About

Statement of principles

What makes us different from other trading websites and investment newsletters?

  • Value. Your monthly subscription costs about as much as you pay your broker for one or two option trades.
  • Accountability.   Unlike other sites, we don't just drop trades and walk away.  Phil Davis, David Ristau and Optrader are on-line most trading days to talk to you live.  How's that for backing up our trade ideas?  We follow our trades through from open to close and we're there for you to help analyze your own trades and look for ways to improve them.   
  • Exclusivity. You can’t make trades with 10,000 other people - it just doesn’t work! We limit our membership to give everyone a chance to pick up the positions we spot.
  • Community. Come for the great calls…stay for the great conversation. Our active daily forum is unique – no other investment newsletter or trading service has such a busy community of informed members offering their own opinions, ideas, and input.
  • Phil is often an active participant, not just a name on the marquee. If you’re an amateur or professional trader, you’ll find that our members are some of the smartest and most experienced around. No matter who you are, you’ll benefit from the dialogue our subscribers have with each other every single day.

A message from Phil:

There’s nothing I hate more than people who tell you what you would have made if you had done some perfect entry and perfect exit on a trade they vaguely recommended out of dozens that didn’t work out. It’s never going to happen here!

We keep a running archive of every single post and ever single trade idea since November of 2005 so you can see for yourself what you think of our picks! Do I need your credit card so you can look? No, why should I - the work should stand on their own. If you think they would have helped you in the past then you may decide on your own whether you want to sign up for our daily live site.

How can we give all that away for free? Because our performance is not a fluke, we do this all the time and we’re pretty sure there will be brand new trading opportunities for us tomorrow - the old ideas you can keep with our compliments!

This is not your run-of-the-mill dry, financial reporting! According to Google, there are 11,500,000 stock picking pages on the web and they all think they’re smarter than us… We don’t try to out shout the masses - we just try to have some fun and make some money!  Now I’ve been told by marketing experts that I need to put in giant letters that say we make more trades, more often than most newsletters (we do), that I should make a big deal about how we try to pick real, well-known companies that are fairly liquid so you can get your money in and (more importantly) out and I’m supposed to make a big deal about beating the markets month after month (we do). I’m not going to do that...

When I used to look for a financial newsletter I would always read that stuff and go “blah blah blah” in my head until I found some kind of sample of the actual trading. Well, we give you full access to our posted trade ideas and, when you sign up for a FREE trial of the PSW report, you can even view EVERY SINGLE comment and trade idea in our premium member chat from the past 7-30 days.  All the winners and all the losers, not just selected “samples”. There’s also a weekly update free, right on this site and you can take a look most Fridays or Saturdays for yourself and you can check out my style for yourself and decide if it would annoy or please you to read me every day.

All right, so I’m not good at marketing - but that’s not why you’re here is it? I am an amateur investor, like you, who just got sick of all the BS I was getting from all the “professional” services and I decided to start my own. I’m not a broker or a pro trader and you would be nuts to make any trade you read about here without consulting a professional financial advisor as to its suitability for your virtual portfolio… But, if you like to talk about stocks and pick up some tips that might work without all the hype and nonsense - come join us!

So why listen to me? I do have sort of a knack for spotting trends and picking winners and I’m happy to share what I know with you. No other reason. Nothing bad will happen to you if you don’t sign up with us - there is no pressure and this is not a limited offer. Come back any time we are accepting new members - the door will always be open. Looking forward to meeting you, - Phil

 
 
 

Market News

News You Can Use From Phil's Stock World

 

Financial Markets and Economy

The Jobs Report and the August Curse: Jobs Day Guide (Bloomberg)

The stakes couldn't be higher for the August employment report, even though the month has typically been cursed by disappointment.

For Federal Reserve officials, who are trying to gauge the U.S. economy's prospects as they consider raising interest rates in less than two weeks, have already been thrown a curve ball — global economic malaise and reeling financial markets.

Canada Oil Sands Fork Over Billions for 500,000 Unneeded ...



more from Paul

Phil's Favorites

Meet "Buzz" Draghi: To Infinity and Beyond

Courtesy of Mish.

Mario Draghi, Monetarist Mule

The never-ending push for 2% price inflation is absurd to the point of being counterproductive.

However, stubborn central bank mules don't care about history or common sense. They just keep doing what their fatally flawed model says they should do.

The ECB's stubborn mule, a Downbeat Draghi, is Ready to Beef Up Quantitative Easing Package.
The euro and eurozone government bond yields plunged on Thursday after the ECB president indicated it stood ready to extend the “size, composition and duration” of its €1.1tn bond-buying programme.

“We are observing a weakening of the prospects of the Chinese economy,” Mr Draghi said. “Th...



more from Ilene

Zero Hedge

Paul Craig Roberts: The Rise Of The Inhumanes

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

Submitted by Paul Craig Roberts,

America’s descent into totalitarian violence is accelerating. Like the Bush regime, the Obama regime has a penchant for rewarding Justice (sic) Department officials who trample all over the US Constitution. Last year America’s First Black President nominated David Barron to be a judge on the First US Circuit Court of Appeals in Boston.

Barron is responsible for the Justice (sic) Department memo that gave the legal OK for Obama to murder a US citizen with a missile fired from a drone. The execution took place without charges presented to a c...



more from Tyler

Chart School

Sellers Make Late Claim

Courtesy of Declan.

Traders hadn't forgotten the events of last week and were quick to sell their positions in the face of tomorrow's NFP data.

