About

Statement of principles

What makes us different from other trading websites and investment newsletters?

  • Value. Your monthly subscription costs about as much as you pay your broker for one or two option trades.
  • Accountability.   Unlike other sites, we don't just drop trades and walk away.  Phil Davis, David Ristau and Optrader are on-line most trading days to talk to you live.  How's that for backing up our trade ideas?  We follow our trades through from open to close and we're there for you to help analyze your own trades and look for ways to improve them.   
  • Exclusivity. You can’t make trades with 10,000 other people - it just doesn’t work! We limit our membership to give everyone a chance to pick up the positions we spot.
  • Community. Come for the great calls…stay for the great conversation. Our active daily forum is unique – no other investment newsletter or trading service has such a busy community of informed members offering their own opinions, ideas, and input.
  • Phil is often an active participant, not just a name on the marquee. If you’re an amateur or professional trader, you’ll find that our members are some of the smartest and most experienced around. No matter who you are, you’ll benefit from the dialogue our subscribers have with each other every single day.

A message from Phil:

There’s nothing I hate more than people who tell you what you would have made if you had done some perfect entry and perfect exit on a trade they vaguely recommended out of dozens that didn’t work out. It’s never going to happen here!

We keep a running archive of every single post and ever single trade idea since November of 2005 so you can see for yourself what you think of our picks! Do I need your credit card so you can look? No, why should I - the work should stand on their own. If you think they would have helped you in the past then you may decide on your own whether you want to sign up for our daily live site.

How can we give all that away for free? Because our performance is not a fluke, we do this all the time and we’re pretty sure there will be brand new trading opportunities for us tomorrow - the old ideas you can keep with our compliments!

This is not your run-of-the-mill dry, financial reporting! According to Google, there are 11,500,000 stock picking pages on the web and they all think they’re smarter than us… We don’t try to out shout the masses - we just try to have some fun and make some money!  Now I’ve been told by marketing experts that I need to put in giant letters that say we make more trades, more often than most newsletters (we do), that I should make a big deal about how we try to pick real, well-known companies that are fairly liquid so you can get your money in and (more importantly) out and I’m supposed to make a big deal about beating the markets month after month (we do). I’m not going to do that...

When I used to look for a financial newsletter I would always read that stuff and go “blah blah blah” in my head until I found some kind of sample of the actual trading. Well, we give you full access to our posted trade ideas and, when you sign up for a FREE trial of the PSW report, you can even view EVERY SINGLE comment and trade idea in our premium member chat from the past 7-30 days.  All the winners and all the losers, not just selected “samples”. There’s also a weekly update free, right on this site and you can take a look most Fridays or Saturdays for yourself and you can check out my style for yourself and decide if it would annoy or please you to read me every day.

All right, so I’m not good at marketing - but that’s not why you’re here is it? I am an amateur investor, like you, who just got sick of all the BS I was getting from all the “professional” services and I decided to start my own. I’m not a broker or a pro trader and you would be nuts to make any trade you read about here without consulting a professional financial advisor as to its suitability for your virtual portfolio… But, if you like to talk about stocks and pick up some tips that might work without all the hype and nonsense - come join us!

So why listen to me? I do have sort of a knack for spotting trends and picking winners and I’m happy to share what I know with you. No other reason. Nothing bad will happen to you if you don’t sign up with us - there is no pressure and this is not a limited offer. Come back any time we are accepting new members - the door will always be open. Looking forward to meeting you, - Phil

 
 
 

Phil's Favorites

Robo-Journalism Will Produce 1 Billion Web Stories in 2015 (This Isn't One of Them); McJournalism Coming Up

Courtesy of Mish.

Replaced by a Robot

I sometimes get asked what I am going to do when I am replaced by a robot. On other occasions, I get emails from people hoping I get replaced by a robot.

Those in the second group typically accuse me of not knowing what it is like to not have a job.

Actually, I do know what it is like to be without a job for an extended period because I was jobless for several years between 2001 and 2004.

I started this blog hoping someone would hire me as writer. The Motley Fool had an opening for a writer and turned me down for the position.

With the exception of the bit about the Fool position that I wanted and needed, I have written about this before on several occasions, most recently on January 30, 2015, in ...



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Zero Hedge

Are Hedge Funds Worth More Than Kindergartens?

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Gold Standard Institute.

by Keith Weiner

"The top 25 hedge fund managers made more than all the kindergarten teachers in the country," declared President Obama in a discussion of poverty at Georgetown University. Calling them “society’s lottery winners,” he proposed to hike their taxes.

Predictably, battle lines have been formed between two polarized sides. One side—let’s call them the Gauche for convenience’s sake—is unhappy with the pay disparity. CBS News, in an almost neutral tone, asks, “Which group provides...



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Chart School

STTG Market Recap May 26, 2015

Courtesy of Blain.

Last week we remarked how the S&P 500 finally had broken out of a multi month range… but then it did little.  Usually once a stock/ETF moves out of a long range it has a pronounced move; but the S&P 500 didn’t – it barely budged.  Today that move collapsed.  The S&P 500 fell 1.03% and the NASDAQ 1.11%.   Most pointed to some vague increase in a chance of a rate hike but this is too much tea leaving – the Federal Reserve has said everything is data dependent.

U.S. Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer said Tuesday that markets should not be surprised by the timing or pace of rate hikes.

In economic news, durable goods for April showed a decline of 0.5 percent, roughly in-line with expectations. Non-defense...



