the next block award, or a combination of both. How this works is every single transaction that occurs everywhere wihtin the system, the fee scalped goes directly to this single address that is owned by the IRS, in this case, the "New-IRS." Forget postcards. We're down to a single dude in one office chair in front of one computer. Imagine that being the IRS, because that's where this is going. The consequences of this mechanism are dramatic. First off the IRS is now one guy. Granted, this guy controls the private key for the most valuable thing in the world. This key would be the single most important key right up there with the nuclear launch code, but the system would most definitely still work. More strikingly, the US...

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Phil's Favorites

New Animal Spirits: What it takes to be wealthy

 

New Animal Spirits: What it takes to be wealthy

Courtesy of 

Michael and Ben’s new episode of Animal Spirits is out today, and it’s awesome as usual. If this isn’t part of your weekly routine yet, I don’t even know what to tell you at this point. No one is covering more interesting topics and blowing up like this podcast is.

This week’s topics:

  • Are Jack Bogle and Vanguard actually underrated?
  • Why closet indexing will never die.
  • Why money is flowing out of growth funds even though they’ve outperformed. ...


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Insider Scoop

Benzinga's Daily Biotech Pulse: Insmed Presents Data, Pfenex Pulls Back On Offering, Oncolytics Listing

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related IBB Benzinga's Daily Biotech Pulse: Melinta, Ardelyx Pull Back On Offerings, Insys Awaits FDA Verdict ...

http://www.insidercow.com/ more from Insider

Chart School

Wide Market Cycle Review

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

Lets review some big market cycles, to see where cycle pressure is building or peaking.

Cycles are like long term trend lines and are great for the long term view, of course price action leads (Wyckoff Logic) before cycles.

Lets go ...

US 10 yr: Trending higher to 4% ... Ouch. Inflation moving from Wall Street to Main Street.

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.



The EURO looks to bottom (USD topping).

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.



SSEC looks forward to another pump up to save the SP...

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Biotech

Could this be the year for a Canadian Breakthrough Prize in Life Sciences?

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Could this be the year for a Canadian Breakthrough Prize in Life Sciences?

Courtesy of John Bergeron, McGill University

In 2013, Kyoto University’s Shinya Yamanaka was awarded one of the first Breakthrough Prizes in Life Sciences for his discovery of “induced” stem cells that enabled researchers to convert adult cells back into stem cells.

The Breakthrough Prize is not to be sneezed at. Founded in 2013, the prize “honours transformative advances toward understanding living systems and extending human life.” It’s also the most financially attractive aw...



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ValueWalk

Buffett At His Best

By csinvesting. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Bear with me as I share a bit of my history that helped me create SkyVu and the Battle Bears games. The University of Nebraska gave me my first job after college. I mostly pushed TV carts around, edited videos for professors or the occasional speaker event. One day, Warren Buffet came to campus to speak to the College of Business. I didn’t think much of this speech at the time but I saved it for some reason. 15 years later, as a founder of my own company, I watch and listen to this particular speech every year to remind myself of the fundamentals and values Mr. Buffett looks for. He’s addressing business students at his alma mater, so I think his style here is a bit more ‘close to home’ than in his other speeches. Hopefully many of you find great value in this video like I have. Sorry for the VHS...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

The Stock Bull Market Stops Here!

 

The Stock Bull Market Stops Here!

Courtesy of Kimble Charting

 

The definition of a bull market or bull trends widely vary. One of the more common criteria for bull markets is determined by the asset being above or below its 200 day moving average.

In my humble opinion, each index above remains in a bull trend, as triple support (200-day moving averages, 2-year rising support lines, and February lows) are still in play ...



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Members' Corner

Cambridge Analytica and the 2016 Election: What you need to know (updated)

 

"If you want to fundamentally reshape society, you first have to break it." ~ Christopher Wylie

[Interview: Cambridge Analytica whistleblower: 'We spent $1m harvesting millions of Facebook profiles' – video]

"You’ve probably heard by now that Cambridge Analytica, which is backed by the borderline-psychotic Mercer family and was formerly chaired by Steve Bannon, had a decisive role in manipulating voters on a one-by-one basis – using their own personal data to push them toward voting ...



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Mapping The Market

The tricks propagandists use to beat science

Via Jean-Luc

How propagandist beat science – they did it for the tobacco industry and now it's in favor of the energy companies:

The tricks propagandists use to beat science

The original tobacco strategy involved several lines of attack. One of these was to fund research that supported the industry and then publish only the results that fit the required narrative. “For instance, in 1954 the TIRC distributed a pamphlet entitled ‘A Scientific Perspective on the Cigarette Controversy’ to nearly 200,000 doctors, journalists, and policy-makers, in which they emphasized favorable research and questioned results supporting the contrary view,” say Weatherall and co, who call this approach biased production.

A second approach promoted independent research that happened to support ...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Promotions

NewsWare: Watch Today's Webinar!

 

We have a great guest at today's webinar!

Bill Olsen from NewsWare will be giving us a fun and lively demonstration of the advantages that real-time news provides. NewsWare is a market intelligence tool for news. In today's data driven markets, it is truly beneficial to have a tool that delivers access to the professional sources where you can obtain the facts in real time.

Join our webinar, free, it's open to all. 

Just click here at 1 pm est and join in!

[For more information on NewsWare, click here. For a list of prices: NewsWar...



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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: Harlan is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

Learn more About Phil >>


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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

Market Shadows >>