Today's close in the S&P left a bearish inverse doji (gravestone doji), marking supply above 1,950. Bears will feel confident heading into tomorrow's data, assuming Thursday's 1,975 high is not breached. The downside target is a retest of 1,867. A move higher will set up a challenge of 2,044.


The Nasdaq had a quieter day. It didn't suffer the same wide range as the S&P, but today's close finished with a bearish 'cloud cover' over yesterday's trading. Shorts will be liking the risk:reward for a ret...

more from Chart School

All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

more from David

Kimble Charting Solutions

Change investment allocations due to .2% of a move?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Can you believe that its a really big deal to some if an index is down 9.9% from it highs (non correction territory) or if its down 10.1% (correction territory).  Does .2% constitute that we make a different allocation decision? Are you kidding me?

Do you find yourself agreeing more with the person on the left or right? I am in the camp with Lou on the right. Should we make investment decisions based upon a term (correction)? Not me

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

This chart looks at the Dow since 2010 ...



more from Kimble C.S.

OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of August 31st, 2015

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Sabrient

Sector Detector: Finally, market capitulation gives bulls a real test of conviction, plus perhaps a buying opportunity

Reminder: Sabrient is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Courtesy of Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics

The dark veil around China is creating a little too much uncertainty for investors, with the usual fear mongers piling on and sending the vast buy-the-dip crowd running for the sidelines until the smoke clears. Furthermore, Sabrient’s fundamentals-based SectorCast rankings have been flashing near-term defensive signals. The end result is a long overdue capitulation event that has left no market segment unscathed in its mass carnage. The historically long technical consolidation finally came to the point of having to break one way or the other, and it decided to break hard to the downside, actually testing the lows from last ...



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ValueWalk

Some Hedge Funds "Hedged" During Stock Market Sell Off, Others Not As Risk Focused

By Mark Melin. Originally published at ValueWalk.

With the VIX index jumping 120 percent on a weekly basis, the most in its history, and with the index measuring volatility or "fear" up near 47 percent on the day, one might think professional investors might be concerned. While the sell off did surprise some, certain hedge fund managers have started to dip their toes in the water to buy stocks they have on their accumulation list, while other algorithmic strategies are actually prospering in this volatile but generally consistently trending market.

Stock market sell off surprises some while others were prepared and are hedged prospering

While so...



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Digital Currencies

Bitcoin Battered After "Governance Coup"

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Naysyers are warning that the recent plunge in Bitcoin prices - from almost $318 at its peak during the Greek crisis, to $221 yesterday - is due to growing power struggle over the future of the cryptocurrency that is dividing its lead developers. On Saturday, a rival version of the current software was released by two bitcoin big guns. As Reuters reports, Bitcoin XT would increase the block size to 8 megabytes enabling more transactions to be processed every second. Those who oppose Bitcoin XT say the bigger block size jeopardizes the vision of a decentralized payments system that bitcoin is built on with some believing ...



more from Bitcoin

Pharmboy

Baxter's Spinoff

Reminder: Pharmboy and Ilene are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Baxter Int. (BAX) is splitting off its BioSciences division into a new company called Baxalta. Shares of Baxalta will be given as a tax-free dividend, in the ratio of one to one, to BAX holders on record on June 17, 2015. That means, if you want to receive the Baxalta dividend, you need to buy the stock this week (on or before June 12).

The Baxalta Spinoff

By Ilene with Trevor of Lowenthal Capital Partners and Paul Price

In its recent filing with the SEC, Baxter provides:

“This information statement is being ...



more from Pharmboy

Mapping The Market

An update on oil proxies

Courtesy of Jean-Luc Saillard

Back in December, I wrote a post on my blog where I compared the performances of various ETFs related to the oil industry. I was looking for the best possible proxy to match the moves of oil prices if you didn't want to play with futures. At the time, I concluded that for medium term trades, USO and the leveraged ETFs UCO and SCO were the most promising. Longer term, broader ETFs like OIH and XLE might make better investment if oil prices do recover to more profitable prices since ETF linked to futures like USO, UCO and SCO do suffer from decay. It also seemed that DIG and DUG could be promising if OIH could recover as it should with the price of oil, but that they don't make a good proxy for the price of oil itself. 

Since...



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Promotions

Watch the Phil Davis Special on Money Talk on BNN TV!

Kim Parlee interviews Phil on Money Talk. Be sure to watch the replays if you missed the show live on Wednesday night (it was recorded on Monday). As usual, Phil provides an excellent program packed with macro analysis, important lessons and trading ideas. ~ Ilene

 

The replay is now available on BNN's website. For the three part series, click on the links below. 

Part 1 is here (discussing the macro outlook for the markets) Part 2 is here. (discussing our main trading strategies) Part 3 is here. (reviewing our pick of th...

more from Promotions

Help One Of Our Own PSW Members

"Hello PSW Members –

This is a non-trading topic, but I wanted to post it during trading hours so as many eyes can see it as possible.  Feel free to contact me directly at jennifersurovy@yahoo.com with any questions.

Last fall there was some discussion on the PSW board regarding setting up a YouCaring donation page for a PSW member, Shadowfax. Since then, we have been looking into ways to help get him additional medical services and to pay down his medical debts.  After following those leads, we are ready to move ahead with the YouCaring site. (Link is posted below.)  Any help you can give will be greatly appreciated; not only to help aid in his medical bill debt, but to also show what a great community this group is.

http://www.youcaring.com/medical-fundraiser/help-get-shadowfax-out-from-the-darkness-of-medical-bills-/126743

Thank you for you time!




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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

Learn more About Phil >>


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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

Market Shadows >>