Posts Tagged ‘AAPL chart’

The Support Shelf and Trading Range to Watch in AAPL

The Support Shelf and Trading Range to Watch in AAPL

Courtesy of Corey Rosenbloom at Afraid to Trade 

Apple Inc (AAPL) frequently receives a great deal of media attention on their recent iPhone and iPad gadgets.

However, their stock has been stagnating in a trading range between$240 and $270 since May.

There is a critical support area – particularly from the weekly chart – that traders should be keenly aware of, so let’s see these levels and the bigger picture with Apple’s stock.

First, the daily trading range:

As the daily chart shows, Apple has a clear overhead resistance boundary at the $265 per share level, despite the ‘bull trap’ spiking up to $275.  .

Thus, Apple bulls have their alerts set at the $265 level as the upside breakout level to punch through.

The lower boundary actually is rising, as seen in the ascending trendline, which will make more sense as you view the weekly chart.

Volume has trailed lower during the consolidation phase, but given that it’s summer and stocks in general exhibit lower participation/volume during a trading range, this is nothing to be concerned with yet.

Remember that in a trading range, moving averages matter less, so look to the trendlines as more important indicators.

Now,
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The Apple AAPL Arc of August 11

The Apple AAPL Arc of August 11

Courtesy of Corey at Afraid to Trade

I wanted to call your attention to an ‘arc’ formation that is completing in Apple (AAPL) stock at the fresh 2009 highs.  Let’s take a look.

Apple AAPL chart

As price has swung powerfully from July’s $135 lows to August’s (so far) $165 highs, price seems to be taking a pause in a normal/natural retracement ‘topping’ arc formation that has also formed a clean negative momentum divergence.

Notice the numerous dojis (which reflect indecision) as price completes the visible arc, which can be reflective of a gentle transition from buyers to sellers (or of demand giving way to supply).

We’d have to see price break beneath $160 per share to expect a deeper pullback/retracement to test the rising 50 day EMA at $150, so keep your eye on that level to see how price reacts as the downswing/pullback continues.

For now, Apple remains in a convincing rising uptrend structure, though if price were to break beneath the solid 50 day EMA, that would be perhaps a first sign that the trend was weakening, which could bring in additional selling.

Were the arc to complete fully, it would forecast a ‘mirror image’ retracement back to the $135 level which would reflect price support.  Until then, let’s monitor the action for additional clues.

Corey Rosenbloom, CMT

 

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THE ONE CHART THAT SCARES ME

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THE ONE CHART THAT SCARES ME

Courtesy of The Pragmatic Capitalist

Apple has had done a remarkable job during the credit crisis of 2008.  The company navigated one of the most treacherous times in consumer spending with innovative product placement and perfect product pricing.  But the ride hasn’t exactly been smooth for Apple shareholders.  After leading a 5 year parabolic rise in tech the precipitous fall last September sent tech stocks tanking.   Apple has become the leader of all high beta names.  And as we all know by now, beta is where the momentum junkys play.  They can control the near-term price movements of the entire market.

The biggest problem with Apple is that it now represents over 13% of the Nasdaq 100 – arguably a more important index these days than the Nasdaq itself.  What does this mean?  It means Apple’s trading will essentially drag tech and the Nasdaq 100 around by the nose.   In addition, Apple’s recent surge isn’t coming off of an oversold based like we saw back in March.  The most recent price surge is driven almost entirely by speculation and rally chasers as opposed to the bargain hunters we saw in March and April.  This makes Apple shares highly susceptible to quick downside movements as momentum players bail out of high beta names for safer assets.

The recent parabolic rise in Apple shares have not only brought the stock near its all-time highs, but makes for an incredibly overbought and expensive stock at 25 times next years eanrings, 29 times last year earnings and a PEG ratio of 1.65.  Apple currently sits 15% above its 50 day moving average and is up 85% year to date.   Those are uncomfortable numbers for someone like myself who is a firm believer in mean reversion.  Apple’s upward trajectory is simply unsustainable despite what technicians might tell you about “relative strength”.  More importantly though, if Apple were to take a near-term nosedive it’s not unlikely that it would take the entire tech sector with it – and that’s not something this summer rally can afford to happen.

aapl chart

 

 


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Phil's Favorites

How immigrants give American companies a powerful boost against Chinese rivals

 

How immigrants give American companies a powerful boost against Chinese rivals

Courtesy of Benjamin A.T. Graham, University of Southern California – Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences

The ongoing trade war is the most visible front in America’s struggle with China for global influence. Oddly, it may be immigration policy, a...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Aussie Dollar About To Send Bullish Message To Precious Metals?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

The Australian Dollar and its ETF (NYSEARCA: FXA) have traded sideways for much of the past 4 years (see blue shaded area on chart above).

