I do so love it when a plan comes together. I also love it when we can make $500 per contract on Nikkei shorts (/NKD) early in the morning, which makes it all worthwhile to get out of bed early. I was sure enough about the /NKD to tweet that note from Member Chat out – to make sure no one missed it. I also tweeted an out note at 6:15 but now it's 7:18 and we're shorting the Nikkei again, this time below the 13,300 line with very tight stops above.
No I'm not fickle – that's just the way we play the Futures – very quick ins and outs using major support lines for on/off switches, which is simple enough, but ONLY when other indicators AND the macros dictate the move. By taking ALL those additional factors into account, we can be right 60% of the time or more and that, combined with disciplined position management strategies – can pay for many, many Egg McMuffins.
Of course, long-term macros hold up for us too as we called a bit of an early top on March 27th (when we thought we'd get an EOQ drop-off) and my Tweet from that morning's early Member Chat was shorting /NKD at 12,500 and shorting oil at $96 (/CL). That Nikkei move was ultimately good for $1,000 per contract while oil bottomed out this morning at $88.23 – good for a gain of $7,770 per current contract! We actually missed this last leg down but we caught the first one, of course.
We also got a nice dip in Natural gas this morning (same Tweet) and caught a ride there from $4.27 to $4.25, which doesn't sound exciting but Nat Gas (/NG) Futures pay $100 per penny, per contract – so not too shabby and can continue to be played bearish below that line.
We're not expecting a big correction – just A correction and we'd be thrilled to see a 5% pullback that holds up. We won't be so thrilled to see every little dip reversed – as it has been all month – as it makes us suspicious that it's fake and we may see a sharper downturn after April options expirations (Friday).