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Sabrient

Sector Detector: Stocks provide a tepid breakout as Fed greases the skids. So now what?

Courtesy of Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics

Early last week, stocks broke out, with the S&P 500 setting a new high with blue skies overhead. But then the market basically flat-lined for the rest of the week as bulls just couldn’t gather the fuel and conviction to take prices higher. In fact, the technical picture now has turned a bit defensive, at least for the short term, thus joining what has been a neutral-to-defensive tilt to our fundamentals-based Outlook rankings.

In this weekly update, I give my view of the current market environment, offer a technical analysis of the S&P 500 chart, review our weekly fundamentals-based SectorCast rankings of the ten U.S. business sectors, and then offer up some actionable trading ideas, including a sector rotation strategy using ETFs and an enhanced version using top-ranked stocks from the t...



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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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Kimble Charting Solutions

U.S. Dollar/Yen breaks 18-year resistance line, good for Nikkei 225?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

The chart above takes a look at the U.S. Dollar/Yen ratio over the past few decades. Monthly resistance line (1) has been in play for the past 18-years. As the month of May is nearly over with, the US$/Yen is making an attempt to break above this long-term resistance line.

It is frequently expressed that Yen weakness, can be a positive for the Nikkei 225 index. Below looks at the Nikkei Monthly, over the past 30-years.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

This chart reflects that the Ni...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of May 24th, 2015

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Pharmboy

Big Pharma's Business Model is Changing

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Understanding the new normal of a business model is key to the success of any company.  The managment of companies need to adapt to the changing demand, but first they must recognize what changes are taking place.  Big Pharma's business model is changing rapidly, and much like the airline industry, there will be but a handful of pharma companies left at the end of this path.

Most Big Pharma companies have traditionally done everything from research and development (R&D) through to commercialisation themselves. Research was proprietary, and diseases were cherry picked on the back of academic research that was done using NIH grants.  This was in the heyday of research, where multiple companies had drugs for the same target (Mevocor, Zocor, Crestor, Lipitor), and could reap the rewards on multiple scales.  However, in the c...



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Digital Currencies

Nasdaq's bitcoin plan will provide a real test of bitcoin hype

 

Nasdaq's bitcoin plan will provide a real test of bitcoin hype

By 

Excerpt:

Bitcoin, the virtual digital currency, has been called the future of banking, a dangerous fad, and almost everything in between, but we're finally about to get some solid data to help settle the debate.

On Monday, the Nasdaq (NDAQ) stock exchange said it would ...



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Market Shadows

Kimble Charts: US Dollar

Which way from here?

Chris Kimble likes the idea of shorting the US dollar if it bounces higher. Phil's likes the dollar better long here. These views are not inconsistent, actually, the dollar could bounce and drop again. We'll be watching. 

 

Phil writes:  If the Fed begins to tighten OR if Greece defaults OR if China begins to fall apart OR if Japan begins to unwind, then the Dollar could move 10% higher.  Without any of those things happening – you still have the Fed pursuing a relatively stronger currency policy than the rest of the G8.  So, if anything, I think the pressure should be up, not down.  

 

UNLESS that 95 line does ultimately fail (as opposed to this being bullish consolidation at the prior breakout point), then I'd prefer to sell the UUP Jan $25 puts for $0.85 and buy the Sept $24 call...



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Mapping The Market

An update on oil proxies

Courtesy of Jean-Luc Saillard

Back in December, I wrote a post on my blog where I compared the performances of various ETFs related to the oil industry. I was looking for the best possible proxy to match the moves of oil prices if you didn't want to play with futures. At the time, I concluded that for medium term trades, USO and the leveraged ETFs UCO and SCO were the most promising. Longer term, broader ETFs like OIH and XLE might make better investment if oil prices do recover to more profitable prices since ETF linked to futures like USO, UCO and SCO do suffer from decay. It also seemed that DIG and DUG could be promising if OIH could recover as it should with the price of oil, but that they don't make a good proxy for the price of oil itself. 

Since...



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Promotions

Watch the Phil Davis Special on Money Talk on BNN TV!

Kim Parlee interviews Phil on Money Talk. Be sure to watch the replays if you missed the show live on Wednesday night (it was recorded on Monday). As usual, Phil provides an excellent program packed with macro analysis, important lessons and trading ideas. ~ Ilene

 

The replay is now available on BNN's website. For the three part series, click on the links below. 

Part 1 is here (discussing the macro outlook for the markets) Part 2 is here. (discussing our main trading strategies) Part 3 is here. (reviewing our pick of th...

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Help One Of Our Own PSW Members

"Hello PSW Members –

This is a non-trading topic, but I wanted to post it during trading hours so as many eyes can see it as possible.  Feel free to contact me directly at jennifersurovy@yahoo.com with any questions.

Last fall there was some discussion on the PSW board regarding setting up a YouCaring donation page for a PSW member, Shadowfax. Since then, we have been looking into ways to help get him additional medical services and to pay down his medical debts.  After following those leads, we are ready to move ahead with the YouCaring site. (Link is posted below.)  Any help you can give will be greatly appreciated; not only to help aid in his medical bill debt, but to also show what a great community this group is.

http://www.youcaring.com/medical-fundraiser/help-get-shadowfax-out-from-the-darkness-of-medical-bills-/126743

Thank you for you time!




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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

Learn more About Phil >>


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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

Market Shadows >>