And since the Aussie Dollar and precious metals are highly correlated, this hasn’t helped gold and silver.

But this setup may be changing soon as a big test comes into play for the AU$.

It is currently testing falling resistance on a bullish falling wedge pattern.

If it succeeds in breaking out at (1), it will send metals and commodities a short-term bullish message. Stay tuned!

This article was first writ...



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Zero Hedge

Three Iranians Caught Smuggling "Many Tons" Of Nuke-Related Material Out Of US

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

A major case involving three Iranian citizens who for years allegedly smuggled nuclear related materials into Iran from a US broker has been revealed this week in a New York federal court. 

The scheme involved illegally exporting "many tons" of carbon fiber out of the United States between 2008 and 2013, which federal prosecutors say violated existing US sanctions and a UN em...



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Insider Scoop

Curaleaf Holdings To Buy Grassroots In $875M Deal

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Read more about our latest Cannabis News! CANNABIS HOME

Cannabis operator Curaleaf Holdings, Inc. (OTC: CURLF) (CSE:CURA) said Wednesday it has entered into an agreement to acquire multi-state ...



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Digital Currencies

Bitcoin Breaks Back Below $10k, Crypto-Crash Accelerates As Asia Opens

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Update 2010ET: Having briefly stabilized after this morning's weakness, cryptos are tumbling once again as Asian markets open.

Bitcoin has broken below $10,000 again...

*  *  *

While all eyes are on Bitcoin as it slides back towards $10,000, the real mover in the last 12 hours has been Ethereum after...



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Biotech

DNA testing companies offer telomere testing - but what does it tell you about aging and disease risk?

Reminder: We're is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

DNA testing companies offer telomere testing – but what does it tell you about aging and disease risk?

A telomere age test kit from Telomere Diagnostics Inc. and saliva. collection kit from 23andMe. Anna Hoychuk/Shutterstock.com

Courtesy of Patricia Opresko, University of Pittsburgh and Elise Fouquerel, ...



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ValueWalk

Professor Shubha Ghosh On The Current State Of Gene Editing

 

Professor Shubha Ghosh On The Current State Of Gene Editing

Courtesy of Jacob Wolinsky, ValueWalk

ValueWalk’s Q&A session with Professor Shubha Ghosh, a professor of law and the director of the Syracuse Intellectual Property Law Institute. In this interview, Professor Ghosh discusses his background, the Human Genome Project, the current state of gene editing, 3D printing for organ operations, and gene editing regulation.

...

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Chart School

Gold Gann Angle Update

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

Charts show us the golden brick road to high prices.

GLD Gann Angle has been working since 2016. Higher prices are expected. Who would say anything different, and why and how?

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.



The GLD very wide channel shows us the way.
- Conservative: Tag the 10 year rally starting in 2001 to 2019 and it forecasts $750 GLD (or $7500 USD Gold Futures) in 10 years.
- Aggressive: Tag the 5 year rally starting in 1976 to 2019  and it forecasts $750 GLD (or $7500 USD Gold Futures) in 5 years.

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if ima...



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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...



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Mapping The Market

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

A good start from :

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

Excerpt:

The threat to America is this: we have abandoned our core philosophy. Our first principle of this nation as a meritocracy, a free-market economy, where competition drives economic decision-making. In its place, we have allowed a malignancy to fester, a virulent pus-filled bastardized form of economics so corrosive in nature, so dangerously pestilent, that it presents an extinction-level threat to America – both the actual nation and the “idea” of America.

This all-encompassing mutant corruption saps men’s souls, crushes opportunities, and destroys economic mobility. Its a Smash & Grab system of ill-gotten re...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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